BOX OFFICE THEORY WORLD: FALLEN KINGDOM WEEKEND THREAD | 150 OW OFFICIAL ESTIMATE | No Spoilers, Read Rules First Post! | First Post Updated with Sale Info

[YM!]

3 hours ago, tawasal said:

How long do you guys think will go before the 1bn domestic barrier will be broken and who is your possible candidate to do so? 

The Lion King has the best chance out of all of the upcoming announced films.

[dxmatrixdt]

7 hours ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

The BEST Kaiju film of recent years is Colossal and that may be the hipster answer but it's the right one dammit.

and the best superhero films are The Incredibles and Unbreakable?  😋

[DAR]

26 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

The Lion King has the best chance out of all of the upcoming announced films.

And somehow someway people will find a way to be disappointed 

[MovieMan89]

39 minutes ago, DAR said:

And somehow someway people will find a way to be disappointed 

Kind of easy to be disappointed if your expectations are OW record and 1b DOM no? 

[MovieMan89]

Looks like Hereditary is on its way to one of the better wide release multis of the year so far. Maybe a solid 3.3x or so. Has to be one of the best multis for any movie to ever get a D+ or lower on CS too no? 

Edited June 25, 2018 by MovieMan89

[dxmatrixdt]

looks like Jurassic World's premier really quieted down the thread for this weekend.  

[Cooper Legion]

2 hours ago, mathemetrics said:

looks like Jurassic World's premier really quieted down the thread for this weekend.  

When god is silent, the mortals follow.

[Zakiyyah6]

2 hours ago, MovieMan89 said:

Looks like Hereditary is on its way to one of the better wide release multis of the year so far. Maybe a solid 3.3x or so. Has to be one of the best multis for any movie to ever get a D+ or lower on CS too no? 

I'm actually surprised because the film is a tough watch and not because of the wobbly often inaccurate Cinemascore. Horror is so hot in America right now because we are living in a fucking horror show. 

Edited June 25, 2018 by Zakiyyah6

[Amadeus]

If JW and I2 makes a good $200m until saturday 6/30 chances are very high this june will be the best june (unadj.) ever. 

 

Year	Total Gross	Change	Movies	Avg.	#1 Movie	Gross	% of Total
2018	$1,017.0	-	199	$5.1	Incredibles 2	$350.4	34.5%
2017	$1,057.6	-2.7%	223	$4.7	Wonder Woman	$334.9	31.7%
2016	$1,087.4	-11.9%	229	$4.7	Finding Dory	$330.3	30.4%
2015	$1,233.7	+18.1%	207	$6.0	Jurassic World	$514.4	41.7%
2014	$1,044.2	-16.2%	225	$4.6	Maleficent	$153.4	14.7%
2013	$1,246.2	+18.0%	221	$5.6	Man of Steel	$248.6	19.9%
2012	$1,056.1	+5.0%	219	$4.8	Madagascar 3	$176.5	16.7%
2011	$1,005.7	-4.6%	197	$5.1	X-Men: First Class	$135.7	13.5%
2010	$1,054.2	-3.0%	200	$5.3	Toy Story 3	$251.3	23.8%
2009	$1,086.7	+5.0%	186	$5.8	Transformers 2	$228.4	21.0%
2008	$1,034.9	+12.6%	219	$4.7	Kung Fu Panda	$181.1	17.5%
2007	$919.0	-2.9%	214	$4.3	Pirates of the Caribbean 3	$120.9	13.2%
2006	$946.4	+7.3%	210	$4.5	Cars	$172.1	18.2%
2005	$882.3	-12.3%	217	$4.1	Batman Begins	$135.5	15.4%
2004	$1,006.4	+13.6%	237	$4.2	Harry Potter / Azkaban	$215.9	21.4%
2003	$886.0	-5.6%	211	$4.2	Finding Nemo	$208.3	23.5%
2002	$938.8	+15.5%	167	$5.6	Scooby-Doo	$124.0	13.2%
2001	$813.0	+21.3%	115	$7.1	Shrek	$105.4	13.0%
2000	$670.3	-12.0%	109	$6.1	Mission: Impossible II	$93.5	13.9%

[Jessie]

5 hours ago, mathemetrics said:

and the best superhero films are The Incredibles and Unbreakable?  😋

Lol no

[Jessie]

In unrelated news I watched cast away last night and it might just be my favourite movie ever.

[Quigley]

Sunday numbers?

[LonePirate]

6 hours ago, MovieMan89 said:

Looks like Hereditary is on its way to one of the better wide release multis of the year so far. Maybe a solid 3.3x or so. Has to be one of the best multis for any movie to ever get a D+ or lower on CS too no? 

It is sitting at a 2.57 with the current weekend estimates. It needs roughly $10M more to reach a 3.33. That is certainly possible if it doesn't lose too many theaters this coming weekend. It definitely overperformed its Cinemascore.

[WrathOfHan]

The theaters that dropped Hereditary and kept Solo this weekend (like my AMC) made a big mistake.

[sfran43]

 

[LonePirate]

45 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

The theaters that dropped Hereditary and kept Solo this weekend (like my AMC) made a big mistake.

Our definitions of big must be different. The PTA difference between the two amounted to roughly 8-10 more people for Hereditary this weekend per theater given this morning’s downward revision for Hereditary and before the likely upward revision for Solo later today. Not sure I would consider that big if the final difference is a full SUV of people.

[WrathOfHan]

2 minutes ago, LonePirate said:

Our definitions of big must be different. The PTA difference between the two amounted to roughly 8-10 more people for Hereditary this weekend per theater given this morning’s downward revision for Hereditary and before the likely upward revision for Solo later today. Not sure I would consider that big if the final difference is a full SUV of people.

The difference is going to be even bigger next weekend.

[filmlover]

Theater drops should be minimal this upcoming weekend. Two new openers that aren't looking to crack 3,000 theaters (or barely, in Sicario's case) should help.

[efialtes76]

10 hours ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

The Lion King has the best chance out of all of the upcoming announced films.

The Lion King won't make $800M...

[a2k]

Tomorrow never comes but it's here for Universal. Curious to see what happens on Sunday. Am hoping Fri and Sat ever so marginally went up that Sun taking a bigger drop than 17% still gives 150. Say something like, 59.0+50.25+40.75(-19%)