The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[dxmatrixdt]

19 - Last Christmas

18 - Midway

15 - Doctor Sleep

14 - Terminator - 51

 9 - Joker - 313

 7 - Maleficent/Playing with Fire - 95

 7 - Harriet - 22

 5 - Addams Family - 91

 5 - Zombieland - 66

 

next weekend:

14 - Last Christmas

14 - Ford v Ferarri

14 - Charlie's Angels

11 - Midway

 7 - Doctor Sleep

 6 - Terminator

 5 - Joker

 

what's a rump roast?

 

Edited November 2, 2019 by belligerent talking robot

[FlashMaster659]

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Inland Empire Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-48 Days

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Seats Left	Perct Sold
TOTALS	2	253	11891	52004	40113	22.87%

 

Total Sellouts Added Today: 1

Total Seats Sold Today: 79

Edited November 2, 2019 by FlashMaster659

[Ronin46]

What a poor result for Terminator. 

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

The Rise of Skywalker Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

1511

3153

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

1565

3926

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
7260	33	22870	31.74%	9	182

The Rise of Skywalker Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

1520

3153

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

1569

3926

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
7318	58	22870	32.00%	9	182

 

Over 96% of The Lion King

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Doctor Sleep Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

33

346

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

11

329

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 2 DAYS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
82	14	3399	2.41%	8	21

 

Adjusted Zombieland 2 comp: 1.65M

Adjusted Gemini Man comp: 1.56M

Adjusted Terminator comp: 1.66M

IT 2 comp: 687K

Doctor Sleep Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

36

346

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

14

329

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
94	12	3399	2.77%	8	21

 

Adjusted Zombieland 2 comp: 1.68M

Adjusted Gemini Man comp: 1.47M

Adjusted Terminator comp: 1.61M

IT 2 comp: 715K

[keysersoze123]

Neither Sleep nor Midway seem interesting to track. Hopefully F2 explodes so that we have something interesting to track besides SW9. I wonder why Marvel did not release a move this November.

 

SW9

AMC Prev - 262033/839679 $3918895.87 (5012 shows)
AMC OD -   156538/1074545 $2511942.32 (5251 shows)

Cin Prev -  162425/435603 $2100521.00 (2922 shows)

Cin OD - 106209/705629 $1231128 11/2 (4294 shows)
 

Obviously slowed down but OD sales are continuing to pace faster than Previews at this point. Show count increase is also happening slowly. I am missing lots of sellouts at AMC and I would say actual number is at least 5-10% higher for previews 1-2% for OD.

[Eric Duncan]

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-47 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	164	8,018	28,790	27.85%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 49

 

[keysersoze123]

On 11/1/2019 at 2:48 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Midway (T-6)
AMC - 954/39766 304 shows
Cin - 812/63283 498 shows

 

On 11/1/2019 at 3:21 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Doctor Sleep T-6

 

AMC - 3325/78518 $43737.16 (442 shows)
Cin - 1325/84503 $14588 (508 shows)

Wanted to look at week after next releases and compare to next week releases.

 

Charlie's Angels

AMC - 738/131840 $8539 (685 shows)

Cin - 779/106733 $9723 (735 shows)

 

Ford vs Ferrari (T-12) Previews

AMC - 1844/90220 $28053 (485 shows)

Cin -  1410/83721 $17557 (514 shows)

 

Ford vs Ferrari is doing much better with fewer shows. May be BO.com tracking could come true for this. Charlies angels definitely is bombing. Female driven movies should otherwise have good PS. This is really bad.

[Eric Duncan]

19 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

 

Wanted to look at week after next releases and compare to next week releases.

 

Charlie's Angels

AMC - 738/131840 $8539 (685 shows)

Cin - 779/106733 $9723 (735 shows)

 

Ford vs Ferrari (T-12) Previews

AMC - 1844/90220 $28053 (485 shows)

Cin -  1410/83721 $17557 (514 shows)

 

Ford vs Ferrari is doing much better with fewer shows. May be BO.com tracking could come true for this. Charlies angels definitely is bombing. Female driven movies should otherwise have good PS. This is really bad.

I was looking at the numbers for the next couple week's releases here in Philly, and this is about right. FvF, at least at a cursory glance, looked like it sold about the same as Doctor Sleep, and it still has an extra week to go, while Charlie's Angels sales are really soft.

[filmlover]

2 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Neither Sleep nor Midway seem interesting to track. Hopefully F2 explodes so that we have something interesting to track besides SW9. I wonder why Marvel did not release a move this November.

They already put out two (well, three, if we want to count Sony-released Spider-Man) massive movies of the year, including their magnum opus (Endgame). No doubt they wanted the dust to settle for a bit before putting out a new movie, which isn't until May.

 

This November seemed promising on paper overall but it looks like everything really is shaping up for Frozen Domination. TBH I haven't sensed much in the way of any buzz for Doctor Sleep and wouldn't be surprised if it underperformed.

[Porthos]

The Rise of Skywalker Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-47 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	2	193	12067	23249	11182	48.10%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

87

 

T-47 Adjusted Comp (EXTREMELY LOL - DON'T USE FOR MUCH OF ANYTHING)

	%		Sold T-47	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
CM	444.55		36	2404		0/81	8204/10608	22.66%		92.02m
TROS (adj)	n/a		73	10687		2/193	11300/21987	48.61%		n/a

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TROS (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for Captain Marvel.

[Porthos]

@grim22 

 

I can't access the first version of the Tracking thread anymore. Did it get shuffled away somewhere in the latest forum re-organization?  Or did you folks hide it again from prying eyes? 

 

No pressing reason tonight, but I just happened to notice I couldn't click on it anymore.  Will be useful in the future though so I thought I'd ask now.

[FlashMaster659]

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Inland Empire Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-47 Days

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Seats Left	Perct Sold
TOTALS	2	253	12017	52004	39987	23.11%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 126

[TLK]

4 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

 

Wanted to look at week after next releases and compare to next week releases.

 

Charlie's Angels

AMC - 738/131840 $8539 (685 shows)

Cin - 779/106733 $9723 (735 shows)

 

Ford vs Ferrari (T-12) Previews

AMC - 1844/90220 $28053 (485 shows)

Cin -  1410/83721 $17557 (514 shows)

 

Ford vs Ferrari is doing much better with fewer shows. May be BO.com tracking could come true for this. Charlies angels definitely is bombing. Female driven movies should otherwise have good PS. This is really bad.

 

Charlie's Angels is also doing limited previews on Wednesday. If these numbers include both Wednesday and Thursday numbers then it is in a pretty bad shape.

[Porthos]

3 hours ago, Porthos said:

The Rise of Skywalker Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-47 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	2	193	12067	23249	11182	48.10%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

87

 

T-47 Adjusted Comp (EXTREMELY LOL - DON'T USE FOR MUCH OF ANYTHING)

	%		Sold T-47	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
CM	444.55		36	2404		0/81	8204/10608	22.66%		92.02m
TROS (adj)	n/a		73	10687		2/193	11300/21987	48.61%		n/a

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TROS (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for Captain Marvel.

 

Since this doesn't have any good comps at the moment, I decided to take a page out of the Endgame playbook and estimate how much moola TROS has grossed so far by checking the current tickets sold against the final tickets sold at stop of tracking (adjusting when needed.

 

Good news!  Except for a very obvious outlier (Joker, which massively underperformed locally), they're all more or less in broad agreement.  Enough so that tonight I'm gonna debut...

 

Estimated TROS Gross So Far:

	%		Final Sold		TROS Sold		Comp
IW	63.03		15159		9554		24.58m
DP2	117.47		8133		9554		21.85m
Solo	165.04		5789		9554		23.27m
JW:FK	153.40		6228		9554		23.47m
AM&tW	207.47		4605		9554		23.86m
Venom	220.52		4493		9908		22.05m
CM	101.27		10553		10687		20.96m
EG	40.09		26655		10687		24.06m
TLK	97.36		10977		10687		22.39m
It 2	197.60		5659		11182		20.75m
AVG							22.72m

NOTE: FINAL SOLD is the amount of tickets sold at stop of tracking for the given movie and TROS SOLD is the amount of tickets sold so far at the same theaters I had tracking info for the movie in question.

 

====

 

A little concerned it might be a bit high due to Infinity War and Endgame pulling up the average.  On the other hand, Captain Marvel and It 2 are really pulling down the average, so it might be a bit of a wash.

 

My criteria here were four quad movies that did 10m or more in previews.  Was a little iffy on throwing in It 2, but I'm glad I did as it's counter-balancing IW and EG to a degree.  I didn't include TS4 as that had too many kids tickets bought in my opinion.  

 

For the record, Joker came in at a ludicrous 27m comp.  That's getting thrown right out.  Out of curiosity, I just checked TS4 and that's at an equally ludicrous comp in the other direction at 19.1m.  So TS4 is also definitely out.

 

If I take out the current outliers in both directions (IW, EG, CM, and It 2), I get 23.42m.  That seems a bit high given other tracking. 

 

So I'm going to roll with this for a while and see how it goes, but let's say an estimated 22m to 23m in Thr sales so far.

[john2000]

58 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

Since this doesn't have any good comps at the moment, I decided to take a page out of the Endgame playbook and estimate how much moola TROS has grossed so far by checking the current tickets sold against the final tickets sold at stop of tracking (adjusting when needed.

 

Good news!  Except for a very obvious outlier (Joker, which massively underperformed locally), they're all more or less in broad agreement.  Enough so that tonight I'm gonna debut...

 

Estimated TROS Gross So Far:

	%		Final Sold		TROS Sold		Comp
IW	63.03		15159		9554		24.58m
DP2	117.47		8133		9554		21.85m
Solo	165.04		5789		9554		23.27m
JW:FK	153.40		6228		9554		23.47m
AM&tW	207.47		4605		9554		23.86m
Venom	220.52		4493		9908		22.05m
CM	101.27		10553		10687		20.96m
EG	40.09		26655		10687		24.06m
TLK	97.36		10977		10687		22.39m
It 2	197.60		5659		11182		20.75m
AVG							22.72m

NOTE: FINAL SOLD is the amount of tickets sold at stop of tracking for the given movie and TROS SOLD is the amount of tickets sold so far at the same theaters I had tracking info for the movie in question.

 

====

 

A little concerned it might be a bit high due to Infinity War and Endgame pulling up the average.  On the other hand, Captain Marvel and It 2 are really pulling down the average, so it might be a bit of a wash.

 

My criteria here were four quad movies that did 10m or more in previews.  Was a little iffy on throwing in It 2, but I'm glad I did as it's counter-balancing IW and EG to a degree.  I didn't include TS4 as that had too many kids tickets bought in my opinion.  

 

For the record, Joker came in at a ludicrous 27m comp.  That's getting thrown right out.  Out of curiosity, I just checked TS4 and that's at an equally ludicrous comp in the other direction at 19.1m.  So TS4 is also definitely out.

 

If I take out the current outliers in both directions (IW, EG, CM, and It 2), I get 23.42m.  That seems a bit high given other tracking. 

 

So I'm going to roll with this for a while and see how it goes, but let's say an estimated 22m to 23m in Thr sales so far.

do we have any idea , about how thats compared to  ep 7.8

[Menor the Destroyer]

3 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Since this doesn't have any good comps at the moment, I decided to take a page out of the Endgame playbook and estimate how much moola TROS has grossed so far by checking the current tickets sold against the final tickets sold at stop of tracking (adjusting when needed.

 

Good news!  Except for a very obvious outlier (Joker, which massively underperformed locally), they're all more or less in broad agreement.  Enough so that tonight I'm gonna debut...

 

Estimated TROS Gross So Far:

	%		Final Sold		TROS Sold		Comp
IW	63.03		15159		9554		24.58m
DP2	117.47		8133		9554		21.85m
Solo	165.04		5789		9554		23.27m
JW:FK	153.40		6228		9554		23.47m
AM&tW	207.47		4605		9554		23.86m
Venom	220.52		4493		9908		22.05m
CM	101.27		10553		10687		20.96m
EG	40.09		26655		10687		24.06m
TLK	97.36		10977		10687		22.39m
It 2	197.60		5659		11182		20.75m
AVG							22.72m

NOTE: FINAL SOLD is the amount of tickets sold at stop of tracking for the given movie and TROS SOLD is the amount of tickets sold so far at the same theaters I had tracking info for the movie in question.

 

====

 

A little concerned it might be a bit high due to Infinity War and Endgame pulling up the average.  On the other hand, Captain Marvel and It 2 are really pulling down the average, so it might be a bit of a wash.

 

My criteria here were four quad movies that did 10m or more in previews.  Was a little iffy on throwing in It 2, but I'm glad I did as it's counter-balancing IW and EG to a degree.  I didn't include TS4 as that had too many kids tickets bought in my opinion.  

 

For the record, Joker came in at a ludicrous 27m comp.  That's getting thrown right out.  Out of curiosity, I just checked TS4 and that's at an equally ludicrous comp in the other direction at 19.1m.  So TS4 is also definitely out.

 

If I take out the current outliers in both directions (IW, EG, CM, and It 2), I get 23.42m.  That seems a bit high given other tracking. 

 

So I'm going to roll with this for a while and see how it goes, but let's say an estimated 22m to 23m in Thr sales so far. 

One thing though is that there are tickets bought after your final check. So this method would tend to slightly overestimate.

[a2k]

14 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Doctor Sleep Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

36

346

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

14

329

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
94	12	3399	2.77%	8	21

 

Adjusted Zombieland 2 comp: 1.68M

Adjusted Gemini Man comp: 1.47M

Adjusted Terminator comp: 1.61M

IT 2 comp: 715K

looks good for low-20s ow so far. i think it will ramp up. 1.75m previews and mid-high 20s ow would be great.

[respmw]

When it’s closer to its release (like 2 days before), I’d be really thankful if someone could post how Last Christmas is doing. Not sure if it’s worth to check this now, since it’s not a big movie and tickets just went on sale last friday.

[rihrey]