The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[poweranimals]

I'm not sure if this is the best place to mention this but I was looking at the showtimes for this weekend near me and I noticed that Dune has less showtimes than Venom at every theater in my area starting this Friday. I know it's got a longer runtime but I was still surprised to see it.

[EmpireCity]

House of Gucci goes on sale Nov. 12th with early shows on 11/23 at 7pm.  

[EmpireCity]

58 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

@EmpireCity are big chains not taking VPF fee, because couple of Indian films have taken advantage of that & released on bigger than normal size. Annaatthe is releasing on 415+ cinemas, ideally 175-200 be enough.

 

I think a lot of the VPF fees have gone away for good.  

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

1 hour ago, EmpireCity said:

 

I think a lot of the VPF fees have gone away for good.  

I asked before but I'm curious if you've heard anything about Licorice Pizza or have seen it?

[EmpireCity]

2 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

I asked before but I'm curious if you've heard anything about Licorice Pizza or have seen it?

 

Nope.  

[Menor the Destroyer]

Eternals MTC2

 

Thursday:

Showtimes: 2661 (+66)

Seats Sold: 70007/383301 (+11255)

$ Sales: 945404 (+144039)

 

SC added 12200 per Keyser, but that was later in the night (and usually that is when Thursday has the surge). I had taken an SC run earlier in the day that was 8k in 23 hours. So this seems ok. Think its gonna just miss 10m though, high 9s seems more likely. 

 

Friday:

Showtimes: 4873 (+85)

Seats Sold: 74268/736960 (+14434)

$ Sales: 934050 (+172214)

 

Kinda eh day (SC also added 14k-ish). I am tamping my weekend expectations down to high 70s for now.  

[filmlover]

4-5 theater in NYC/LA platform openings are useless right now when the audience that mostly powers them to such big numbers still haven't returned to theaters en masse. It would be a surprise if Spencer wasn't on PVOD by Thanksgiving.

Edited November 4, 2021 by filmlover

[Eric the Ape]

23 hours ago, Eric loves Ajak said:

Eternals Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	82	3136	15000	20.91%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 19

Total Seats Added Today: 2,689

Total Seats Sold Today: 395

 

Comp

0.731x of Black Widow T-2 (9.65M)

1.194x of Shang-Chi T-2 (10.5M)

 

Some may be concerned at the Black Widow drop, but Widow between T-2 and T-3 more than doubled in terms of ticket sales. A true explosion that most films just don't get, even at this time. T-2 to T-1 is about a 19% jump for Widow, so Eternals should hopefully be more manageable. Of course, that is easier said than done.

Eternals Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	83	3653	15110	24.18%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 1

Total Seats Added Today: 110

Total Seats Sold Today: 517

 

Comp

0.710x of Black Widow T-1 (9.38M)

1.128x of Shang-Chi T-1 (9.92M)

 

I don't know man, it's just not catching up when it comes to comps. Kind of a weird reoccurring pattern the past few weeks in fact. Maybe it's just my comps being set too high? Either way...I still have concerns on this movie here.

[Eric the Ape]

23 hours ago, Eric loves Ajak said:

Ghostbusters: Afterlife Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-16 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	62	333	14023	2.37%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 3

Total Seats Added Today: 782

Total Seats Sold Today: 81

 

Comp

1.417x of The Suicide Squad T-16 (5.81M)

0.472x of Shang-Chi T-16 (4.15M)

0.683x of Venom 2 T-16 (7.93M)

0.654x of No Time to Die T-16 (4.12M)

Ghostbusters: Afterlife Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-15 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	64	392	14319	2.74%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 2

Total Seats Added Today: 296

Total Seats Sold Today: 59

 

Comp

1.574x of The Suicide Squad T-15 (6.45M)

0.473x of Shang-Chi T-15 (4.16M)

0.710x of Venom 2 T-15 (8.24M)

0.737x of No Time to Die T-15 (4.64M)

[Rorschach]

Eternals (Wednesday Night Outlook)

Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX

Thursday: 

IMAX 2D: 110/776

6:00 P.M.: 92/388

9:45 P.M.: 18/388

3D showings: 20/170

6:30 P.M.: 15/85

10:15 P.M.: 5/85

2D showings: 220/727

7:00 P.M.: 38/135

7:30 P.M.: 101/238

8:00 P.M.: 40/141

8:30 P.M.: 20/78

10:45 P.M.: 21/135

Total Sold: 350/1,673 (20.9% sold)

 

Comps:

Black Widow: $7.82 mil

Shang-Chi: $10.07 mil

Average: $8.95 mil

 

Friday:

IMAX showings: 28/1,552

11:30 A.M.: 0/388

3:15 P.M.: 0/388

7:00 P.M.: 28/388

10:45 P.M.: 0/388

3D showings: 10/255

10:55 A.M.: 2/85

2:40 P.M.: 0/85

6:25 P.M.: 8/85

2D showings: 384/2,037

10:15 A.M.: 22/135

12:05 P.M.: 20/238

12:45 P.M.: 1/94

1:25 P.M.: 8/141

2:00 P.M.: 8/135

3:50 P.M.: 9/238

4:30 P.M.: 25/94

5:10 P.M.: 54/141

5:45 P.M.: 41/135

7:35 P.M.: 110/238

8:15 P.M.: 36/94

8:55 P.M.: 32/141

9:30 P.M.: 13/135

10:10 P.M.: 5/78

Total Sold: 422/3,844 (11% sold)

 

Thurs + Fri: 772/5,517 (14% sold)

 

Comps:

Black Widow: $25.31 mil

Shang-Chi: $40.96 mil

Average: $33.14 mil

 

 

Spencer (Wednesday Night Outlook)

Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX

Thursday: 

5:00 P.M.: 3/67

8:00 P.M.: 2/67

Total Sold: 5/134 (3.73% sold)

 

Friday:

10:20 A.M.: 0/67

1:20 P.M.: 4/67

4:20 P.M.: 2/67

7:20 P.M.: 3/67

10:20 P.M.: 0/67

Total Sold: 9/335 (2.69% sold)

Thurs + Fri: 14/469 (2.99% sold)

[keysersoze123]

Eternals

MTC1 Prevews(T-1) - 123502/481536 2050075.68 +16230
MTC1 Friday(T-2) - 123972/992570 2023116.64 5392 shows +21644
MTC1 Saturday(T-3) - 99179/1049936 1520088.25 5714 shows +16962
MTC2 Prev(T-1) - 76089/395890 1023654.46 2703 shows +13549
MTC2 Friday(T-2) - 79507/748048 1000247.77 4927 shows +16112
 

PS for previews is again tad below SC and OD is slightly above. I am also going to temper expectations. Its probably going to finish around 180K at MTC1 which wont be enough for 10m. Let us see how tomorrow goes. I am expecting slightly tepid walkups relative to SC due to mediocre reviews. Rest of the weekend I am expecting true friday to be around 23m and OW in low to mid 70s. Hope tomorrow's walkups push up these numbers. 

 

Comps

 

On 11/2/2021 at 8:44 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Eternals

MTC1 Previews (T-2) - 107172/473481 1803797.26 2669 shows +10238

MTC1 Friday(T-3) - 102328/974737 1697348.48 5240 shows +16217

MTC1 Saturday(T-4) - 82217/1032036 1279214.27 5567 shows +12564

MTC2 previews(T-2) - 62540/389966 849617.15 2641 shows

MTC2 Friday(T-3) - 63395/739464 805424.56 4858 shows

 

On 9/1/2021 at 10:05 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Shang Chi Previews (T-1)

MTC1 - 106741/496553 1706964.55 2955 shows (+16952)

MTC2 - 62714/437426 847217.55 3239 shows(+12322)

Friday(T-2)

MTC1 - 104635/1049190 1611227.01 5755 shows (+21066)

MTC2 -  62984/907790 776121.42 6379 shows (+14287) 

Saturday(T-3)

MTC1 - 66911/1123011 952734.16 6191 shows (+12678)

MTC2 - 39995/923499 458032.07 6346 shows (+8182)

 

Black Widow MTC1 (on Jul 7 though I believe it was few hours earlier)

  Reveal hidden contents

 

Previews - 141757/717631 2051689.00 4383 shows

Friday - 144030/1224424 1847358.00 6973 shows

Saturday - 89750/1268567 1038785.00 7224 shows

 

 

 

On 7/7/2021 at 8:51 PM, keysersoze123 said:

 

Previews are up to 156927/729313 2249510.00 4511 shows. Probably will wrap up around 160K. Let us see how the release day goes. Friday is at 162570/1234212 2059507.00 7051 shows and will probaby hit ~ 220K by end of PS.

 

[Plain Old Tele]

3 hours ago, CJohn said:

But why? French Dispatch did fine in 50 theaters. I see no evidences that movies wouldn't do well in a platform release. Literally nobody tried at all.

Bring back roadshows. Not even joking. 

[Menor the Destroyer]

9 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Eternals

MTC1 Prevews(T-1) - 123502/481536 2050075.68 +16230
MTC1 Friday(T-2) - 123972/992570 2023116.64 5392 shows +21644
MTC1 Saturday(T-3) - 99179/1049936 1520088.25 5714 shows +16962
MTC2 Prev(T-1) - 76089/395890 1023654.46 2703 shows +13549
MTC2 Friday(T-2) - 79507/748048 1000247.77 4927 shows +16112
 

PS for previews is again tad below SC and OD is slightly above. I am also going to temper expectations. Its probably going to finish around 180K at MTC1 which wont be enough for 10m. Let us see how tomorrow goes. I am expecting slightly tepid walkups relative to SC due to mediocre reviews. Rest of the weekend I am expecting true friday to be around 23m and OW in low to mid 70s. Hope tomorrow's walkups push up these numbers. 

 

Comps

 

 

 

 

Low 70s from 23m Fri? I don't see that happening. Sat PS are too strong and historically the Sat bump should be strong in Nov as well. 

[charlie Jatinder]

17 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Rest of the weekend I am expecting true friday to be around 23m and OW in low to mid 70s. Hope tomorrow's walkups push up these numbers. 

If FRI be 23, it ain't going below 80.

[Legion Again]

Yeah the true IM should be at least 3.1 for 71 true fss off 23. Not sure about hitting 23 though -- let's see what Th walk-ups are like.

[Porthos]

1 hour ago, Eric loves Ajak said:

Ghostbusters: Afterlife Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-15 and Counting

 

1.574x of The Suicide Squad T-15 (6.45M)

0.710x of Venom 2 T-15 (8.24M)

 

 

...

 

...

 

 

(report will be up in about 60-90, depending on how long it takes me to do the Eternals check and write both comps up)

Edited November 4, 2021 by Porthos

[TalismanRing]

NYC Local (5pm)

 

Eternals:  360/1753

 

COMPS:

 

Shang-Chi: $9.57m

Birds Of Prey: $13.58m

BW: $14.58m

The Suicide Squad: $19.14m

Bond: $20.02m

Dune: $20.86m

Venom 2: $22.45m

 

 

 

[Porthos]

Ghostbusters: Afterlife Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-15 Days and Counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	108	16420	16695	275	1.65%

 

Total Seats Sold Day One	199
Total Seats Sold Day Two	49
Total Seats Sold Today	27

 

Day 3 Comp

	%		Sold Day 3	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
F9	50.09		78	549		0/92	13434/13983	3.93%		3.72m
TSS	114.11		29	241		0/81	13711/13952	1.73%		4.68m
SC	32.51		120	846		0/101	16156/17002	4.98%		2.86m
V2	54.24		90	507		0/148	24646/25153	2.02%		6.29m
NTTD	56.01		56	491		0/135	20500/20991	2.34%		3.47m

COMP NOTE: The F9 comp has been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

 

====

 

Not a lot of great comps, so doing something of a scattershot.  I reckon Shang-Chi is a pretty terrible comp in particular, but I'll throw it in anyway (it having the same length of pre-sales is a minor plus at any rate).  Gonna shift to T-x comps in a couple of days (which will slaughter most comps except for SC).

Edited November 5, 2021 by Porthos
Minor adjustments + fixed the SC comp which had the wrong comp

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Eternals Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-2 Days and Counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	130	14226	18159	3933	21.66%

 

Total Showings Added Today	12
Total Seats Added Today	1011
Total Seats Sold Today	496

 

T-2 Comp

	%		Sold T-2	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
SC	119.95		490	3279		0/183	21325/24604	13.33%		10.56m
V2	104.74		718	3755		0/241	29214/32969	11.39%		12.15m
BW	67.81		706	5800		0/241	25079/30879	18.78%		9.37m

COMP NOTE: The Black Widow comp has been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

 

Regal: 899/5945 [15.12% sold] [+129 tickets]

 

====

 

Wasn't able to keep up the momentum of yesterday locally, I'm afraid.  Eternals did about 70% of BW's T-2 and more or less matched pace with SC (the SC comp was hit a bit as this is when I found out there was an early access showing which added some already sold tickets to the total).  Naturally, the Let There Be Carnage comp is still outta whack, but I put it in anyway.

 

The relatively good news is that yesterday provided a decent amount of cushion, so we're back to needing almost exactly 80% of BW over the last two days for Sacramento to more or less point to 10m (80.24% of BW the rest of the way or 2725 tickets sold).  Not out of the realm of possibility, but there needs to be more days like Monday.  If they're like today or a little better, probably looking at something closer to 9.5m or 9.7m

 

Eternals Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-1 Day and Counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	136	13796	18468	4672	25.30%

 

Total Showings Added Today	6
Total Seats Added Today	309
Total Seats Sold Today	739

 

T-1 Comp

	%		Sold T-1	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
SC	111.98		893	4172		0/188	20813/24985	16.70%		9.85m
V2	91.13		1372	5127		0/244	28009/33136	15.47%		10.57m
BW	67.28		1144	6944		0/258	25357/32301	21.50%		9.30m

COMP NOTE: The Black Widow comp has been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

 

Regal: 1097/6225 [17.62% sold] [+198 tickets]

 

====

 

Yeaaah, if Sacto is representative this isn't hitting 10m unless things turn around radically in walkups tomorrow.  9.5m looks like the target, though with MTC2 hiking prices that should bump things up a bit, so 9.7m could be in the cards.

 

One interesting thing is the percent of seats sold.  Eternals is aksually at the highest percentage of seats sold of all four movies here.  Its problem is, just not enough showtimes to go around (which is also the lowest of all four movies), which is almost certainly thanks to the double whammy of film length and staffing shortages (particularly on weekdays). Though I'm sure the less-than-stellar reviews ain't helping convince some theaters to squeeze out an extra showing here and there.

 

Has some implications for the internal multiplier if the WOM is good enough.

 

(Should be noted that Let There Be Carnage was just the opposite with short length and 4pm previews, so it shouldn't be too surprising to see V2 just lap right past it.)

Edited November 4, 2021 by Porthos

[Ronin46]

I am confused by Eternals.  Everytime I think I have the box office pegged on it I am wrong. This time I felt yesterday it was looking like a 10M+ preview headed to 80 to 85M OW. To me that means it has shrugged off the "mixed" reviews and the slow down in sales and should have good walkups and pretty good legs based off that. So maybe 210-230 domestic total in that case.

 

Now the updated figures are indicating 9.5 to 10M previews and 75 to 80M. It may not seem a lot but to me that seems like the mixed reviews are still lingering and pace has slowed and indicates walkup might be not great also. That might cut down the domestic gross to 190 to 210M . 

 

Just have to wait and see tomorrow I think to pick 1.