Avatar: The Way of Water | 16 DEC 2022 | Don't worry guys, critics like it

[The GOAT]

25 minutes ago, AnotherDayAnotherDollar said:

What about Avatar vs Maverick Domestic? Right now I honestly don't see Avatar making more than Marverick domestic.

I can definitely see it. Christmas Season usually yields the biggest returns and OW multipliers due to long winter legs. This is not even counting the return to 3D theatre. 

 

Edit:

Edited August 30, 2022 by The GOAT

[SchumacherFTW]

37 minutes ago, The GOAT said:

I can definitely see it. Christmas Season usually yields the biggest returns and OW multipliers due to long winter legs. This is not even counting the return to 3D theatre. 

 

Edit:

Why did I always think it had 9 weeks at number 1 rather than 7.

[Deuce66]

1 hour ago, AnotherDayAnotherDollar said:

What about Avatar vs Maverick Domestic? Right now I honestly don't see Avatar making more than Marverick domestic.

 

I think it will depend on the buzz/word of mouth generated from the Avatar re-release, the upcoming trailer(s) and reviews for WoWater. 

 

I think they would be very happy to go over $700 million domestic. A worst case scenario imo is a 50% drop from the original to $375 million that would be a poor result. 

 

2022: Top Gun will probably hit close to $720 million

2021: Spiderman $805 m

2019: Avengers Endgame $858 m

2018: Black Panther $700 m

2017: Star Wars VIII $620 m

2016: Rogue One $532 m

[Deep Wang]

1 hour ago, AnotherDayAnotherDollar said:

What about Avatar vs Maverick Domestic? Right now I honestly don't see Avatar making more than Marverick domestic.

 

I'm not on board some of these crazy numbers, but come on, there's no way it misses $101m domestic!

[Avatar Research]

Hello every one I hope you are having a fantastic day. I am a YouTuber that makes videos on various topics. I am making a video on the -box office history of Avatar- and I have in doing my research read through this entire thread. I will be profiling various users here and there opinions. I just wanted to say that if you would prefer your name and pfp to be hidden to let me know with a message. My videos gets tens of thousands of views so I wanted to make sure that I did not annoy anyone by showing their name and pfp while sharing the posts. 

 

The main users I will be profiling and fall into kind of two categories are

 

Deep Wang/SchumacherFTW/Eric/ZeeSoh/Maggie/Reddroast/4815162342/DeeCee/Charlie Jatinder/Ozymandias

 

Iron Jimbo/Kalel009shel/TomCruiseTop/Avatree/Porthos/WittyUsername/Elessar/hw64/Lothar/Valonqar/PureSpirit/NCSoft/IsaacNewton

 

I have spent a lot of time on this and hope people enjoy it. I will be releasing it in December when I hope attention is highest. Thank you for so much materials and thanks for reading. 

[Eric Lasagna]

[Elessar]

I'm gonna be famous! My tenure on this forum has finally paid off.

Edited August 30, 2022 by Elessar

[Ozymandias]

eyo my posts gonna be on youtube hell yeah

[WittyUsername]

Now I’ll finally know what it’s like to be a celebrity

[4815162342]

 

 

[Deep Wang]

2 hours ago, Avatar Research said:

Hello every one I hope you are having a fantastic day. I am a YouTuber that makes videos on various topics. I am making a video on the -box office history of Avatar- and I have in doing my research read through this entire thread. I will be profiling various users here and there opinions. I just wanted to say that if you would prefer your name and pfp to be hidden to let me know with a message. My videos gets tens of thousands of views so I wanted to make sure that I did not annoy anyone by showing their name and pfp while sharing the posts. 

 

The main users I will be profiling and fall into kind of two categories are

 

Deep Wang/SchumacherFTW/Eric/ZeeSoh/Maggie/Reddroast/4815162342/DeeCee/Charlie Jatinder/Ozymandias

 

Iron Jimbo/Kalel009shel/TomCruiseTop/Avatree/Porthos/WittyUsername/Elessar/hw64/Lothar/Valonqar/PureSpirit/NCSoft/IsaacNewton

 

I have spent a lot of time on this and hope people enjoy it. I will be releasing it in December when I hope attention is highest. Thank you for so much materials and thanks for reading. 

That’s weird that there would be two categories of users and I wouldn’t be in the same group as @IronJimbo and @TomCruiseTop!

 

I can’t imagine why this is!!!

[Reddroast]

13 minutes ago, Deep Wang said:

That’s weird that there would be two categories of users and I wouldn’t be in the same group as @IronJimbo and @TomCruiseTop!

 

I can’t imagine why this is!!!

I have no idea either. Could it be because we actually are making reasonable predictions about it's gross

[Porthos]

3 hours ago, Avatar Research said:

The main users I will be profiling and fall into kind of two categories are

 

Deep Wang/SchumacherFTW/Eric/ZeeSoh/Maggie/Reddroast/4815162342/DeeCee/Charlie Jatinder/Ozymandias

 

Iron Jimbo/Kalel009shel/TomCruiseTop/Avatree/Porthos/WittyUsername/Elessar/hw64/Lothar/Valonqar/PureSpirit/NCSoft/IsaacNewton

 

I have spent a lot of time on this and hope people enjoy it. I will be releasing it in December when I hope attention is highest. Thank you for so much materials and thanks for reading. 

 

*sees the group I'm in*

 

 

...

 

tbf, I suspect they're thinking the same about me. 

Edited August 31, 2022 by Porthos

[4815162342]

3 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

*sees the group I'm in*

 

 

...

 

tbf, I suspect they're thinking the same about me. 

 

Navi are blue

 

Cad Bane is blue

 

Ergo, Cad Bane supports Avatar 2

[WittyUsername]

16 minutes ago, Reddroast said:

I have no idea either. Could it be because we actually are making reasonable predictions about it's gross

If that’s the case, I’m not sure why I’d be in the other group. I don’t recall making any especially outlandish predictions, like that it would cross a billion domestically. 

[Porthos]

2 minutes ago, 4815162342 said:

 

Navi are blue

 

Cad Bane is blue

 

Ergo, Cad Bane supports Avatar 2

 

[Reddroast]

29 minutes ago, 4815162342 said:

 

Navi are blue

 

Cad Bane is blue

 

Ergo, Cad Bane supports Avatar 2

Or they could think cad bane is a navi

[Reddroast]

6 minutes ago, Reddroast said:

Or they could think cad bane is a navi

Which is funny because I have mightcrawler as my PFP

[charlie Jatinder]

4 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

OS-C: At current exchange rates, I am coming around $1.55-1.6B. Expand the range with $1.5-1.65B.

 

	Country	Gross (in $)	Gross (in lc)	Admits	Admits (Avatar)
Asia	India	$75.00	₹6,000	20.00	9.00
	South Korea	$125.00		13.00	13.40
	Japan	$100.00	¥14,000	8.50	10.30
	Taiwan	$35.00		3.50	3.40
	Hong Kong	$25.00		1.70	1.40
	South East Asia	$155.00		34.00	10.00
	Middle East	$112.00		10.25	5.50
	Russia/CIS	$5.00		1.25	14.25
	Rest	$6.00		1.50	0.50
Oceania	Australia	$79.00	AU$115	6.25	7.50
	New Zealand	$11.00		1.00	1.10
Europe	UK	$133.00	£115	11.00	11.50
	France	$120.00	€120	11.75	14.80
	Germany	$100.00	€100	9.00	11.30
	Italy	$45.00	€45	6.00	7.50
	Spain	$50.00	€50	6.50	9.50
	Netherlands	$18.00	€18	1.40	1.70
	Nordic	$56.50		3.50	4.00
	Rest	$107.50		15.00	18.00
Latin America	Mexico	$60.00	MXN $1,200	16.00	10.20
	Brazil	$60.00	R$330.00	15.00	9.10
	Rest	$90.00		20.00	12.50
Africa	Africa	$10.00		2.00	1.70
	Total	$1,578.00		218.10	188.15

 

Have assumed that it won't release in Russia. Developed markets i.e. Europe, Japan, Oceania am expecting drop in admits around 10-25%.

 

China: Can see it doing both $600M and $900M i.e. around 75-100M admits.

 

DOM: Avatar had around 75M admits. Conventionally that would mean around 55M for sequel, which shall be around $750-800M but if TGM can do 60M and more importantly NWH can do 67M, I don't see why Avatar 2 can't. So around $800-1050M with 55-70M admits.

 

WW: $2.9-3.6B with 340-400M admits.

 

If release in Russia, take another $65-75M or so.

 

Edited August 31, 2022 by charlie Jatinder

[interiorgatordecorator]

22 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

 

 

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TH-Ls41nH4q1ap1ZLLdtIL7ZvBZLUPNyCBnGymiERFE/edit#gid=424252602

 

you have endgame at 391 and titanic at 403

so according to you a non-zero it breaks the admissions record

very cool

 

 

do you have a prediction for the re-release?

Edited August 31, 2022 by interiorgatordecorator