BOX OFFICE THEORY WORLD: FALLEN KINGDOM WEEKEND THREAD | 150 OW OFFICIAL ESTIMATE | No Spoilers, Read Rules First Post! | First Post Updated with Sale Info

[John Marston]

After saying presales were showing a sub for 100m opening it’s funny now the same people are acting like a near 150m opening is bad

[Thrylos 7]

1 minute ago, Pure Spirit said:

hopefully by people who have actually seen humans interact in real life before.

That’s seriously one of the best lines I have ever read in this forum.

[a2k]

really an incredible run. just thu was well under 20. wed was 19.7 and other days 20+

 

Date	Rank	Gross	% Change	Theaters	Per Theater	Total Gross	Days
2018/06/15	1	$71,260,321		4,410	$16,159	$71,260,321	1
2018/06/16	1	$58,894,582	-17%	4,410	$13,355	$130,154,903	2
2018/06/17	1	$52,533,002	-11%	4,410	$11,912	$182,687,905	3
2018/06/18	1	$23,627,708	-55%	4,410	$5,358	$206,315,613	4
2018/06/19	1	$27,059,923	+15%	4,410	$6,136	$233,375,536	5
2018/06/20	1	$19,737,194	-27%	4,410	$4,476	$253,112,730	6
2018/06/21	1	$16,333,960	-17%	4,410	$3,704	$269,446,690	7
2018/06/22	2	$24,139,486	+48%	4,410	$5,474	$293,586,176	8
2018/06/23	2	$31,420,979	+30%	4,410	$7,125	$325,007,155	9
2018/06/24	2	$24,787,186	-21%	4,410	$5,621	$349,794,341	10

[cannastop]

 

[RealLyre]

1 hour ago, Thrylos 7 said:

. Oh and looool at no competition when an MCU film is opening in 10 days which will probably have great reviews and surprise , as it almost always happens , with it ow and its overall run. 

 

 

Will it be really a surprise if we already predict $750M-$800M.. 

 

[Maxmoser3]

Jurassic World is now crumbling jkjk

 

[Thrylos 7]

7 minutes ago, John Marston said:

After saying presales were showing a sub for 100m opening it’s funny now the same people are acting like a near 150m opening is bad

It’s neither bad , not very impressive either and it missed 150 million. There was a riot when AOU missed.....200 million, things are extremely civil here.

Edited June 25, 2018 by Thrylos 7

[Jake Gittes]

32 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

DP2 will be the first movie to hit 2.5x out of ones that dropped 65%+ in their second weekend. 

Last Jedi just did it six months ago. 

[Krissykins]

48 minutes ago, Thrylos 7 said:

Transformers is a good example of that and JW is heading that way fast, let’s not forget that we are talking about a potential almost 300 million drop from the fourth film in the U.S.

Fixed. 

[Krissykins]

Anyway, great for Jurassic World. 

 

It’ll be interesting to see if the tracking changes for Ant Man and the Wasp, from its current $75m. I think it’ll increase but I wonder about $100m. 

[PDC1987]

3 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Fixed. 

And FK was never going to touch JW's totals. No 12 year wait, no direct nostalgia etc.

[Moviefanatic]

43 minutes ago, Thrylos 7 said:

It’s neither bad , not very impressive either and it missed 150 million. There was a riot when AOU missed.....200 million, things are extremely civil here.

That was because Disney made a fool of themselves by repeatedly saying things like 100 million OD is within reach and actuals constantly coming in lower than estimates. 

 

They learned from that though. Now they purposely underestimate there blockbusters 

[ChipDerby]

GIVE ME SOME LOW TAG/OCEANS8 NUMBERS, WB.

[Nova]

Not gonna lie but after DP2 IM on its OW and it’s second weekend drop, if you had told me it could reach a 2.5x I’d have laughed in your face and yet it got some good late legs so I think it’s important not to write off either I2 and JW2 ability to get good multipliers especially with the only big competition coming up is Ant-man 

[Thrylos 7]

29 minutes ago, Moviefanatic said:

That was because Disney made a fool of themselves by repeatedly saying things like 100 million OD is within reach and actuals constantly coming in lower than estimates. 

 

They learned from that though. Now they purposely underestimate there blockbusters 

and universal overestimated it just to have “an 150 million” opening weekend at a time when almost all studios are extremely careful in their estimates.

 

Dont see much difference apart from the fact that we had to constantly read for three years that 600 million was the celing for a CBM in the U.S. and reading wall of text after wall of text why x upcoming CBM will disappoint.

[KJsooner]

4 hours ago, Thrylos 7 said:

It’s neither bad , not very impressive either and it missed 150 million. There was a riot when AOU missed.....200 million, things are extremely civil here.

LOLLERSKATES. 150 ‘not very impressive’ when this [Mod Edit] predicted a sub 100 mil ow. 

 

[Let's please keep it civil]

[baumer]

Date	Rank	Gross	% Change	Theaters	Per Theater	Total Gross	Days
2018/06/22	1	$58,566,870		4,475	$13,088	$58,566,870	1
2018/06/23	1	$49,701,695	-15%	4,475	$11,107	$108,268,565	2
2018/06/24	1	$39,756,045	-20%	4,475	$8,884	$148,024,610	3

[Thrylos 7]

42 minutes ago, PDC1987 said:

And FK was never going to touch JW's totals. No 12 year wait, no direct nostalgia etc.

Curiously I don’t see many people predicting JW2 having trouble reaching 400 million in the U.S , in 2017 threads. Of course NOW everybody “knew” everything but reading a few older threads that have been bumped are painting a completely different picture.

[Thrylos 7]

8 minutes ago, KJsooner said:

LOLLERSKATES. 150 ‘not very impressive’ when this clown predicted a sub 100 mil ow. 

Ignoring your personal insults , the mods should see into that, care to point where in the hell I had predicted a sub-100 million weekend ?

oh and it’s not 150, it’s 148 million.

Edited June 25, 2018 by Thrylos 7

[sfran43]

Black Panther

Walt Disney

$75,725

-48%

115

$658

$699,747,193

19

 

-$252,807 from $700,000,000

 

I'm thinking Disney wants to double feature BP with AntMan 2 to get BP closer to $702M+.