Weekend Thread: Weekend Estimates - Jokah 55, Addams 30.3, Gemini 20.5, Abominable 6.2, Downton 4.9 | Parasite generates 125.4K PTA (highest since La La Land)

[Porthos]

29 minutes ago, grim22 said:

16 would give it 56-58M depending on Saturday. Addams looking at 30-32M, Gemini looking at O/U 20.

 

To put that Joker second weekend into perspective, that would have been an October OW record prior to last year.

 

1 minute ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

$100M DOM for Addams? That’s a major win for MGM/UA and animation this year.

Yes, I was just about to comment that 100m should be on the table for a Halloween theme friendly family film off a 30m OW.  Still want to see the Sat number, but this might be a pleasant surprise given it wasn't on 100m DOM Record Year radar (at least I don't think it was).

[charlie Jatinder]

India is looking like is under 15% drop for FSS and around 45% drop from 5 days opening frame which had Holiday on Wednesday. Simply outstanding. 

 

If India is getting this, rest of world will be better. Australia e.g. may be around 30-35% drop. 

 

That said, giving 45% drop gives 83mn, adding, I haven't checked, 15mn for France & Germany gets to almost 100mn FSS.

[RealLyre]

I figured Joker wouldn't come anywhere close to CM's 2nd weekend, low 50s is still not that bad for a DC film (which are usually very front-loaded with the exception of Wonder Woman). 

 

what a boring weekend though 

 

 

[RJ 95]

8 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

India is looking like is under 15% drop for FSS and around 45% drop from 5 days opening frame which had Holiday on Wednesday. Simply outstanding. 

 

If India is getting this, rest of world will be better. Australia e.g. may be around 30-35% drop. 

 

That said, giving 45% drop gives 83mn, adding, I haven't checked, 15mn for France & Germany gets to almost 100mn FSS.

Ex for big market potentially :

In Italy 10%

Spain 20-30%

UK 30-40%

Russia 40-50%

Mexico 40-50%

SK 50%

Japan >50 % because typhoon

Even for Indonesia it will also have below 50% drop crazy for superheroes movies. Never seen that before. Also most of Europe smaller will have good drop. Surely it reach 100 million OS weekend.

Edited October 12, 2019 by RJ 95

[Steele131]

14 minutes ago, RealLyre said:

I figured Joker wouldn't come anywhere close to CM's 2nd weekend, low 50s is still not that bad for a DC film (which are usually very front-loaded with the exception of Wonder Woman). 

 

what a boring weekend though 

 

 

Aquaman wasn’t front loaded either 😉

 

14 minutes ago, RealLyre said:

I figured Joker wouldn't come anywhere close to CM's 2nd weekend, low 50s is still not that bad for a DC film (which are usually very front-loaded with the exception of Wonder Woman). 

 

what a boring weekend though 

 

 

I mean CM opened 60M higher so I’m not sure why anyone expected it to get close

[cdsacken]

I won't harp on anyone if they are disappointed if it doesn't do 60m in the 2nd weekend. I was disappointed in the idea of 85 (considered it average) granted I did think 95 would be awesome..

 

Fact is let's say it's 55. That's a 42.9% drop. That's just outrageously good. 58m is literally under 40%

Edited October 12, 2019 by cdsacken

[boxofficeth]

With this kind of hold, Joker could challenge Aquaman or even WW to be in the top 5 of highest grossing DC movies of all time!

[Porthos]

Was it commented on that TLK had an expansion for some reason this weekend?

 

Quote

October 11
Updated Thursday afternoons
 

<< Prev. Week < Last Year	View Index	Next Year > Next Week >>
Rank LW Title Distributor Theater Count Change % Change Est. Screens Change Est. Shows Change Week # > NEW RELEASES 2 - The Addams Family (2019) United Artists Releasing 4,007 - - - - - - 1 3 - Gemini Man Paramount 3,642 - - - - - - 1 7 - Jexi Lionsgate 2,332 - - - - - - 1 22 - High Strung Free Dance Atlas Distribution 105 - - - - - - 1 36 - Little Monsters (2019) Neon 7 - - - - - - 1 38 - Parasite (2019) Neon 3 - - - - - - 1 > EXPANDING 10 9 The Lion King (2019) Buena Vista 1,687 +653 +63.2% - - - - 13 12 8 Judy Roadside Attractions 1,627 +169 +11.6% - - - - 3 19 41 Lucy in the Sky Fox Searchlight 198 +161 +435.1% - - - - 2 27 47 Where's My Roy Cohn? Sony Classics 57 +31 +119.2% - - - - 4 29 37 Monos Neon 47 +2 +4.4% - - - - 5 32 79 Pain and Glory Sony Classics 23 +19 +475.0% - - - - 2 35 68 Fiddler: A Miracle of Miracles Roadside Attractions 11 +3 +37.5% - - - - 8 37 92 Mr. Klein (2019 re-release) Rialto 6 +4 +200.0% - - - - 6 > NO CHANGE 1 1 Joker (2019) Warner Bros. 4,374 - - - - - - 2 25 32 The Goldfinch Warner Bros. 86 - - - - - - 5 > DECLINING 4 2 Abominable Universal 3,496 -752 -17.7% - - - - 3 5 3 Downton Abbey Focus Features 3,019 -529 -14.9% - - - - 4 6 5 Hustlers STX Entertainment 2,357 -673 -22.2% - - - - 5 8 4 It: Chapter Two Warner Bros. (New Line) 2,303 -860 -27.2% - - - - 6 9 7 Rambo: Last Blood Lionsgate 1,831 -1,069 -36.9% - - - - 4 11 6 Ad Astra Fox 1,678 -1,232 -42.3% - - - - 4 13 10 Good Boys Universal 374 -632 -62.8% - - - - 9 14 15 Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark Lionsgate 346 -231 -40.0% - - - - 10 15 14 The Peanut Butter Falcon Roadside Attractions 304 -319 -51.2% - - - - 10 16 12 Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw Universal 301 -381 -55.9% - - - - 11 17 11 Angel has Fallen Lionsgate 288 -543 -65.3% - - - - 8 18 17 Dora and the Lost City of Gold Paramount 224 -257 -53.4% - - - - 10 20 23 Toy Story 4 Buena Vista 189 -54 -22.2% - - - - 17 21 19 Brittany Runs a Marathon Amazon Studios 110 -238 -68.4% - - - - 8 23 26 47 Meters Down: Uncaged Entertainment Studios 97 -48 -33.1% - - - - 9 24 29 The Art of Racing in the Rain Fox 89 -14 -13.6% - - - - 10 26 28 Aladdin (2019) Buena Vista 73 -32 -30.5% - - - - 21 28 27 Ready or Not Fox Searchlight 52 -73 -58.4% - - - - 8 30 38 The Farewell A24 39 -1 -2.5% - - - - 14 31 45 Honeyland Neon 24 -7 -22.6% - - - - 12 33 49 The Fighting Preacher Purdie Distribution 14 -10 -41.7% - - - - 12 34 48 Out of Liberty Purdie Distribution 13 -12 -48.0% - - - - 5

Quote

10

9

The Lion King (2019)

Buena Vista

1,687

+653

+63.2%

-

-

-

-

13

 

Trying to secure 550m???  Kinda a bit far away to hit it though, right?

 

Any other reason for a mini-expansion here?  Besides just Disney saying "We can do it, so why not?"

[cdsacken]

18 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Was it commented on that TLK had an expansion for some reason this weekend?

 

 

Trying to secure 550m???  Kinda a bit far away to hit it though, right?

 

Any other reason for a mini-expansion here?  Besides just Disney saying "We can do it, so why not?"

Taking advantage of a super weak openers and joker doesn't really compete with it?

Edited October 12, 2019 by cdsacken

[filmlover]

2 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Was it commented on that TLK had an expansion for some reason this weekend?

 

 

Trying to secure 550m???  Kinda a bit far away to hit it though, right?

 

Any other reason for a mini-expansion here?  Besides just Disney saying "We can do it, so why not?"

Monday is Columbus Day, which is a day off for many schools, so they probably wanted to see if they could get one more week out of it. It's only playing 1-2 shows a day everywhere around here.

[Ryan Reynolds]

ADDAMS FAMILY (2019), THE

GEMINI MAN (2019)

JEXI (2019)

 

[Porthos]

3 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

Taking advantage of a super week openers and joker doesn't really compete with it?

Basically "we can do it, so why not" then?  Kinda refreshing to see a mini-expansion just to take advantage of a weak time instead of shooting for a dollar goal or holiday.

 

Though, I suppose Columbus Day/Indigenous Peoples' Day followed by Canadian Thanksgiving is a holiday, if not nearly on the level of Labor Day and the like.

 

Interesting to see, nonetheless.

[Porthos]

8 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Monday is Columbus Day, which is a day off for many schools, so they probably wanted to see if they could get one more week out of it. It's only playing 1-2 shows a day everywhere around here.

Yeah, I thought of that along with Thanksgiving in Canada while typing up my last post.

 

Is it usual to see a Disney expansion here though?  Going by the last few years, doesn't look like it.

Edited October 12, 2019 by Porthos

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, Porthos said:

Yeah, I thought of that along with Thanksgiving in Canada while typing up my last post.

 

Is it usual to see a Disney expansion here though?  Going by the last few years, doesn't look like it.

Christopher Robin got a re-expansion last year adding almost a thousand theaters back.

[Cap]

16 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Any other reason for a mini-expansion here?  Besides just Disney saying "We can do it, so why not?"

They went OUT on @YourMother the Edgelord's Frozen II > TLK thread, and are starting to sweat it. 

[Porthos]

1 minute ago, filmlover said:

Christopher Robin got a re-expansion last year adding almost a thousand theaters back.

That was last weekend, last year wasn't it?

 

*checks*

Oh, I see.  Columbus Day was on the 8th last year.  That's why I didn't see it on my rudimentary check.  Fair enough then.

[Porthos]

6 minutes ago, captainwondyful said:

They went OUT on @YourMother the Edgelord's Frozen II > TLK thread, and are starting to sweat it. 

Petty intra-studio rivalries are the worst type of rivalries. 

Edited October 12, 2019 by Porthos

[boxofficeth]

24 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Was it commented on that TLK had an expansion for some reason this weekend?

 

 

Trying to secure 550m???  Kinda a bit far away to hit it though, right?

 

Any other reason for a mini-expansion here?  Besides just Disney saying "We can do it, so why not?"

Any news if TLK will go double feature with Maleficient2 next wknd? 

[Porthos]

Just now, boxofficeth said:

Any news if TLK will go double feature with Maleficient2 next wknd? 

My local drive-in reports super late (Tue of release week or so), but it seems fairly logical.  It's the most recent Disney flick out there and TS4 already had its drive-in push (when TLK launched, natch).

[La Binoche]

How's Judy doing? It's turning into the little movie that could of the Fall Season.