The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[charlie Jatinder]

3 hours ago, VenomXXR said:

Captain Marvel = 1440 sold @ 5:30pm - Thursday

Avengers: Endgame = 3623 sold @ 5:30pm - Thursday 

Toy Story 4 = 822 sold @ 3:00pm - Thursday 

The Lion King = 1570 sold @ 4:00pm - Thursday

Joker = 659 sold @ 3:00pm - Thursday

You really have a very good comp for Nationwide. EG comp having it at over $20mn, others around $17-18mn, which is what it should be.

[charlie Jatinder]

Worked on some archives. In comp to EG, TRS ratio of PS.

Previews: 73%

True FSS: 50%

 

Overall: 63%

 

These ratio will drop a bit by the time we reach near final.

[ZackM]

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Various theater chains (Michigan) Premiere Night Seat Report: T-8 days and counting
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	0	17	12	0	0
Seats Added	3	3,193	831	22	9
Seats Sold	400	566	395	249	163
12/11/2019	Showings	Seats Left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Pct. Sold
Total	268	29,300	46,160	16,860	36.53%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	13	32	54	77	97

[The Wild Eric]

Black Christmas Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	26	59	3,688	1.60%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 4

Total Seats Added Today: 278

Total Seats Sold Today: 12

 

Comp

0.381x of Crawl 1 day before release (381K)

0.210x of Scary Stories (489K)

0.737x of 47 Meters (380K)

0.133x of Zombieland 2 (379K)

0.319x of Doctor Sleep (478K)

 

Today was pretty bad. Not "sub-10M" bad, but still bad.

[keysersoze123]

On 12/10/2019 at 8:40 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Jumanji 2 Previews (T-2)

MTC1 - overall 1989 shows 21840/395406 366346.85  +4599
MTC2 - overall 2980 shows 12366/463879 152446.00  +2747

 

Definitely a good ramp up at MTC1. Slightly lower ramp up at MTC2. But I am expecting starting tomorrow it should go way more than today and on thursday walk-ins will be huge. Comparitively its ahead of all movies released I tracked over past 10 weeks except Joker and Frozen. So let us hope with huge walk-ins it hits 4m previews and 50m+ OW.

Jumanji 2 Previews (T-1)

MTC1  - overall 2080 shows 28139/406711 465722.60 +6299
MTC2  - overall 3000 shows 17312/465849 211092.00  +4946

 

Better day than yesterday(Duh!) but not good enough of a acceleration. Now its all down to final day sales.

 

Also Day 1 and 2 numbers(just MTC1)

MTC1 OD - overall 4152 shows 29904/810197 480502.63
MTC1 D2 - overall 4350 shows 33212/843696 452936.56

 

I had posted D1 earlier. But at least both the numbers are ahead of previews and so it will be backloaded.

[The Wild Eric]

Jumanji: The Next Level Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	95	426	20,097	2.12%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 7

Total Seats Added Today: 717

Total Seats Sold Today: 137

 

Comp

1.374x of Maleficent 1 day before release (3.16M)

0.181x of Frozen II (1.54M)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.343x of Hobbs & Shaw (1.99M)

 

Definitely some great acceleration. Definitely a lot more confident in 40M+ now.

[The Wild Eric]

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-8 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	2	169	11,296	31,565	35.79%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 245

 

T-8 Comp

11.445x of It: Chapter Two 8 days before release (120.17M)

10.687x of Frozen II 8 days before release (90.84M)

 

T-8 Adjusted Comp

3.115x of Lion King 8 days before release (71.65M)

 

Final Count Comp

5.939x of Once Upon’s final count (34.44M)

3.261x of It: Chapter Two (34.24M)

2.301x of Joker (30.60M)

16.206x of Maleficent (37.27M)

12.969x of Terminator (30.48M)

3.361x of Frozen II (28.57M)

 

Final Count Adjusted Comp

1.011x of Lion King (23.24M)

4.796x of Hobbs & Shaw (27.82M)

 

Very strong day. Great jump from yesterday, as the film keep on gaining traction. Lion King's final numbers also got passed, and almost all the comps (at least the ones that aren't adjusted) passed 30M.

[Porthos]

The Rise of Skywalker Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-8 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	5	212	9552	24621	15099	61.33%

SELLOUT NOTE:  If a showing only has wheelchair and/or wheelchair companion seats left, it is counted as a sellout

 

Total Showings Added Today	2
Total Seats Added Today	89
Total Seats Sold Today	228

 

T-8 Adjusted Comp #1 (EXTREMELY LOL FOR CM - DON'T USE THERE FOR MUCH OF ANYTHING)

	%		Sold T-8	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
CM	320.96		113	4494		2/107	8399/12893	34.86%		66.44m
EG	75.01		200	19229		17/243	5347/24576	78.24%		45.01m
TROS (adj)	n/a		215	14424		5/212	8949/23373	61.71%		n/a

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TROS (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for Captain Marvel and Endgame. 

THEATER NOTE: If a theater in the region was not open for the above movies but is for TROS it WILL be counted as part of this adjustment.

PRE-SALES NOTE:  TROS had 60 days of pre-sales while Endgame had 24 days of pre-sales.

 

T-8 Adjusted Comp #2

	%		Sold T-8	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
Solo	349.33		101	3635		1/92	6511/10146	35.83%		49.25m
TROS (adj)	n/a		160	12698		5/210	6601/19139	65.51%		n/a

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TROS (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for Solo.

THEATER NOTE: If a theater in the region was not open for the above movies but is for TROS it WILL be counted as part of this adjustment.

PRE-SALES NOTE:  TROS had 60 days of pre-sales while Infinity War had 42 days of pre-sales and Solo 21 days of pre-sales.

 

---

Comps so far off of Final Totals (spoilered for space)

Spoiler

of:

	%		Final Sold		TROS Sold		Comp
DP2	156.13		8133		12698		29.04m
Solo	219.5		5789		12698		30.93m
JW:FK	203.89		6228		12698		31.91m
AM&tW	275.47		4605		12698		31.71m
Venom	298.35		4493		13405		29.84m
CM	136.68		10553		14424		28.29m
EG	54.11		26655		14424		32.47m
TLK	131.40		10977		14424		30.22m
It 2	266.81		5659		15099		28.02m
AVG							30.19m

NOTE: FINAL SOLD is the amount of tickets sold at stop of tracking for the given movie and TROS SOLD is the amount of tickets sold so far at the same theaters I had tracking info for the movie in question.

 

 

Edited December 13, 2019 by Porthos

[keysersoze123]

On 12/10/2019 at 11:00 PM, keysersoze123 said:

SW9( (T-9)

MTC1 Prev - overall 5227 shows 344449/866608 5128300.20 +5983
MTC2 Prev - overall 3120 shows 227840/453997 2878063.00 +3602
MTC1 OD - overall 5390 shows 264353/1097183 4082900.54  +7448
MTC2 OD - overall 4507 shows 203160/736487 2262898.00  +6075
MTC1 D2 - overall 5330 shows 218879/1087060 3214108.82 +6596
MTC2 D2 - overall 4526 shows 166072/742055 1792014.00 +5583  
MTC1 D3 - overall 5158 shows 124947/1052272 1830074.03 +4635
MTC2 D3 - overall 4449 shows 89756/732783 936033.00 +3258

 

Very good increase from yesterday.

 

SW9 (T-8)

MTC1 Prev - overall 5254 shows 351155/869161 5224948.38 +6706
MTC2 Prev - overall 3119 shows 232054/453729 2925604.00 +4214
MTC1 OD - overall 5410 shows 272258/1099472 4192894.10 +8905
MTC2 OD - overall 4557 shows 210825/743384 2343370.00 +7665
MTC1 D2 - overall 5342 shows 226180/1088636 3315418.45 +7301
MTC2 D2 - overall 4516 shows 173838/736567 1873995.00 1 +7766
MTC1 D3 - overall 5174 shows 130634/1053687 1911364.64 +5687
MTC2 D3 - overall 4502 shows 94750/740957 986775.00 +4994

 

Another day of good acceleration from previous day.

[pepsa]

3 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

SW9 (T-8)

MTC1 Prev - overall 5254 shows 351155/869161 5224948.38 +6706
MTC2 Prev - overall 3119 shows 232054/453729 2925604.00 +4214
MTC1 OD - overall 5410 shows 272258/1099472 4192894.10 +8905
MTC2 OD - overall 4557 shows 210825/743384 2343370.00 +7665
MTC1 D2 - overall 5342 shows 226180/1088636 3315418.45 +7301
MTC2 D2 - overall 4516 shows 173838/736567 1873995.00 1 +7766
MTC1 D3 - overall 5174 shows 130634/1053687 1911364.64 +5687
MTC2 D3 - overall 4502 shows 94750/740957 986775.00 +4994

 

Another day of good acceleration from previous day.

Nice!

OD's also increasing nicely, great start to the ramp up.

The weekend should see a small dip right (because people buying less tickets on the weekends)?

[Lordmandeep]

Considering help resale heavy the market has gotten...

 

Tros presales have not been that impressive.

[Boxofficerules]

5 hours ago, Eric loves Rey said:

Black Christmas Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	26	59	3,688	1.60%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 4

Total Seats Added Today: 278

Total Seats Sold Today: 12

 

Comp

0.381x of Crawl 1 day before release (381K)

0.210x of Scary Stories (489K)

0.737x of 47 Meters (380K)

0.133x of Zombieland 2 (379K)

0.319x of Doctor Sleep (478K)

 

Today was pretty bad. Not "sub-10M" bad, but still bad.

Don’t worry, walk ups will put it into $30 million range.

[Krissykins]

20 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

Don’t worry, walk ups will put it into $30 million range.

Nothing points towards anything like that.

Actually, nothing points towards even $15m. 
 

Tracking is $10-14m. 

[FlashMaster659]

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Inland Empire Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-8 Days

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Seats Left	Perct Sold
TOTALS	4	256	16802	53820	37018	31.22%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 407

 

Comps so far off of Final Totals of:

	%		Final Sold		TROS Sold		Comp
Joker	199.52		8421		16802		26.54m
Frozen 2	260.09		6460		16802		22.11m

 

===

 

Amazing jump for TROS. I think this is the best day of pre-sales here since either day 2 or 3.

[FlashMaster659]

 

[JB33]

1 minute ago, FlashMaster659 said:

 

That's.....a surprisingly low theatre count. Guess that's how it is this time of year, every movie gets a somewhat depressed theatre count compared to other times of the year when there isn't as much competition (like TLK getting 4,800 something theatres in July this year!).

[TwoMisfits]

2 minutes ago, JB33 said:

That's.....a surprisingly low theatre count. Guess that's how it is this time of year, every movie gets a somewhat depressed theatre count compared to other times of the year when there isn't as much competition (like TLK getting 4,800 something theatres in July this year!).

It's probably that...and the required Disney contract terms...some of the single and double screen theaters might have decided to gamble on Jumanji followed by either Cats or Spies Like Us to fill the Xmas season if those movies had much better terms (and they almost certainly did)...

[The Wild Eric]

4 minutes ago, JB33 said:

That's.....a surprisingly low theatre count. Guess that's how it is this time of year, every movie gets a somewhat depressed theatre count compared to other times of the year when there isn't as much competition (like TLK getting 4,800 something theatres in July this year!).

To be fair, summer has a lot more drive-ins available

[Menor the Destroyer]

5 minutes ago, JB33 said:

That's.....a surprisingly low theatre count. Guess that's how it is this time of year, every movie gets a somewhat depressed theatre count compared to other times of the year when there isn't as much competition (like TLK getting 4,800 something theatres in July this year!).

May go up by 200+ with actuals. EG was 4400 estimated, final was 4662.

[Cooper Legion]

TFA 4134

RO 4157

TLJ 4232

 

Nothing to see here, bet final is 4300ish with new theater construction.