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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

By grim22, in Numbers and Data

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Posted by Porthos,

Really depends on what you're looking for, but usually the most important takeaway for just a casual glance is the comp.  More on that in a bit.   But even that is highly dependent on a movie being either in a similar genre or having a similar pre-sale pattern as folks will buy tickets at different times during a pre-sale window thanks to a very long list of factors.   Add in that movies will have different promotional schedules during their pre-sales (review embargoes, TV ca
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Posted by Cap,

MODERATION:   Hi, everyone. It’s 6 o’clock in the morning. I have not gone to bed yet. And I am tired. And I know it’s going to be a very long weekend. Here is the new rule.   This thread is for numbers and data. Please post your theater updates. Please post your comparable data. And please talk about that comparable data here.    If you wish to do a deep dive on why you think that data might or might not suck, then take it to the respective thread of the movie in ques
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charlie Jatinder Global Phenomenon

charlie Jatinder

Posted
Posted
15 minutes ago, captainwondyful said:

Toy Story 4

Thursday Previews

 

June 20, 2019 - Thursday Previews - Final Sales
Movie Sold Total %
Lincoln Square 13
Toy Story 4 1273 3120 40.80%
Southern Maine Cinemagic
Toy Story 4 558 2434 22.92%

 

Yeah, that's right.  558 at Cinemagic as the Final.  436 Tickets on Thursday.

 

33ynse.jpg&key=88ba48e36612599ed9e7f427e

 

 

Thursday Comps
Movie Sold % Est
Lincoln Square 13
Toy Story 4 1273 -- --
Endgame 5259 24.20% 14.5M
Aladdin 836 152.27% 10.65M
Godzilla 1102 115.51% 7.27M
Dark Phoenix 1383 92.04% 4.60M
Thorykie AU 653 194.94% 6.04M
Southern Maine Cinemagic
Toy Story 4 558 -- --
Endgame 2113 26.40% 15.8M
Aladdin 121 461.15% 32.28M
Godzilla 201 277.61% 17.48M
Dark Phoenix 99 563.63% 28.18M
Thorykie AU 109 511.92% 15.86M

 

:hahaha::hahaha::hahaha:

Ladies and gents we have winner. TS4 will have 4.6-32.28 previews.

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Cap Summer Tentpole

Cap

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Ladies and gents we have winner. TS4 will have 4.6-32.28 previews.

It's gonna come in at 32.28M cause everyone's walking up using Atom and MovieTickets.com

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Porthos Global Phenomenon

Porthos

Posted
Posted

Far From Home Greater Sacramento Area MIDNIGHT SCREENINGS Seat Report: T-11 Days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

17

2333

2796

16.56%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:                      15

 

Comp against Crimes of Grindelwand Tuesday Limited Engagement Sneaks:

 

0.8956x times as many tickets sold as FB2's sneaks 11 days before their showings.

 

T-11 days:

FB2 sneaks       0 tickets sold  [0 sellouts/6 showings   | 882/1399 seats left  |  36.95% sold]

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Porthos Global Phenomenon

Porthos

Posted
Posted
23 hours ago, Porthos said: 

Fandango Sales Past 24 Hours
Since: 2019-06-19 00:00:00 (US/Central - Chicago)

RANK	PERCENT	TICKETS	MOVIE
1	37.192%	24706	Toy Story 4 [combined]
2	09.741%	6471	The Secret Life of Pets 2
3	08.692%	5774	Aladdin (2019) [combined]
4	06.884%	4573	Men in Black International
5	04.445%	2953	Rocketman
6       03.924% 2606    Spider-Man Far From Home (2019) [combined] 
7	03.402%	2260	Dark Phoenix
8	03.249%	2158	Godzilla King of the Monsters (2019)
9	03.193%	2121	Childs Play (2019)
10	03.182%	2114	John Wick Chapter 3 – Parabellum
Fandango Sales Past 24 Hours
Since: 2019-06-20 00:00:00 (US/Central - Chicago)

RANK	PERCENT	TICKETS	MOVIE
1	55.411%	38889	Toy Story 4 [combined]
2	07.009%	4919	Childs Play (2019)
3	06.304%	4424	The Secret Life of Pets 2
4	05.680%	3986	Aladdin (2019) [combined]
5	04.132%	2900	Men in Black International [combined]
6       03.038% 2132    Spider-Man Far From Home (2019) 
7	02.965%	2081	Rocketman
8	01.862%	1307	John Wick Chapter 3 – Parabellum
9	01.804%	1266	Godzilla King of the Monsters (2019)
10	01.717%	1205	Dark Phoenix
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keysersoze123 Global Phenomenon

keysersoze123

Posted
Posted

Toy Story finished just under 39K. still sticking with 15m previews.

 

@Menor Spidey dropped today to 2132 ( if 10PM PST is final).

  

RANK	PERCENT	TICKETS	MOVIE
1	55.100%	38671	Toy Story 4
2	07.009%	4919	Childs Play (2019)
3	06.304%	4424	The Secret Life of Pets 2
4	05.567%	3907	Aladdin (2019)
5	04.027%	2826	Men in Black International
6	02.965%	2081	Rocketman
7	02.578%	1809	Spider-Man Far From Home (2019)
8	01.862%	1307	John Wick Chapter 3 – Parabellum
9	01.804%	1266	Godzilla King of the Monsters (2019)
10	01.717%	1205	Dark Phoenix
11	01.428%	1002	Late Night (2019)
12	01.369%	961	Anna (2019)
13	01.299%	912	Avengers Endgame (2019)
14	01.274%	894	Shaft (2019)
15	00.623%	437	The Dead Dont Die
16	00.503%	353	Ma (2019)
17	00.429%	301	DCI 2019 Tour Premiere
18	00.422%	296	Spider-Man Far From Home  (2019)
19	00.349%	245	Pokémon Detective Pikachu
20	00.315%	221	Annabelle Comes Home
21	00.301%	211	Toy Story 4 Opening Night Fan Event
22	00.282%	198	Booksmart
23	00.256%	180	Kabir Singh
24	00.192%	135	Yesterday (2019)
25	00.192%	135	The Last Black Man in San Francisco
26	00.145%	102	Pavarotti (2019)
27	00.113%	79	Aladdin
28	00.105%	74	Men in Black International –
29	00.098%	69	RUSH Cinema Strangiato 2019
30	00.080%	56	Kinky Boots the Musical
31	00.077%	54	Midsommar
32	00.071%	50	Shadaa
33	00.054%	38	Echo in the Canyon
34	00.044%	31	Forrest Gump 25th Anniversary
35	00.038%	27	Spider-Man Far From Home --
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Legion Again Global Phenomenon

Legion Again

Posted
Posted (edited)
50 minutes ago, Menor said:

Will finish at 39k or so on Pulse. Probably about $12m in previews

https://deadline.com/2019/06/toy-story-4-opening-weekend-box-office-childs-play-1202635964/

 

Quote

‘Toy Story 4’ Seeing Second-Best Preview Night For Animated Pic With Around $12M – Early Look

Usual disclaimer that 12M from Deadline at this hour means like, 10-16. Just funny.

Edited by Thanos Legion
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Neucentro Indie Sensation

Neucentro

Posted
Posted

Assuming TS4 will finish the night with 40,000 tickets sold for previews, comparing that to:

 

Lego Movie 2 - 7,566 ($2.1m previews)

How to Train Your Dragon 3 - 13,982 ($3m)

 

will generate $12.2m and $9.4m respectively accounting for PLF price (+10%).

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UserHN Box Office Gold

UserHN

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, MovieMan89 said:

They are never wrong. 

I don't know if this is sarcastic or what. Because I somewhat recall that there were times when Deadline had been wrong in their midnight previews.

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a2k Global Phenomenon

a2k

Posted
Posted

Deadline had gotten SMH previews very wrong. Early previews were projected close to 10m. But many times they have been spot on. With TS4 I think it's the earliest they have given out a number and don't think it can that accurate for a walkup friendly movie? 14-15m wouldn't surprise me.

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