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Tuesday Numbers:Big increases...

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9 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Rocketman is nearly at 70M equivalent at my theatre after Tuesday. Huge run for it here, but still not close to the craziness that was Bohemian Rhapsody (which was at 113M or so after 5 days)

Deserves all the money in the world.

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$7.8 million for Aladdin? HOT DAMN SON!!!!

 

If this is the sort of Tuesday business we can look for this summer than it's going to be a good one for many movies.

 

Now how many in the top 10 do we think will drop in the 50% Tuesday to Wednesday?

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1 minute ago, AlexMA said:

$7.8 million for Aladdin? HOT DAMN SON!!!!

 

If this is the sort of Tuesday business we can look for this summer than it's going to be a good one for many movies.

 

Now how many in the top 10 do we think will drop in the 50% Tuesday to Wednesday?

I'm not sure it will be 50%...but larger than normal drops will probably be very common for the kid and family movies...for these movies. Tuesday matinees may get as enormous a business as the nights do during the school year, and that will make for some interesting highs and lows during the week:)...

 

I mean, it's not mentioned much...but matinees now run $10+ in major metros...and when you have a $5 option day, or more than 50% off, and no movie scrips for your kids, how can you not jump on that deal?

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Big Jump For Aladdin on Tuesday.

AEG has its best Tuesday bump,

 

1 (1) Aladdin Walt Disney $7,797,927 +66% 4,476 $1,742   $198,035,063 12
- (2) Godzilla: King of the Monsters Warner Bros. $5,535,000 +44% 4,108 $1,347   $57,163,389 5
- (3) Rocketman Paramount Pictures $3,720,754 +57% 3,610 $1,031   $31,822,508 5
- (4) MA Universal $2,480,060 +48% 2,808 $883   $22,252,725 5
- (7) Pokémon: Detective Pikachu Warner Bros. $1,250,000 +66% 3,147 $397   $132,891,714 26
- (6) Avengers: Endgame Walt Disney $1,208,347 +39% 3,105 $389   $817,804,438 40
- (9) BrightBurn Sony Pictures $525,000 +47% 2,607 $201   $15,235,429 12
- (11) A Dog’s Journey Universal $271,125 +63% 1,674 $162   $19,275,885 19
- (12) The Intruder Sony Pictures $150,000 +43% 807 $186   $34,453,048 33
- (14) Poms STX Entertainment $60,678 +63% 374 $162   $13,311,665 26
- (-) UglyDolls STX Entertainment $40,522 +31% 296 $137   $19,660,299 33
- (-) The Souvenir A24 $17,790 +23% 74 $240   $492,451 19
- (-) How to Train Your Dragon: T… Universal $16,440 +56% 118 $139   $160,671,210 103
- (-) Little Universal $13,075 +23% 111 $118   $40,653,765 54
- (-) Us Universal $10,795 +18% 116 $93   $174,983,975 75
- (-) Non-Fiction IFC Films $8,504 +2% 84 $101   $472,621 33
- (-) Red Joan IFC Films $5,297 +13% 74 $72   $1,511,905 54
- (-) The Tomorrow Man Bleecker Street $3,289 +21% 18 $183   $64,553 14
- (-) Hotel Mumbai Bleecker Street $1,837 +62% 33 $56   $9,616,616 75
- (-) Unplanned Pure Flix Entertain… $814 -46% 27 $30   $18,102,920 68
Edited by Finnick
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Speaking of Endgame, with the past 7 days multi of:  

CW 818+12.5*1.43=836M

IM3  818+12.5*1.52=837M

AoU  818+12.5*1.95=842M

IW  818+12.5*2.06=844M    

 

So it will probably need a Labor Day expansion for 840, and would miss 850 even with one.      

 

The opening was some once in a generation madness, and the total is of course spectacular, but it led to some ugly legs.

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2 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

Speaking of Endgame, with the past 7 days multi of:  

CW 818+12.5*1.43=836M

IM3  818+12.5*1.52=837M

AoU  818+12.5*1.95=842M

IW  818+12.5*2.06=844M    

 

So it will probably need a Labor Day expansion for 840, and would miss 850 even with one.      

 

The opening was some once in a generation madness, and the total is of course spectacular, but it led to some ugly legs.

Just look at raw numbers after OW and you wont feel bad. Not too many movies gross 480m after OW. Problem with legs was it played out big time during OW. Almost cornered 70% of screens which does not normally happen for domestic. I think that is going to be the them for the uber blockbusters. Play out Yuge and taper out even faster. Studios want movies to hit streaming at the earliest and so 95% of gross in 4-6 weeks is going to be a norm.

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1 minute ago, Thanos Legion said:

Speaking of Endgame, with the past 7 days multi of:  

CW 818+12.5*1.43=836M

IM3  818+12.5*1.52=837M

AoU  818+12.5*1.95=842M

IW  818+12.5*2.06=844M    

 

So it will probably need a Labor Day expansion for 840, and would miss 850 even with one.      

 

The opening was some once in a generation madness, and the total is of course spectacular, but it led to some ugly legs.

EG's 6th set of weekdays is probably going to be behind IW's 7th set of weekdays overall. That would lead to roughly a 4.8-5m weekend (accounting for Father's Day) and a cume around 824.3m. IW added another 14.8m after that weekend. A similar amount would get EG to 839.1m, with maybe a couple hundred thousand more from Father's Day Sunday boost. So it looks like the likely finishing range for EG is somewhere in 835-840m.

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POTC 5 opened with 78M 4 Day Weekend whereas Aladdin was 116M, so ~ 1.5 times.

 

POTC 5 2nd Tuesday was 3.4M  whereas Aladdin is 7.8M, so ~2.3 times.

 

POTC 5 added ~50M after it's second Tuesday, I am guessing atleast 100M for Aladdin so 300M DOM looks in good shape IMO.

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2 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

Speaking of Endgame, with the past 7 days multi of:  

CW 818+12.5*1.43=836M

IM3  818+12.5*1.52=837M

AoU  818+12.5*1.95=842M

IW  818+12.5*2.06=844M    

 

So it will probably need a Labor Day expansion for 840, and would miss 850 even with one.      

 

The opening was some once in a generation madness, and the total is of course spectacular, but it led to some ugly legs.

I mean looking at it realistically that was always going to be the outcome, regardless of how phenomenal the movie was. No Cinemascore or word of mouth would have given part 22 in an 11 year series better legs after that batshit insane $357 million start that went beyond even our wildest predictions. Even at $835-840 million it's already way past anything anyone could have expected based on the highest demand we had seen for the series in the past. Because let's face it, it's a series after all. Had this been an original movie the story would be different here, but also we wouldn't have had a $357 million start, obviously. A 2.3 multiplier is not so bad when you start considering all the factors around it.

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2 minutes ago, AlexMA said:

I mean looking at it realistically that was always going to be the outcome, regardless of how phenomenal the movie was.

This is true in a regardless of how phenomenal for the people that have seen enough of the previous entry to appreciate it for most of the run time, but even a lesser WOM but a different one (you do not need to have seen any of the previous one to enjoy it)....

 

But can this be possible, exciting people so much to open at 350m without being based on recent previous entry, not so sure. Force Awaken/Jurassic World being special case, achieved giant hype of a long franchise but was borderline a reboot at the same time.

 

For example back in the days of Civil War, we had the multi is good for a weekend that big, this will (I imagine) beat by a little bit Civil War multiplier with an OW twice has big, clearly going into the direction that Civil War low multi was more than just about is big OW and a lot to do with new audience resistance (like for this, but this one legs helped by record setting buzz)

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9 minutes ago, AndyChrono said:

JFC... that's more than double the previous highest 2nd Tuesday for Memorial Day releases (Indy 4 at 3.86m) and just a 35% week to week drop.

 

From a quick look a the more successful Memorial Day runs, Indiana Jones 4 made the most money after its second Tuesday with about $94M. It had a $22.8M third weekend, which seems pretty easy to beat for Aladdin. 

 

With Aladdin at just a hair under $200M, it seems to suggest $300M is feasible, unless the SLOP2 and Toy Story eat too much of the family related audience. Indiana held surprisingly well for a film that seems pretty loathed, so it isn't an automatic, but people seem to be responding to Aladdin, and little reason to see it nosedive. 

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