The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[KeepItU25071906]

Movietickets:

 

1. RPO --- 24,3%

2. Black Panther --- 7,7%

3. ICOI --- 6,9%

4. Pacific Rim 2 --- 6,8%

5. Gnomes --- 6,1%

 

[dxmatrixdt]

prediction for RP1 previews:  2.1 - 4.2

[Michael Seng Wah]

I hope RPO surprises with 50mil 4D.

March is so disappointing 🤨

[fabiopazzo2]

14 minutes ago, Michael Seng Wah said:

I hope RPO surprises with 50mil 4D.

March is so disappointing 🤨

I hope explode to 60M 

[el sid]

MT update:

#1 RPO 30.8% (I don`t know how helpful this is but for comparison: PR2 had 18.2% at the same time of day (on Friday))
#2 ICOI 7.1%
#3 BP 6.3%
#4 Isle of Dogs 5.8%
#5 Sherlock Gnomes 5.7%

Edited March 29, 2018 by el sid

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

Pacific Rim falling off a cliff

[WrathOfHan]

Pulse:

 

1. Ready Player One

2. Ready Player One 3D

3. Infinity War

4. Acrimony

5. Ready Player One IMAX 3D

Edited March 29, 2018 by WrathOfHan

[a2k]

8 minutes ago, EarlyDeadlinePredictions said:

Pacific Rim falling off a cliff

60% drop happening in 2nd weekend? PR1 had summer weekdays which this does not. So a PR1 like 2nd weekend drop will be worse than it seems.  60% drop gives just over 11 2nd weekend (on track for 65-70 dom I guess; 2.3-2.5x)

[filmlover]

5 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Pulse:

 

4. Acrimony

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

4 minutes ago, a2knet said:

60% drop happening in 2nd weekend? PR1 had summer weekdays which this does not. So a PR1 like 2nd weekend drop will be worse than it seems.  60% drop gives just over 11 2nd weekend (on track for 65-70 dom I guess; 2.3-2.5x)

Would be extremely lucky to avoid a 60% drop. The Tuesday increase was weak. 

[WrathOfHan]

The best case scenario for PR this weekend is probably 61 or 62%. Worst case, it'll come in just under 70%. If it drops on the higher end, I don't even think next week's historically low drops can get it under 50%  

[Boxofficerules]

Movie Tickets

1. Gods Not Dead 3- 99.6%

2. RPO - 0.01%

3. Black Panther - 0.01%

4. ICOI - 0.01%

5. Pacific Rim 2 - 0.01%

[MCKillswitch123]

15 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

Movie Tickets

1. Gods Not Dead 3- 99.6%

2. RPO - 0.01%

3. Black Panther - 0.01%

4. ICOI - 0.01%

5. Pacific Rim 2 - 0.01%

God forbid us from something like this ever happening. If he really isn't dead, that is.

Edited March 29, 2018 by MCKillswitch123

[Valonqar]

1 hour ago, EarlyDeadlinePredictions said:

Pacific Rim falling off a cliff

Any hope BP has bigger weekend then PRU? It's closing the weekdays gap and if it has a good hold while PRU crumbles, it could pull ahead. Sorry that I'm biased but I wanted BP on the top last weekend so I'm gonna have my revenge! 

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

21 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

Movie Tickets

1. Gods Not Dead 3- 99.6%

2. RPO - 0.01%

3. Black Panther - 0.01%

4. ICOI - 0.01%

5. Pacific Rim 2 - 0.01%

Clearly a fake update as Pacific Rim is still in the top 5.

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

3 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

Any hope BP has bigger weekend then PRU? It's closing the weekdays gap and if it has a good hold while PRU crumbles, it could pull ahead. Sorry that I'm biased but I wanted BP on the top last weekend so I'm gonna have my revenge! 

 

Boxofficepro seems to think so...

 

Ready Player One	Warner Bros.	$36,000,000	$47,000,000	NEW
Tyler Perry’s Acrimony	Lionsgate	$17,000,000	$17,000,000	NEW
Black Panther	Disney / Marvel	$10,400,000	$649,800,000	-39%
I Can Only Imagine	Roadside Attractions	$10,300,000	$55,500,000	-24%
Pacific Rim: Uprising	Universal	$10,100,000	$47,700,000	-64%

[Premium George]

2 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

Any hope BP has bigger weekend then PRU? It's closing the weekdays gap and if it has a good hold while PRU crumbles, it could pull ahead. Sorry that I'm biased but I wanted BP on the top last weekend so I'm gonna have my revenge! 

At 65% drop, PRU will be at $9.8m. That would be a over 40% drop for BP to go below PRU. So yeah, you will get your revenge.

[Valonqar]

The numbers look very close but BP should win 4 days. 

[Barnack]

21 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

Any hope BP has bigger weekend then PRU? It's closing the weekdays gap and if it has a good hold while PRU crumbles, it could pull ahead. Sorry that I'm biased but I wanted BP on the top last weekend so I'm gonna have my revenge! 

 

 

Pacific RIM Uprising real FSS last weekend: 25.767

BP : 17.1

 

If BP drop again by 35% it will do 11.115 (Not sure if realistic with the holiday), 40% would do 10.26

 

PR need to have a FSS to FSS drop of 57% to go under 11.115 and 60% to go under 10.26, certainly possible.

 

Tomb raider went from 21.533 FSS to a second weekend of 10.1, a 53% drop but Pacific RIm will have to compete with RPO and

PR is not holding as well as Tomb Raider currently.

 

PR vs TR

Sunday : -31.9% vs -31.8% 

Monday : -69% vs -70% 

Tuesday:  + 47.6%  vs +36% 

 

Tomb raider Tuesday was 31% of it's Saturday, Pacific Rim Tuesday is 27.8% of it's Saturday, making a 58% real weekend drop for PR quite possible. 

 

Also BP is selling better on Fandango 

Edited March 29, 2018 by Barnack

[The Panda]

Ready Player One or the Death of Stalin?