The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[KeepItU25071906]

50 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

2018-10-16 11:00:00	570	A Star Is Born (2018)
2018-10-16 11:00:00	401	Halloween (2018)
2018-10-16 11:00:00	311	Venom (2018)
2018-10-16 11:00:00	205	Fantastic Beasts The Crimes of Grindelwald
2018-10-16 11:00:00	162	First Man
2018-10-16 11:00:00	121	Bad Times at the El Royale
2018-10-16 11:00:00	94	Goosebumps 2 Haunted Halloween
2018-10-16 11:00:00	73	Smallfoot
2018-10-16 11:00:00	54	The Hate U Give
2018-10-16 11:00:00	50	Night School (2018)

 

only 205 ticket for FB2

This is a good result for beginning.

[baumer]

So it looks like 80 million is a possibility for Halloween.

[dxmatrixdt]

On ‎10‎/‎11‎/‎2018 at 10:39 AM, gravestonedt said:

https://www.fandango.com/cinderella-167741/movie-overview

 

Cinderella (2015) getting a small re-release this weekend, they never show up in the weekend columns, maybe this one is for charity or disability.

anyone got numbers on this?

[filmlover]

Halloween is getting three screens all day at my theater and an additional five at night for a grand total of eight screens this weekend. That's definitely a great sign if they're booking it on so many.

Edited October 16, 2018 by filmlover

[WrathOfHan]

Weekend showtimes are up at my theater. Some notes:

 

Halloween has two full screens during the day at five at night. There are 5 preview shows as well

The Hate U Give isn't doing Thursday previews.

The Sisters Brothers is coming with two showtimes per day. It might be more during the week.

Edited October 16, 2018 by WrathOfHan

[el sid]

3 hours ago, commonsense88 said:

We need IT numbers for comparison.

I found some old MT data from "It" and several other movies of 2015-2017  :
"It" had a great run at MT but of course a lot less competition - the #2 at the box office back then was Home Again which achieved 8.6M, the #3, The Hitman's Bodyguard, had 4.8M. 
With the last update on Monday "It" had already 10.0%, then increased to 18.3% short after Tuesday noon (always EST). The highest number of "It" was 84.2% on Friday forenoon. Let's see where Halloween lands. Maybe it can manage 3/4 of that which would be great with the competition of Venom, ASIB and other movies.

Edited October 16, 2018 by el sid

[MCKillswitch123]

Not gonna lie: I've been thinking for a while that Halloween might not do much more than 60M tops on OW (and one-two years ago I wasn't even sure it was doing that for DOM total, as I had no idea just how much the current audience was in touch with Halloween), but now with these tracking results....... I'm not gonna say it's pulling another It, but this is going to be huge.

Edited October 16, 2018 by MCKillswitch123

[Hiccup23]

Halloween Previews at my theater

 

Halloween

168

2,108

8.0%

 

 

Wednesday should be the big boost in sales. 

[Krissykins]

Halloween industry tracking per Variety:

 

$57-65m

 

Outsiders say a chance at $70m, Universal saying $50m. 

[AdamKendall]

Still sitting at #3 on MT with 10.5%, makes sense that it's not really jumping up too much with the Tuesday business.

 

In terms of the opening, if Universal thinks 50 that's pretty much the floor, as you know they don't like to be high and look bad if opens lower.  We'll see about the '70' possibility.  Mid 60's sounds about right.

Edited October 16, 2018 by AdamKendall

[WrathOfHan]

On 10/9/2018 at 3:43 PM, WrathOfHan said:

The Nun, The Predator, and A Simple Favor are gone (never got around to last week lol oops).

 

First Man: 10 (XL and Average)

Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween: 8 (Biggest and Average x0.6)

Bad Times at the El Royale: 5 (Smallest)

 

Venom: 12 (Down 4 and lost 3D; XL and Average x1.4)

A Star Is Born: 8 (Flat; Biggest and Average)

The House with a Clock in Its Walls: 5 (Flat; Smallest)

Night School: 5 (Flat; Smallest)

Smallfoot: 5 (Flat; Smallest)

 

Auditorium sizes for reference:

  Hide contents

 

XL: 300 (two screens are this size)

Biggest: 130 (two screens are this size)

Average: 100 (four screens are this size; one has five extra seats)

Smallest: 47 (four screens are this size)

 



 

 

The House with a Clock in Its Walls is gone.

 

Halloween: 14 (XL x2 and Average)

The Hate U Give: 5 (Average)

The Sisters Brothers: 5 (Average)

 

First Man: 5 (Down 5; Smallest)

Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween: 5 (Down 3; Average)

Smallfoot: 5 (Flat; Smallest)

A Star Is Born: 5 (Down 3; Biggest)

Venom: 5 (Down 7; Biggest)

Bad Times at the El Royale: 4 (Down 1; Smallest)

Night School: 4 (Down 1; Smallest)

 

Auditorium sizes for reference:

Spoiler

XL: 300 (two screens are this size)

Biggest: 130 (two screens are this size)

Average: 100 (four screens are this size; one has five extra seats)

Smallest: 47 (four screens are this size)

 

 

[dxmatrixdt]

strong #s for Halloween but I am cautious they are early preview related like Star/Born.

 

despite this wonderful news,

nothing has sucked as bad as the First Man floppage

 

[Mojoguy]

Why do I get the feeling that you guys would say Insidious: The Last Key numbers would be bad for Halloween?

[WrathOfHan]

4 minutes ago, Mojoguy said:

Why do I get the feeling that you guys would say Insidious: The Last Key numbers would be bad for Halloween?

Because they would be.

[Amorphous]

Yeah, domestically The Last Key numbers would absolutely be horrible. 

[Boxofficerules]

22 minutes ago, Amorphous said:

Yeah, domestically The Last Key numbers would absolutely be horrible. 

Why? Both movies had the same budget? Are you saying The Last Keys Numbers where bad?

[Eric Duncan]

I mean yeah, in a vacuum Insidious 4 numbers would be fine for Halloween...but considering the tracking, buzz, and presales, it would be a huge downgrade and a major disappointment.

[Amorphous]

8 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

Why? Both movies had the same budget? Are you saying The Last Keys Numbers where bad?

Absolutely not, but Insidious is nowhere near the name brand that HALLOWEEN is, nor does it have a huge star like JLC in the front lead.

 

It'd be incredibly disappointing if it only managed to do $67m domestically overall. 

[Barnack]

7 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

Why? Both movies had the same budget? Are you saying The Last Keys Numbers where bad?

Last Key didn't had many people working on scale in exchange of future potential profit share to get down to that budget and was not tracking to open 50m+ the week of it's release.

 

A movie tracking at 50m opening under 30m that would be horrible (outside some massive current outage of something to explain it)

[Neucentro]

10 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

Why? Both movies had the same budget? Are you saying The Last Keys Numbers where bad?

Universal probably has spent way more on Halloween in marketing.