5-Day Weekend Thread | Saturday #s (Asgard p.109) - Coco 17.7, Justice League 15.7, Wonder 8.3, Thor: Ragnarok 6.4, Daddy's Home 2 5.3

[The Panda]

10 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Yep.

That's what I figured, I just didn't want to go back and check rn.  Coco should be in for a really strong weekend then.

[fmpro]

3 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

@fmpro ha,ha, I'm so behind the news! Thanks!

 

Here you go

 

http://www.comingsoon.net/movies/news/904609-murder-on-the-orient-express-sequel-death-on-the-nile-is-happening#/slide/1

Edited November 24, 2017 by fmpro

[Finnick]

WONDER DOWN 34% From yesterday, TOTAL:$47.13M,

 

Edited November 24, 2017 by Finnick

[Valonqar]

5 minutes ago, fmpro said:

 

Here you go

 

http://www.comingsoon.net/movies/news/904609-murder-on-the-orient-express-sequel-death-on-the-nile-is-happening#/slide/1

Thank you! Sir Ken is on fire. Dunkirk and now he has his own franchise. Nile is going to be even bigger than OE. 

[a2k]

With 3.94 Thu, can see Wonder staying flat from it's 27.5 ow:

10.85 (+175%) + 10.3 (-5%) + 6.4 (-38%) = 27.5

[Rumpot]

 

I'll take this one guys - Roman J. Israel up 23.2%

[Brainiac5]

32 minutes ago, babz06 said:

 Nothing about it’s performance so far suggests better reception. Let’s wait and see the drops for the next weeks.

Multiplier

[Eric S'ennui]

http://deadline.com/2017/11/coco-justice-league-wonder-thanksgiving-box-office-1202213755/

 

Apologies if this has already been posted:

Quote

Moviegoers took a rest on Thanksgiving spending an estimated $35.1M on the top 20 films but their coming back in full force today on Black Friday, which is one of the more lucrative days at the B.O., shelling out north of $75M, a 114% climb. Disney/Pixar’s Coco is still faring better than the studios’ Good Dinosaur two years, but just a few steps behind last year’s Moana and mega hit Frozen which respectively posted $82M and $93.6M over their Thanksgiving five-day openings. Tonight, and even tomorrow’s matinees, will provide a better indicator of just how high this A+ CinemaScore film can go. Some think Coco has a show at $77M in five-days, but industry estimates currently point toward $74.8M by Sunday. 3-day now projected at $51M. Industry estimates have Coco at $20M-plus today. Yesterday, Coco rang up $9M, which again is better than Good Dinosaur‘s Thanksgiving ($6.5M), $900K shy of Moana ($9.9M) and $2M behind Frozen‘s ($11M) Thanksgiving.

 

Warner Bros./DC’s Justice League wasn’t that far behind Coco yesterday, making $8.5M which will yield a $42.2M 3-day, $61.3M 5-day, and running cume of $173M.  Figure around $17M for the Diana Prince, the Caped Crusader, Man of Steel and friends.

Lionsgate’s Wonder in third place made $3.9M which puts the Stephen Chbosky-directed title at $22.6M over FSS, -18%, and $32.7M over five.

 

3

 

[titanic2187]

TD	YD	Title (Click to View)	Studio	Daily Gross	% +/- YD / LW		Theaters / Avg		Gross To-Date	Day
1	1	Coco	BV	$8,931,000	-33%	-	3,987	$2,240	$22,173,000	2
2	2	Justice League	WB	$8,465,000	-19%	-	4,051	$2,090	$130,816,643	7
3	3	Wonder	LGF	$3,940,000	-34%	-	3,140	$1,255	$47,130,202	7
4	4	Thor: Ragnarok	BV	$3,477,000	-13%	+44%	3,281	$1,060	$260,677,394	21
5	6	Murder on the Orient Express (2017)	Fox	$3,035,000	+19%	+70%	3,214	$944	$61,216,517	14
6	5	Daddy's Home 2	Par.	$2,675,000	-1%	+130%	3,518	$760	$59,412,166	14
7	7	The Star	Sony	$1,000,000	-39%	-	2,837	$352	$15,155,988	7
8	11	Roman J. Israel, Esq.	Sony	$930,000	+23%	-	1,648	$564	$1,759,277	7
9	8	A Bad Moms Christmas	STX	$830,000	-13%	-17%	2,306	$360	$54,764,557	23
10	9	Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri	FoxS	$665,000	-16%	+2,537%	590	$1,127	$3,224,070	14
11	10	Lady Bird	A24	$573,319	-24%	+469%	741	$774	$6,661,088	21
12	12	The Man Who Invented Christmas	BST	$254,764	+29%	-	532	$479	$452,324	2
-	-	Tyler Perry's Boo 2! A Madea Halloween	LGF	$77,000	+114%	+48%	269	$286	$46,886,197	35
-	-	Jigsaw	LGF	$77,000	-16%	-49%	449	$171	$36,912,414	28
-	-	Last Flag Flying	LGF	$26,500	+5%	+197%	94	$282	$494,992	21
-	-	The Florida Project	A24	$24,895	-22%	-47%	167	$149	$4,444,815	49
-	-	Kingsman: The Golden Circle	Fox	$23,000	-8%	+1%	193	$119	$99,833,557	63
-	-	The Mountain Between Us	Fox	$17,000	-	-6%	187	$91	$29,736,040	49
-	-	The Killing of a Sacred Deer	A24	$11,818	-29%	-73%	67	$176	$2,045,912	35
-	-	Marshall	ORF	$8,454	-9%	-76%	112	$75	$8,820,763	42
-	-	My Little Pony: The Movie	LGF	$3,700	-66%	-77%	140	$26	$21,782,449	49
-	-	The Breadwinner	GK	$1,529	-42%	-	3	$510	$26,548	7
-	-	On the Beach at Night Alone	CGld	$1,486	+30%	-	2	$743	$14,401	7

[DAJK]

At least Man Who Invented Christmas increased 

[Barnack]

24 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

a $42.2M 3-day, $61.3M 5-day

If that hold up to be true:

 

3/5 days recent equivalent weekend:

2012: Twilight: -69.1%, 44m / 64m
2013: Cat fire: -53.1%, 74m /110m
2014: MJay p1 : -53.3%, 57m / 83m
2015: Mjay p2 : -49.3%, 52m / 76m
2016: Fan Bs  : -39.4%, 45m / 65m
2017: Just Lea: -55.0%, 42m / 61m

 

Ranked:

2013: Cat fire: -53.1%, 74m /110m

2014: MJay p1 : -53.3%, 57m / 83m

2015: Mjay p2 : -49.3%, 52m / 76m

2016: Fan Bs  : -39.4%, 45m / 65m

2012: Twilight: -69.1%, 44m / 64m

2017: Just Lea: -55.0%, 42m / 61m

 

That would be smaller leg than even the extreme frontloaded Twilight that had legs of around 150m...., would it make it hard to reach 255m for Justice League ?

Edited November 24, 2017 by Barnack

[RamblinRed]

9 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

http://deadline.com/2017/11/coco-justice-league-wonder-thanksgiving-box-office-1202213755/

 

Apologies if this has already been posted:

 

This all looks like about what I would expect. Last year Moana dipped 36% on T-day and then went up 119% on Friday (Coco looks like slightly smaller T-day decline and maybe slightly less Friday incr). FB by contrast went down just -12.8%, though the 4 yr avg for the reigning #1 is -20%, so JL's -19% looks in line with that. i currently have JL projected at $42.6M for the 3-day based on 4-yr avg. I had Coco at 48.7M but it sounds like it might jump over that.

JL basically has 19 more days to make money before it gets swamped by TLJ. I think it makes 90% of its final gross by Dec 13.

 

Based on past years avg we should be looking at drops the 1st weekend in December of around 50% for Coco and 60% for JL from this weekend's 3 day.

[TwoMisfits]

15 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

http://deadline.com/2017/11/coco-justice-league-wonder-thanksgiving-box-office-1202213755/

 

Apologies if this has already been posted:

 

Let me be amused that deadline predicted $70M for Coco when they assumed $23M box office through Thursday...the movie came in slightly under, so Deadline raised their predictions for Coco's 5 day box office by almost $5M:)...darts, they are such nice tools to use for predicting:)...

[Ezen Baklattan]

Roman Israel saved a bit of face compared to yesterday, and having the biggest increase off of its opening day is surprisingly impressive when most adult titles dropped a good bit. It'll be lucky to clear $5m for the 3-day weekend but the end result could have been worse.

 

I'm guessing low 50s for Coco and mid 40s for Justice League sound about right for the weekend. The most tangible benchmark for Coco seems to be Brave's unadjusted numbers. I think it can at least have as good legs as Moana, considering how the latter had to face Rogue One and Sing over the holidays. Family fare is a bit more stacked this year, but WOM's strength should carry it through. Will hopefully try to see it next weekend.

 

Excluding A24's wide releases, Lady Bird will be their fastest title to reach $10m and could go on to be their highest grossing film ever. Will hopefully see this once I'm back home after Thanksgiving. Three Billboards is also doing quite well for the indie circuit this weekend, but I hoped both would increase yesterday. (This makes RJIE's massive increase all the more surprising) Both are pulling similar numbers to Theory of Everything in 2014 off equally similar theater counts. (Though Three Billboards is lower)

 

I think STX was smarter than we gave them credit for by opening BAD MOMS CHRISTMAS first thing in November. It's having excellent legs and might not finish too far behind the original. Also good to see MOTOE proving that there's still a market for a pulpy, fun adult driven drama that isn't necessarily Oscar bait or an action movie. Jury's out on whether or not both can make it to $100m (along with DH2), but I think at least $90m+ seem likely for all three.

 

 

[AniNate]

1 hour ago, Valonqar said:

Can someone please explain Shitty Frozen Shorts to me? Why are they attached with some movies (Cinderella, Coco)? Does Disney think people go to see movies for that shit and not for the movie itself? What's the point? 

 

For awhile a lot of people here thought that was truly the case. Honestly I kinda fear the oversaturation of the franchise might hurt buzz for the sequel 

[Ezen Baklattan]

At least with Cinderella it was just a 5 minute thing, and tbh I think it did help a little. 

[meriodejaneiro]

58 minutes ago, MisterT said:

Anyone has JL's OS numbers, got on boxofficemojo, it's not updated since last week, still at $185M on the site.

boxofficemojo rarely updates os #s daily (maybe two years ago with TFA they did ... o maybe I read it on Forbes) ... they usually update os #s on sundays, along with weekend estimates. 

 

Don't know where to check daily international box office #s though. If anyone knows ... please share!

[KP1025]

1 hour ago, a2knet said:

Moana and Sing did around 45m. I think Coco should hit that. Can see 50m+ too.

 

It's theorized that Moana and Sing cannibalized each other somewhat in Japan since they were released only one week apart. There was significant overlap since both were animated musicals, and Illumination is seen as a worthy competitor to WDAS in Japan (Dreamworks, Blue Sky, and Sony animation are completely rejected in Japan currently). I think Moana would have reached closer to Zootopia in Japan if it had a free run. In addition to very strong competition from Sing, its theaters/screens were also slashed dramatically a month after opening for Beauty and the Beast (preventing the type of leggy run that Frozen, Big Hero 6, and Zootopia had). 

 

Japan does love animated musicals though, and I think the themes in Coco definitely resonate with audiences there. There's potential for a fantastic run there.

[MrFanaticGuy34]

$260.7M DOM for Thor: Ragnarok!

 

That would make it the highest grosser, DOM-wise to star Anthony Hopkins, beating the 17 year old record by Jim Carrey's How the Grinch Stole Christmas's $260.4M in 2000.

Edited November 24, 2017 by MrFanaticGuy34

[Fancyarcher]

32 minutes ago, DAJK said:

At least Man Who Invented Christmas increased 

The Box Office That Increased Before Christmas. 

Edited November 24, 2017 by Fancyarcher