The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Krissykins]

5 hours ago, AJG said:

Resident Evil gives me “we we pre contractually obligated by Capcom to release this in cinemas” vibe.

I think it’s more of a “sorry about those last 6 films” vibe. 

[Fox20]

2 hours ago, Krissykins said:

I think it’s more of a “sorry about those last 6 films” vibe. 

By giving us one with the same qualiy but worse special effects?

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

The last 6 Resident Evil movies are awesome fun and very cinematic regardless of faithfulness to the series. 

[charlie Jatinder]

3 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

T-3 days Thursday(153 showings): 9214(+1904)/40367(+7009) in 15 theaters

What's up with these? These are some ridiculous numbers.

 

If they follow the normal trend here, would be equivalent of $40m+ Thu.

[Ronin46]

Just now, charlie Jatinder said:

What's up with these? These are some ridiculous numbers.

 

If they follow the normal trend here, would be equivalent of $40m+ Thu.

 

Are there any MTC 1 or 2 figures from anybody to confirm what the Thursday will be or is this just an anomaly?

[charlie Jatinder]

Just now, Ronin46 said:

 

Are there any MTC 1 or 2 figures from anybody to confirm what the Thursday will be or is this just an anomaly?

There gotta be some error or some special bookings.

[Menor the Destroyer]

8 minutes ago, Ronin46 said:

 

Are there any MTC 1 or 2 figures from anybody to confirm what the Thursday will be or is this just an anomaly?

Well the Drafthouse Thursday looks normal. Idk what's going on with Megaplex. But will run MTC2 Thurs to see. 

[YM!]

O/U $50m five day for Encanto? I need some good news.

[Legion Again]

20 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

What's up with these? These are some ridiculous numbers.

 

If they follow the normal trend here, would be equivalent of $40m+ Thu.

I guess Mormons just love to go to the theaters on Thanksgiving 😛    
 

Safe to say it will not follow normal trend, but still probably gonna be a huge mega overindex. I am skeptical of bugs as an explanation because the other days looks fairly within reason, but special bookings quite possibly?

[Legion Again]

8 minutes ago, YourMother said:

O/U $50m five day for Encanto? I need some good news.

Yes, O/U 50  

[Inceptionzq]

58 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

There gotta be some error or some special bookings.

I'm quite confident the sales are real. Just families in Utah going crazy. Look at these Cinemark numbers

 

	Thurs	Friday
Cinemark 16	422	244
Cinemark University	607	432
Cinemark Spanish Fork	369	294
Cinemark American Fork	727	500
Cinemark Draper	355	180
Cinemark Sandy Union	412	190
Cinemark 24 Jordan Landing	948	619
Century 16 Salt Lake	322	79
Cinemark Sugarhouse	167	98
Total	4329	2636

[charlie Jatinder]

20 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

I'm quite confident the sales are real. Just families in Utah going crazy. Look at these Cinemark numbers

 

	Thurs	Friday
Cinemark 16	422	244
Cinemark University	607	432
Cinemark Spanish Fork	369	294
Cinemark American Fork	727	500
Cinemark Draper	355	180
Cinemark Sandy Union	412	190
Cinemark 24 Jordan Landing	948	619
Century 16 Salt Lake	322	79
Cinemark Sugarhouse	167	98
Total	4329	2636

That shall deflate our prediction if it is overperforming in one key region, but @Menor did say that in general THU is less than WED, I suppose that may be before UTAH came up in his check.

[Menor the Destroyer]

On 11/21/2021 at 10:51 PM, Menor said:

Encanto MTC2

 

Tuesday:

 

Showtimes: 1084 (+3)

Seats Sold: 6904/149393 (+1524)

$ Sales: 83641 (+18111)

 

Comps:

 

Addams Family 2: 1.21 million

Jungle Cruise: 2.06 million

 

 

Wednesday:

 

Showtimes: 2413 (+4)

Seats Sold: 16640/367406 (+4168)

$ Sales: 158664 (+38220)

 

Comps:

 

Addams Family 2: 8.10 million

Jungle Cruise: 9.40 million

 

 

Seems..fine? Idk how good the Wed comps will be vs Fridays though. Btw the pace numbers (+4168, etc.) are from a run I took late yesterday night, was too tired to even post it. 

Tuesday:

 

Showtimes: 1383 (+299)

Seats Sold: 10193/176044 (+3289)

$ Sales: 122266 (+38525)

 

Comps:

Addams Family 2: 1.32 million

Jungle Cruise: 2.28 million

 

 

Wed:

 

Showtimes: 3034 (+621)

Seats Sold: 24008/16640 (+7368)

$ Sales: 226173 (+67509)

 

Addams Family 2: 8.26 million

Jungle Cruise: 9.88 million

 

Thu:

 

Showtimes: 3118

Seats Sold: 23441/440627 

$ Sales: 222623

 

Idk comps for Thanksgiving. 

 

 

Couple notes. There was a big show burst today, which inflates the comp jumps a bit, though I think it would've been a good day anyway. Also, re: Thanksgiving, it was on pace for 19-20k midway through the run, I think Utah gave it a big boost, maybe some other regions as well, haven't looked too closely. Anyway I think Thanksgiving Day will overindex in MTC2 though not as much as in Mega. 

 

[Ronin46]

Well I am not used to 5 day and Thanksgiving but will take a shot.

 

2M Previews

9M Wed

7M Thursday

12M Friday

12M Saturday

8M  Sunday

 

50M 5day

Edited November 23, 2021 by Ronin46

[filmlover]

Encanto and House of Gucci are equally strong for tomorrow night (although obviously the former will prevail over long weekend since it won't be as frontloaded, is playing on more screens, and is an hour shorter). The latter should at least hit high teens for the 5-day, if not $20M+.

[titanic2187]

What a big faceplam to all the family releases that went straight to PVOD SIMUTAENOUSLY. 

[filmlover]

The biggest opening for an adult drama in the COVID era is still Respect with just below $9M. Gucci should surpass that even over the 3-day portion with the sales it's having.

[Ronin46]

Just now, filmlover said:

The biggest opening for an adult drama in the COVID era is still Respect with just below $9M. Gucci should surpass that even over the 3-day portion with the sales it's having.

 

2M previews indicate a 15M 3day in normal time I would think for a normal weekend. Maybe thanksgiving changes that multiplier but 2M should be enough for a 20 to 25 5day if the preview number holds. Looking at the show count for previews its a lot less than Resident Evil so it should have a decent multiplier.  

[Eric Loves Rey]

On 11/21/2021 at 11:02 PM, Eric Madrigal said:

Encanto Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	41	232	6595	3.53%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 63

 

Comp

0.428x of Cruella's Thu+Fri T-2 (3.3M)

0.975x of Jungle Cruise T-2 (2.63M)

1.040x of Free Guy T-2 (2.29M)

 

Just about all these previews would be pretty good, though I don't know if it's just an overperformance or not. Crossing my fingers here of course.

Encanto Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	44	309	7222	4.28%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 3

Total Seats Added Today: 627

Total Seats Sold Today: 77

 

Comp

0.387x of Cruella's Thu+Fri T-1 (2.98M)

0.987x of Jungle Cruise T-1 (2.66M)

1.016x of Free Guy T-1 (2.24M)

 

Not really much else to say, it's in line with Coco/Moana numbers, and that's a good starting point. I don't have anything else to add to be frank.

[Porthos]

IMO one report was actually good enough.

 

But if we actually needed confirmation: