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Eric Duncan

Jumanji: The Next Level l Sony l December 13, 2019 l 10th Most Profitable Movie of 2019

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19 minutes ago, MrGlass2 said:

Who would have thought, you can't bury a movie after the OD in China.

How is that $400M worldwide prediction looking now? 🤔

   They forgot about other overseas markets and Holiday legs...:redcapes:

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57 minutes ago, reddevil19 said:

France's increase is a good sign. Perhaps some of the traditional major markets will be quite good and the drop from the second movie won't be horrible after all. Should be interesting to follow, at the very least.

UK will be interesting to see, it has essentially a seven day opening much like the previous film but I think with Frozen 2 doing strong business, I expect it'll see a drop. 

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1 hour ago, MrGlass2 said:

Who would have thought, you can't bury a movie after the OD in China.

How is that $400M worldwide prediction looking now? 🤔

Legs will most likely suck everywhere. China will do less total than the previous OW

 

400 seems really unlikely. 500ish sure.

Edited by cdsacken
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400m was never realistic overall. 500m should still be the end goal if its soft in the US (like under 200m soft.) 

 

It had a decent weekend OS, but again, the big China market not increasing sinks the hope of a big gross no matter which side of the argument you want to be on. 

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Wait.....this comes out this Friday?!?! Jesus. 

Looks like Sony fucked up the marketing. It was always going to do less than the first, but still 750+ should be happening. Anything less would be disappointing and kill the franchise. WB will have 2nd thoughts about black Adam releasing during same time as Avatar2. 

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17 minutes ago, DeeCee said:

Opens Boxing Day here. 
 

Jumanji vs Cats vs Jojo Rabbit

Is there any chance at all for Jojo to come out on top of those three? I know you guys aren’t directly New Zealand, but you get some peripheral effect, right?

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Welcome to the Jungle only did like 70 million or so in China, so it was never a gargantuan hit there. So, if you remove China's gross from the total worldwide gross it would go from 960+ million to a little over 800 million. China was not instrumental with the first film's success.

 

It does look like the film will drop a bit from the original but if it does 500 million-700 million, it's not that disastrous.  If it was 200-300  global then that would be bad.

 

Just wait for the actual reviews and the people's movie going choices this Christmas season. No one thought Welcome to the Jungle was going to be big either, and it had even less marketing than this and look how well it did.

Edited by Yandereprime101189
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Nothing "happened" per se. The last one was lightning in a bottle defined. The reaction to TLJ was so toxic that a huge amount of people just started migrating to Jumanji as their go-to holiday movie. 

 

Weren't there some here who thought Jumanji would actually TOP Star Wars this year? LOL nope. This is like in sports when a really good team loses and people jump off the bandwagon en masse to the other flavour of the week team.

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1 hour ago, marveldcfox said:

Wait.....this comes out this Friday?!?!

 

 

Keep in mind, Sony's idea isn't that everyone will go out and see this movie on Friday. Just like the second Jumanji, the idea is that this movie will be the movie people want to see after they see Star Wars over Christmas break. Lots of people see multiple movies over the holidays, and I'm sure Sony doesn't care if people wait 2 or 3 weeks to see it, so long as they see it.

 

You can expect marketing to actually ramp up in the weeks after it's released.

 

Though I don't disagree that this appears poised for a big drop from the last one.

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17 hours ago, Yandereprime101189 said:

Welcome to the Jungle only did like 70 million or so in China, so it was never a gargantuan hit there. So, if you remove China's gross from the total worldwide gross it would go from 960+ million to a little over 800 million. China was not instrumental with the first film's success.

 

It does look like the film will drop a bit from the original but if it does 500 million-700 million, it's not that disastrous.  If it was 200-300  global then that would be bad.

 

Just wait for the actual reviews and the people's movie going choices this Christmas season. No one thought Welcome to the Jungle was going to be big either, and it had even less marketing than this and look how well it did.

Still, the China opening declined 38 percent from the first movie in 2018.

 

https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/china-box-office-jumanji-2-has-soft-25-million-opening-1260815

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This will actually be one of the most intriguing runs to follow this December. A sequel to a lightning-in-a-bottle(?) film, which already opened in a handful of overseas markets with an interesting variety of results (an underperformance in China but generally solid to even great numbers elsewhere).

 

This week especially with the domestic opening and the holds in already opened overseas markets make it must-observe stuff at the box office.

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