The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Cmasterclay]

If Shang Chi doesn't do numbers this weekend, none of those big movies are releasing this year. This is life or death stakes

[CJohn]

4 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:

If Shang Chi doesn't do numbers this weekend, none of those big movies are releasing this year. This is life or death stakes

Bond is locked. Venom, Ghostbusters and No Way Home will all get pushed tho.

[MrPink]

Can we wait till tomorrow to start dooming, otherwise I'm going to post all of Cjohn's private photos

[Cmasterclay]

Just now, CJohn said:

Bond is locked. Venom, Ghostbusters and No Way Home will all get pushed tho.

Agree on Bond and think Halloween and the WB day and dates stick around too if theaters remain open. but the rest probably move if Shang Chi doesn't hit 60m 3 day as well as the smaller releases around them that need anchors and robust theater business. I rarely care about superhero MCU movies at all, in fact I'm more anti-superhero than not, but we all have to be MCU stans this weekend.

[Inceptionzq]

If y’all really feel the need to start doomposting, just don’t do it in this thread

[ThomasNicole]

Oh we're gonna do this doom and gloom again without reason... Ok

[Cmasterclay]

You're right. Someone please start a weekend thread so we can doompost there.

[keysersoze123]

I think @Eric and the Ten Rings should start weekend thread early for doomposting and keep this only for posting data. That said let us see how regional trackers are doing outside markets impacted by bad weather conditions. 

[Eric Prime]

Just now, Cmasterclay said:

You're right. Someone please start a weekend thread so we can doompost there.

Already on it hon.

[el sid]

Shang-Chi counted today at 11am EST for today:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 540 (8 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 655 (10 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 140 (5 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 49 (2 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 184 (8 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 907+ (15 showtimes, 1 reported Sell Out, maybe true)
LA (AMC Universal): 1.142 (24 showtimes)
 

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 3.617.
Up 14.5% since yesterday. Before you start to worry, look at the Friday increase .
Comps: TSS had on Thursday 1.929 sold tickets = 7.7M.
Birds of Prey's final Thursday number was 2.085. So my conservative guess has happened: 7M (6.95M).
And AQP II had finally 1.582 sold tickets = 11.0M.

Shang-Chi counted today at 11am EST for tomorrow:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 724 (13 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 586 (21 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 158 (15 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 63 (4 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 151 (13 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 1.122 (26 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 936 (23 showtimes)
 

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 3.740.
Up 40% since Tuesday.
Comps: TSS had on Thursday for Friday 1.560 sold tickets = 19.2M.
Birds of Prey's final Friday number was 1.664 = 20.25M.
And F9 had on Thursday for Friday 3.585 sold tickets = 23.8M.

The Thursday number is a bit under my expectations but therefor the Friday number is great. I was really surprised. Maybe the weather situation indeed is a factor or it's just not that frontloaded because of the longer weekend.
I guess it won't have the same walk-ups as F9 but I don't see it under 60M 3 days (unless the situation worsens dramatically).
PS: I ran out of likes, will continue later.

[charlie Jatinder]

12 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

If y’all really feel the need to start doomposting, just don’t do it in this thread

That's why I was asking for weekend thread.

[Mr Terrific]

And in the Midwest…

The eight-screener I’m going to just opened another preview show. Context is that our town is pre-sale averse so the numbers coming in are pretty exciting. 

[Cap]

Mid Day Update

 

Falmouth Flagship

 

6:45PM: 83/101

6:55PM: 71/117

 

Total: 154/218 = 70.64% Sold Out.

 

My final count for Black Widow was 252/399.  We're running at about 61.11% of that for Shang Chi, or 8.06M for previews.

 

I repeat - and maybe someone at the theater is magically reading this exactly right now and can do something about it: Where? 👏 Are? 👏 My? 👏 Screens? 👏  All of the "good seats" are gone, it's only singles and the front row left.  And it's not like the area can go else where!  You are the only damn theater open within 30 minutes.  They should've added two more by now. The 6:55 of TSS has no one it in. Cancel it now before you get stuck with a theater that only have 1 ticket sold instead of 50 like the Jungle Cruise and Widow screens will be tonight.

[keysersoze123]

3 minutes ago, Cap said:

Mid Day Update

 

Falmouth Flagship

 

6:45PM: 83/101

6:55PM: 71/117

 

Total: 154/218 = 70.64% Sold Out.

 

My final count for Black Widow was 252/399.  We're running at about 61.11% of that for Shang Chi, or 8.06M for previews.

 

I repeat - and maybe someone at the theater is reading this right now and can do something about it: Where? 👏 Are? 👏 My? 👏 Screens? 👏  All of the "good seats" are gone, it's only singles and the front row left.  And it's not like the area can go else where!  You are the only damn theater open within 30 minutes.  They should've added two more by now. The 6:55 of TSS has no one it in. Cancel it now before you get stuck with a theater that only have 1 ticket sold instead of 50 like the Jungle Cruise and Widow screens will be tonight.

What about one in newington. I remember seeing Revenge of the Sith midnight at that plex and it was crazy with all screens selling out and it was packed to brim, That was before the plex was remodeled in late 2000's. 

 

Plus why is weekend thread locked. Clay's post is epic. 

Edited September 2, 2021 by keysersoze123

[titanic2187]

the last few pages......Guys, is meltdown a necessity for every new opener? 

[Porthos]

8 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

the last few pages......Guys, is meltdown a necessity for every new opener? 

 

 

 

[Cap]

28 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

What about one in newington. I remember seeing Revenge of the Sith midnight at that plex and it was crazy with all screens selling out and it was packed to brim, That was before the plex was remodeled in late 2000's. 

 

Plus why is weekend thread locked. Clay's post is epic. 

 

I am actually OFF to the theater in Newington, so I won't have data on that until I can sort through it before I get back.  But the TL;DR is it's going to be a full theater tonight!

[cax16]

On 8/31/2021 at 10:33 PM, cax16 said:

SC is selling really well on Thursday at my local theatre, it’s already sold 330 tickets, the only real recent comp

I have is TSS and that finished with just over 100 seats sold. 

 

On 8/31/2021 at 11:26 PM, cax16 said:

I live on the border of a city called Markham in Ontario that has a pretty large Asian population. My theatre is selling well but the theatre in the heart of Markham that is an Imax/VIP theatre is selling really big, already 545 tickets sold and that place is mostly premium prices. It’s especially good when you factor in that we have limited seating in each theatre. But I looked at the surrounding cities and all are selling well as well so I think it’s just doing well in most theatres I’ve looked at. 

Won’t have time to look later and this was about the time I checked TSS,

 

My local theatre - 491 seats sold for SC, TSS was 100

 

Markham theatre - 801 seats sold(it was 545 on Tuesday). 

[The Dark Shape]

11 hours ago, CJohn said:

60M 4 day back on the menu. Maybe less with the floodings.

 

'From the filmmaker who brought you "Candyman will open under $10m..."'

[Porthos]

11 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Shang-Chi and the Legends of the Ten Rings 

Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-1 day and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	188	20777	24985	4208	16.84%

 

Total Sellouts Added Today	1
Total Showings Added Today	5
Total Seats Added Today	381
Total Seats Sold Today	929

 

T-1 Comp

	%		Sold T-1	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
BW	60.60		1144	6944		0/258	25357/32301	21.50%		8.38m
TSS	313.33		281	1343		0/107	15221/16564	8.11%		13.16m

COMP NOTE: The BW Comp has been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955). The TSS Comp has not been adjusted.

 

Regal: 974/7536 [12.92% sold] [+249 tickets]

 

===

 

Yeah, okay.  That was a little better of a day. 👍 Shang-Chi did 81% of Black Widow's T-1.  All those showtimes of the last couple of days started to fill up.

 

Will this cross 9m?  Tune in tomorrow/much later today.

 

NB:  Apologies for being late, but I got sucked into a movie (Knives Out really is a great film, you know, even on the xth re-watch) so I started late.  But then Fandango started to give me a ton of shit.  Don't know if it was some sort of flood control or broken cookies or what.  But I got so many errors I had to go to various corporate sites, which slowed me down a ton.  Then I had some things to do for about 45 minutes before I could sit down and write this all down.

 

Good things come to those who wait, I suppose. 👍

 

Shang-Chi and the Legends of the Ten Rings 

Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

PREMIERE NIGHT (MID-DAY UPDATE) [12:00pm - 12:55pm]

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	192	20608	25450	4842	19.03%

 

Total Showings Added Since Last Night	4
Total Seats Added Today	465
Total Seats Sold Today	634

 

T-0 (Mid-Day) Comp

	%		Sold T-0 [Mid-Day]	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
BW	61.80		891	7835		0/258	24466/32301	24.26%		8.54m
TSS	289.94		327	1670		0/111	15173/16843	9.92%		12.18m

COMP NOTE: The BW Comp has been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955). The TSS Comp has not been adjusted.

 

T-0 (Mid-Day) Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-0 [Mid-Day]	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
F9	127.61		491	3390		0/170	17331/20721	16.36%		9.49m
SC (adj)	---		559	4326		1/168	4326/21874	17.60%		---

COMP NOTE: The F9 Comp has been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955). The TSS Comp has not been adjusted.

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  SC (adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters which had unreliable data polluting their seat maps at that point in F9's track.

 

Regal: 1160/7883 [14.72% sold] [+186 tickets]

 

===

 

And back to 70% of BW, more or less.  At T-0 Mid-Day (samples taken at the same time), Shang-Chi did 71% of the same business that Black Widow did at the same time.  I strongly suspect it'll do in the same range the rest of the day.  Not too much more at any rate.

 

As expected, The Suicide Squad comps is finally starting to drop through the floor.  It did underperform here (or at least the Sacto region might have normalized with the rest of the country), so expect that comp to come in high even at final bell.

 

Finally, put in a F9 comp for shits and giggles.  It too should drop considering the comparative sales patterns at play so, keep that in mind.

 

If SC does 70% of BW the rest of today (before stop of tracking), that'd be about 950 tickets sold which would bring the comp to 8.7m, which all things considered would be a fantastic result IMO.

 

To hit 9m, need about 1100 tickets sold between now and end of tracking, or about 80% of BW's sales over the same time period.  It's done that on occasion, but I wouldn't call it either a sure thing or a none-chance.  Just have to see what actually happens between now and then.

Edited September 2, 2021 by Porthos