James Posted December 14, 2016 Share Posted December 14, 2016 @Doctor Rth and his FBeasts how's is the OD looking in Australia? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildphantom Posted December 14, 2016 Share Posted December 14, 2016 The numbers will be huge over the weekend. Judging by people I know, who all rushed to see TFA opening day...well they're going to see Rogue One over the weekend. I think the lack of secrecy surrounding the general story of this film is going to affect that initial rush out. Last year the secrecy surrounding it (and especially Luke's appearance) made the mania ridiculous. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimmyRiggins Posted December 14, 2016 Share Posted December 14, 2016 Movie's very good, it's got nothing on TFA imo though. 1.4 or 1.5 billion is where it's going I think. [mod edit] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Posted December 14, 2016 Share Posted December 14, 2016 3 minutes ago, TimmyRiggins said: Movie's very good, it's got nothing on TFA imo though. 1.4 or 1.5 billion is where it's going I think. By the way, don't expect a lot of Vader, like really, it was known, but still. Lol wutSo you're expecting it to make 800m in the US? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimmyRiggins Posted December 14, 2016 Share Posted December 14, 2016 Of course not, probably like 400 to 500 domestic, the rest OS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Posted December 14, 2016 Share Posted December 14, 2016 Just now, TimmyRiggins said: Of course not, probably like 400 to 500 domestic, the rest OS. So 900m-1b from OS? That has absolutely 0% chance to happen. It will drop 50% or more from TFA in UK, France and Germany (and pretty much the rest of Europe). Asia will slow the overall drop a bit, but not by much. At this point the absolute ceiling I can see is 700m. And that is if it has amazing legs (better than TFA had). 600m is more likely and that is also depends on legs. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quigley Posted December 14, 2016 Share Posted December 14, 2016 I think it will still end up being the highest-grossing film of the year WW Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted December 14, 2016 Share Posted December 14, 2016 2 minutes ago, Quigley said: I think it will still end up being the highest-grossing film of the year WW I'm not sure of this any more. In France, OW is forecast 40% of EP7, and will be even worse adjusted by exchage rates. HK is 50% down from EP7 too. These 2 markets are good indicators of Europe and Asia. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Posted December 14, 2016 Share Posted December 14, 2016 Just now, Olive said: I'm not sure of this any more. In France, OW is forecast 40% of EP7, and will be even worse adjusted by exchage rates. HK is 50% down from EP7 too. These 2 markets are good indicators of Europe and Asia. It's more than that. If the movie makes under 450m DOM then I'm not sure it will actually manage 1b WW. If it follows the TFA ratio in France it will end up with an OW under the one of FB. In Germany the forecast points to an opening in the same range as FB. In Japan I am sure FB will win this battle. That leaves China where I doubt it will manage to beat TFA. RO has Christmas holidays but also an insane amount of competition OS. FB had excellent legs, both DOM and OS. I think the overall opening will be in the same range. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poseidon Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 3 hours ago, Olive said: I'm not sure of this any more. In France, OW is forecast 40% of EP7, and will be even worse adjusted by exchage rates. HK is 50% down from EP7 too. These 2 markets are good indicators of Europe and Asia. I think we should wait for the whole weekend first. RO still might be more backloaded. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hw64 Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 16 minutes ago, Poseidon said: I think we should wait for the whole weekend first. RO still might be more backloaded. There's also a danger of it being more front-loaded, especially if it's as much of a fan-oriented affair as people are suggesting. This will be an interesting run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerPaw Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Let's discuss. The most important thing. It will not beat TFA. But total global gross(including Domestic), will it beat Civil War as the Highest Grossing movie of the year? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 28 minutes ago, TigerPaw said: Let's discuss. The most important thing. It will not beat TFA. But total global gross(including Domestic), will it beat Civil War as the Highest Grossing movie of the year? LMAO I forgot Civil War existed and I had no idea it was the highest grossing film of the year WW. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerPaw Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 1 hour ago, lab276 said: LMAO I forgot Civil War existed and I had no idea it was the highest grossing film of the year WW. Civil War doesn't deserve that RT score, it was a medicore movie imo. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Agafin Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Civil War and its box office run were really forgettable. I too sometimes forget that it was released this year. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonathanLB Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 In a fairly weak year Rogue One should have an easy path to the WW crown I think. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Such a lack of taste...Civil War was obviously a great movie, totally deserving its RT score 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 8 hours ago, Olive said: I'm not sure of this any more. In France, OW is forecast 40% of EP7, and will be even worse adjusted by exchage rates. HK is 50% down from EP7 too. These 2 markets are good indicators of Europe and Asia. Kind of weird to me if you saw the last one last year why not come see this? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 (edited) I feel like a lot of people who aren't even fans saw TFA last year. For example, I was in NYC when TFA was released, and my two sisters hate SW, they've never seen any of them. But we went to a show at amc 25 on opening night becasue it was a huge event, and a great experience. They're not watching Rogue One, they have no interest, even though they enjoyed the TFA experience. Edited December 15, 2016 by Heretic 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 yes it wont be a must see for GA. Like Civil War was. It had great universal acclaimed reviews but cratered after OW. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...