NEW YEAR WEEKDAYS THREAD: New Year Day Final Trend P 26. Happy New Year.

[ZackM]

10 minutes ago, The Fast and the Furiosa said:

A lot of companies will honor the holiday on the Monday if it falls on the weekend

Duh...I'm dumb.

[sfran43]

Film (Distributor)	Weekend Gross	Total Gross	% Change	Week #
1	Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (Disney)	$33.5 M	$449.0 M	-54%	3
2	Jumanji: The Next Level (Sony / Columbia)	$24.5 M	$233.0 M	-31%	4
3	Little Women (Sony / Columbia)	$12.2 M	$57.5 M	-27%	2
4	The Grudge (Sony / Screen Gems)	$11.2 M	$11.2 M	NEW	1
5	Frozen II (Disney)	$11.0 M	$449.0 M	-35%	7
6	Spies in Disguise (Disney / Fox)	$9.2 M	$44.7 M	-31%	2
7	Knives Out (Lionsgate)	$7.8 M	$129.0 M	-21%	6
8	Uncut Gems (A24)	$5.8 M	$34.5 M	-39%	4
9	Bombshell (Lionsgate)	$3.4 M	$23.7 M	-29%	4
10	Cats (Universal)	$2.4 M	$24.4 M	-50%	3

[Zakiyyah6]

I remember they predicted 91mil for TROS second weekend. Should be closer this weekend of course.

Edited January 2, 2020 by Zakiyyah6

[charlie Jatinder]

 

4 hours ago, sfran43 said:

-snip-

I will go with $28mn TRoS, $24mn Jumanji and $10.5mn Frozen 2. 

Edited January 2, 2020 by Jedi Jat

[ZackM]

35M or gtfo

[Menor the Destroyer]

31.5 is where I'd expect it and 490 million full run. Although it has kept missing my projections so could go lower.

Edited January 2, 2020 by Menor

[#ED]

Il take the high ground. 35M.

[Warlock]

My guess for the weekend:

TLJ - 29m

Jumanji3 - 23.5m

Little Women 12m

Frozen2 - 9.5m

 

Looking forward to see what happens.

 

[ZackM]

What would a 29M weekend even look like?  9-12-8?

[Legion Again]

6 minutes ago, ZackM said:

What would a 29M weekend even look like?  9-12-8?

Very pessimistic scenario would be like, 16-8-9.6-12-6.9, 28.5 weekend.

[charlie Jatinder]

5 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said:

Very pessimistic scenario would be like, 16-8-9.6-12-6.9, 28.5 weekend.

$9.46

$11.07

$6.87

 

[Legion Again]

2 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

$9.46

$11.07

$6.87

 

Optimistic Sunday, no?

[Menor the Destroyer]

29 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said:

Very pessimistic scenario would be like, 16-8-9.6-12-6.9, 28.5 weekend.

That doesn't seem hugely pessimistic. Friday and Saturday bumps will probably be shit compared to comps just like last week.

[MrGlass2]

10 hours ago, a2k said:

pro.BO weekend forecast

optimistic for SW,

Actually, according to Forbes, the optimistic forecast is $47M.

[junkshop36]

Film	Distributor	3-Day Weekend Forecast	Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, January 5	% Change from Last Wknd
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker	Disney / Lucasfilm	$36,600,000	$454,600,000	-49%
Jumanji: The Next Level	Sony / Columbia	$20,000,000	$226,500,000	-43%
Little Women (2019)	Sony / Columbia	$12,900,000	$57,800,000	-23%
Frozen II	Disney	$11,500,000	$450,200,000	-32%
Spies In Disguise	Fox	$9,000,000	$45,100,000	-33%
The Grudge	Sony / Columbia	$8,500,000	$8,500,000	NEW
Knives Out	Lionsgate	$7,100,000	$126,800,000	-28%
Uncut Gems	A24	$6,700,000	$35,600,000	-30%
Bombshell	Lionsgate	$3,300,000	$23,400,000	-31%
Cats	Universal	$2,600,000	$24,100,000	-46%

---

boxofficepro.com predicts for the weekend

[charlie Jatinder]

New Year Day Actuals

 

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker	16.79
Jumanji: The Next Level	10.77
Little Women	5.17
Frozen 2	4.95
Spies in Disguise	4.30
Knives Out	3.43
Uncut Gems	3.05
Bombshell	1.48
Cats	1.24
Richard Jewell	1.12

[Warlock]

I predict Cats to overachieve at $3m+! 😉

 

Edit: Well now I've seen Jedi Jat's stats, I feel like there is zero chance of that happening. 

Edited January 2, 2020 by Warlock

[DeeCee]

Damn! I’m watching Rogue One and I just realised I forgot to watch The Aeronauts before Prime expired. 

[a2k]

 

Wed	1 Jan 20	16.8	26.2%	407.6
Thu	2 Jan 20	8.5	-49.4%	416.1	53.8
Fri	3 Jan 20	10.8	27.1%	426.9
Sat	4 Jan 20	14.7	36.1%	441.6
Sun	5 Jan 20	8.5	-42.2%	450.1	34.0	-53.1%

 

450.1 + 34.0*1.8 = 511

[NCsoft]

6 minutes ago, DeeCee said:

Damn! I’m watching Rogue One and I just realised I forgot to watch The Aeronauts before Prime expired. 

I forgot that the Aeronauts existed altogether....