Weekend Thread: Candyman 22.37M OW | Free Guy 13.5M, PAW Patrol 6.6M, Jungle Cruise 5M

[Eric Loves Rey]

 

Just barely above the mark lol

[Inceptionzq]

32 minutes ago, DC Rich said:

Am I missing something or am I not reading this correctly?

You’re looking at August releases only. So BW, F9, JC are not included for 2021. For 2019, TLK, FFH, TS4 are not included, but it includes the entire run of August releases. Click “more filters” and change it to Calendar grosses.

[DC Rich]

9 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

You’re looking at August releases only. So BW, F9, JC are not included for 2021. For 2019, TLK, FFH, TS4 are not included, but it includes the entire run of August releases. Click “more filters” and change it to Calendar grosses.

 

 

Thanks.  I knew something was screwy when I was looking at it.  When BOM was showing it year by year it went by in month releases.  But when I clicked on each year it changed it to calendar grosses without me noticing it therefore messing up my thought process.  Again thanks to you and Barnack for clarification.  And apologies to titanic2187.  

[Legion Again]

“Sun drop will shows the legs” squad feeling 😬 with that -39%   
 

Doesn’t feel too bad to me, this was a pretty school night Sunday. But that also emphasizes how the Sat bump (8.6% with actuals) was regular/perhaps on the weak side of reguar.

[Legion Again]

On 8/27/2021 at 2:49 PM, Lokis Legion said:

I doubt it goes below a 2.8 true IM even with weak reception. 1.9+6.5*2.8-> 20.1

Speaking of actuals the true IM came in at 2.75

[Krissykins]

Universal were off on that Sunday number, they had -29% I think. Friday was underestimated too. Glad it stayed above $22m. 
 

Paw Patrol was the only film to drop under 30% on Sunday. We’re officially moving out of Summer. 

Edited August 30, 2021 by Krissykins

[Legion Again]

Pretty big actuals drop for FG (still a great weekend though). The numbers doesn’t have the splits yet but seems like another “well, guess summer is over” Sun.

[ThomasNicole]

 

 

All hail the box office queen

 

 

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Does anyone know Searchlight's rollout plan for Tammy Faye? It doesn't seem like a film they platform for weeks, could go wide the 17th. Battle of the Sexes was limited for a week then went wide the following

[WrathOfHan]

19 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

Does anyone know Searchlight's rollout plan for Tammy Faye? It doesn't seem like a film they platform for weeks, could go wide the 17th. Battle of the Sexes was limited for a week then went wide the following

The Numbers lists it as wide. It'll probably get 2-2.2k theaters since there will be very few holdovers.

Edited August 30, 2021 by WrathOfHan

[RRA]

5 hours ago, Krissykins said:

This still hasn’t reached its production budget worldwide. Glad that the studios are being more lenient considering the pandemic though. 

If going by announcements/reports so far for summer ‘21 stuff, JC and FG and Cruella* are getting sequels. What else am I missing?

 

(Didn’t include F9 since F10 was known beforehand.)

 

*=If we include streaming, add Tomorrow War at Amazon.

[tonytr87]

1 hour ago, RRA said:

If going by announcements/reports so far for summer ‘21 stuff, JC and FG and Cruella* are getting sequels. What else am I missing?

 

(Didn’t include F9 since F10 was known beforehand.)

 

*=If we include streaming, add Tomorrow War at Amazon.

 

Cruella and Jungle Cruise likely made enough on Disney Plus in addition to justify the sequels. Free Guy is the rare original hit with franchise potential, so naturally they're going to pounce on that. 

[tonytr87]

On 8/29/2021 at 4:10 PM, CJohn said:

King Richard was definitly gonna be a big leggy hit. I was thinking 26-28M OW and a total of 120-130M in a normal market.

 

Matrix will suffer from being easily available for free. I think people will prefer to see options not available online or on streaming, like No Way Home.

 

I'm still so confused by WB's strategy here. They're not adding subs anymore, not to any significant degree anyway, and it's been proven that they're losing tons of money by going day-and-date, mostly because of piracy. Suicide Squad being the biggest example. How do they justify continuing the simultaneous thing? They're guaranteeing that Dune, King Richard, and likely even Matrix 4 will suffer immensely because of it. 

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

With a 200m budget for Jungle Cruise, it basically needed 500. Even if we’re generous and consider smaller marketing costs, at least 450. It’s currently at 186 WW.   I don’t think it’s done nearly 300m with Disney+.

 

I guess the reason for sequel is the potential the film showed. 

[TwoMisfits]

16 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

With a 200m budget for Jungle Cruise, it basically needed 500. Even if we’re generous and consider smaller marketing costs, at least 450. It’s currently at 186 WW.   I don’t think it’s done nearly 300m with Disney+.

 

I guess the reason for sequel is the potential the film showed. 

 

It could be another "Scarlett" lawsuit payout like Emma got...no need to piss off the 2 stars of Jungle Cruise when you can settle it by overpaying them for a 2nd movie (and giving them an extra payment for the original while you negotiate the sequel)...

[Porthos]

Finals [except for WB and A24]:

 

Weekend Domestic Chart for August 27, 2021

Register with The Numbers for free to customize this chart.

← Previous Chart

Chart Index

		Movie	Distr	Gross	%LW	Thr	Thr Chng	Per Thr	Total Gross	W
1	N	Candyman	Universal	$22,001,750		3,569		$6,165	$22,001,750	1
2	(1)	Free Guy	20th Cent…	$13,162,906	-29%	3,940	-225	$3,341	$78,918,186	3
3	(2)	PAW Patrol: The Movie	Paramount…	$6,656,341	-49%	3,189	+5	$2,087	$24,112,621	2
4	(3)	Jungle Cruise	Walt Disney	$5,002,136	-21%	3,370	-205	$1,484	$100,092,318	5
5	(4)	Don’t Breathe 2	Sony Pict…	$2,861,598	-43%	2,703	-302	$1,059	$24,605,880	3
6	(5)	Respect	United Ar…	$2,242,329	-40%	2,607	-600	$860	$19,715,793	3
7	(6)	The Suicide Squad	Warner Bros.	$2,035,000	-40%	2,436	-490	$835	$52,778,867	4
8	(7)	The Protégé	Lionsgate	$1,631,042	-44%	2,577	n/c	$633	$5,705,279	2
9	(8)	The Night House	Searchlig…	$1,206,568	-58%	2,240	n/c	$539	$5,168,146	2
10	(10)	Old	Universal	$840,810	-27%	1,136	-411	$740	$46,513,080	6
11	(9)	Reminiscence	Warner Bros.	$820,000	-58%	3,265	n/c	$251	$3,513,503	2
12	(11)	Black Widow	Walt Disney	$786,550	-29%	1,050	-290	$749	$181,462,957	8
13	N	A Rescue of Little Eggs	Lionsgate	$428,034		320		$1,338	$428,034	1
-	(12)	The Green Knight	A24	$319,669	-44%	552	-273	$579	$16,583,161	5
-	(14)	Stillwater	Focus Fea…	$260,400	-43%	739	-287	$352	$14,047,370	5
-	(-)	The Boss Baby: Family…	Universal	$206,650	+1%	585	-409	$353	$56,843,390	9
-	(-)	F9: The Fast Saga	Universal	$120,730	-45%	537	-320	$225	$172,739,905	10
-	N	Together	Bleecker …	$100,066		250		$400	$100,066	1
-	(-)	12 Mighty Orphans	Sony Pict…	$60,255	+460%	255	+230	$236	$3,615,193	12
-	(-)	Cruella	Walt Disney	$57,685	-3%	65	-15	$887	$86,027,011	14
-	(-)	Flag Day	United Ar…	$56,008	+30%	24	n/c	$2,334	$114,662	2
-	(-)	The Lost Leonardo	Sony Pict…	$37,763	+103%	36	+25	$1,049	$86,742	3
-	(-)	Raging Fire	Well Go USA	$30,869	-37%	18	-19	$1,715	$285,128	3
-	(-)	The Forever Purge	Universal	$29,665	-63%	298	-73	$100	$44,427,440	9
-	(-)	Death Rider in the Ho…	Atlas Dis…	$27,658	+821%	223	+222	$124	$31,175	2
-	(-)	Pig	Neon	$26,382	-26%	57	-4	$463	$3,138,899	7
-	(-)	Escape From Mogadishu	Well Go USA	$21,245	-27%	10	-2	$2,125	$252,913	4
-	(-)	Nine Days	Sony Pict…	$14,517	-49%	37	-27	$392	$629,668	5
-	(-)	La piscine	Rialto Pi…	$12,087	+226%	5	+3	$2,417	$176,526	16
-	(-)	Swan Song	Magnolia …	$7,652	-31%	27	-7	$283	$102,423	4
-	(-)	Confetti	Dada Films	$6,158	-49%	10	-14	$616	$24,960	2
-	(-)	Ailey	Neon	$5,594	-29%	20	-13	$280	$188,581	6
-	(-)	Summer of Soul (…Or, …	Searchlig…	$5,032	-40%	12	-8	$419	$2,316,090	9
-	(-)	Cryptozoo	Magnolia …	$4,713	-63%	24	-21	$196	$24,821	2
-	(-)	Ema	Music Box…	$4,516	-57%	18	-9	$251	$41,698	3
-	(-)	Even in Dreams	Purdie Di…	$3,927	+12,990%	12	+11	$327	$14,172	4
-	(-)	Once I Was Engaged	Purdie Di…	$3,077	-45%	10	-2	$308	$252,833	6
-	(-)	Demonic	IFC Midnight	$2,667	-93%	27	-58	$99	$57,149	2
-	(-)	Witnesses	Purdie Di…	$860	-66%	3	-3	$287	$853,466	13
-	(-)	White as Snow	Dada Films	$446	-87%	3	-11	$149	$7,604	3
-	(-)	The Meaning of Hitler	IFC Films	$410	-78%	5	-4	$82	$11,442	3
-	(-)	Mama Weed	Music Box…	$244	-18%	3	+1	$81	$27,964	7
-	(-)	John and the Hole	IFC Films	$224		3		$75	$25,047	4
-	(-)	Summer of 85	Music Box…	$71		1		$71	$70,706	11
		44		$61,102,304

[Barnack]

12 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

it by overpaying them for a 2nd movie (and giving them an extra payment for the original while you negotiate the sequel)...

That part (like on the Twilight sequels) was more when the first movie was heavy co-financed and now that the risk was gone the studio financed more if not all of the sequel and wanted to rise the cost of the first entry to reduce the share going to co-investor I think, for Disney it risk to not change much of anything to use that little trick (and I imagine that loop hole was closed, both not having an option to opt-in in the sequels and trying to hide the price of sequels in the original after the fact).

 

32 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

With a 200m budget for Jungle Cruise, it basically needed 500. Even if we’re generous and consider smaller marketing costs, at least 450. It’s currently at 186 WW.   I don’t think it’s done nearly 300m with Disney+.

 

I guess the reason for sequel is the potential the film showed. 

 

Sequel should always go for potential, there is some nepotism that install itself and to keep a good reputation and they can greenlight a bad potential sequel, but it should not be purely based on the theatrical success of the first entry.

 

 

Has for how much a movie has to do, there is not a WW hard rules like that necessarily, a very domestic heavy non china release like JC from a studio that has the best rentals deals like Disney will not have the same bar than some others, specially if it has high synergy with the Parks side of the business and help them.

[MOVIEGUY]

42 minutes ago, tonytr87 said:

 

I'm still so confused by WB's strategy here. They're not adding subs anymore, not to any significant degree anyway, and it's been proven that they're losing tons of money by going day-and-date, mostly because of piracy. Suicide Squad being the biggest example. How do they justify continuing the simultaneous thing? They're guaranteeing that Dune, King Richard, and likely even Matrix 4 will suffer immensely because of it. 

Cause that's what they said they were going to do and by gum they're sticking to it? I don't get it either

[lilmac]

Awesome performance by Candyman. Great holds for Free Guy and Jungle Cruise!

[RRA]

1 hour ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

With a 200m budget for Jungle Cruise, it basically needed 500. Even if we’re generous and consider smaller marketing costs, at least 450. It’s currently at 186 WW.   I don’t think it’s done nearly 300m with Disney+.

 

I guess the reason for sequel is the potential the film showed. 

If they’re using this mentality (which makes sense) then that’s potentially good news for SC.