Weekend Thread (3/15-3/17): Captain Marvel 68, Wonder Park 15.8, Five Feet Apart 13.2, Dragon 9.3, Madea 7.8

[LexJoker]

5 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Friday Numbers

1. Captain Marvel: $19.1mn
2. Wonder Park: $5.4mn
3. Five Feet Apart: $5.1mn
4. HTTYD 3: $2.55mn
5. Madea Funeral: $2.1mn
6. Captive State: $1.3mn
7. NMF2: $1.1mn
8. LEGO 2: $0.58mn
9. Alita: $0.5mn
10. IIR: $0.35mn

Should the target for Saturday be $32M?

[charlie Jatinder]

Just now, LexJoker said:

Should the target for Saturday be $32M?

I am expecting 65% growth. Anything above that, I am content as long as Sunday don't drop over 27%.

[THUNDER BIRD]

3 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

After $200mn opening weekend, I expected BP to be extremely frontloaded and finish at $500mn but damn those legs.

 

The true FSS drop was barely 37% and that's with an inflated Sunday.

Still don't understand what was so special in it content wise to get that trending.

[LexJoker]

19+32+24=75

 

Don't think it can go better than this.

[titanic2187]

1 minute ago, THUNDER BIRD said:

Still don't understand what was so special in it content wise to get that trending.

It is the A+ cinemascore that put people back in theater 

[JB33]

Sherlock Gnomes didn't have previews right? If we were comparing it to Wonder Park, would it be best to apply SG's Saturday jump to WP's true Friday ($5.4M - $700K = $4.7M) or the whole $5.4M? I don't think we'd see a 64.2% jump from Friday incl. previews.

 

So does $7.7M sound about right for WP tomorrow?

[sfran43]

https://deadline.com/2019/03/captain-marvel-box-office-week-2-captive-state-wonder-park-weekend-results-1202575749/

 

3rd Writethru Saturday AM: Studios don’t enjoy playing into a Disney/Marvel movie nor do they enjoy playing in the wake of one, and with Captain Marvel staying strong with an anticipated strong $68.9M-$70M second weekend most of the wide entries —

[Legion Again]

Deadline has it at 18.8, no real difference from Charlie’s #s for any other movie. I will use 19.1, Sat roughly 30-32.5, expecting over 70M still. 

[poweranimals]

31 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Friday Numbers

1. Captain Marvel: $19mn
2. Wonder Park: $5.5mn
3. Five Feet Apart: $5.1mn
4. HTTYD 3: $2.55mn
5. Madea Funeral: $2.1mn
6. Captive State: $1.3mn
7. NMF2: $1.1mn
8. LEGO 2: $0.58mn
9. Alita: $0.5mn
10. IIR: $0.35mn

How big of an increase is that?

Edited March 16, 2019 by poweranimals

[LexJoker]

2 minutes ago, poweranimals said:

Is that good or bad?

Unchanged from most early estimates. Expected, but still good.

[SpiderByte]

But the THIRD weekend will prove its actually a bomb right? Right?

[JB33]

What was the name of that user who predicted a 70-75% drop for CM? I realize he/she was likely just trolling, but still....

[Krissykins]

Great for Captain Marvel, I’m sure that Endgame trailer will encourage anyone who was on the fence about seeing it to go this weekend. 

 

Five Feet Apart overperformed. 

 

Captive State $3m from 2500 theatres, that’s horrendous, whatever it is. 

[Omni]

Saturday will be below 30M because of Spring Break.

[Ryan Reynolds]

 

Captain Marvel holding fine, i would prefer other studios put up a fight

 

BOX OFFICE FOR MARCH 15-17

thumb rank film dis. screens (chg) friday 3-day total wk 1 Captain Marvel Dis 4,310 $18.8M (-70%) $68.98M–$70M (-54%) $266.9M 2 2 Wonder park Par 3,838 $5.6M $17.8M  $17.8M 1 3 Five Feet Apart CBS/LG 2,803 $5.2M $13.3M $13.3M 1 4 …Dragon 3 DWA/Uni 3,727 (-315) $2.5M (-25%) $9.8M (-33%) $136M 4 5 A Madea Funeral LG 2,350 (-92) $2.1M (-35%) $7.7M (-38%) $58.7M 3 6 No Manches Frida 2 LG/Pant 472 $1.25M $3.9M $3.9M 1 7 Captive State Foc/Part/DW 2,548 $1.3M $3.1M $3.1M 1 8 Lego Movie 2 WB 2,046 (-884) $573K (-28%) $2.6M (-31%)  $101.8M 6 9 Alita Fox 1,696 (-678) $471K (-42%) $1.8M (-43%) $81.7M 5 10 Fighting With My Family MGM 1,580 (-875) $334K (-42%) $1.27M (-42%) $21M 5

[john2000]

11 minutes ago, Omni said:

Saturday will be below 30M because of Spring Break.

its next week though from what i hear in most places anyway

[MrFanaticGuy34]

7 minutes ago, Ryan Reynolds said:

 

Captain Marvel holding fine, i would prefer other studios put up a fight

 

BOX OFFICE FOR MARCH 15-17

thumb rank film dis. screens (chg) friday 3-day total wk 1 Captain Marvel Dis 4,310 $18.8M (-70%) $68.98M–$70M (-54%) $266.9M 2 2 Wonder park Par 3,838 $5.6M $17.8M  $17.8M 1 3 Five Feet Apart CBS/LG 2,803 $5.2M $13.3M $13.3M 1 4 …Dragon 3 DWA/Uni 3,727 (-315) $2.5M (-25%) $9.8M (-33%) $136M 4 5 A Madea Funeral LG 2,350 (-92) $2.1M (-35%) $7.7M (-38%) $58.7M 3 6 No Manches Frida 2 LG/Pant 472 $1.25M $3.9M $3.9M 1 7 Captive State Foc/Part/DW 2,548 $1.3M $3.1M $3.1M 1 8 Lego Movie 2 WB 2,046 (-884) $573K (-28%) $2.6M (-31%)  $101.8M 6 9 Alita Fox 1,696 (-678) $471K (-42%) $1.8M (-43%) $81.7M 5 10 Fighting With My Family MGM 1,580 (-875) $334K (-42%) $1.27M (-42%) $21M 5

$17.8M OW or higher for WP. That seems to be alright. It’s a shame that it’s not given much of a chance...since i think it looks cute & colorful. 

[LexJoker]

Not a single holdover in the top 10 dropped over 45%?!?!

 

Spring break effect?

[lorddemaxus]

4 minutes ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

$17.8M OW or higher for WP. That seems to be alright. It’s a shame that it’s not given much of a chance...since i think it looks cute & colorful. 

1

It isn't. The movie is boring, unoriginal and lacks any sort of vision. The movie really needs a proper director. It reminded me of Sherlock Gnomes in terms of quality.

Edited March 16, 2019 by lorddemaxus

[john2000]

4 minutes ago, LexJoker said:

Not a single holdover in the top 10 dropped over 45%?!?!

 

Spring break effect?

not next week  ? 

Edited March 16, 2019 by john2000