Weekend Thread | Estimates per BOM ~ BP 65.7M, RS 17M, DW 13M, GN 10.7M, PR 10M, ANL 5.65M, J:WTTJ 4.5M, FSF 3.3M, TGS 2.68M

[MCKillswitch123]

47 minutes ago, Alli said:

Game Night made 1M in previews on its way to 17M weekend. I think RS is for sure making 20M

Thing is, Game Night, being an original comedy w/strong wom, got to leg it up to a 17 result as it was heavily walk-up driven

 

Red Sparrow is completely different in tone, on the other hand, as it's a slow paced, violent, hard-R spy thriller. And it could turn out kinda frontloaded by comparison, since 1) Jennifer Lawrence, 2) slower pace and 3) mixed wom. That's the reason why 18 seems to be a good projection for now. However, I wouldn't be too surprised if it made 20.

Edited March 2, 2018 by MCKillswitch123

[Blaze Heatnix]

2 hours ago, XO21 said:

Both altered by the same group ffffsss.

 

Keep telling yourself that.

[trifle]

I've seen people saying Red Sparrow opened number 1 in Germany and Italy, but I can't find any source. Maybe it was on their local news.

 

I wonder how it will do in Russia  -- particularly opening the same time as Infinity War.... , at least that is what I've heard..

[Chewy]

3 hours ago, TwoMisfits said:

Death Wish budget $30M

Red Sparrow budget $69M

(Both from BOM)]

 

dont know what everyone's o n about, these are nice budgets

[Alli]

14 minutes ago, trifle said:

I've seen people saying Red Sparrow opened number 1 in Germany and Italy, but I can't find any source. Maybe it was on their local news.

 

I wonder how it will do in Russia  -- particularly opening the same time as Infinity War.... , at least that is what I've heard..

It's true for Italy. I have not found a source for germany yet

 

 

[75Live]

meh start for both films, but I'll wait until today's numbers to make any sort of call on either one

[La Binoche]

Update 

 

60-63 for Panther 

20 for Sparrow 

12 for Death Wish 

 

http://deadline.com/2018/03/jennifer-lawrence-red-sparrow-black-panther-death-wish-bruce-willis-box-office-1202308124/

Edited March 2, 2018 by La Binoche

[Alli]

20M for Red Sparrow. Good. Every A-list should open an original movie with at least 20M. Status confirmed for JLAw

Edited March 2, 2018 by Alli

[Ms Lady Hawk]

http://deadline.com/2018/03/jennifer-lawrence-red-sparrow-black-panther-death-wish-bruce-willis-box-office-1202308124/

Edited March 2, 2018 by Ms Lady Hawk

[cookie]

5 minutes ago, La Binoche said:

Update 

 

60-63 for Panther 

20 for Sparrow 

12 for Death Wish 

 

http://deadline.com/2018/03/jennifer-lawrence-red-sparrow-black-panther-death-wish-bruce-willis-box-office-1202308124/

So if it follows past Deadline trajectory BP is going to climb to a ludicrous number like $80m or something.

Edited March 2, 2018 by cookie

[Dandeak2000]

41 minutes ago, trifle said:

I've seen people saying Red Sparrow opened number 1 in Germany and Italy, but I can't find any source. Maybe it was on their local news.

 

I wonder how it will do in Russia  -- particularly opening the same time as Infinity War.... , at least that is what I've heard..

Russia it opens on May 31st, Avengers 3 opens on May 3rd.

[TwoMisfits]

6 minutes ago, La Binoche said:

Update 

 

60-63 for Panther 

20 for Sparrow 

12 for Death Wish 

 

http://deadline.com/2018/03/jennifer-lawrence-red-sparrow-black-panther-death-wish-bruce-willis-box-office-1202308124/

Friday numbers only:

BP $16M

Red Sparrow $7M

Death Wish $4.25M

[WrathOfHan]

I don't think Sparrow is hitting 20M with a 7M Friday; hopefully it goes up.

Death Wish can still miss 11M with that Friday, so 12M seems pretty optimistic.

[Porthos]

Already being discussed.

 

-edit-

 

Threads have now been merged.  Thanks, Staff. 

Edited March 2, 2018 by Porthos

[WrathOfHan]

That's a 139% increase for BP if it holds, which is more than Deadpool's 3rd weekend IIRC

[el sid]

Ok for Red Sparrow but much lower for Death Wish than I thought, hmm.

Red Sparrow will become #2 or 3 in Germany. In the first trend it`s narrowly #3 with projected 155k admissions OW behind Fifty Shades Freed. Black Panther will very probably win here with ca. 200k thanks to an again good hold.
Edit: In several Friday reports from insidekino.de Fifty Shades and Red Sparrow are in front of BP but not in all. Could become a closer race.

Edited March 2, 2018 by el sid

[dxmatrixdt]

2 hours ago, filmlover said:

Let's be honest: the most baffling movie budget ever will always be the $120M spent on How Do You Know ($50M of which was reportedly spent on salaries but where the hell did the other $70M go?).

When I was covering budgets for supernatural horror movies, I noticed What Lies Beneath and Lost Souls from 18 years ago had huge budgets.  $100 for What Lies Beneath and $50 for Lost Souls.  Sifting through 2000, even Lucky Numbers cost $63, Get Carter $64, Bless the Child $65, Almost Famous $60, and Bait $51.  Alot of those films cost over twice what they would now...

[WrathOfHan]

16M

26.4M (+65%)

17.2M (-35%)

59.6M Weekend, 47% drop

[dxmatrixdt]

Last year, the Oscars were a bore and received poor ratings.  La La Land was front and center.  Mostly all the movies performed better on Sunday than Friday.  Even Fifty Shades Darker dropped under 50%.  http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2017-02-26&p=.htm

 

This year, the wealth has been spread out amongst all nominees and I believe every category except for Animated Feature is up for grabs.  I expect Black Panther to drop 33% this time, not 25%.  Also, look for Fifty Shades Freed to drop about 50% and for all drops to be similar to the year before (Mad Max vs Revenant vs Big Short vs Spotlight)  http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2016-02-26&p=.htm

[WrathOfHan]

I don't expect ratings to decrease this year solely because the pressure is on Warren and Faye to announce the correct Picture winner