Jump to content
grim22

The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

Recommended Posts

On 8/31/2021 at 1:19 PM, charlie Jatinder said:

Shang Chi Harkins T-3 Days

Format Shows Capacity Sold % Sold Gross ATP
Normal 155 40,886 1,765 4.32% $20,785 $11.78
Cine 1 16 4,818 1,292 26.82% $19,939 $15.43
Cine Capri 4 1,782 155 8.70% $2,145 $13.84
IMAX 2 890 219 24.61% $3,285 $15.00
             
Total 177 48,376 3,431 7.09% $46,154 $13.45

 

Well. Well. Well. Sold 563 seats today. HUGE increase. In last 4 days, added 1373 seats, compared to 1777 of Black Widow, which adjusted for higher ATP is almost 90% in GROSS.  BW final number was 3.58x of T-3 days, SC may be 4x.

 

Comps
63.09% 
of Black Widow Gross - $8.7M

322.5% of The Suicide Squad Tracked Gross - $13.2M

 

Harkins will probably point toward $9.5-10M eventually I guess.

Shang Chi Harkins T-2 Days

 

Format Shows Capacity Sold % Sold Gross ATP
Normal 157 41,462 2,333 5.63% $27,307 $11.70
Cine 1 16 4,818 1,412 29.31% $21,762 $15.41
Cine Capri 4 1,782 172 9.65% $2,364 $13.74
IMAX 2 890 247 27.75% $3,705 $15.00
             
Total 179 48,952 4,164 8.51% $55,138 $13.24

 

Sold 733 seats today. Unfortunately I don't have any comps for BW. I have some CA comps will post them. The target is $170K GROSS final now. Onward to that.

 

Since CA is over indexing this comp don't really matter much but here we go.

 

3.19x of The Suicide Squad Tracked Gross - $13.08M

 

  • Like 2
  • Thanks 6
Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Shang Chi Previews (T-2)

MTC1 - 89789/488413 1456903.53 2865 shows (+11147)

MTC2 - 50392/425765 686604.21 3133 shows(+7785)

 

Shang Chi Friday (T-3)

MTC1 - 83569/1028810 1307816.57 5613 shows(+16153)

MTC2 - 48697/876676 605578.24 6052 shows (+10210)

 

Shang Chi Saturday(T-4)

MTC1 - 54233/1108790 780772.69 6084 shows (+12006)

MTC2 - 31813/906658 367318.70 6190 shows(+6951)

 

Another good day. Previews sales did not amp up as much as what I thought was possible after yesterday's sales. But Friday had ginormous increase in showcount and excellent ticket sales as well. Tomorrow Friday will overtake Previews PS. 

 

Edit: Updated with Saturday PS. 

Is this a 24-hour pace? If so it's around 65% of BW's pace for Thursday in MTC2. 

Edited by Menor
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

One thing I wanna say, we are using the words that SC is over indexing at MTC1 or underperforming at MTC2. Well, SC is actually doing what used to be normal. MTC1 is supposed to be more than double of MTC2 in pre-sales. 

 

Past summer, MTC2 was doing really big or over indexing while MTC1 was sort of normal. Donno what changed, but its welcome change if ratios get back to normal.

 

 

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

Day Movie Area Theaters Shows Total Seats Total Sold New Sales % Sold
T-2 Shang-Chi Jacksonville 6 49 7,647 626 94 8.19%
    Phoenix 6 35 5,975 732 80 12.25%
    Raleigh 8 34 4,058 737 104 18.16%
  Shang-Chi Total   20 118 17,680 2,095 278 11.85%

 

Not really the Monday we were hoping for unfortunately.  Partly because of how big the Sunday jump was, but Monday only beat Sunday by 24 sales where BW jumped from 192 to 505 new.   While not exactly inspiring, it was a 15% jump in total sales compared to BW's 14% so it still improves the comp a little.    I'll update the graphs again tomorrow and Thursday when I have more time.  

 

Comps

BW - .513x (6.77m)

F9 - 1.21x (8.6m)

TSS - 2.87x (11.77M)

 

In total sales dollars, SC is at .52x of BW, $47,468 to $24,686.  This is calculated using the adult price for each ticket sold so far. 

 

T-2 Snapshot (*I've updated the T-3 snapshot above; I hadn't updated one of the custom fields from T-4 to T-3 so the Total Sold were too low.)

 

 

Movie Area Theaters Shows Total Seats Total Sold New Sales % Sold
Black Widow Jacksonville 6 66 11,271 1,310 180 11.62%
  Phoenix 6 59 9,189 1,058 99 11.51%
  Raleigh 7 53 6,328 1,718 226 27.15%
Black Widow Total   19 178 26,788 4,086 505 15.25%
F9: The Fast Saga Jacksonville 6 42 7,818 481 75 6.15%
  Phoenix 6 47 7,731 580 100 7.50%
  Raleigh 8 35 4,235 669 107 15.80%
F9: The Fast Saga Total   20 124 19,784 1,730 282 8.74%
Suicide Squad Jacksonville 6 25 4,604 241 38 5.23%
  Phoenix 6 26 3,923 260 42 6.63%
  Raleigh 8 25 3,230 228 32 7.06%
Suicide Squad Total   20 76 11,757 729 112 6.20%
Shang-Chi Jacksonville 6 49 7,647 626 94 8.19%
  Phoenix 6 35 5,975 732 80 12.25%
  Raleigh 8 34 4,058 737 104 18.16%
Shang-Chi Total   20 118 17,680 2,095 278 11.85%

Day Movie Area Theaters Shows Total Seats Total Sold New Sales % Sold
T-1 Shang-Chi Jacksonville 6 58 8,470 715 89 8.44%
    Phoenix 7 50 7,146 871 139 12.19%
    Raleigh 8 37 4,259 863 126 20.26%
  Shang-Chi Total   21 145 19,875 2,449 354 12.32%

 

Pretty good day considering yesterday being down.  Continues to slowly gain on BW while dropping against F9 as those comps converge.  A few theaters added a ton of shows while most kept the same amount.  I get the feeling that SC won't get nearly the number of shows that BW had; not sure how much that will hinder box office.  In $ sales, BW was ahead at this point $61,159 to $32,973. I'm still leaning on the conservative side of predictions with 7.5-8m at this point. 

 

Comps

BW - .52x (6.91m)

F9 - 1.12x (7.97m)

TSS - 2.56x (10.48m)

 

CQMB0E7.png

Edited by katnisscinnaplex
Submitted before adding content
  • Like 8
  • Thanks 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 hours ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

Shang-Chi and the Legend of The Ten Rings

North Shore Cinema (2 days before previews, 3 before release)

Mequon, WI

9/3/21

 

6:00 - 40/116

7:00 - 93/301 - UltraScreen 

7:45 - 9/63

8:30 - 0/146


215.6% ahead of Birds of Prey ($104.2M)

14.5% ahead of Venom ($91.9M)

95.9% of Ant-Man and The Wasp ($72.7M)

67.2% of Spider-Man: Homecoming ($78.8M)

59% of Thor: Ragnarok ($72.6M)

50.7% of IT ($62.6M)

47.8% of Justice League ($44.9M)

 

 

It’s good to back dropping some ticket tracking locally y’all. Anyways while these comparisons are very old, it’s impressive that Shang-Chi for the most part is closely following these comparisons during a pandemic with less preview showtimes. I think that a $65m-$70m weekend seems really likely.

Updated with a Birds of Prey comparison, and that was just a month before the pandemic, which in theory would be the best comparison of the bunch but that would indicate an OW with the potential of 100m, however BOP skewed less towards families cause R rating and due to the pandemic I’m thinking less families will go to Shang-Chi but it seems rather hopeful.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, Menor said:

Is this a 24-hour pace? If so it's around 65% of BW's pace for Thursday in MTC2. 

Its tad more than 24 hours for thursday. Late PS did pick up quite a bit and there were ginormous amounts of shows added especially for Fri/Sat. 

Edited by keysersoze123
  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Well Deadline joke prediction are here
‘Shang-Chi’ Bound For Labor Day Weekend Record With $90M+ WW Launch – Box Office Preview

 

But there's some useful info.

Quote

As of yesterday, advance U.S./Canada ticket sales for Shang-Chi are running 20% behind that of Black Widow‘s which has posted the biggest domestic opening during the pandemic with $80.4M (that was with a simultaneous day-and-date on Disney+ Premier, the streamer’s PVOD tier). Black Widow‘s advance ticket sales repped 28% of its opening weekend, while F9‘s advance ticket sales repped 20% of its $70M opening weekend. Shang-Chi will have the full swath of 400 IMAX auditoriums, 850+ premium large format screens, 1,500 3D locations; and 235 specialty D-Box/4D screens.

 

Ofcourse just having numbers don't make anything. You have to read them. 

 

First off I don't know if this data came from Disney or some exhibition but seems like they aren't considering THU as pre-sales.

 

Second, if pre-sales are 20% less than BW, how dumb you have to be think that opening weekend will be 50% less that too when BW was Summer release while SC is Labor day weekend release with Sunday gonna hardly drop from SAT. 
 

Edited by charlie Jatinder
  • Haha 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

26 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Well Deadline joke prediction are here
‘Shang-Chi’ Bound For Labor Day Weekend Record With $90M+ WW Launch – Box Office Preview

 

But there's some useful info.

 

Ofcourse just having numbers don't make anything. You have to read them. 

 

First off I don't know if this data came from Disney or some exhibition but seems like they aren't considering THU as pre-sales.

 

Second, if pre-sales are 20% less than BW, how dumb you have to be think that opening weekend will be 50% less that too when BW was Summer release while SC is Labor day weekend release with Sunday gonna hardly drop from SAT. 
 

How can it be only 20% though? Canada is really overperforming that much? 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 minutes ago, Menor said:

How can it be only 20% though? Canada is really overperforming that much? 

 

Well, you have to also understand - Deadline and Math are not two words that go together:)...they had to compute a %, so that computation has to be seen as suspect without the real figures:)...

  • Haha 6
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Full showtimes are up, and it happened....

 

Shang-Chi:

6:00 Dolby: 106/236 (+6)

6:15 Open Caption: 4/40 (+2)

6:30 IMAX: 67/372 (+7)

7:00: 64/107 (+5)

7:15: 11/40 (New)

7:30 3D: 12/107 (+7)

7:45: 0/40 (New)

8:00: 7/107 (New)

8:15: 0/77 (New)

8:30: 0/107 (New)

8:45: 0/40 (New)

9:00: 2/77 (New)

9:15: 5/40 (New)

9:30 Dolby: 88/236 (+18)

9:45: 0/40 (New)

Total: 366/1,626 (+70/+528)

 

Comp:

 

101% of Black Widow the day before (13.3M)

 

 

It's now on par with Black Widow:sparta:

 

I'll give a word of caution that the metro area has an extra 15-20k students in town compared to July, but I don't think that's enough to skew the comp more than 5% or so. We also know Shang-Chi is over indexing in larger areas. With that, my current guess is 10.5-11M. Let's see how tomorrow pans out.

  • Like 2
  • Thanks 4
  • Astonished 15
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.


  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.