The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[charlie Jatinder]

Will cross $100mn pre-sales today.

 

Edit: ohh wait. Its Thursday in USA. Stupid time. Consider it Friday, its Friday in here.

 

Edited April 18, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder

[Biggestgeekever]

2 minutes ago, MattW said:

Deathly Hallows 2 jumped the equivalent of about 50m over DH1 in today's dollars, but then I believe 3D was a big part of that and I'm not sure how much the effect was.  Episode 3 jumped over Ep2 about 50m (for the 4 day opening for both movies) as well adjusting both up to today's prices, in that case though 3 years had passed. Not apples to apples in either case but the opportunity seems to be there.

Another comparison is Return of the King. It came out one year later and similarly to Endgame, was 20 minutes longer than The Two Towers. That had a 5-day opening 21.5% higher, which just directly applying gets you to ~$312M OW. 

[charlie Jatinder]

The first $100mn film had 3x multiplier

The first $200mn film had 3x multiplier

 

Can the first $300mn get that.

 

Weirdly first 150 and 250 films didn't had 3x.

[fabiopazzo2]

Just now, Charlie Jatinder said:

The first $100mn film had 3x multiplier

The first $200mn film had 3x multiplier

 

Can the first $300mn get that.

 

Weirdly first 150 and 250 films didn't had 3x.

900M DOM! 

[XXR vs XXR]

8 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Will cross $100mn pre-sales today.

 

 

Final around $130m?

[charlie Jatinder]

Just now, VenomXXR said:

 

Final around $130m?

Yes. I will say so.

[Legion Again]

2 minutes ago, Biggestgeekever said:

Another comparison is Return of the King. It came out one year later and similarly to Endgame, was 20 minutes longer than The Two Towers. That had a 5-day opening 21.5% higher, which just directly applying gets you to ~$312M OW. 

RotK is a good comp for this movie overall, as a super long runtime epic conclusion to a globally popular narrative with an extremely well received predecessor just a year earlier. Similar DOM bump would be 753M, similar OS bump 1.74 OS

[Litio]

Mods, @DeeCee @grim22 why do not you create a unique topic for the tracking of Endgame and post the link here until the week of release? An event needs to be treated uniquely.

[charlie Jatinder]

4 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

RotK is a good comp for this movie overall, as a super long runtime epic conclusion to a globally popular narrative with an extremely well received predecessor just a year earlier. Similar DOM bump would be 753M, similar OS bump 1.74 OS

I ship these numbers. $150mn over exchange rate adjusted Avatar. 

[charlie Jatinder]

1 minute ago, Litio said:

Mods, @DeeCee @grim22 why do not you create a unique topic for the tracking of Endgame and post the link here until the week of release? An event needs to be treated uniquely.

Good idea. And now is a good time as well.

[FlashMaster659]

Friday breakdown of Endgame at my 30-screen AMC (last update 4/5)

 

Dolby Cinema

 

8:00 AM - 171(+11)/203

12:00 PM - 176(+10)/203

4:00 PM - 198(+13)/203

8:00 PM - 194(+6)/203

12:00 AM - 186(+8)/203

4:00 AM - 147(+90)/203

 

2D Dine-In Full Service

 

10:00 AM - 52(-6)/78

6:30 PM - 72(+7)/78

11:45 PM - 68(+4)/78

 

3D Dine-In Full Service

 

10:30 AM - 35(+8)/63

11:00 AM - 35(+3)/78

2:15 PM - 58(+16)/78

2:45 PM - 41(+20)/63

3:15 PM - 52(+6)/78

7:00 PM - 42(-3)/63

7:30 PM - 56(-3)/78

10:45 PM - 55(+6)/78

11:15 PM - 39(+6)/63

 

RealD 3D

 

8:15 AM NEW - ?/? SOLD OUT

9:30 AM - 28(+7)/114

12:15 PM NEW - ?/? SOLD OUT

1:15 PM - 26(+6)/167

4:30 PM NEW - ?/? SOLD OUT

6:00 PM - 83(-1)/114

8:45 PM NEW - ?/? SOLD OUT

9:45 PM - 130(+8)/167

1:00 AM NEW - ?/? SOLD OUT

 

Standard 2D

 

9:00 AM - 127(+24)/167

10:45 AM - 129(+50)/167

11:30 AM - 160(+43)/217

1:45 PM - 81(+2)/114

3:00 PM - 138(+14)/167

3:45 PM - 175(+4)/217

5:30 PM - 143(+7)/167

7:15 PM - 146(+8)/167

8:30 PM - 180(+3)/217

10:15 PM - 86(-1)/114

11:30 PM - 133(0)/167

12:45 AM - 159(+62)/217

 

Total (without the unknown sellouts)

 

3601(+438)/4754 [75.7.%(+9.2%)]

[charlie Jatinder]

Just now, FlashMaster659 said:

Friday breakdown of Endgame at my 30-screen AMC (last update 4/5)

 

Dolby Cinema

 

8:00 AM - 171(+11)/203

12:00 PM - 176(+10)/203

4:00 PM - 198(+13)/203

8:00 PM - 194(+6)/203

12:00 AM - 186(+8)/203

4:00 AM - 147(+90)/203

 

2D Dine-In Full Service

 

10:00 AM - 52(-6)/78

6:30 PM - 72(+7)/78

11:45 PM - 68(+4)/78

 

3D Dine-In Full Service

 

10:30 AM - 35(+8)/63

11:00 AM - 35(+3)/78

2:15 PM - 58(+16)/78

2:45 PM - 41(+20)/63

3:15 PM - 52(+6)/78

7:00 PM - 42(-3)/63

7:30 PM - 56(-3)/78

10:45 PM - 55(+6)/78

11:15 PM - 39(+6)/63

 

RealD 3D

 

8:15 AM NEW - ?/? SOLD OUT

9:30 AM - 28(+7)/114

12:15 PM NEW - ?/? SOLD OUT

1:15 PM - 26(+6)/167

4:30 PM NEW - ?/? SOLD OUT

6:00 PM - 83(-1)/114

8:45 PM NEW - ?/? SOLD OUT

9:45 PM - 130(+8)/167

1:00 AM NEW - ?/? SOLD OUT

 

Standard 2D

 

9:00 AM - 127(+24)/167

10:45 AM - 129(+50)/167

11:30 AM - 160(+43)/217

1:45 PM - 81(+2)/114

3:00 PM - 138(+14)/167

3:45 PM - 175(+4)/217

5:30 PM - 143(+7)/167

7:15 PM - 146(+8)/167

8:30 PM - 180(+3)/217

10:15 PM - 86(-1)/114

11:30 PM - 133(0)/167

12:45 AM - 159(+62)/217

 

Total (without the unknown sellouts)

 

3601(+438)/4754 [75.7.%(+9.2%)]

Perhaps check for Saturday seat count for same show for number which are not known.

[FlashMaster659]

4 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Perhaps check for Saturday seat count for same show for number which are not known.

Those same shows are all faded out for Sat. too and then don't appear at all on Sunday. Thinking it could be a glitch.

[TalismanRing]

On 4/16/2019 at 10:30 PM, TalismanRing said:

My Regal Local  added a 6:15pm when I wasn't looking and it's almost filled.  Two more showings are added in 2D but haven't gone live yet.   Late 3D shows filling slowly

 

THURSDAY
FAN EVENT	257	251	97.66%
RPX
6pm	320	306
10pm	320	295
	640	601	92.65%
2D
6:15pm	255	210
6:30pm	301	280
7pm	301	281
8pm	248	232
9pm	301	282
10:15pm	255	217
10:30pm	301	270
	1,962	1,772	90.30%
3D
7:15pm	256	225
7:30pm	218	138
7:40pm	205	174
11pm	301	216
11:15pm	256	143
11:30pm	205	53
11:45pm	218	47
12:05am	218	45
	1,877	1,041	55.19%
TOTAL	4,736	3,665	77.38%

I didn't update Tues - My Regal still haven't made those two 2D showing live

 

But today they added FIVE more 3D shows for Friday-Sunday.  Yay! You can probably tells which ones

 

 

	SEATS	FRIDAY	%	SATURDAY	%
RPX
11am	320	264		269
3pm	320	258		252
7pm	320	270		221
11pm	320	264		234
	1,280	1,056	82.50%	976	76.25%
2D
9am	301	158		141
9:30am	246	77		122
10:30am	255	139		162
11:30am	257	143		167
12:50pm	301	164		168
1:20pm	246	137		184
2:30pm	255	156		154
3:30pm	257	159		188
4:45pm	301	219		219
5:15pm	246	194		178
6:30pm	255	215		198
7:30pm	257	213		195
8:40pm	301	250		203
9:10pm	246	208		177
10:30pm	255	206		182
11:30pm	257	186		92
12:30am	301	158		32
	4,537	2,982	65.73%	2,762	60.88%
3D
9:15am	205	9		8
10am	256	64		62
12pm	301	67		83
1:05pm	205	7		7
1:50pm	246	62		61
2:45pm	248	6		6
4pm	301	88		73
5:45pm	256	119		90
6:45pm	248	32		9
8pm	301	226		121
9:40pm	256	180		59
10:45pm	248	66		6
12am	301	30		8
	3,372	956	28.35%	593	17.59%
TOTAL	9,189	4,994	54.35%	4,331	47.13%

[Deep Wang]

35 minutes ago, Biggestgeekever said:

The factor that does make me want to join the $300M OW train is that, even though Friday presales are huge right now... just like other Marvel movies, Saturday is just off the charts, with 7AM showings already over 50% capacity and afternoon showings selling out left and right. It's clear that it is still the day to see it, even with all this must-see-it-right-away hype. I genuinely think this has a shot at hitting $90M on Saturday.

 

Yeah, I was just checking the Regal I’m going to next week, and I noticed that Fri/Sat had 3am shows.  

 

I know Thursday’s will go that late because of that upfront demand, but if it trends like this all weekend?  Jesus. 

 

I know apparently Empire 25 is going straight through from Thursday to Sunday, which is fucking insanity. 

[XXR vs XXR]

4 minutes ago, Deep Wang said:

 

Yeah, I was just checking the Regal I’m going to next week, and I noticed that Fri/Sat had 3am shows.  

 

I know Thursday’s will go that late because of that upfront demand, but if it trends like this all weekend?  Jesus. 

 

I know apparently Empire 25 is going straight through from Thursday to Sunday, which is fucking insanity. 

 

Empire 25 currently has 84 'almost full' or sold out shows for the weekend. It's going to be a bonkers 4 days for them 😫

 

[Ledmonkey96]

10 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

 

Empire 25 currently has 84 'almost full' or sold out shows for the weekend. It's going to be a bonkers 4 days for them 😫

 

I can only imagine that their food supplies/dry good storage area is more like a warehouse. As it stands I'm hoping that by the time i work concessions monday morning we are out of basically everything.

 

In relevant news 20/53 showings in my area are sold out for Thursday night..... though i think only 2 theaters are at their full schedule. Mind and our sister theater.

Edited April 18, 2019 by Ledmonkey96

[Porthos]

21 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

I didn't update Tues - My Regal still haven't made those two 2D showing live

 

But today they added FIVE more 3D shows for Friday-Sunday.  Yay! You can probably tells which ones

Well, there's just so much demand out there for 3D.  Can't blame 'em. really.

[Biggestgeekever]

I'm sure AMC Empire 25 will probably make the most money on Thursday, but I'm curious what theaters will have the most showtimes. Just perusing some locations I know have 30, AMC Gulf Pointe is currently tipping the scales with 58 showtimes on Thursday alone. https://www.amctheatres.com/movie-theatres/houston/amc-gulf-pointe-30/showtimes/all/2019-04-25/amc-gulf-pointe-30/all

[XXR vs XXR]

Just now, Biggestgeekever said:

I'm sure AMC Empire 25 will probably make the most money on Thursday, but I'm curious what theaters will have the most showtimes. Just perusing some locations I know have 30, AMC Gulf Pointe is currently tipping the scales with 58 showtimes on Thursday alone. https://www.amctheatres.com/movie-theatres/houston/amc-gulf-pointe-30/showtimes/all/2019-04-25/amc-gulf-pointe-30/all

 

Check AMC Grapevine Mills 30