The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Eric Duncan]

House of Gucci Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	21	366	4000	9.15%

 

Comp

1.743x of Dear Evan Hansen T-1 (1.39M)

0.559x of Newark Wednesday Before Release (1.17M)

0.159x of No Time to Die T-1 (1M)

6.000x of The Last Duel T-1 (2.1M)

 

It's a bit all over the place in terms of comps, though part of it is just how dire the year has been for adult-oriented titles. Knives Out's IM for the 5-Day would translate to 25x, though it also had early access screenings. Queen and Slim meanwhile...didn't have previews at all. Yeah, this is hard to extrapolate, but the higher comps make me hopeful, and it would ensure the best opening for an adult-oriented title this year, even though I still think Lady Gaga is helping to broaden the appeal to 18-34s.

[Eric Duncan]

Resident Evil: Welcome to Raccoon City Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	49	313	6302	4.97%

Comp

1.223x of Escape Room 2 T-1 (1.47M)

1.190x of Old T-1 (1.78M)

1.054x of Don't Breathe 2 T-1 (1.02M)

 

Huh. So the two theaters that are having Early Access shows for tonight (I actually didn't know this movie was getting it until tonight actually) make up about 22% of the sales, which is sizable, but not too bad. However, I feel like this could just simply be a case of Resi Evil fanboys getting to the first screenings as fast as possible rather than any strong interest. Still, it is a contrast to the mass concerns and predictions of floppage we had earlier today, though not that big a contrast.

[filmlover]

Also tickets just went on sale for The King's Man which will be having early screenings at Cinemarks on December 9 as a double feature with The Game Awards.

 

The Game Awards The King's Man Early Screening Movie Tickets (cinemark.com)

Edited November 23, 2021 by filmlover

[Eric Duncan]

On 11/21/2021 at 11:05 PM, Eric Madrigal said:

Sing 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-31 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	50	437	9642	4.53%

Total Seats Sold Today: 105

 

Important to recognize here that all the sales for today are for the Early Access shows this coming Saturday. Which hey, at least indicates that people are eager to check it out I guess.

Sing 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-30 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	50	528	9642	5.48%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 91

[Rorschach]

Encanto (Monday Night Outlook)

Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX

Tuesday:

6:00 P.M.: 16/78

7:15 P.M.: 0/67

7:30 P.M.: 10/85

8:55 P.M.: 0/78

10:10 P.M.: 0/67

10:25 P.M.: 0/85

Total Sold: 26/460 (5.65% sold)

 

Comps:

Jungle Cruise: $1.17 mil

Free Guy: $1.51 mil

Addams Family 2: $1.19 mil

Average: $1.29 mil

 

Wednesday:

3D showings: 4/141

11:45 A.M.: 4/141

2D showings: 83/1,366

10:15 A.M.: 14/135

11:15 A.M.: 0/67

1:15 P.M.: 15/135

2:15 P.M.: 0/67

2:45 P.M.: 9/141

4:15 P.M.: 14/135

5:15 P.M.: 4/67

5:45 P.M.: 12/141

7:15 P.M.: 12/135

8:15 P.M.: 0/67

8:45 P.M.: 3/141

10:15 P.M.: 0/135

Total Sold: 87/1,507 (5.77% sold)

 

Tues + Wed: 113/1,967 (5.74% sold)

 

Comps:

Jungle Cruise: $7.84 mil

Free Guy: $11.69 mil

Addams Family 2: $8.83 mil

Average: $9.45 mil

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

House of Gucci (Monday Night Outlook)

Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX

Tuesday:

7:00 P.M.: 25/94

10:45 P.M.: 12/94

Total Sold: 37/188 (19.7% sold)

 

Comps:

Dear Evan Hansen: $955k

No Time to Die: $1.68 mil

Average: $1.32 mil

 

Wednesday:

11:10 A.M.: 2/94

2:55 P.M.: 5/94

6:40 P.M.: 15/94

10:25 P.M.: 0/94

Total Sold: 22/376 (5.85% sold)

 

Tues + Wed: 59/564 (10.5% sold)

 

Comps:

Stillwater: $3.77 mil

Respect: $7.11 mil

Dear Evan Hansen: $2.33 mil

The Many Saints of Newark: $3.44 mil

No Time to Die: $3.64 mil

The Last Duel: $5.02 mil

Average: $4.22 mil

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Resident Evil: Welcome to Raccoon City (Monday Night Outlook)

Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX

Tuesday: 

3:00 P.M.:  5/85

6:00 P.M.: 18/85

9:00 P.M.: 5/85

Total Sold: 28/255 (10.98% sold)

 

Comps:

Don’t Breathe 2: $1.93 mil

Candyman: $1.83 mil

Average: $1.88 mil

 

Wednesday:

10:30 A.M.: 7/94

1:30 P.M.: 2/94

4:30 P.M.: 0/94

7:30 P.M.: 9/94

10:30 P.M.: 3/94

Total Sold: 21/470 (4.47% sold)

 

Tues + Wed: 49/725 (6.76% sold)

 

Comps:

Don’t Breathe 2: $5.25 mil

Candyman: $6.74 mil

Average: $6 mil

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Don't have too much to offer for commentary this week. I hope everyone here has a great Thanksgiving week!

[charlie Jatinder]

Can confirm that UTAH gets really excited to watch movies during Thanksgiving. 

[ando]

I feel like House of Gucci will perform well this Thanksgiving weekend. 25m+ 5 day. Gaga is a draw for the to younger crowd for sure. 

[katnisscinnaplex]

6 hours ago, Eric Madrigal said:

(I actually didn't know this movie was getting it until tonight actually)

😒

[katnisscinnaplex]

23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

Day	Movie	Area	Theaters	Shows	Total Seats	Total Sold	New Sales	% Sold
T-1	Encanto (Tue)	Jacksonville	6	25	3,736	72	20	1.93%
		Phoenix	7	27	2,943	101	18	3.43%
		Raleigh	8	16	1,703	137	30	8.04%
	Encanto (Tue) Total		21	68	8,382	310	68	3.70%
	House of Gucci (Tue)	Jacksonville	6	14	2,410	84	5	3.49%
		Phoenix	7	10	1,160	161	24	13.88%
		Raleigh	7	8	1,035	118	27	11.40%
	House of Gucci (Tue) Total		20	32	4,605	363	56	7.88%
	Resident Evil (Tue)	Jacksonville	6	24	2,629	68	14	2.59%
		Phoenix	7	21	2,280	68	15	2.98%
		Raleigh	7	17	1,660	48	16	2.89%
	Resident Evil (Tue) Total		20	62	6,569	184	45	2.80%
T-5	Sing 2 (11/27)	Jacksonville	3	3	295	102	30	34.58%
		Phoenix	5	5	764	150	61	19.63%
		Raleigh	5	5	639	233	66	36.46%
	Sing 2 (11/27) Total		13	13	1,698	485	157	28.56%

 

House of Gucci comps

Stillwater - 3.457x (968k)

Respect - 3.457x (2.25m)

Evan Hansen - 2.5x (2m)

 

Encanto comps

Boss Baby 2 - 1.77x (2.32m)

Paw Patrol - .399x (1.81m)

 

Resident Evil comp

Candyman - .63x (1.19m)

 

After a really good Saturday for Gucci, it's right back where it was before that now.  That's how it goes comping Tues previews to Thurs previews.  I'm thinking around 2m for Encanto and Gucci previews (Gucci may be higher depending on where the sneaks are included).  Resident Evil has been declining consistently against the Candyman comp so I'd hope for 1m at this point.

 

The most surprising thing today is that Sing dominated sales yesterday.  It makes me wonder if sales for next weekend shows did better than Tuesday in general.  If I have time today or tomorrow I may take a look at the openers Wednesday and Thursday sales.  Sing 2 early access has surpassed Space Jam Friday T-5 sales 485 to 458 at this point, but not too much room for growth with only 13 showings.

 

*House of Gucci and Resident Evil both have early access screenings - the comps do not include those

Day	Movie	Area	Theaters	Shows	Total Seats	Total Sold	New Sales	% Sold
T-0	Encanto (Tue)	Jacksonville	6	27	3,866	98	26	2.53%
		Phoenix	7	28	2,992	142	41	4.75%
		Raleigh	8	16	1,703	212	75	12.45%
	Encanto (Tue) Total		21	71	8,561	452	142	5.28%
	House of Gucci (Tue)	Jacksonville	6	15	2,498	101	17	4.04%
		Phoenix	7	11	1,484	207	46	13.95%
		Raleigh	7	9	1,087	146	28	13.43%
	House of Gucci (Tue) Total		20	35	5,069	454	91	8.96%
	Resident Evil (Tue)	Jacksonville	6	26	2,780	108	40	3.88%
		Phoenix	7	22	2,329	113	45	4.85%
		Raleigh	7	17	1,721	83	35	4.82%
	Resident Evil (Tue) Total		20	65	6,830	304	120	4.45%
T-4	Sing 2 (11/27)	Jacksonville	3	3	295	119	17	40.34%
		Phoenix	5	5	764	172	22	22.51%
		Raleigh	5	5	639	270	37	42.25%
	Sing 2 (11/27) Total		13	13	1,698	561	76	33.04%

 

House of Gucci comps

Stillwater - 3.027x (847k)

Respect - 3.027x (1.97m)

Evan Hansen - 2.33x (1.86m)

King Richard - .73x (1.41m)

 

Encanto comps

Boss Baby 2 - 1.75x (2.29m)

Paw Patrol - .322x (1.46m)

 

Resident Evil comp

Candyman - .59x (1.12m)

Antlers - 2.58x (953k)

 

I'm going to drop my predictions a little for the first two.  I'd put Gucci in the 1.8m true previews, 2m with sneaks rolled in.  I'll go with 1.7m for Encanto and leave 1m for Resident Evil (including the few early shows).

 

*House of Gucci and Resident Evil both have early access screenings - the comps do not include those

[Tinalera]

Encanto

Toronto Ontario

Final Count for Tues Nov 23

18 Theatres

33 shows

 

Total Sold 507

Total remaining 5346

Total seats 5853

percentage 8.66

 

Will be doing friday numbers on Wednesday

 

 

 

[Krissykins]

Budgets:

House of Gucci $75m

Resident Evil $25m

 

5 day industry tracking:
Encanto $40m

House of Gucci $17-20m

Resident Evil $15-17m (Sony expecting $10m 5 day)

 

 

[filmlover]

$75M budget for House of Gucci makes sense between all the big names and the fact making a period piece doesn't come cheap.

[babz06]

Resident Evil is a bargain, they aint losing money on this with that budget. 

[DAJK]

In Canada, Gucci is killing it in Toronto/Vancouver regions, but less impressive in more rural areas and Quebec. To be expected I guess.

 

BC (Vancouver especially) is Canada’s strongest presale market for Encanto, which is surprising given the state of the region right now (I’m still having trouble finding certain groceries). If it weren’t for that, I’d say it would be even stronger here.

[katnisscinnaplex]

6 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

Day	Movie	Area	Theaters	Shows	Total Seats	Total Sold	New Sales	% Sold
T-0	Resident Evil (Tue)	Jacksonville	6	26	2,780	108	40	3.88%
		Phoenix	7	22	2,329	113	45	4.85%
		Raleigh	7	17	1,721	83	35	4.82%
	Resident Evil (Tue) Total		20	65	6,830	304	120	4.45%

 

Resident Evil comps

Candyman - .59x (1.12m)

Antlers - 2.58x (953k)

 

I'm going to drop my predictions a little for the first two.  I'd put Gucci in the 1.8m true previews, 2m with sneaks rolled in.  I'll go with 1.7m for Encanto and leave 1m for Resident Evil (including the few early shows).

 

*House of Gucci and Resident Evil both have early access screenings - the comps do not include those

 

Day	Movie	Area	Theaters	Shows	Total Seats	Total Sold	New Sales	% Sold
Late	Resident Evil (Tue)	Jacksonville	6	26	2,780	134	26	4.82%
		Phoenix	7	22	2,329	147	34	6.31%
		Raleigh	7	17	1,721	96	13	5.58%
	Resident Evil (Tue) Total		20	65	6,830	377	73	5.52%

 

T-1 hour comps

 

Resident Evil comps

Candyman - .405x (770k)

Antlers - 1.98x (734k)

 

Final prediction... 750k (800k with early shows)

[filmlover]

House of Gucci has added an 8:00 show near me after the 7:00 sold out in one of the bigger theaters and is filling up fast. Damn. 

[el sid]

House of Gucci, counted today at 11am EST for tomorrow:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 75 (4 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 91 (6 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 9 (2 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 16 (3 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 15 (4 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 180 (8 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 162 (7 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 548.

Up 32% since yesterday.
Comps (all counted on Thursday for Friday): Respect (2.95 M true Friday) had 247 sold tickets in 7 theaters (but had a better daily jump back then),

Stillwater (5.2M OW) had 72 sold tickets in 6 theaters
and Last Night in Soho (1.9M true Friday, couldn't find a preview number) had 283 sold tickets.
My comps are so uneven this year, it's a mess. E.g. with similar walk-ups as Respect House of Gucci wound have a ca. 6M Wednesday. The Soho comp is a bit lower, ca. 4M. So averagely around 5M.

Resident Evil, counted today at 11am EST for tomorrow:
 

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 80 (4 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 11 (3 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 13 (2 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): no showtimes
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 3 (4 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 39 (4 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 54 (5 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 6 theaters: 200.
 

Up 30.5% since yesterday, a rather small jump for a horror film.
Comps (all counted on Thursday for Friday): Halloween Kills (49.4M OW) had 1.575 sold tickets,

Crawl (12.0M OW) had 269 sold tickets

and Don't Breathe 2 (10.6M OW) had 293 sold tickets.
The presales in my theaters are still not really bad. All comps point to an OW just under 10M (if I simply compare the presales and the actual OW numbers). I just fear that the hardcore fans want to see it as soon as possible and therefore it looks better now than the whole Thanksgiving week(end) will be.

Edited November 23, 2021 by el sid

[Tinalera]

15 minutes ago, DAJK said:

In Canada, Gucci is killing it in Toronto/Vancouver regions, but less impressive in more rural areas and Quebec. To be expected I guess.

 

BC (Vancouver especially) is Canada’s strongest presale market for Encanto, which is surprising given the state of the region right now (I’m still having trouble finding certain groceries). If it weren’t for that, I’d say it would be even stronger here.

Gucci is doing pretty steady in Toronto-Ill have to get some updated numbers later, but seems there's appetite for it. Can see being one of those films that gets some fashion trends going-going back to 80-ish fashions I think will get some eyes. 

 

That is interesting-for all the flooding that happened over there in BC, people still want to get to theatres to see films. 

[Ronin46]

Deadline:  Encanto 35-40, GB 30-35, Gucci Mid teens to high teens, RE 8 -10 (other studio expect higher)

 

Disney will continue to embrace the theatrical window over the Thanksgiving stretch with the Jared Bush-Byron Howard-Charise Castro Smith directed Colombian-set animated musical Encanto which is looking to hook families with a $35M-$40M five day domestic start and another $35M+ overseas as the movie debuts day-and-date in all offshore territories except China, Australia, New Zealand, Philippines and Vietnam. Here in the U.S., Encanto showtimes begin tonight at 6PM

 

Sony’s Ghostbusters: Afterlife began easing those fears last weekend with a $44M start, a third of that business from families. The Jason Reitman-sequel in its second weekend looks to do an estimated $30M-$35M over five days, armed with the power of Imax auditoriums.

 

United Artist Releasing hopes to truly dynamite adults out of their houses with Ridley Scott’s all-star MGM drama thriller House of Gucci which is booked at 3,477 theaters, eyeing a mid-to-high teen opening over five days.

 

Sony-Screen Gems has the Constantin reboot of Resident Evil: Welcome to Raccoon City which goes back to the roots of the videogame. The genre movie based on the Capcom classic zombie video game is booked at 2,800 theaters, with Sony looking toward an $8M-$10M five-day start. Rival studios believe it has a good chance to land in the teens, the Johannes Roberts-directed movie currently 38% on Rotten Tomatoes. Previews for the $25M production start at 3 PM today in 2,320 locations. With the departure of Milla Jovovich as lead zombie shooter Alice, Kaya Scodelario takes up the guns as Claire Redfield.

[Ronin46]

Variety

Encanto 40

Gucci 17-20

RE 15-17

 

 

Though “Encanto” won’t come close to matching opening weekend ticket sales for Disney’s previous Thanksgiving releases, it’s expected to generate a sizable $40 million in its first five days in theaters.

 

Capturing a different, slightly more dysfunctional kind of family affair, “House of Gucci” is projected to make $17 million to $20 million between Wednesday and Sunday. It may be a close race, though “Gucci” should pull ahead of “Resident Evil,” which is targeting a debut around $15 million to $17 million over the extended holiday frame. Sony is predicting a smaller five-day start, closer to $10 million.