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Weekend Thread: Thursday Night Preview - The Grudge $1.8M w/ an F Cinemascore LMAO

By sfran43, in Numbers and Data

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Posted by Eric Duncan,

Golden Globes thread is now up. It's gonna be way more interesting than this Star Wars talk, so go on ahead and jump ship.    
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Eric Duncan Global Phenomenon

Eric Duncan

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https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-tracking-does-the-invisible-man-show-breakout-potential-updates-on-bad-boys-for-life-dolittle-and-more/

 

8-Week Tracking and Forecasts

Release Date Title 3-Day (FSS) Opening Tracking Range 3-Day (FSS) Opening Forecast % Chg from Last Week Domestic Total Range Domestic Total Forecast % Chg from Last Week Distributor
1/10/2020 1917 (Wide) $24,000,000 – $29,000,000 $27,000,000 13% $90,000,000 – $120,000,000 $100,000,000 6% Universal / DreamWorks
1/10/2020 Just Mercy (Wide) $11,000,000 – $16,000,000 $12,000,000 -14% $45,000,000 – $65,000,000 $51,000,000 -14% Warner Bros.
1/10/2020 Like a Boss $15,000,000 – $20,000,000 $13,500,000 -21% $45,000,000 – $60,000,000 $45,000,000 -12% Paramount
1/10/2020 Underwater $5,000,000 – $10,000,000 $6,500,000   $12,000,000 – $25,000,000 $14,000,000 -22% Fox
1/17/2020 Bad Boys for Life $21,000,000 – $31,000,000 $32,000,000 28% $70,000,000 – $100,000,000 $85,000,000 33% Sony / Columbia
1/17/2020 Dolittle $25,000,000 – $45,000,000 $28,000,000 -30% $90,000,000 – $140,000,000 $102,000,000 -30% Universal
1/24/2020 The Gentlemen $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $12,000,000   $30,000,000 – $50,000,000 $38,000,000   STX
1/24/2020 The Last Full Measure   n/a     n/a   Roadside Attractions
1/24/2020 Run   n/a     n/a   Lionsgate / Summit
1/24/2020 The Turning $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $14,000,000   $25,000,000 – $40,000,000 $38,000,000   Universal
1/31/2020 Gretel and Hansel $5,000,000 – $10,000,000 $5,500,000   $10,000,000 – $20,000,000 $11,000,000   United Artists Releasing
1/31/2020 The Rhythm Section $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $12,000,000   $30,000,000 – $45,000,000 $38,000,000   Paramount
2/7/2020 Birds of Prey (and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn) $40,000,000 – $60,000,000 $49,000,000   $100,000,000 – $150,000,000 $125,000,000   Warner Bros.
2/14/2020 Fantasy Island $17,000,000 – $22,000,000 $17,000,000   $44,000,000 – $57,000,000 $44,000,000   Sony / Columbia
2/14/2020 The Photograph $13,000,000 – $18,000,000 $15,000,000   $30,000,000 – $42,000,000 $35,000,000   Universal
2/14/2020 Sonic the Hedgehog $20,000,000 – $30,000,000 $26,000,000   $65,000,000 – $100,000,000 $86,000,000   Paramount
2/21/2020 Brahms: The Boy 2 $7,000,000 – $12,000,000 $8,000,000   $15,000,000 – $28,000,000 $17,800,000   STX
2/21/2020 Call of the Wild $15,000,000 – $20,000,000 $15,000,000   $50,000,000 – $65,000,000 $50,000,000   Fox
2/28/2020 The Invisible Man $20,000,000 – $40,000,000 $30,000,000 NEW $60,000,000 – $105,000,000 $80,000,000 NEW Universal
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JB33 Blockbuster

JB33

Posted
Posted
33 minutes ago, Eric Laurence said:

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-tracking-does-the-invisible-man-show-breakout-potential-updates-on-bad-boys-for-life-dolittle-and-more/

 

8-Week Tracking and Forecasts

Release Date Title 3-Day (FSS) Opening Tracking Range 3-Day (FSS) Opening Forecast % Chg from Last Week Domestic Total Range Domestic Total Forecast % Chg from Last Week Distributor
1/10/2020 1917 (Wide) $24,000,000 – $29,000,000 $27,000,000 13% $90,000,000 – $120,000,000 $100,000,000 6% Universal / DreamWorks
1/10/2020 Just Mercy (Wide) $11,000,000 – $16,000,000 $12,000,000 -14% $45,000,000 – $65,000,000 $51,000,000 -14% Warner Bros.
1/10/2020 Like a Boss $15,000,000 – $20,000,000 $13,500,000 -21% $45,000,000 – $60,000,000 $45,000,000 -12% Paramount
1/10/2020 Underwater $5,000,000 – $10,000,000 $6,500,000   $12,000,000 – $25,000,000 $14,000,000 -22% Fox
1/17/2020 Bad Boys for Life $21,000,000 – $31,000,000 $32,000,000 28% $70,000,000 – $100,000,000 $85,000,000 33% Sony / Columbia
1/17/2020 Dolittle $25,000,000 – $45,000,000 $28,000,000 -30% $90,000,000 – $140,000,000 $102,000,000 -30% Universal
1/24/2020 The Gentlemen $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $12,000,000   $30,000,000 – $50,000,000 $38,000,000   STX
1/24/2020 The Last Full Measure   n/a     n/a   Roadside Attractions
1/24/2020 Run   n/a     n/a   Lionsgate / Summit
1/24/2020 The Turning $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $14,000,000   $25,000,000 – $40,000,000 $38,000,000   Universal
1/31/2020 Gretel and Hansel $5,000,000 – $10,000,000 $5,500,000   $10,000,000 – $20,000,000 $11,000,000   United Artists Releasing
1/31/2020 The Rhythm Section $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $12,000,000   $30,000,000 – $45,000,000 $38,000,000   Paramount
2/7/2020 Birds of Prey (and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn) $40,000,000 – $60,000,000 $49,000,000   $100,000,000 – $150,000,000 $125,000,000   Warner Bros.
2/14/2020 Fantasy Island $17,000,000 – $22,000,000 $17,000,000   $44,000,000 – $57,000,000 $44,000,000   Sony / Columbia
2/14/2020 The Photograph $13,000,000 – $18,000,000 $15,000,000   $30,000,000 – $42,000,000 $35,000,000   Universal
2/14/2020 Sonic the Hedgehog $20,000,000 – $30,000,000 $26,000,000   $65,000,000 – $100,000,000 $86,000,000   Paramount
2/21/2020 Brahms: The Boy 2 $7,000,000 – $12,000,000 $8,000,000   $15,000,000 – $28,000,000 $17,800,000   STX
2/21/2020 Call of the Wild $15,000,000 – $20,000,000 $15,000,000   $50,000,000 – $65,000,000 $50,000,000   Fox
2/28/2020 The Invisible Man $20,000,000 – $40,000,000 $30,000,000 NEW $60,000,000 – $105,000,000 $80,000,000 NEW Universal

Funny how both the films expanding wide on the 10th will probably out-open the new wide releases. That's January for you. The best films are usually the the limited releases from December expanding wide.

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dudalb Global Phenomenon

dudalb

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Posted
14 minutes ago, Warlock said:

Are they really remaking Call of the Wild? WHY???

Because, to be honest, no one has really managed to do a good job of filming the Jack London novel.

Of course, whether this succeeds any better is an open question.

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dudalb Global Phenomenon

dudalb

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Looking ahead,  It is going to interesting to see how the events of the last 48 Hours might impact Top Gun 2. Real wars tend to hurt :Rah Rah war films at the box office. If all hell does break loose in the middle east, the producers have a lot to worry about.

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MattW Box Office Gold

MattW

Posted
Posted
8 minutes ago, dudalb said:

Because, to be honest, no one has really managed to do a good job of filming the Jack London novel.

Of course, whether this succeeds any better is an open question.

It's been a while since I read the book, but my memory is telling me that it's not a very open question.

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Jiffy Sleeper Hit

Jiffy

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Posted

Again, part of Skywalker falling behind Last Jedi has a lot to do with Christmas and New Year’s Day falling later in the latter’s run, which boosted grosses greatly. Friday for the J.J. Abrams-directed movie looks like $11.1M, -57%, still at 4,406 theaters.

 

Okay but did they not realize this last weekend...

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filmlover Cinematic Universe

filmlover

Posted
Posted
7 hours ago, CJohn said:

The Grudge is absolutely atrocious. I still can't beliebe they gathered such a massive amount of talent in front and behind the cameras only to come up with this boring piece of garbage.

Everyone needs a paycheck from time to time.

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stealthyfrog Sleeper Hit

stealthyfrog

Posted
Posted
3 hours ago, Eric Laurence said:

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-tracking-does-the-invisible-man-show-breakout-potential-updates-on-bad-boys-for-life-dolittle-and-more/

 

8-Week Tracking and Forecasts

Release Date Title 3-Day (FSS) Opening Tracking Range 3-Day (FSS) Opening Forecast % Chg from Last Week Domestic Total Range Domestic Total Forecast % Chg from Last Week Distributor
1/10/2020 1917 (Wide) $24,000,000 – $29,000,000 $27,000,000 13% $90,000,000 – $120,000,000 $100,000,000 6% Universal / DreamWorks
1/10/2020 Just Mercy (Wide) $11,000,000 – $16,000,000 $12,000,000 -14% $45,000,000 – $65,000,000 $51,000,000 -14% Warner Bros.
1/10/2020 Like a Boss $15,000,000 – $20,000,000 $13,500,000 -21% $45,000,000 – $60,000,000 $45,000,000 -12% Paramount
1/10/2020 Underwater $5,000,000 – $10,000,000 $6,500,000   $12,000,000 – $25,000,000 $14,000,000 -22% Fox
1/17/2020 Bad Boys for Life $21,000,000 – $31,000,000 $32,000,000 28% $70,000,000 – $100,000,000 $85,000,000 33% Sony / Columbia
1/17/2020 Dolittle $25,000,000 – $45,000,000 $28,000,000 -30% $90,000,000 – $140,000,000 $102,000,000 -30% Universal
1/24/2020 The Gentlemen $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $12,000,000   $30,000,000 – $50,000,000 $38,000,000   STX
1/24/2020 The Last Full Measure   n/a     n/a   Roadside Attractions
1/24/2020 Run   n/a     n/a   Lionsgate / Summit
1/24/2020 The Turning $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $14,000,000   $25,000,000 – $40,000,000 $38,000,000   Universal
1/31/2020 Gretel and Hansel $5,000,000 – $10,000,000 $5,500,000   $10,000,000 – $20,000,000 $11,000,000   United Artists Releasing
1/31/2020 The Rhythm Section $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $12,000,000   $30,000,000 – $45,000,000 $38,000,000   Paramount
2/7/2020 Birds of Prey (and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn) $40,000,000 – $60,000,000 $49,000,000   $100,000,000 – $150,000,000 $125,000,000   Warner Bros.
2/14/2020 Fantasy Island $17,000,000 – $22,000,000 $17,000,000   $44,000,000 – $57,000,000 $44,000,000   Sony / Columbia
2/14/2020 The Photograph $13,000,000 – $18,000,000 $15,000,000   $30,000,000 – $42,000,000 $35,000,000   Universal
2/14/2020 Sonic the Hedgehog $20,000,000 – $30,000,000 $26,000,000   $65,000,000 – $100,000,000 $86,000,000   Paramount
2/21/2020 Brahms: The Boy 2 $7,000,000 – $12,000,000 $8,000,000   $15,000,000 – $28,000,000 $17,800,000   STX
2/21/2020 Call of the Wild $15,000,000 – $20,000,000 $15,000,000   $50,000,000 – $65,000,000 $50,000,000   Fox
2/28/2020 The Invisible Man $20,000,000 – $40,000,000 $30,000,000 NEW $60,000,000 – $105,000,000 $80,000,000 NEW Universal

Dolittle about to live up to its name

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catlover Box Office Gold

catlover

Posted
Posted (edited)
6 hours ago, The Horror of Lucas Films said:

 

IT Chapter 1, opened $50m higher, and was released in the worst month for legs and it got a better multiple. Opening huge isn't an excuse for bad multiples, A Quiet Place broke the record for biggest OW for an Original Horror movie and delivered an 3.5x in April, facing stronger competition than US had. 

If you follow box office, you know you can't compare Us to IT and A Quiet Place. Both are the exceptions. They overperformed and surprised everyone. You can't expect every original horror movie with good reviews that opens big to have the same kind of legs. Us was treated like a follow up, so there was a rush factor, hence its big OW was relevant in this case. The legs for Us were good for what it was. It's just that some people's expectations were too high, so when it didn't meet theirs, they called it "bad".

Edited by catlover
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