filmlover Posted September 20, 2019 Share Posted September 20, 2019 6 hours ago, WrathOfHan said: Something feels wrong with Actress but idk who is getting dropped/if Ronan is even the backup. If Hustlers overperforms in precursors, I wouldn't be surprised if Constance Wu got in. Meryl even if she's Meryl. Netflix is unlikely to be giving The Laundromat much of a push at all considering they have a lot to push before it (it's currently at 45% on RT with almost 50 reviews). Plus don't think it's even clear if she's going Lead or Supporting. Even with her being Streep, she's not happening for a total no1curr movie. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted September 22, 2019 Share Posted September 22, 2019 On 9/17/2019 at 4:04 PM, lorddemaxus said: http://collider.com/hugh-jackman-bad-education-hbo/ If Bad Education wasn't out of the race, it sure is now. Imo WB did the right thing. Instead of buying a well received film from a festival and dumping it on a shitty release date with zero marketing (like they did with Blinded by the Light), having it go on TV/streaming seems like a much better idea because at least that way the movie won't flop. Yet it has better reviews than the fall dramas they're pushing and releasing dramatically - Just Mercy & Motherless Brooklyn. Jackman also got better notices than Jordan though with a year this packed neither would have a chance. Janney loses out on another probable Best Supporting Actress nod though Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RealLyre Posted September 28, 2019 Share Posted September 28, 2019 When Netflix has the two best reviewed films of the year I was a little worried about the Irishman but now I’m more confident in Netflix getting a double picture nominations Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted September 28, 2019 Author Share Posted September 28, 2019 (edited) I think Irishman becomes the front runner with reviews like that. Edited September 28, 2019 by The Panda Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted September 28, 2019 Share Posted September 28, 2019 I think Netflix will finally win Best Picture, last year's Roma was foreign language, but Irishman is more like old-school Oscar crime epic drama with all the Oscar-friendly cast ,made by long-overdue 2nd oscar veteran Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted September 28, 2019 Author Share Posted September 28, 2019 New above the line picks Picture A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood Bombshell The Farewell Jojo Rabbit Joker The Irishman Little Women Marriage Story Once Upon a Time in Hollywood Parasite Alts: 1917, Knives Out, Ford v Ferrari, The Two Popes Director Baumbach, Marriage Story Joon-Ho, Parasite Scorsese, Irishman Tarantino, Hollywood Wang, Farewell Alts: Gerwig, Heller, Waititi, Mendes Actress Awkwafina, Farewell Erivo, Harriet Johansson, Marriage Story Theron, Bombshell Zellweger, Judy Alts: Ronan, Jones Actor Banderas, Pain and Glory De Niro, Irishman DiCaprio, Hollywood Driver, Marriage Story Phoenix, Joker Supp Actress Bening, Report Dern, Marriage Story Lopez, Hustlers Robbie, Bombshell Zhou, Farewell Alts: Robbie, Pugh, McKenzie, Johansson Supp Actor Alda, Marriage Story Brown, Waves Pacino, Irishman Pesci, Irishman Pitt, Hollywood Alts: Hanks, Foxx, Dafoe, Hopkins, Bale O Screen The Farewell Knives Out Marriage Story Once Upon a Time in Hollywood Parasite Alts: Ford v Ferrari, 1917 A Screen A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood The Irishman Jojo Rabbit Little Women The Two Popes Alts: Joker, Hustlers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted September 30, 2019 Share Posted September 30, 2019 end of september vibes Picture: 1. Marriage Story 2. Parasite 3. The Irishman 4. A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood 5. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood 6. The Farewell 7. Jojo Rabbit 8. 1917 9. Joker Director: 1. Martin Scorsese 2. Bong Joon-ho 3. Noah Baumbach 4. Quentin Tarantino 5. Lulu Wang Actor: 1. Joaquin Phoenix 2. Adam Driver 3. Robert De Niro 4. Leonardo DiCaprio 5. Antonio Banderas Actress: 1. Renee Zellweger 2. Scarlett Johansson (ms) 3. Awkwafina 4. Charlize Theron 5. Lupita Nyong'o Supp. Actor 1. Al Pacino 2. Tom Hanks 3. Brad Pitt 4. Anthony Hopkins 5. Joe Pesci Supp. Actress 1. Laura Dern 2. Margot Robbie (bombshell) 3. Jennifer Lopez 4. Zhao Shuzhen 5. Scarlett Johansson (jojo) Original Screenplay 1. Marriage Story 2. Parasite 3. The Farewell 4. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood 5. Knives Out Adapted Screenplay 1. Jojo Rabbit 2. The Irishman 3. The Two Popes 4. A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood 5. Joker Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TMP Posted September 30, 2019 Share Posted September 30, 2019 18 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said: Scarlett Johansson (ms) ScarJo has MS?!?! Holy shit Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorddemaxus Posted September 30, 2019 Share Posted September 30, 2019 (edited) 33 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said: Supp. Actress 1. Laura Dern 2. Margot Robbie (bombshell) 3. Jennifer Lopez 4. Zhao Shuzhen 5. Scarlett Johansson (jojo) Scarlett Johansson probably won't get double nom. Thomas Mckenzie has been getting more buzz and Florence Pugh for Little Women seems much more likely to get in than either of two (find it odd you have zero noms for Little Women). Margot Robbie for OUATIH instead of Bombshell (which has zero buzz atm). Also overestimating A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood. I don't see it being a favourite when a supposed to be crowdpleasing film like that doesn't make it into the TIFF People's Choice award. Edited September 30, 2019 by lorddemaxus 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted September 30, 2019 Share Posted September 30, 2019 Already seen and strong chances (Only 1-2 of these should miss) Once upon a time in Hollywood A beautiful day in the neighborhood Jojo Rabbit Ford v Ferrari Marriage Story Irishman Parasite (growing) Joker (polarizing reactions, fading) Seen and... Maybe? Hustlers A hidden life (never underestimate Malick) Waves Farewell (needs to recover heat) Pain and Glory Knives Out (if BO is huge) Unseen, but watch out! 1917 Little Women Bombshell Dark Waters 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted September 30, 2019 Share Posted September 30, 2019 (edited) 1 hour ago, lorddemaxus said: Scarlett Johansson probably won't get double nom. Thomas Mckenzie has been getting more buzz and Florence Pugh for Little Women seems much more likely to get in than either of two (find it odd you have zero noms for Little Women). Margot Robbie for OUATIH instead of Bombshell (which has zero buzz atm). Also overestimating A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood. I don't see it being a favourite when a supposed to be crowdpleasing film like that doesn't make it into the TIFF People's Choice award. Okey dokey. We disagree. Edited September 30, 2019 by CoolioD1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted September 30, 2019 Share Posted September 30, 2019 (edited) Yeah, can someone show me where Tomasin McKenzie buzz is coming from? She's getting nice ink but nothing on the level of Dern and JLo plus some critics prefer ScarJo. That could split votes. I don't think she's a sure thing even in a year this weak for SA category. Also, how's Joker fading when it's talked about? Polarizing is not fading. if you want actual fading look no further from Ford vs Ferrari. Edited September 30, 2019 by Valonqar Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted September 30, 2019 Share Posted September 30, 2019 8 minutes ago, Valonqar said: if you want actual fading look no further from Ford vs Ferrari. a movie that's six weeks away from release. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blankments Posted October 1, 2019 Share Posted October 1, 2019 Having seen Jojo, I’d say both thomasin and Rockwell are safer bets for acting noms than ScarJo, especially when she’ll be focusing on her actress campaign Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted October 1, 2019 Share Posted October 1, 2019 4 minutes ago, Blankments said: Having seen Jojo, I’d say both thomasin and Rockwell are safer bets for acting noms than ScarJo, especially when she’ll be focusing on her actress campaign i disagree. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted October 1, 2019 Share Posted October 1, 2019 Just guessing what will be the BO of the nominees. I miss the times when all movies had theatrical runs with meassurable BO. Now, with Netflix entering the game, it's really difficult to say if a year is more or less "popular" I would say we will have 3 movies over 100M DOM (Hollywood, Ford v Ferrari, Beautiful day in neighborhood). 4 if Joker ends nommed. 5 if 1917 breaks out Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted October 1, 2019 Share Posted October 1, 2019 15 hours ago, Blankments said: Having seen Jojo, I’d say both thomasin and Rockwell are safer bets for acting noms than ScarJo, especially when she’ll be focusing on her actress campaign I agree. I mean, I haven't seen the film, but I'm sure ScarJo would want to focus more on the lead actress campaign--that's the nomination with the meatier implications. I really think it'd be much cooler if ScarJo was able to get Lead and McKenzie (an up-and-comer who deserves to maintain her relevance) was able to get supporting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted October 1, 2019 Share Posted October 1, 2019 9 hours ago, stripe said: Just guessing what will be the BO of the nominees. I miss the times when all movies had theatrical runs with meassurable BO. Now, with Netflix entering the game, it's really difficult to say if a year is more or less "popular" I would say we will have 3 movies over 100M DOM (Hollywood, Ford v Ferrari, Beautiful day in neighborhood). 4 if Joker ends nommed. 5 if 1917 breaks out Wait until Cats crashes the race once it beats The Force Awakens. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted October 2, 2019 Share Posted October 2, 2019 15 hours ago, filmlover said: Wait until Cats crashes the race once it beats The Force Awakens. LOL Anyways, I would really love to see a BP nominee managing to get gigantic BO. Imagine 1917 becoming a major player like American Sniper Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted October 2, 2019 Share Posted October 2, 2019 2 hours ago, stripe said: LOL Anyways, I would really love to see a BP nominee managing to get gigantic BO. Imagine 1917 becoming a major player like American Sniper 1917 should do well but will make a third of what American Sniper did at best. Lacks the perfect storm of obvious jingoism/red state appeal or the big name combo of Eastwood and Cooper to elevate it. Surprised it hasn't been set for AFI but that's probably because they don't know if it'll be ready yet since it concluded filming just 3-4 months ago. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
