Weekend Thread (8/12-14) | Estimates: Train 13.4, Pets 7.17, TGM 7.15, Thor 5.31, Nope 5.3 | Bodies 3.25, Fall 2.5, Laal Singh 1.8, Mack 1.09, E.T. 1.07

[Eric the Ape]

1 hour ago, grim22 said:

Was discussing this on discord the other day. It's a bit surprising no studio has tried to become a Blumhouse for romcoms.

 

Sign up and coming actors to 3-4 movies with escalating paychecks and a few bigger names with profit participation like Ethan Hawke does for his cheap horror movies.

 

Each romcom budgeted under 10M with the logic being that if the movies are successful the actors will be built up for future movies while making the studio a brand unto itself.

 

The occasional big budget romcom with bigger names when you can afford to take a risk as well. Blumhouse has shown this works for horror, someone just needs to translate it towards romcoms. Feels like there's a chance a good romcom can still make 40-50M theatrical.

Will Packer had a good thing going with cheap studio comedies for about 7 years, but then he just kinda stopped. Albeit granted he was tied up with his Oscars ceremony, but it’s weird he hasn’t come back or anybody has filled in his shoes. Can’t be that expensive to make these kinds of movies right?

[CJohn]

Nope and Beast both bombed OS. Not a surprise but still sad to see it.

[Valonqar]

@grim22 Yes studios and more and more directors are filling the star void as well. A24 has its fans. Not so long ago, only big movie directors had fans, now you have rabid fandoms for Aster and Eggers where fans show up for director's movie rather than actor that headlines it. Which doesn't mean star system may not come back just that we are in different stardom phase now.

[Jiffy]

Does anyone know will TGM be losing the PLF screens it added again at the end of this week?

[Jiffy]

Still rue those Wed/Thurs near misses for $1m since with the PLF boost there is a chance it stays above $1m for Mon/Tue this week.

 

[robertman2]

7 minutes ago, Jiffy said:

Does anyone know will TGM be losing the PLF screens it added again at the end of this week?

Dragon Ball is getting them

[CaptNathanBrittles]

2 hours ago, CoolioD1 said:

i think it looks fine. it doesn't look any worse than a bunch of the romcom hits that came out at the peak of that genre. people always saying the romcom should make a comeback but they were the marvel movies of their day in that twenty years ago people on internet forums were decrying them as the death of cinema.

 

The peak of romantic comedies were the '30-'50s when masters like Lubitsch, Capra, Hawks and Wilder were delivering masterpiece after masterpiece. The 90s were just a pale imitation of them as evidenced by the prevalence of mediocre remakes of films from that era - YOU'VE GOT MAIL, SABRINA, BORN YESTERDAY etc...

[wildphantom]

I’m assuming Nope opened fine in the U.K., despite the insanely hot weather we’ve had this weekend? It’ll have legs, but  the weather would have hit it a bit, for sure. 

[wildphantom]

1 hour ago, CaptNathanBrittles said:

 

The peak of romantic comedies were the '30-'50s when masters like Lubitsch, Capra, Hawks and Wilder were delivering masterpiece after masterpiece. The 90s were just a pale imitation of them as evidenced by the prevalence of mediocre remakes of films from that era - YOU'VE GOT MAIL, SABRINA, BORN YESTERDAY etc...

there’s no disagreement from me on those filmmakers, who were the kings of the genre. 
 

yet I love me some You’ve Got Mail. That was a holiday movie in the genre that totally delivered. We can only wish we got one as good as that again. 

[MikeQ]

Terrific legs from Top Gun: Maverick. Sitting at a 5.32 multiplier right now, and will end up with 5.52+ ($700M+), which is just remarkable. 

 

Best Multipliers Ever for $70+ Million Opening Films (Friday Openers):

1. Avatar (2009) — 77.0 million (9.73)
2. Top Gun: Maverick (2022) — 126.7 million (5.32)^
3. Finding Nemo (2003) — 70.3 million (4.84)
4. Zootopia (2016) — 75.1 million (4.55)
5. Wonder Woman (2017) — 103.3 million (4.00)
6. Inside Out (2015) — 90.4 million (3.94)
7. American Sniper (2015) — 89.3 million (3.92)
8. Aladdin (2019) — 91.5 million (3.89)
9. Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015) — 248.0 million (3.78)
10. Toy Story 3 (2010) — 110.3 million (3.76)
11. The Incredibles (2004) — 70.5 million (3.71)
12. Despicable Me 3 (2017) — 72.4 million (3.65)
13. Finding Dory (2016) — 135.1 million (3.60)
14. Toy Story 4 (2019) — 120.9 million (3.59)
15. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (2012) — 84.6 million (3.58)
16. The Secret Life of Pets (2016) — 104.4 million (3.53)
17. The Jungle Book (2016) — 103.3 million (3.53)
18. Guardians of the Galaxy (2014) — 94.3 million (3.53)
19. Harry Potter and the Sorceror’s Stone (2001) — 90.3 million (3.52)
20. Spider-Man (2002) — 114.8 million (3.52)
21. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug (2013) — 73.6 million (3.51)
22. Joker (2019) — 96.2 million (3.49)
23. Black Panther (2018) — 202.0 million (3.47)
24. Skyfall (2012) — 88.4 million (3.44)
25. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (2016) — 155.1 million (3.43)

^Run not yet complete

Peace,

Mike

[Jonan23]

As remarkable as Top Gun's domestic performance has been, I have been even more impressed with the foreign totals and holds it has had 

[belblazer]

 

[LonePirate]

Rogue One is getting an IMAX re-release on the 26th. I wonder if it will be splitting showtimes like this weekend’s ET re-release.

[filmlover]

8 hours ago, LonePirate said:

Rogue One is getting an IMAX re-release on the 26th. I wonder if it will be splitting showtimes like this weekend’s ET re-release.

Probably not since the selling point of the re-release is exclusive footage from Andor but apparently it's only getting select IMAX screens.

[Felandria]

The Numbers is showing Pets’s estimate is down to $7 million even, so looks like Maverick will get second place after all

[Felandria]

On 8/14/2022 at 12:56 PM, wildphantom said:

I went to see Crawdads this afternoon. Very pleasant little movie. Anyways, I saw the trailer for that Clooney/Roberts/Kaitlyn Dever comedy that’s coming out?
 

Good god George and Julia look like they’ve taken a covid paycheck for that.  Maybe they thought the movies really were dead when they signed up for it? Who knows, the movie might be good but it’s an awful trailer. Mortifying for them actually. 

Everyone I’ve talked to, myself included, thought the trailer looked hilarious.

 

I have high hopes for it.

[M37]

20 minutes ago, Felandria said:

The Numbers is showing Pets’s estimate is down to $7 million even, so looks like Maverick will get second place after all

All of the updated estimates today show around a 30% drop for Sun (shocker! 😉), and TGM was estimated at -25%, so could come down as well, be very close 

[Flopped]

On 8/14/2022 at 9:56 AM, wildphantom said:

I went to see Crawdads this afternoon. Very pleasant little movie. Anyways, I saw the trailer for that Clooney/Roberts/Kaitlyn Dever comedy that’s coming out?
 

Good god George and Julia look like they’ve taken a covid paycheck for that.  Maybe they thought the movies really were dead when they signed up for it? Who knows, the movie might be good but it’s an awful trailer. Mortifying for them actually. 

 

Apparently the Roberts/Clooney Roberts movie tested great. 

[CaptNathanBrittles]

TOP GUN: MAVERICK HIGHWAY TO $700M DAY 79

 

BLACK PANTHER: $20.7m ahead

TOP GUN 2 GAIN: +$1.4m

 

CURRENT SEA LEVEL: $679.2m

LOCK ON BOGEY: $686.62m

AVERAGE (LAST 28 DAYS): $692.52m

 

TOP GUN: MAVERICK HIGHWAY TO $700M DAY 80

 

BLACK PANTHER: $19.5m ahead

TOP GUN 2 GAIN: +$1.2m

 

CURRENT SEA LEVEL: $680.4m

LOCK ON BOGEY: $691.27m

AVERAGE (LAST 28 DAYS): $693.17m (+0.09% YD)

 

I have excluded the days prior to the last time the average was below its current total. Those figures aren't relevant now.

[Jiffy]

TGM goes to 5th biggest 12th weekend (slightly below MBFGW) with actuals.