The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[narniadis]

2 hours ago, john2000 said:

@Menor , @keysersoze123 , guys are mulan tickets online ? if so how is going ?

Dude, you need some patience 😂 wanted to load a gif so I wouldn't appear gruff but the system is meh for me today. 

You ask to frequently for data that isnt actively available yet. Gotta give the trackers time to see whats going on, not just boom tell me how its going when it just got started. 

[el sid]

The Invisible Man, counted today at 11am EST:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 236 (total tickets sold for Thursday) / 323 (total tickets sold for Friday, 11 showtimes)
Boston (AMC Assembly Row 12): 94 / 139 (14 showtimes)
Boston (Boston Common 19): 77 / 139 (12 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 125 / 87 (13 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 31 / 14 (8 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 12 / 9 (3 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Center Point 11): 19 / 36 (4 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 233 / 231 (14 showtimes)
LA (AMC Bay Street): 109 / 65 (11 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 271 / 194 (12 showtimes)
Total tickets sold in 10 theaters till today for Thursday: 1.207 and for Friday: 1.237.

Comps: Scary Stories had on Thursday 1.096/754 sold tickets, The Grudge had 475/331, Crawl 417/334, Countdown 248/190, The Turning 239/219, Gretel & Hansel 295/301, Fantasy Island 0/888 and The Boy II 169/155.
From these presales it should reach 30M+. The Thursday number isn't spectacular but the Friday number is really impressive in comparison with the other horror movies. I just hope (and guess) that WOM helps and that it also will have nice walk ups.

[filmlover]

Wouldn't be surprised to see A Quiet Place Part II open to similar numbers as Us did on the same weekend last year.

[Inceptionzq]

On 2/26/2020 at 1:53 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Onward Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

22

1434

1.53%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

28

1610

1.74%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
128	17	7694	1.66%	9	40

 

Sonic comp: 2.30M

Adjusted Maleficent comp: 1.76M

Onward Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

22

1434

1.53%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

30

1610

1.86%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
144	16	7694	1.87%	9	40

 

Sonic comp: 2.63M

Adjusted Maleficent comp: 1.84M

[Eric Quinn]

@john2000 I did a quick check at Mulan, and while I haven't really looked all that much into it, I do think it's looking towards a good first day of PS

[Inceptionzq]

Mulan Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

21

1826

1.15%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

10

1854

0.54%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
99	N/A	9614	1.03%	8	54

[john2000]

4 hours ago, narniadis said:

Dude, you need some patience 😂 wanted to load a gif so I wouldn't appear gruff but the system is meh for me today. 

You ask to frequently for data that isnt actively available yet. Gotta give the trackers time to see whats going on, not just boom tell me how its going when it just got started. 

nevermind

[keysersoze123]

Mulan(T-28)

MTC1 Prev - overall 1193 shows 7943/249252 143089.80 119475.53

MTC2 Prev - overall 1946 shows 2743/304151 36327.99 26109.75

MTC1 OD - overall 2267 shows 3983/489466 69687.60 59253.25

MTC2 OD - overall 3379 shows 3267/577758 37475.58 29689.95

 

Terrific start both from show count and initial ticket sales. Its early days and I dont know if COVID-19 will play a part in BO by then, but based on normal trend this is looking at a Big OW. 

 

@john2000

[keysersoze123]

6 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Invisible Man(Thursday Morning Update)

MTC1 Prev - overall 1056 shows 17595/205832 289188.38 236635.77 +6012

MTC2 Prev - overall 1017 shows 5732/171102 71727.75 51617.01 +2602

 

MTC2 numbers are still incredibly weak. Need to do 4x at MTC2 today and hit 40K+ at MTC1 to hit 2m. Definitely possible. 

 

I will update OD PS later tonight but by nightime yesterday it was slightly higher than previews at MTC1 and 60-70% higher. if it hits 2m of PS for OD by morning tomorrow it will be on course for 9-10m true friday based on @charlie Jatinder which should be enough for 30m OW. 

MTC1 up to 24590/206444 and MTC2 at 10159/167843. Good to see MTC2 move considering PS was light. Previews headed up somewhere between 1.5-2m. Let us see where things end and if late shows also have good sales. 

[Alex SciChannel]

11 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

MTC1 up to 24590/206444 and MTC2 at 10159/167843. Good to see MTC2 move considering PS was light. Previews headed up somewhere between 1.5-2m. Let us see where things end and if late shows also have good sales. 

How possible is $2.5M?

[john2000]

53 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Mulan(T-28)

MTC1 Prev - overall 1193 shows 7943/249252 143089.80 119475.53

MTC2 Prev - overall 1946 shows 2743/304151 36327.99 26109.75

MTC1 OD - overall 2267 shows 3983/489466 69687.60 59253.25

MTC2 OD - overall 3379 shows 3267/577758 37475.58 29689.95

 

Terrific start both from show count and initial ticket sales. Its early days and I dont know if COVID-19 will play a part in BO by then, but based on normal trend this is looking at a Big OW. 

 

@john2000

and sorry but any update on onward, if you can of course

[keysersoze123]

12 minutes ago, Alex SciChannel said:

How possible is $2.5M?

Sonic last week did 3m and sold almost 60K tickets at MTC1 and 50K at MTC2. Even with higher average ticket prices Invisible man would need close to 90K tickets. That needs another 55K tickets from this point. I would say improbable for this movie to have previews > 2m. Let us see where things are in the evening. 

[DAJK]

Invisible Man having this little hype is a crime. Has hardly sold anything here for tonight

[TalismanRing]

NYC Local	Mon		Tues		Wed		Thur		Previews	Start
Invisible Man	42/1151	(4pm)	44/1151	(4pm)	48/1151	(5pm)	70/1151	(6:30pm)		7:00 PM
Onward (Sat sneaks)	53/160	(4pm)	56/160	(4pm)	76/160	(5pm)	80/160	(6:30pm)		3pm (Sat)
Mulan (-4 weeks)							66/1756	(6:30pm)

 

IM (6:30pm): 

 

Doctor Sleep (5pm):  $1.98m

Zombieland 2: (6pm) $2.216m

Countdown: (4pm) $1.916m

Brahms: The Boy: (4pm) $0.95

Turning: (4pm) $1.43m

 

 

Mulan - very early comps (using BOP just b/c I had Day 1 sales for it)

 

NYC Local	Mon		Tues		Wed		Thur		Previews	Start
Mulan (-4 weeks)							66/1756	(6:30pm)
Maleficent 2	39/1154	(4pm)	42/1154	(4pm)	53/1154	(4pm)	96/1425	[6pm]	$2.3m	7:00 PM
Aladdin			98/1242	(12pm)					$7m	6:00 PM
Frozen	122/1824	(4pm)	169/ 2724	(4pm)	208/ 2724	(4:30pm)	304/2274	(4:30pm)	$8.5m	6:00 PM
Birds Of Prey (-1 week)					60/1844	(6pm)	67/1844	(4pm)		6:00 PM
Birds Of Prey	71/1844	(5pm)	84/1844	(7:30pm)	106/1844	(7:45pm)	166/1844	(5pm)	$4m	6:00 PM

 

Edited February 28, 2020 by TalismanRing

[keysersoze123]

On 2/24/2020 at 4:21 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Onward

Advance/Marathon Shows(T-5)

MTC1 - overall 112 shows 4079/17892 66464.27 65744.47 

MTC2 - overall 104 shows 7275/11669 71359.25 61679.50

 

Very good numbers at MTC2. I wonder if they will increase show count otherwise my prediction for advance/marathon shows is the same. 

 

MTC1 Prev - overall 1119 shows 5962/229987 107963.91 90160.99

MTC2 Prev - overall 1123 shows 2472/193065 31901.79 22789.48

MTC1 OD - overall 2564 shows 4679/534511 82315.72 69852.22 post 6PM 1304 shows 3398/274668 62438.39 52450.99

MTC2 OD - overall 2471 shows 4051/442639 47109.84 37477.80 post 6PM 981 shows 2164/178689 28481.38 20361.09

 

Preview sales are affected because of Advance shows. So the numbers wont increase big time until next week. 

 

 

Onward

MTC1 Adv/Mar - overall 114 shows 6548/18078 106351.24 104770.32

MTC2 Adv/Mar - overall 103 shows 8400/11552 82209.75 70943.50

MTC1 Prev - overall 1140 shows 7349/232525 131693.22 109752.74

MTC2 Prev - overall 1158 shows 3155/198068 40731.43 29190.77

 

MTC1 still has good amount of seats for advance shows and so I am expecting this number to go up quite a bit. Thinking 0.7-0.8m possible. Previews will increase starting next week. let us see where things are then. 

 

[The Horror of Lucas Films]

How much does TIM needs to make at previews to lock $30m? Would $2m be enough for it?

[Blaze Heatnix]

1 minute ago, The Horror of Lucas Films said:

How much does TIM needs to make at previews to lock $30m? Would $2m be enough for it?

 

It's up to word of mouth now. Critics love it, but will audiences feel the same? 

 

 

[Cooper Legion]

1 minute ago, The Horror of Lucas Films said:

How much does TIM needs to make at previews to lock $30m? Would $2m be enough for it?

No. Like 3M would be needed to “lock” 30. 

[TalismanRing]

5 minutes ago, The Horror of Lucas Films said:

How much does TIM needs to make at previews to lock $30m? Would $2m be enough for it?

AQP had a 11.7 multi with great WOM.     IM would need 2.56 in previews with that multi.  More likely would need in the high 2s or 3+

 

Edited February 28, 2020 by TalismanRing

[The Horror of Lucas Films]

10 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

AQP had a 11.7 multi with great WOM.     IM would need 2.56 in previews with that multi.  More likely would need in the high 2s or 3+

 

 

But AQP was quite front-loaded during the OW because Paramount sold it as an event, a better comparision would be Get Out that did $1.8m at previews and did $33.4m on OW.