The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Nova]

Mortal Engines coming for the biggest bomb of the year. At least it’ll be remembered for something. 

[Valonqar]

1 minute ago, Nova said:

Mortal Engines coming for the biggest bomb of the year. At least it’ll be remembered for something. 

[Legion Again]

8 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Plus it's already having monster WOM from Saturday's screening and reviews. It should still be able to pass TLK and possibly go higher

Bumblebee over The Lion King confirmed 

Edited December 11, 2018 by Thanos Legion

[Krissykins]

I wouldn’t call $30m for Spider Verse “flying high”. 

 

It should get a 5 + multiplier though because of its release date. 

[MCKillswitch123]

1 hour ago, Thanos Legion said:

Bumblebee over The Lion King confirmed 

 

Spoiler

Women are God's best idea ever. Hailee might be one of the best among the best.

 

Edited December 11, 2018 by MCKillswitch123

[TalismanRing]

1 hour ago, MaxAggressor said:

https://deadline.com/2018/12/look-out-here-comes-the-spider-verse-sony-animation-title-eyes-30m-35m-opening-box-office-preview-1202517968/

 

Opening box office metrics point to Sony Animation’s Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse —a fresh take on the Marvel superhero where anyone can wear the mask told in a novel cartoon style– in the neighborhood of $30M-$35M, which would be a great start in this sleepy pre-Christmas marketplace.

 

As off Monday - if it's Fandango pre-sale ratio to o/w plays out the same as Incredibles 2 - that would mean $32m . If it plays out like AM&TW then closer to 40.

[Litio]

1 hour ago, Nova said:

Mortal Engines coming for the biggest bomb of the year. At least it’ll be remembered for something. 

This is Solo's honor and no bomb will take of him.

[Brainbug]

17 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

 

  Reveal hidden contents

Women are God's best idea ever. Hailee might be one of the best among the best.

 

 

God almighty...

[WrathOfHan]

[MrGlass2]

 

Updated by @akvalley: 2018-12-11 18:56:35 Central (Lock time Fridays 11:00:00)
BUY TIME	TICKETS	MOVIE TITLE
--------------------------------------------------
2018-12-11 19:00:00	289	Dragon Ball Super Broly
2018-12-11 19:00:00	235	Ralph Breaks the Internet
2018-12-11 19:00:00	220	Creed II
2018-12-11 19:00:00	194	Spider-Man Into the Spider-Verse
2018-12-11 19:00:00	177	Dr. Seuss The Grinch (2018)
2018-12-11 19:00:00	144	Once Upon a Deadpool
2018-12-11 19:00:00	141	Bohemian Rhapsody
2018-12-11 19:00:00	134	Instant Family (2018)
2018-12-11 19:00:00	129	Fantastic Beasts The Crimes of Grindelwald
2018-12-11 19:00:00	92	The Mule (2018)

...

2018-12-11 19:00:00	24	Mortal Engines

 

[TwoMisfits]

Gonna be lots of holdovers getting dropped this week...

 

My 2 12s are both booking Spidey (almost 2 screens each - weirdly, they both have 9 showings and both gave away the earliest showing on one screen - if that's not a sign the theaters also think this is skewing older, I don't know what is:), Mortal Engines (1 - 5 showings at 1/4 at the other), and The Mule (1 - 5 showings on both),  One also booked Deadpool (1 - 5 showings) and some foreign films (3 of them on 1.5).  The other stuck with some holdovers.

 

The "winning holdovers" at Cinemark local were Creed, Grinch, Ralph, Beasts, Bohemian Rhapsody, and Instant Family (only 2 early showings).

The "winning holdovers" at Regal local were Creed, Grinch, Ralph, Beasts, Instant Family, Robin Hood, Green Book, and Widows.  The Regal did NOT book Deadpool.

 

[narniadis]

yeah, I am still not seeing anything that screams Spidey is breaking out of it's niche. This post may not age well by Friday but it really needs to pick up the pace if it intends on flying really high (200m+).

[Krissykins]

3 hours ago, narniadis said:

yeah, I am still not seeing anything that screams Spidey is breaking out of it's niche. This post may not age well by Friday but it really needs to pick up the pace if it intends on flying really high (200m+).

Spider Man is niche? 😳

 

I wouldnt call it niche. 

 

I also wouldnt call a $90m December release from Sony with a $120m ad campaign and 3800 theatres niche either. 

Edited December 12, 2018 by Krissykins

[Lothar]

@TalismanRing Any update on AQ and MRP tickets ?

[Cybil]

Fandango Sales Past 24 Hours
Since: 2018-12-11 06:00:00 (US/Central - Chicago)

RANK	PERCENT	TICKETS	MOVIE
1	09.949%	5378	Spider-Man Into the Spider-Verse
2	08.273%	4472	Ralph Breaks the Internet
3	07.992%	4320	Dr. Seuss The Grinch (2018)
4	07.938%	4291	Creed II
5	07.355%	3976	Dragon Ball Super Broly
6	06.310%	3411	Once Upon a Deadpool
7	05.729%	3097	Fantastic Beasts The Crimes of Grindelwald
8	05.378%	2907	Bohemian Rhapsody
9	04.318%	2334	Instant Family (2018)
10	04.016%	2171	Green Book
11	03.552%	1920	Aquaman
12	03.476%	1879	The Mule (2018)
13	03.350%	1811	Widows (2018)
14	02.688%	1453	Robin Hood (2018)
15	02.666%	1441	Mary Poppins Returns (2018)
16	02.507%	1355	The Possession of Hannah Grace
17	01.565%	846	A Star Is Born (2018)
18	01.511%	817	Mortal Engines
19	01.437%	777	The Favourite
20	00.803%	434	They Shall Not Grow Old
21	00.612%	331	Bumblebee
22	00.529%	286	The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
23	00.398%	215	The Metropolitan Opera La Traviata

Edited December 12, 2018 by Cybil

[TalismanRing]

Fandango Archive behind spoiler cut

 

Spoiler

 

Fandango App	Monday	Tues	Wed	Thursday
A Wrinke In Time		4,864		15,601
A Quiet Place	2,177	4,003	10,665
Blockers	504	1,106	2,931
Rampage	705	1,508	4,109
Truth Or Dare	385	760	2,133
Super Troopers	2,825	3,447	6,881
I Feel Pretty	871	1,610	4,423
Avengers: Infinity War	49,836	54,892	68,826	206,000
Overboard	84	409	1,044
Breaking In	727	1204	2,899
Life Of The Party	587	1,310	3,010
Deadpool 2	23,134	28,896	41,212
Show Dogs	6	128	369
Book Club	836	1,599	3,283
SW: Solo	13,688	15,855	28,533
Action Point	17	48	197
Upgrade	9	119	522
Adrift	63	308	1,268
Oceans 8	3,009	4,372	11,114
Hereditary	659	1,178	3,181
Hotel Artemis	26	166	520
Incredibles 2	20,872	23,430	39,337
Tag	314	660	1,448
Jurassic World 2	9,310	12,761	23,266
Sicario 2	788	1282	3,403
Uncle Drew	274	473	1,201
Antman & The Wasp	6,613	5,990	11,108
Purge (Wed)	2,885	8,308
Hotel Transylvania 3	1,753	2,674	6,605	14,754
Skyscraper	586	1,019	2,868	7,134
Mamma Mia 2	4,427	5,099	12,117	17,226
Equalizer	1,418	2,297	6,073	11,875
Unfriended		71	240	975
MI6		*3328	13,575	27,261
Teen Titans		*462	2,125	4,526
Christopher Robin	1,560	2,442	5,355	11,509
The Spy Who Dumped Me	234	542	1,561	4,222
The Darkest Minds	130	244	579	1,777
Eighth Grade	494	508	720	936
Death of A Nation	148	194	375	1,239
The Meg	1,539	2,944	6,723	16,202
Slender Man	177	418	1,091	3,737
BlackkKlansman	432	682	1,934	5,017
Dog Days (Wed)	115	631	1,536	1,212
Crazy Rich Asians (Wed)	3,651	5,742	20,173	20,102
Alpha	181	283	943	2,069
Mile 22	282	519	1,833	5,200
Happytime Murders	382	*488	1,954	5,602
A.X.L.	32	*60	310	911
Kin	21	141	263	741
Operation Finale (Wed)	415	2,083	4,879	3,915
Searching	303	588	1,194	2,862
The Nun	2,082	5,938	13,806	28,881
Peppermint	286	863	2,508	4,441
God Bless The Broken Road	6	33	152	282
Predator	1,295	2,476	4,545	13,063
A Simple Favor	564	2,126	4,410	10,381
White Boy Rick	136	567	1,458	4,587
Unbroken 2	88	180	360	659
House With Clocks	897	1469	3607	8,074
Fahrenheit 11/9	164	281	713	1,715
Life Itself	79	162	394	953
Assassination Nation		36	94	382
Night School	1,045	1,756	3,566
Small Foot	734	1,261	2,448
Hellfest	195	304	661
Little Women		65	134
Venom	13,602	13,818	20,867	31,569
A Star Is Born	9,115	11,383	22,641	21,501
First Man	654	909	3,610	7,586
Goosebumps 2	300	631	1,733	3,615
Bad Times at the El Royale	264	481	1,257	3,350
Halloween	9,563	12,980	21,600	36,126
The Hate U Give (2k expansion)	1,026	1,542	1,559	2,055
Hunter Killer	91	368	1,062	2,726
Indivisible	33	89	204	440
Bohemian Rhapsody	7,255	9,026	12,546	26,476
The Nutcracker & the Four Realms	1,659	1,949	2,567	5,518
Nobody's Fool	436	900	1,719	4,437
Grinch	3,580	4,860	10,092	17,046
Girl In The Spider's Web	286	691	1,735	3,554
Overlord	299	605	1,599	4,522
Fantastic Beasts 2	8,956	14,238	21,861	31,880
Widows	310	868	2,219	4,179
Instant Family	230	565	1,325	2,584
Creed II (Wed)	7,005	12,131
Ralph 2 (Wed)	6,712	12,083
Robin Hood (Wed)	1,602	1846
Green Book (1k exp)	387	922

 

 

Fandango App	Monday	Tues	Wed	Thursday
Spider-Verse	3,715	5,208
Mortal Engines	465	785
The Mule	791	1,779
Once Upom A Deadpool (wed)	1,732	3,402
Dec 19th
Mary Poppins (Wed)	1,593	1.487
Dec 21st
Aquaman	1,877	1,851
Bumblebee	297	323

 

[TalismanRing]

Spider-verse picks up the pace on The Incredibles 2 - now doing 22% which would translate into a $40m o/w if comparable

[Rumpot]

1 hour ago, TalismanRing said:

Spider-verse picks up the pace on The Incredibles 2 - now doing 22% which would translate into a $40m o/w if comparable

Will pick up a lot today.  I've been waiting for my local AMC (one of the busiest in the country) to finally add some show times to the 5pm and 1030pm ones it had.  Several added today including 3 in the 7-9pm timeframe so booked my tickets just now.  

 

It's not unusual for theaters to add showings this time of week, but that the choices were so few and off peak up til now (for the theaters in this area in general) kept me waiting

[TwoMisfits]

3 minutes ago, Rumpot said:

Will pick up a lot today.  I've been waiting for my local AMC (one of the busiest in the country) to finally add some show times to the 5pm and 1030pm ones it had.  Several added today including 3 in the 7-9pm timeframe so booked my tickets just now.  

 

It's not unusual for theaters to add showings this time of week, but that the choices were so few and off peak up til now (for the theaters in this area in general) kept me waiting

Theaters were VERY late with sets around me (I think they were trying to figure out a plan for all the releases through Xmas).  Heck, the local which booked Deadpool 2 literally did it LAST NIGHT:)...

 

In fact, my locals have only put 1 screen available to prebook for the Dec 19 and Dec 21 big releases...and I gotta think that will change...but again, it will change very late:)...

[TalismanRing]

37 minutes ago, Rumpot said:

Will pick up a lot today.  I've been waiting for my local AMC (one of the busiest in the country) to finally add some show times to the 5pm and 1030pm ones it had.  Several added today including 3 in the 7-9pm timeframe so booked my tickets just now.  

 

It's not unusual for theaters to add showings this time of week, but that the choices were so few and off peak up til now (for the theaters in this area in general) kept me waiting

It would need to to maintain it's pace with (now 22% of) ID2 which went up 67% on Wed