NEW YEAR WEEKDAYS THREAD: New Year Day Final Trend P 26. Happy New Year.

[DeeCee]

And here is my intermittent reminder that there is a TV sub forum. 
 

https://forums.boxofficetheory.com/forum/17-tv-shows/

 

It includes all of the streaming TV shows from Netflix, Apple, Prime, Disney etc. 

[dxmatrixdt]

.

Edited June 26, 2020 by abusive brainwashed Christ

[1Robert1]

12 hours ago, Brainbug said:

 

Thats correct but you didnt say that in your post. And if its not clear that you want to show a list of only first-release-adjusted runs, that can lead to confusion.

What is confusing in my statement that ,,It's safe to say that TROS wouldn't reach half of TFA.''?

[dxmatrixdt]

.

Edited June 15, 2020 by abusive brainwashed Christ

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

1 hour ago, Jedi Jat said:

New Year Day Actuals

 

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker	16.79
Jumanji: The Next Level	10.77
Little Women	5.17
Frozen 2	4.95
Spies in Disguise	4.30
Knives Out	3.43
Uncut Gems	3.05
Bombshell	1.48
Cats	1.24
Richard Jewell	1.12

Not as high as Wolf of Wall Street’s New Years Day of 5.6m but happy LW cracked 5. That’s good, right?

[lorddemaxus]

18 minutes ago, moms 4 opiuM 4 college said:

Aeronauts looking at any nominations?

Nope. I would say its looking at zero nominations.

[dxmatrixdt]

.

Edited June 26, 2020 by abusive brainwashed Christ

[lorddemaxus]

2 minutes ago, moms 4 opiuM 4 college said:

why?

Lack of campaigning from Amazon, terribly distributed, and mediocre reviews. Hasn't done well in any of the precursors as well. 

[wildphantom]

If TROS is close to $450 million at the end of the weekend, I can’t see how it misses $500 million. 

[DeeCee]

I know it’s been said before but what is the Empire’s issue with safety rails?  Do they just not care about OH&S?

[1Robert1]

1 hour ago, wildphantom said:

If TROS is close to $450 million at the end of the weekend, I can’t see how it misses $500 million. 

In 2013 with same calendar Hobbit din't make 2x of 3-5 weekend. So far TROS had worse legs than Hobbit.

[Valonqar]

Disney is going to get TROS to 500M if they have to. They'll AWIT the shit out of it. That said, it's likely crossing 500M but won't go much further. Maybe 510-520M tops?

[misafeco]

4 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

Disney is going to get TROS to 500M if they have to. They'll AWIT the shit out of it. That said, it's likely crossing 500M but won't go much further. Maybe 510-520M tops?

Tue: 13.1M (TLJ: 27.7M)
Wed: 16.8M (TLJ: 21.8M)
Thu: 8.8M (-48%) (TLJ: 19.5M)

At this point TLJ is 48.5M ahead of TROS

 

TLJ 3rd weekend was 52.5M. Let's say TROS has a 32.3M weekend (which is optimistic, need very good Fri/Sat jumps). Monday will be 3M at best, while TLJ had NYD 14.3M.

 

TLJ at this point was at close to 540M and added 80M more.

TROS is 80M behind (460M) with considerably lower dailies. In this case 500 would probably not be a problem, but not much higher. If the weekend is worse than expected (28M or so) I think we can start worrying about 500M.

[TalismanRing]

4 hours ago, Jedi Jat said:

New Year Day Actuals

 

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker	16.79
Jumanji: The Next Level	10.77
Little Women	5.17
Frozen 2	4.95
Spies in Disguise	4.30
Knives Out	3.43
Uncut Gems	3.05
Bombshell	1.48
Cats	1.24
Richard Jewell	1.12

Holds From Christmas

 

SW: -47.9%

J3:  -14.2%

LW:  - 19.6%

F2:   +19.37%

SiD:  -9.7%

KO:  -6%

UG: -48%

Bombshell: -27.2%
RJ:  -20.3%

 

Domestically, KO ($119m) has passed Mal 2 and Dumbo ($114m) - on it's way to $128-29m this w/e and then passing OUATIH ($140m), Shazam and Pikachu ($144m).  Has a shot at Pets 2 ($158m) and Dragon 3 ($160)- especially if it gets any significant  awards wins or Oscar noms.

[stripe]

As some already pointed, SW9 is headed to 510-520M. Best case scenario is Rogue One DOM. Not dread territory, neither a gross to be proud of. Anyways, some here act like if it's easy to reach 500M+. Adjusted is more or less the same as Episode 2 and 3.

[Brainbug]

4 hours ago, 1Robert1 said:

What is confusing in my statement that ,,It's safe to say that TROS wouldn't reach half of TFA.''?

 

I dont wanna make a fuss about this but the bold part wasnt the confusing part. It was you saying "all-time adjusted DOM chart", where you should have added that its first-runs only. Thats all

[Valonqar]

1 hour ago, misafeco said:

Tue: 13.1M (TLJ: 27.7M)
Wed: 16.8M (TLJ: 21.8M)
Thu: 8.8M (-48%) (TLJ: 19.5M)

At this point TLJ is 48.5M ahead of TROS

 

TLJ 3rd weekend was 52.5M. Let's say TROS has a 32.3M weekend (which is optimistic, need very good Fri/Sat jumps). Monday will be 3M at best, while TLJ had NYD 14.3M.

 

TLJ at this point was at close to 540M and added 80M more.

TROS is 80M behind (460M) with considerably lower dailies. In this case 500 would probably not be a problem, but not much higher. If the weekend is worse than expected (28M or so) I think we can start worrying about 500M.

 

 

 

to the rescue!

 

Edited January 2, 2020 by Valonqar

[Lordmandeep]

14 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

 

 

 

to the rescue!

 

06/28/2009

 

Lest We Forget 

[Valonqar]

1 minute ago, Lordmandeep said:

06/28/2009

 

Lest We Forget 

legendary. 

[CJohn]

Is Jumanji still on track for 300M DOM? I really want a 3rd one after that ending.