INFINITY WAR WEEKEND THREAD | Actuals ~ 257.698M OW (RECORD) | 106.334M Friday, 82.131M Saturday (RECORD), 69.231M Sunday (RECORD) | 640.9M Worldwide Opening (RECORD) | Read the Rules on the First Post | SALE NOW LIVE

[AJ2k]

I don't think the Winter Soldier villain combo gets enough credit. Redford was great as Alexander Pierce who's the brains.  Winter Soldier was the brawn and had a great Terminator vibe going on. And Frank Grillo is an underrated henchmen. Zola gets a special mention as well. 

[filmlover]

Just now, KJsooner said:

Just like to point out the ow was 35 mil more than TOG predicted. He was wrong again.

 

Can't we all just let him enjoy his latest ban in peace?

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

3 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Can't we all just let him enjoy his latest ban in peace?

Yeah, if you are gonna make fun of a banned person, at least make fun of @MrPink.

[WrathOfHan]

Here's my Infinity War forecast using the latest numbers from EC (258M):

 

Remainder of this week: 82.4M (340.3M Total)

May 4: 141.8M (42M weekdays, 524.1M Total)

May 11: 80.3M (23.1M weekdays, 627.5M Total)

May 18: 36.1M (10.4M weekdays, 674M Total)

May 25: 16.8M (9M weekdays, 699.8M Total)

Jun 1: 7.9M (3.3M weekdays, 711M Total)

Jun 8: 4.1M (2.1M weekdays, 717.2M Total)

Jun 15: 2.5M (1.1M weekdays, 720.8M Total)

Jun 22: 1M (600k weekdays, 722.4M Total)

Jun 29: 600k (400k weekdays, 723.4M Total)

Final Total: 725M (2.81x)

 

After seeing the movie, I don't think this is going to suffer from terrible legs like Civil War. This is clearly an event movie, and there will be a lot of spillover next weekend. The second weekend is uncharted territory because JW and TA both dropped 50% off similar weekends, and the SW movies had Christmas. Given the new openers probably won't combine to over 20M and have small TCs, I feel good about a sub-50 drop. That'll continue into Mothers Day, and by the time Deadpool and Solo are out, it'll be dropping O/U 50% from there out.

Edited April 30, 2018 by WrathOfHan

[sfran43]

 

[baumer]

4 hours ago, envyblog said:

most definitely, there has to be one, but the way some people here were so self-confident, so self-righteous about the exact threshold for the ceilings (the Saturday one in particular) it became so annoying I'm just glad the numbers proved them wrong.

 

All in all the final number for the OW I think will be 262-263 which shows the people in the 300 club were not that far fetched.

 

It's going to finish nowhere near 300 OW, that means the 300 club was way too aggressive.  It's great that it set the opening weekend record, but let's not get carried away, it came nowhere near 300 million.

[sfran43]

 

[eXtacy]

Just now, sfran43 said:

 

 

Told you empirecity would not be far off. Simply not going to happen when he updates so late.

[Sam]

1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

Here's my Infinity War forecast using the latest numbers from EC (258M):

 

Remainder of this week: 82.4M (340.3M Total)

May 4: 141.8M (42M weekdays, 524.1M Total)

May 11: 80.3M (23.1M weekdays, 627.5M Total)

May 18: 36.1M (10.4M weekdays, 674M Total)

May 25: 16.8M (9M weekdays, 699.8M Total)

Jun 1: 7.9M (3.3M weekdays, 711M Total)

Jun 8: 4.1M (2.1M weekdays, 717.2M Total)

Jun 15: 2.5M (1.1M weekdays, 720.8M Total)

Jun 22: 1M (600k weekdays, 722.4M Total)

Jun 29: 600k (400k weekdays, 723.4M Total)

Final Total: 725M (2.81x)

 

After seeing the movie, I don't think this is going to suffer from terrible legs like Civil War. This is clearly an event movie, and there will be a lot of spillover next weekend. The second weekend is uncharted territory because JW and TA both dropped 50% off similar weekends, and TFA had Christmas. Given the new openers probably won't combine to over 20M and have small TCs, I feel good about a sub-50 drop. That'll continue into Mothers Day, and by the time Deadpool and Solo are out, it'll be dropping O/U 50% from there out.

TA dropped 50%

 

Don’t see how IW can manage -45%

 

Going insane don’t always work Han.

[KJsooner]

3 minutes ago, Jayhawk said:

Yeah, if you are gonna make fun of a banned person, at least make fun of @MrPink.

 

Okay.

 

Interstellar, Star Trek Beyond, and Dunkirk all suck.

[Rebeccas]

Global opening is now $640m.

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, Sam said:

TA dropped 50%

 

Don’t see how IW can manage -45%

 

Going insane don’t always work Han.

The Avengers also had a 30M opener stealing some IMAX screens in its second weekend and a lot fewer admissions than Infinity War.

 

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

3 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

8mil above estimates!!!

Edited April 30, 2018 by EarlyDeadlinePredictions

[redfirebird2008]

2 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

 

 

@EmpireCity nailed it.

[RandomCat]

1 hour ago, envyblog said:

most definitely, there has to be one, but the way some people here were so self-confident, so self-righteous about the exact threshold for the ceilings (the Saturday one in particular) it became so annoying I'm just glad the numbers proved them wrong.

 

All in all the final number for the OW I think will be 262-263 which shows the people in the 300 club were not that far fetched.

Yes...The real winners, the people just as wrong as the other people who are wrong.

[Sam]

1 minute ago, sfran43 said:

 

Already 3M over Sunday estimate. 

 

Think it’ll settle at around 385M in the end. Crazy performance.

[filmlover]

6 minutes ago, Jayhawk said:

Yeah, if you are gonna make fun of a banned person, at least make fun of @MrPink.

Nah, too easy. Sorry, Pink!

[BardCrank]

On 4/29/2018 at 5:13 AM, That I'M BANNED Guy said:

I do find it funny how many people are crucifying me for trying to be somewhat realistic lol.  but to appease you guys I'll give it a -28% drop instead

 

$105.9M

$79.5M

$57.2M

 

$242.6M

 

 

 

[Brainbug]

3 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

 

Fucking 100M higher than Fate of the Furry and all of this WITHOUT China what a monster we're witnessing.

[eXtacy]

So roughly a 69.2m Sunday. Thats an awesome hold only down -16.6% (less than the first Avengers!)