The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Cap]

9 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Sorry to Bother You did really poorly at my theater tonight and isn't looking much better for tomorrow. I'm worried it's going to flop hard because Annapurna expanded it too fast.

how hard?

[filmlover]

Just now, captainwondyful said:

how hard?

Really bad. It didn't even sell 20 seats tonight and has so far sold only 10 seats for all day tomorrow (I actually might be seeing it tomorrow night).

[BenedictL11]

13 hours ago, Valonqar said:

in that case, AM&TW could hold #1 with a really good hold. 

HT3 ain't opening under $40M.

[MattW]

Fandango says Skyscraper is outpacing Rampage at the same point in the sales cycle, but the fandango tracker says other wise for Mon-Tue-Wed.  The only way I can think of that makes that statement true is if it's doing better on Thursday than Rampage did on its Thurs before release, but obv its total presales are under Rampage's total.

[dxmatrixdt]

looking for these numbers...

2.5 Skyscraper

2.0 Hotel

Hotel - 11.7 + 14.5 + 11.7 = 38.0 + 2.0 = 40.0

Skyscraper - 9.0 + 10.4 + 8.1 = 27.5 + 2.5 = 30.0

Ant-Man - 8.4 + 11.5 + 9.1 = 29.0

[TwoMisfits]

Since I think they'll include the $1.2M from June previews for HT3, I can't see it coming in under $4M for Thursday...seemed too strong last night to be the normal extremely low animated numbers (and it opened at 5pm, giving it an extra showing)...

[dxmatrixdt]

6 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

Since I think they'll include the $1.2M from June previews for HT3, I can't see it coming in under $4M for Thursday...seemed too strong last night to be the normal extremely low animated numbers (and it opened at 5pm, giving it an extra showing)...

Maybe they will release a 3.0 Thursday number, and then wait a couple hours before they say if that included the extra 1.2.  

Edited July 13, 2018 by dVmatrix5xdU

[dxmatrixdt]

Movietickets.com top 5 online sellers as of 7:50a.m. east coast.  

#1 - Hotel Transylvania 3 - 31.1%

#2 - Ant-Man 2 - 19.4%

#3 - Incredibles 2 - 9.8%

#4 - Skyscraper - 9.0%

#5 - Jurassic World - 8.4% 

[YM!]

Thinking $3M for Skyscraper

Can’t find a good comp for HT3 but if it matches C3 it’s good for $50M+.

[The Fast and the Furiosa]

45 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

Since I think they'll include the $1.2M from June previews for HT3, I can't see it coming in under $4M for Thursday...seemed too strong last night to be the normal extremely low animated numbers (and it opened at 5pm, giving it an extra showing)...

Doubt it. Jumanji had the same amazon screenings and that number didn’t get looped into the preview 

Edited July 13, 2018 by The Fast and the Furiosa

[Valonqar]

9 hours ago, BenedictL11 said:

HT3 ain't opening under $40M.

I know. Wednesday drop crushed my dream already. 

[TwoMisfits]

3 hours ago, TwoMisfits said:

Since I think they'll include the $1.2M from June previews for HT3, I can't see it coming in under $4M for Thursday...seemed too strong last night to be the normal extremely low animated numbers (and it opened at 5pm, giving it an extra showing)...

Okay, it came in under $4M at $3.9M (with the preview included)...my gut seems good this month:)...

 

 

[JB33]

7 hours ago, 5xmatrixdu said:

looking for these numbers...

2.5 Skyscraper

2.0 Hotel

Hotel - 11.7 + 14.5 + 11.7 = 38.0 + 2.0 = 40.0

Skyscraper - 9.0 + 10.4 + 8.1 = 27.5 + 2.5 = 30.0

Ant-Man - 8.4 + 11.5 + 9.1 = 29.0

Really hoping AMatW somehow holds better than that, although I doubt it. The Wednesday number made sure of that.

[KeepItU25071906]

new longe range forecast from BO:

 

9/7/2018

The Nun

$40,000,000

NEW

$96,000,000

NEW

Warner Bros. / New Line

 

 

first forecast for A:C was 

 

8/11/2017

Annabelle: Creation

$23,000,000

NEW

$52,000,000

NEW

Warner Bros. / New Line

 

 

60 mln opening for Nun is coming 

Edited July 13, 2018 by KeepItU25071906

[dxmatrixdt]

are presales on Mamma Mia 2 suggesting something over 30 million OW?

[TalismanRing]

Fandango App	Monday	Tues	Wed	Thursday	Friday
In Theaters
AM&TW	22,029	20,708	17,374	14,819	14,117
Incredibles	7,924	8,470	6,999	6,191	5,326
JW:FK	7,304	7,830	6,556	5,549	5,406
July 13th
Hotel Trans 3	1,753	2,674	6,605	14.754	18,933
Skyscraper	586	1,019	2,868	7,134	10,061
July 20th
Mamma Mia 2	436	473	865	842	579
Equalizer	128	118	230	214	196
July 27th
MI6	286	271	313	498	356
Teen Titans			12	5	39
Aug 3rd
Christopher Robin	125	280	151	131	62

[Eric Loves Rey]

Was messing around on Fandango, and it seems like Equalizer 2's previews are acting somewhat like Ocean's 8, minus the AMC Dolby Wednesday shows. Regal previews start at 4PM, and AMC/other start at 7PM. 

[The Panda]

12 hours ago, 5xmatrixdu said:

are presales on Mamma Mia 2 suggesting something over 30 million OW?

I’m personally hoping for over 50m OW

[dxmatrixdt]

movietickets.com top 5 sellers at end of day.

 

1 - Hotel Transylvania 3 - 28.8%

2 - Ant-Man and the Wasp - 18.5%

3 - Incredibles 2 - 11.2%

4 - Skyscraper - 11.1%

5 - Jurassic World - 9.1%

[TalismanRing]

Fandango App	Monday	Tues	Wed
A Quiet Place	2,177	4,003	10,665
Blockers	504	1,106	2,931
Rampage	705	1,508	4,109
Truth Or Dare	385	760	2,133
Super Troopers	2,825	3,447	6,881
I Feel Pretty	871	1610	4,423
Avengers: Infinity War	49,836	54,892	68,826
Overboard	84	409	1,044
Breaking In	727	1204	2,899
Life Of The Party	587	1,310	3,010
Deadpool 2	23,134	28,896	41,212
Show Dogs	6	128	369
Book Club	836	1,599	3,283
SW: Solo	13,688	15,855	28,533
Action Point	17	48	197
Upgrade	9	119	522
Adrift	63	308	1,268
Oceans 8	3,009	4,372	11,114
Hereditary	659	1178	3,181
Hotel Artemis	26	166	520
Incredibles 2	20,872	23,430	39,337
Tag	314	660	1,448
Jurassic World 2	9,310	12,761	23,266
Sicario 2	788	1282	3,403
Uncle Drew	274	473	1,201
Antman & The Wasp	6,613	5,990	11,108
Purge (WED OD)	2,885	8,308
Hotel Transylvania 3	1,753	2,674	6,605
Skyscraper	586	1,019	2,868
Mamma Mia 2	4,427
Equalizer	1,418

 

 

MM2  - 47% ahead of Oceans 8 for Monday

Equalizer2 -   80% ahead of Sicario 2 

 

 

Fandango App	Monday
In Theaters
Hotel Trans 3	13,629
AM&TW	10,950
Skyscraper	5,928
Incredibles	5,517
JW:FK	5,037
July 20th
Mamma Mia 2	4,427
Equalizer	1,418
July 27th
MI6	632
Teen Titans	72
Aug 3rd
Christopher Robin	119

 

 

 

Edited July 17, 2018 by TalismanRing