babz06 Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 31 minutes ago, Frozen said: Fantasy Island still has no reviews on a Friday. Lol. does it need reviews? This is a walk-up type of movie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blaze Heatnix Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 Sonic's numbers are good for a movie based on a game. Besides, I'm sure these numbers might go up, considering Deadline's predictions aren't always right. All in all, Sonic was a great surprise and full of heart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 OD PS in the morning MTC1 - overall 3551 shows 115754/589735 1494058.69 1221194.21 post 6PM 1678 shows 64025/273385 861761.81 678634.56 MTC2 - overall 3413 shows 106066/521732 1098840.46 887265.57post 6PM 1225 shows 50651/185574 607461.56 429621.54 If it hits 500K+ between 2 chains by end of day I would say 16-17m friday. I think friday numbers for other chains normalize. MTC1 normally under indexes on a friday. I think it had a limited previews release outside big chains. 4 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAJK Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 1 minute ago, keysersoze123 said: OD PS in the morning MTC1 - overall 3551 shows 115754/589735 1494058.69 1221194.21 post 6PM 1678 shows 64025/273385 861761.81 678634.56 MTC2 - overall 3413 shows 106066/521732 1098840.46 887265.57post 6PM 1225 shows 50651/185574 607461.56 429621.54 If it hits 500K+ between 2 chains by end of day I would say 16-17m friday. I think friday numbers for other chains normalize. MTC1 normally under indexes on a friday. I think it had a limited previews release outside big chains. 16-17 is true Friday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 3 minutes ago, DAJK said: 16-17 is true Friday? Yes. But only if it goes that high. That needs 280K tickets sold today. Definitely possible considering pace of ticket sales yesterday for previews. But I will try to update in the afternoon if that is too high. @ZackM data for MTC4 will also tell if OD is trending way higher. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 Crapshoot im thinking 45/55 for 3/4day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Horror of Lucas Films Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 It better reach at least $60m on the 4 days, I want it to cross $200m DOM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FilmBuff Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 Shameless plug, but this is some of the best video game video ever. Could listen to it all day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 Still on 60+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blaze Heatnix Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 Well, that Will Ferrell movie is getting a terrible CinemaScore, isn't it? From Deadline: "PostTrak audiences did not like the movie with a half-star and low 19% definite recommend." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorddemaxus Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, Blaze Heatnix said: Well, that Will Ferrell movie is getting a terrible CinemaScore, isn't it? From Deadline: "PostTrak audiences did not like the movie with a half-star and low 19% definite recommend." It's a crappy remake of a film American audiences probably would have hated. Of course, they didn't like this film. Another fox flop I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TMP Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 14 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said: It's a crappy remake of a film American audiences probably would have hated. Of course, they didn't like this film. Another fox flop I guess. Written by Jesse Armstrong tho... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZackM Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 29 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: Yes. But only if it goes that high. That needs 280K tickets sold today. Definitely possible considering pace of ticket sales yesterday for previews. But I will try to update in the afternoon if that is too high. @ZackM data for MTC4 will also tell if OD is trending way higher. Doing some extrapolation, Sonic only did about $105K at MTC4 yesterday. As of 11:30AM EST, it's sitting at $183K for D-1. 5 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 3 minutes ago, TMP said: Written by Jesse Armstrong tho... If you're interested brave the one inch barrier and watch the original https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/force_majeure_2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonwo Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 $3m is solid for Sonic and a much needed win for Paramount. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric Duncan Posted February 14, 2020 Author Share Posted February 14, 2020 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwoMisfits Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said: OD PS in the morning MTC1 - overall 3551 shows 115754/589735 1494058.69 1221194.21 post 6PM 1678 shows 64025/273385 861761.81 678634.56 MTC2 - overall 3413 shows 106066/521732 1098840.46 887265.57post 6PM 1225 shows 50651/185574 607461.56 429621.54 If it hits 500K+ between 2 chains by end of day I would say 16-17m friday. I think friday numbers for other chains normalize. MTC1 normally under indexes on a friday. I think it had a limited previews release outside big chains. Knowing how much MTC 1/2 overindexed Thursday, what's the lowest true Friday number you can imagine? I don't think it will normalize as much as you expect, just b/c why pay $60 for a family of 4 at a Regal when you can take 4 TMobile tickets from Atom for $16? Although, I admit, Valentine's Day is the huge wildcard - would this actually draw for the holiday over other movies? When folks walk up, are they gonna say "it's Valentine's Day, honey, let's get a viewing of the new Sonic movie?:)" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stephanos13 Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 18 minutes ago, Eric the Hedgehog said: Mandalorian did it first with Baby Yoda 😅 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 OD PS Update Photograph MTC1 - overall 1993 shows 55965/305190 719259.50 574878.72 post 6PM 1011 shows 41276/155175 553927.42 434301.76 MTC2 - overall 1645 shows 32370/226073 337839.18 253923.33 post 6PM 699 shows 21900/95255 253666.26 176169.33 Excellent growth since yesterday night. Should have very good OD. I would say 7-8 OD. Fantasy Island MTC1 - overall 1426 shows 29746/192299 403277.29 325727.07 post 6PM 711 shows 21645/101344 313895.65 250410.73 MTC2 - overall 1501 shows 25456/187700 261926.24 197705.43 post 6PM 640 shows 16711/80653 192123.41 133285.82 Probably looking at 4-5m OD. 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric Duncan Posted February 14, 2020 Author Share Posted February 14, 2020 https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-box-office-tracking-no-time-to-die-007-james-bond/ 8-Week Tracking and Forecasts Release Date Title 3-Day (FSS) Opening Tracking Range 3-Day (FSS) Opening Forecast % Chg from Last Week Domestic Total Range Domestic Total Forecast % Chg from Last Week Distributor 2/21/2020 Brahms: The Boy 2 $6,000,000 – $11,000,000 $7,000,000 -13% $13,000,000 – $25,000,000 $15,500,000 -13% STX 2/21/2020 Call of the Wild $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $13,000,000 $35,000,000 – $50,000,000 $44,000,000 20th Century Studios 2/28/2020 The Invisible Man $20,000,000 – $40,000,000 $30,000,000 $60,000,000 – $105,000,000 $80,000,000 Universal 3/6/2020 Onward $50,000,000 – $70,000,000 $60,000,000 $175,000,000 – $250,000,000 $227,000,000 Disney / Pixar 3/6/2020 The Way Back $8,000,000 – $13,000,000 $10,000,000 -23% $25,000,000 – $45,000,000 $33,500,000 -23% Warner Bros. 3/13/2020 Bloodshot $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $12,000,000 -14% $25,000,000 – $38,000,000 $30,000,000 -17% Sony / Columbia 3/13/2020 The Hunt $8,000,000 – $13,000,000 $10,500,000 NEW $20,000,000 – $33,000,000 $25,000,000 NEW Universal 3/13/2020 I Still Believe $13,000,000 – $18,000,000 $14,500,000 $44,000,000 – $59,000,000 $49,000,000 Lionsgate 3/13/2020 My Spy $8,000,000 – $13,000,000 $9,000,000 -10% $25,000,000 – $45,000,000 $32,400,000 -10% STX 3/20/2020 A Quiet Place Part II $60,000,000 – $80,000,000 $72,000,000 $140,000,000 – $190,000,000 $168,000,000 Paramount 3/27/2020 Mulan $40,000,000 – $60,000,000 $46,000,000 $115,000,000 – $170,000,000 $132,000,000 Disney 4/3/2020 The Lovebirds $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $12,000,000 $35,000,000 – $50,000,000 $42,000,000 Paramount 4/3/2020 The New Mutants $15,000,000 – $25,000,000 $17,000,000 $35,000,000 – $55,000,000 $37,000,000 20th Century Studios 4/3/2020 Peter Rabbit 2: The Runaway $14,000,000 – $19,000,000 $18,500,000 $65,000,000 – $85,000,000 $71,000,000 Sony / Columbia 4/10/2020 No Time to Die $75,000,000 – $100,000,000 $88,000,000 NEW $200,000,000 – $290,000,000 $269,000,000 NEW MGM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
