SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME WEEK THREAD l 93.6M 3-Day, 185.1M 6-Day. l ****NO SPOILERS**** | Sale $5 off Gold/Premium/Silver l Other #s - TS4 34.3, YDay 10.7, Annabelle 9.7, Aladdin 7.6, Midsommar 6.6 (10.9 5-Day)

[sfran43]

 

[Eric the IF]

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-forecast-playmobil-the-movie/

 

Playmobil: 3-9 range (4-Day). 4/10

 

Crawl: 15/39 (-17%)

Stuber: 17/63 (-3%)

[filmlover]

6 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

Super frontloading. We'll see if it rebounds today since it's not the kind of movie that was gonna be a popular moviegoing choice on 4th of July anyway.

[TalismanRing]

8 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

Going to need a hell of an usually high jump to his $6m. 

 

Even with  45% Friday jump and a 3x multi (high for post July 4th w/e) it would do only $5.6m

[xiazhi]

21 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

It's only 2 mil away from making half of the first film. Should pass half of the second film by next weekend too.

And it doesn't sound disappointing at all that it'll eventually make 10m more than half of its predecessor.

[AJ2k]

29 minutes ago, xiazhi said:

Annabelle Comes Home is pretty disappointing. Better than the first but I guess people have lost interest in Annabelle franchise. That's why it'll make only half of the first two.

It was alright. The leads were likeable and the movie overall had some pretty good moments. It just got really hokey in the final act after a really good build-up.

[Davidwested]

44 minutes ago, xiazhi said:

Annabelle Comes Home is pretty disappointing. Better than the first but I guess people have lost interest in Annabelle franchise. That's why it'll make only half of the first two.

Have you seen it ?

 

oh and something is seriously wrong with your math.

Edited July 5, 2019 by Davidwested

[Lordmandeep]

55 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

 

 

followed by Spiderman and TLK lol 

[The Horror of Lucas Films]

1 hour ago, xiazhi said:

A3's B- is not a good reception from GA. It's even worse than A1's B. You also forgot another shitty movie La LLorona.

 

Check Audience's score, La Lrona isn't part of TCU.

[Sunny Max]

3 hours ago, Geo1500 said:

 

This is only thru thursday numbers which means it has already made passed 900M as the Far-east is ahead of us in time and these friday numbers are not included. 

 

This club has now been fulfilled and completed

 

Phenomenal achievement 

[Sunny Max]

1 hour ago, a2k said:

Some of the business moved to the weekdays so TS4 will have close to 50% drop.

 

I2's 3rd Thursday - July 5th - was 7.2m (26% down from 9.65 Wed). It did +35.7%, +9.2%, -24.4% over FSS for a weekend of 28.4m.

 

TS4 is starting the weekend with a higher Thu of 7.74 being earlier in the run. With same FSS holds as I2 it's looking at 30.5m weekend, down 49%. If it recovers from whatever hit it took from FFH, then could do better. 

 

29-32 is a safe bet, 46-51% drop. Is 27.74 away from 300m dom so that should be breached on Sunday even if it doesn't show a great hold on Friday.

 

302m after a 29m weekend puts in on track for 375m total. Would need to add 2.5x the weekend to it's cume.

so you are saying $400 M is out of reach ...

[JB33]

15 minutes ago, The Horror of Lucas Films said:

 

Check Audience's score, La Lrona isn't part of TCU.

I saw the film. It's TCU.

[keysersoze123]

Quote

Right now Spider-Man: Far From Home is eyeing an estimated $26.5M Friday, +6% over July 4th, and a 4-day running total of $117.9M.  Saturday is a coin toss whether this continues to spike with family matinees, or remain front-loaded. The safe projection is at a 2.83 multiple off Friday which would bring Far From Home‘s FSS to $75M. Some see it as high as $81M, so we’re looking at 3-day between $166M-$173M at 4,634 theaters.

https://deadline.com/2019/07/spider-man-far-from-home-july-4th-weekend-box-office-midsommar-1202641901/

 

Again big difference from @Charlie Jatinder early number?

 

Also

 

2. Toy Story 4 (Dis) 4,540 theaters (-35), $11.5M Fri (-33%),  $32.2M FSS (-46%), Total: $304.4M/Wk. 3

3. Yesterday (Uni) 2,614 theaters (+11), $3M Fri (-50%),  $9.2M FSS (-46%), Total: $35.3M/Wk. 2

4. Aladdin (Dis) 2,758 theaters (-477), $2.8M Fri (-7%),  $8.4M FSS (-17%), Total: $321.6M/Wk. 7

5. Annabelle Comes Home (NL/WB) 3,613 theaters, $2M Fri (-70%),  $6.1M FSS (-70%), Total: $46.5M/Wk. 2

6. Midsommar  (A24) 2,707 theaters, $2.1M Fri,  $5.9M FSS , Total: $10.2M/Wk. 1

Edited July 5, 2019 by keysersoze123

[poweranimals]

Only a 6% increase? What?

[ThomasNicole]

13 minutes ago, Sunny Max said:

so you are saying $400 M is out of reach ...

Not really... Deadline is saying $ 11.5M Friday for TS4. Could do $ 32-34M with this, which is just a 43-46% drop

 

But even with $ 30M, $ 400M could happen with good late legs. 

 

 

[Ms Lady Hawk]

9 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

https://deadline.com/2019/07/spider-man-far-from-home-july-4th-weekend-box-office-midsommar-1202641901/

 

Again big difference from @Charlie Jatinder early number?

 

Also

 

2. Toy Story 4 (Dis) 4,540 theaters (-35), $11.5M Fri (-33%),  $32.2M FSS (-46%), Total: $304.4M/Wk. 3

3. Yesterday (Uni) 2,614 theaters (+11), $3M Fri (-50%),  $9.2M FSS (-46%), Total: $35.3M/Wk. 2

4. Aladdin (Dis) 2,758 theaters (-477), $2.8M Fri (-7%),  $8.4M FSS (-17%), Total: $321.6M/Wk. 7

5. Annabelle Comes Home (NL/WB) 3,613 theaters, $2M Fri (-70%),  $6.1M FSS (-70%), Total: $46.5M/Wk. 2

6. Midsommar  (A24) 2,707 theaters, $2.1M Fri,  $5.9M FSS , Total: $10.2M/Wk. 1

Reading this thread and the analysis from you and a few others in the tracking thread and here, Deadline seems in line this time. However, that doesn’t mean it cannot go up significantly with the evening shows. This is its first Friday, so no telling how it will behave on weekends. I would also bet on a big Saturday regardless. That is a staple of MCU movies. In any event, 166-173 is a great start. That is unless you were one of the folks predicting 225-250. Clearly, it isn’t reaching that. But so what! 

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

1	SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME Sony / Columbia 4,634	N/A	$39,255,628 -- / $8,471 $39,255,628 / 1	$27,000,000 (estimate) -31.2% / $5,826 $66,255,628 / 2	$25,200,000 (estimate) -6.7% / $5,438 $91,455,628 / 3
2	TOY STORY 4 Buena Vista 4,557	$7,960,780 -59.3% / $1,740 $246,650,920 / 11	$10,164,415 +27.7% / $2,231 $256,815,335 / 12	$7,704,752 -24.2% / $1,691 $264,520,087 / 13	$7,737,457 +0.4% / $1,698 $272,257,544 / 14
3	YESTERDAY Universal 2,603	$2,017,125 -58% / $775 $19,027,175 / 4	$2,377,720 +17.9% / $913 $21,404,895 / 5	$2,019,815 -15.1% / $776 $23,424,710 / 6	$2,708,030 +34.1% / $1,040 $26,132,740 / 7
4	ANNABELLE COMES HOME Warner Bros. (New Line) 3,613	$2,558,215 -57.3% / $708 $33,662,397 / 6	$2,755,000 (estimate) +7.7% / $763 $36,417,397 / 7	$2,225,000 (estimate) -19.2% / $616 $38,642,397 / 8	$1,765,000 -20.7% / $489 $40,407,397 / 9
5	ALADDIN (2019) Buena Vista 3,028	$1,557,502 -50% / $481 $308,189,570 / 39	$1,825,610 +17.2% / $603 $310,015,180 / 40	$1,546,567 -15.3% / $511 $311,561,747 / 41	$1,627,869 +5.3% / $538 $313,189,616 / 42
6	MIDSOMMAR A24 2,585	N/A	N/A	$3,020,196 -- / $1,168 $3,020,196 / 1	$1,332,746 -55.9% / $516 $4,352,942 / 2
7	THE SECRET LIFE OF PETS 2 Universal 2,995	$1,193,695 -48.6% / $356 $132,626,130 / 25	$1,300,840 +9% / $434 $133,926,970 / 26	$983,825 -24.4% / $328 $134,910,795 / 27	$1,072,540 +9% / $358 $135,983,335 / 28
8	AVENGERS: ENDGAME Buena Vista 1,985	$873,149 -54.9% / $431 $842,763,046 / 67	$585,678 -32.9% / $295 $843,348,724 / 68	$624,819 +6.7% / $315 $843,973,543 / 69	$789,290 +26.3% / $398 $844,762,833 / 70
9	MEN IN BLACK INTERNATIONAL Sony / Columbia 3,663	$940,509 -55.4% / $257 $66,107,511 / 18	$787,438 -16.3% / $215 $66,894,949 / 19	$690,000 (estimate) -12.4% / $188 $67,584,949 / 20	$770,000 (estimate) +11.6% / $210 $68,354,949 / 21
10	ROCKETMAN Paramount 1,510	$545,415 -57% / $272 $84,785,677 / 32	$434,038 -20.4% / $217 $85,219,715 / 33	$460,000 (estimate) +6% / $305 $85,679,715 / 34	$715,000 (estimate) +55.4% / $474 $86,394,715 / 35
11	JOHN WICK: CHAPTER 3 - PARABELLUM Lionsgate/Summit 1,491	$433,524 -60.9% / $280 $161,822,957 / 46	$315,692 -27.2% / $212 $162,138,649 / 47	$370,000 (estimate) +17.2% / $248 $162,508,649 / 48	$495,000 (estimate) +33.8% / $332 $163,003,649 / 49
12	CHILD'S PLAY (2019) United Artists Releasing 1,707	$609,898 -55.4% / $203 $24,167,840 / 11	$558,762 -8.4% / $186 $24,726,602 / 12	$245,451 -56.1% / $144 $24,972,053 / 13	$289,686 +18% / $170 $25,261,739 / 14
-	LATE NIGHT Amazon Studios 871	$140,954 -57.1% / $162 $13,212,996 / 25	$104,985 -25.5% / $121 $13,317,981 / 26	$118,090 +12.5% / $136 $13,436,071 / 27	$213,475 +80.8% / $245 $13,649,546 / 28
-	SHAFT (2019)  Warner Bros. (New Line) 534	$169,545 -61.5% / $179 $19,019,975 / 18	$125,000 (estimate) -26.3% / $234 $19,144,975 / 19	$110,000 (estimate) -12% / $206 $19,254,975 / 20	$200,000 (estimate) +81.8% / $375 $19,454,975 / 21
-	GODZILLA: KING OF THE MONSTERS Warner Bros. 813	$324,956 -54.8% / $237 $106,991,678 / 32	$150,000 (estimate) -53.8% / $185 $107,141,678 / 33	$135,000 (estimate) -10% / $166 $107,276,678 / 34	$180,000 (estimate) +33.3% / $221 $107,456,678 / 35
-	PAVAROTTI CBS Films 265	$85,286 -53.4% / $296 $1,906,986 / 25	$360,696 +322.9% / $1,252 $2,267,682 / 26	$94,368 -73.8% / $356 $2,362,050 / 27	$151,578 +60.6% / $572 $2,513,628 / 28
-	THE OTHER SIDE OF HEAVEN 2: FIRE OF FAITH ArtAffects 205	$108,513 +147.5% / $529 $562,770 / 4	$88,083 -18.8% / $430 $650,853 / 5	$47,377 -46.2% / $231 $698,230 / 6	$90,220 +90.4% / $440 $788,450 / 7
-	DARK PHOENIX Fox 503	$230,152 -58.7% / $194 $63,939,808 / 25	$85,055 -63% / $169 $64,024,863 / 26	$84,148 -1.1% / $167 $64,109,011 / 27	$89,306 +6.1% / $178 $64,198,317 / 28
-	ECHO IN THE CANYON Greenwich 141	$34,769 -58.3% / $247 $1,533,755 / 39	$39,547 +13.7% / $280 $1,573,302 / 40	$44,249 +11.9% / $314 $1,617,551 / 41	$71,214 +60.9% / $505 $1,688,765 / 42
-	THE DEAD DON'T DIE Focus Features 325	$76,050 -55.6% / $138 $5,965,375 / 18	$42,830 -43.7% / $132 $6,008,205 / 19	$51,820 +21% / $159 $6,060,025 / 20	$56,805 +9.6% / $175 $6,116,830 / 21
-	BOOKSMART United Artists Releasing 160	$40,026 -65.9% / $243 $21,347,682 / 39	$29,591 -26.1% / $179 $21,377,273 / 40	$42,870 +44.9% / $268 $21,420,143 / 41	$53,978 +25.9% / $337 $21,474,121 / 42
-	MA (2019) Universal 245	$72,640 -59.3% / $155 $44,826,785 / 32	$33,815 -53.4% / $138 $44,860,600 / 33	$35,490 +5% / $145 $44,896,090 / 34	$42,885 +20.8% / $175 $44,938,975 / 35
-	BIGGEST LITTLE FARM Neon 122	$25,408 -55% / $208 $3,556,874 / 53	$24,137 -5% / $198 $3,581,011 / 54	$26,310 +9% / $216 $3,607,321 / 55	$40,254 +53% / $330 $3,647,575 / 56
-	WILD ROSE Neon 16	$6,660 -60.8% / $416 $133,807 / 11	$6,447 -3.2% / $403 $140,254 / 12	$8,961 +39% / $560 $149,215 / 13	$18,819 +110% / $1,176 $168,034 / 14
-	THE HUSTLE United Artists Releasing 85	$11,608 -71.1% / $100 $35,266,018 / 53	$13,364 +15.1% / $115 $35,279,382 / 54	$10,928 -18.2% / $129 $35,290,310 / 55	$18,067 +65.3% / $213 $35,308,377 / 56
-	A DOG'S JOURNEY Universal 140	$15,030 -49.2% / $100 $22,287,600 / 46	$17,740 +18% / $127 $22,305,340 / 47	$16,215 -8.6% / $116 $22,321,555 / 48	$16,605 +2.4% / $119 $22,338,160 / 49
-	DUMBO (2019) Buena Vista 103	$13,110 -47.1% / $109 $114,437,460 / 95	$18,802 +43.4% / $183 $114,456,262 / 96	$14,208 -24.4% / $138 $114,470,470 / 97	$15,680 +10.4% / $152 $114,486,150 / 98
-	APOLLO 11 Neon 4	$4,091 -54.9% / $1,023 $8,910,695 / 123	$1,668 -59.2% / $417 $8,912,363 / 124	$5,420 +224.9% / $1,355 $8,917,783 / 125	$7,404 +36.6% / $1,851 $8,925,187 / 126
-	AMAZING GRACE (2019) Neon 18	$2,022 -53.6% / $112 $4,420,784 / 207	$1,880 -7% / $104 $4,422,664 / 208	$1,523 -19% / $85 $4,424,187 / 209	$7,191 +372.2% / $400 $4,431,378 / 210
-	BREAKTHROUGH Fox 54	$3,524 -51.3% / $65 $40,699,312 / 76	$4,152 +17.8% / $77 $40,703,464 / 77	$3,594 -13.4% / $67 $40,707,058 / 78	$6,024 +67.6% / $112 $40,713,082 / 79
-	CAPTAIN MARVEL  Buena Vista 84	$5,274 -34.2% / $63 $426,815,917 / 116	$5,043 -4.4% / $60 $426,820,960 / 117	$4,076 -19.2% / $49 $426,825,036 / 118	$4,803 +17.8% / $57 $426,829,839 / 119

[ThomasNicole]

Family movies usually have bigger Friday jumps? I’m impressed with TS4 and specially Aladdin

 

TS4 jump 48% to reach $ 11.5m

Aladdin jump 72% to reach $ 2.8m

 

Let’s hope they both maintain these great numbers

[jj99]

17 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

https://deadline.com/2019/07/spider-man-far-from-home-july-4th-weekend-box-office-midsommar-1202641901/

 

Again big difference from @Charlie Jatinder early number?

 

Also

 

2. Toy Story 4 (Dis) 4,540 theaters (-35), $11.5M Fri (-33%),  $32.2M FSS (-46%), Total: $304.4M/Wk. 3

3. Yesterday (Uni) 2,614 theaters (+11), $3M Fri (-50%),  $9.2M FSS (-46%), Total: $35.3M/Wk. 2

4. Aladdin (Dis) 2,758 theaters (-477), $2.8M Fri (-7%),  $8.4M FSS (-17%), Total: $321.6M/Wk. 7

5. Annabelle Comes Home (NL/WB) 3,613 theaters, $2M Fri (-70%),  $6.1M FSS (-70%), Total: $46.5M/Wk. 2

6. Midsommar  (A24) 2,707 theaters, $2.1M Fri,  $5.9M FSS , Total: $10.2M/Wk. 1

 

Speechless at that Aladdin hold