The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Porthos]

The Rise of Skywalker Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-30 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	2	205	11863	24152	12289	50.88%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

69

 

T-30 Adjusted Comp #1 (EXTREMELY LOL - DON'T USE FOR MUCH OF ANYTHING)

	%		Sold T-30	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
CM	398.91		68	2928		2/81	7688/10616	27.58%		82.57m
TROS (adj)	n/a		63	11743		2/205	11147/22890	51.30%		n/a

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TROS (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for Captain Marvel.

 

T-30 Adjusted Comp #2 (VERY LOL - DON'T USE FOR MUCH OF ANYTHING)

	%		Sold T-30	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
IW	166.81		52	6297		1/114	4714/11011	56.72%		65.06m
TROS (adj)	n/a		59	10504		2/205	8267/18771	55.98%		n/a

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TROS (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for Infinity War.

PRE-SALES NOTE:  TROS had 60 days of pre-sales while Infinity War had 42 days of pre-sales.

 

---

Comps so far off of Final Totals of:

	%		Final Sold		TROS Sold		Comp
IW	69.29		15159		10504		27.02m
DP2	129.15		8133		10504		24.02m
Solo	181.45		5789		10504		25.58m
JW:FK	168.66		6228		10504		25.80m
AM&tW	228.10		4605		10504		26.23m
Venom	243.27		4493		10930		24.33m
CM	111.28		10553		11743		23.03m
EG	44.06		26655		11743		26.43m
TLK	106.98		10977		11743		24.60m
It 2	217.16		5659		12220		22.80m
AVG							24.99m

NOTE: FINAL SOLD is the amount of tickets sold at stop of tracking for the given movie and TROS SOLD is the amount of tickets sold so far at the same theaters I had tracking info for the movie in question.

 

===

 

A nice rebound from yesterday.  TROS just keeps doin' its thing.  Locally, at least.

Edited November 21, 2019 by Porthos

[Porthos]

Frozen 2 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-2 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	161	15524	19045	3521	18.49%

 

Total Showings Removed Today	1
Total Seats Removed Today	165

 

Total Showings Added Today	25*
Total Seats Added Today	1620
Total Seats Sold Today	301

* Includes eleven showings from non-reserved seating theaters

 

T-2 Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-2	Total Sold		Sellouts / Shows	Seats Left / Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
Aladdin	175.70		298	1926		0/116	11970/13896	13.86%		12.30m
TS4	89.50		538	3781		0/147	12719/16500	22.92%		10.74m
TLK	49.55		884	6830		0/263	18651/25481	26.80%		11.40m
Frozen 2 (adj)	n/a		394	3384		0/161	13333/16717	20.24%		n/a

PRE-SALES NOTE: Aladdin and The Lion King both had 25 days of pre-sales and Toy Story 4 had 24 days of pre-sales.  In comparison Frozen 2 had 18 days of pre-sales. 

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  Frozen 2 (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for all of the movies in that stat block.

 

===

 

A post 10:30pm 3D showing at one of the lesser trafficked theaters was the one removed today.  But that theater added a few 2D showings, so nothing to be read into there. Except, perhaps, that they shouldn't have had a post 10pm 3D showing in the first place.

 

Aside from that, looking more and more likely that sub-12m is happening on Thursday. Maybe even sub-11m.   Just not seeing the ramp-up that points to that.  The cautionary note is still Aladdin, which was also a school day Thursday, but that comp is dropping as well.

 

Still, we all know in this thread that the film is tracking to be backloaded as all get out.

 

...

 

Make for a fun Weekend thread at least. For certain values of the word "fun", that is.

[FlashMaster659]

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Inland Empire Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-30 Days

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Seats Left	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	256	12928	53600	40672	24.12%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 60

[Cap]

Frozen II's way behind at Lincoln Square, but it's exactly where Toy Story 4 was at Cinemagic.  Toy Story 4 had 122 sold the day before and Frozen II has 123.  Toy Story 4 was also the crazy comp that ended up at 558 sold on the Final Day.  As @Porthos and I have been chatting about, my concern is it's backloaded AF.  The Saturday numbers are excellent at LS13 and SMCM.  So, my concern is it won't go as high as I want due to it not getting a big Preview number, even if it posts excellent numbers for FSS.

[Menor the Destroyer]

Monday:

Numbers I got from 225 theaters due to Wifi issue:

15063/725067

from Tuesday ratios I estimate the true number will be around 20k tickets sold.

 

Tuesday:

43112/811084

Discount day is expectedly big in raw tickets, still this seems pretty strong.

[a2k]

10-11 previews, 12-14x = 120-154 ow

 

[narniadis]

49 minutes ago, a2k said:

10-11 previews, 12-14x = 120-154 ow

 

Yup, been in the ~140 camp for awhile and still feel like thats the best area to aim for. November record would be phenomenal but not setting up for disappointment lol. 

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

Day before previews at Scotiabank Montreal. Toy Story 4 vs Frozen 2 on par with each other. See how tommorow goes.

 

TOY STORY 4 

IMAX

7:00pm - 113/343

9:45pm - 31/343

REGULAR 3D

6:30pm - 52/390

9:15pm - 6/390

 

202/1466

 

FROZEN 2

REGULAR 3D

6:00pm - 45/390

8:45pm - 67/390

REGULAR

6:30pm - 68/318

9:30pm - 20/318

 

200/1416

 

[Eric the Ape]

21 Bridges Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	30	192	4,036	4.76%

 

Comp

0.716x of Gemini Man 2 days before release (1.15M)

2.133x of Black and Blue (1.44M)

1.192x of Harriet (715K)

[Eric the Ape]

A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	24	88	3,332	2.64%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 2

Total Seats Added Today: 172

Total Seats Sold Today: 33

 

Comp

0.096x of Once Upon 2 days before release (556K)

3.259x of Racing in Rain (1.47M)

0.192x of Downton Abbey (403K)

1.725x of Last Christmas (992K)

0.652x of Ford v Ferrari (1.37M)

[Eric the Ape]

Frozen II Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	96	1,946	19,548	9.95%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 18

Total Seats Added Today: 2,044

Total Seats Sold Today: 216

 

Comp

8.008x of Maleficent 2 days before release (18.42M)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.329x of Lion King (7.57M)

 

NGL, this was a really bad day here in Philly. Selling less on Tuesday compared to Monday definitely leaves room for pause. But I trust @keysersoze123 and @Menor with my life, and their data is more favorable. So...whatever.

[Curtis1986]

ABDITN dont seem to be selling well. Could 21 Bridges come close or out do it this weekend.

Edited November 20, 2019 by Curtis1986

[Eric the Ape]

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-30 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	165	8,718	30,741	28.36%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 87

 

Comp

4.585x of Once Upon’s final count (26.58M)

2.517x of It: Chapter Two (26.43M)

1.775x of Joker (23.61M)

12.508x of Maleficent (28.77M)

10.009x of Terminator (23.52M)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.739x of Lion King (17.01M)

3.509x of Hobbs & Shaw (20.35M)

 

MEAN: 23.75M

 

Egad! That number is crazy; it's the best in the past three weeks. I would say that TV spot did wonders, and it probably did, but it's a way higher bump than what most people got. It's not a big deal or anything, but it is a tad strange. But hey, numbers are numbers

[filmlover]

A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood's sales for this weekend are 95% for the Friday-Sunday portion with the rest for Thursday so I wouldn't put much stock in what it does on Thursday, and it should easily make quite a bit more than 21 Bridges (which is looking like another total flop - the 7:45 show on Friday has only sold 3 seats so far).

[keysersoze123]

We are at unprecedented territory as family movies normally opens during thanksgiving than week before. So walk ins could be impacted. One thing confirmed is previews will be closer to 10m. All the late burst seem to be for the weekend and PS for thanksgiving week is solid as well.

 

Previews at Empire/Lincoln/Metreon etc are at ridiculous levels. its Average ticket price is lower as its not having several Dolby/Prime screens.

Edited November 20, 2019 by keysersoze123

[Valonqar]

36 minutes ago, Eric Plus said:

 

Egad! That number is crazy; it's the best in the past three weeks. I would say that TV spot did wonders, and it probably did, but it's a way higher bump than what most people got. It's not a big deal or anything, but it is a tad strange. But hey, numbers are numbers

not strange if you checked out social media. certain fandom got really excited by the spot. without naming any names, this image/gif is the most shared of anything I've seen from the spot:

 

 

so it should clue you in who's buying tons of tickets. 

[FlashMaster659]

Frozen II Inland Empire Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-2 Days

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Seats Left	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	154	3538	33947	30409	10.42%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 18

Total Seats Added Today: 2291

Total Seats Sold Today: 420

[Menor the Destroyer]

18 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

We are at unprecedented territory as family movies normally opens during thanksgiving than week before. So walk ins could be impacted. One thing confirmed is previews will be closer to 10m. All the late burst seem to be for the weekend and PS for thanksgiving week is solid as well.

 

Previews at Empire/Lincoln/Metreon etc are at ridiculous levels. its Average ticket price is lower as its not having several Dolby/Prime screens.

Yeah I mean even Tuesday sales are like 2/3 of previews, even with lower ATP from discounts that's pretty crazy

[charlie Jatinder]

1 minute ago, Menor said:

Yeah I mean even Tuesday sales are like 2/3 of previews, even with lower ATP from discounts that's pretty crazy

It ain't that crazy. Tuesdays is second OD now for family films. 

[cdsacken]

1 hour ago, Eric Plus said:

Frozen II Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	96	1,946	19,548	9.95%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 18

Total Seats Added Today: 2,044

Total Seats Sold Today: 216

 

Comp

8.008x of Maleficent 2 days before release (18.42M)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.329x of Lion King (7.57M)

 

NGL, this was a really bad day here in Philly. Selling less on Tuesday compared to Monday definitely leaves room for pause. But I trust @keysersoze123 and @Menor with my life, and their data is more favorable. So...whatever.

Philadelphia does have issues with Christmas. Especially Santa 😀