The Very Boring Dec. 7-9 Weekend Thread l Ralph 16.1 l Grinch 15.1 l Creed 10.3 l Favourite 1.4 l Schindler's 551K l Scots 200K l Vox Lux 162K l Ben is Back 81K l Aquaman opens to 93.6M in China l Who's excited for Christmas?

[lilmac]

17 hours ago, CoolEric258 said:

Next weekend will have three new releases, including Into the Spider-Verse which is looking more and more like a 200M+ performer. Then the week after has Mary Poppins, Aquaman, and Bumblebee. The next few weeks will be pretty lively and hectic.

Love the idea of a $200m+ performance by Spiderverse. I expect half that. Reviews are good and it’s December so....it’s possible. 

 

 

[Eric Loves Rey]

Deadline updated with some slight changes

 

WEEKEND B.O. FOR DEC. 7-9

THUMB RANK FILM DIS. SCREENS (CHG) FRI (% DY) 3-DAY (-%) TOTAL WK 1 Ralph Breaks… Dis 3,795 (-222) $3.4M (-40%) $15.4M (-40%) $140M 3 2 The Grinch Uni/Ill 3,841 (-93) $3.3M (-15%) $15.36M (-14%) $223.5M 5 3 Creed II MGM/NL 3,572 (+176) $2.8M (-42%) $9.7M (-41%) $95.8M 3 4 Fantastic Beasts 2 WB 3,541 (-400) $1.8M (-42%) $6.6M (-42%) $145M 4 5 Bohemian Rhapsody Fox/NR/GK 2,953 (-54) $1.6M (-27%) $5.7M (-28%) $173.3M 6 6 Instant Family Par 3,426 (+50) $1.5M (-27%) $5.3M (-27%) $53.9M 4 7 Green Book Uni/Par/DW 1,181 (+116) $1.1M (-6%) $3.7M (-5%) $19.8M 4 8 Robin Hood LG 2,573 (-254) $960K (-30%) $3.3M (-30%) $27M 3 9 …Hannah Grace Sony 2,298 (+233) $940K (-63%) $3.1M (-51%)   $11.4M 2 10 Widows 20th/NR 2,161 (-232) $904K (-29%) $3M (-30%) $38M 4 11 A Star Is Born WB 1,631 (+550) $682K (+22%) $2.2M (+24%) $196.8M 10 12 The Favourite FSL 91 (+57) $458K (+24%) $1.4M (+40%) $3.4M 3

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, CoolEric258 said:

Deadline updated with some slight changes

 

WEEKEND B.O. FOR DEC. 7-9

THUMB RANK FILM DIS. SCREENS (CHG) FRI (% DY) 3-DAY (-%) TOTAL WK 1 Ralph Breaks… Dis 3,795 (-222) $3.4M (-40%) $15.4M (-40%) $140M 3 2 The Grinch Uni/Ill 3,841 (-93) $3.3M (-15%) $15.36M (-14%) $223.5M 5 3 Creed II MGM/NL 3,572 (+176) $2.8M (-42%) $9.7M (-41%) $95.8M 3 4 Fantastic Beasts 2 WB 3,541 (-400) $1.8M (-42%) $6.6M (-42%) $145M 4 5 Bohemian Rhapsody Fox/NR/GK 2,953 (-54) $1.6M (-27%) $5.7M (-28%) $173.3M 6 6 Instant Family Par 3,426 (+50) $1.5M (-27%) $5.3M (-27%) $53.9M 4 7 Green Book Uni/Par/DW 1,181 (+116) $1.1M (-6%) $3.7M (-5%) $19.8M 4 8 Robin Hood LG 2,573 (-254) $960K (-30%) $3.3M (-30%) $27M 3 9 …Hannah Grace Sony 2,298 (+233) $940K (-63%) $3.1M (-51%)   $11.4M 2 10 Widows 20th/NR 2,161 (-232) $904K (-29%) $3M (-30%) $38M 4 11 A Star Is Born WB 1,631 (+550) $682K (+22%) $2.2M (+24%) $196.8M 10 12 The Favourite FSL 91 (+57) $458K (+24%) $1.4M (+40%) $3.4M 3

They also updated the limited titles too (Vox Lux is looking at a PTA near $30K and Ben is Back is looking at $19K, ouch).

[Webslinger]

Wowzers... I really did not expect that The Grinch would be in the running to return to #1 this weekend. That's damned impressive.

 

I'm not surprised that Schindler's List didn't make much noise. It's an excellent film, obviously (and I'm looking forward to catching the re-release at some point this weekend), but trying to get people to see a depressing 195-minute film that's also currently streaming on Netflix was always going to be an extraordinarily tall order.

[Eric Loves Rey]

2 minutes ago, filmlover said:

They also updated the limited titles too (Vox Lux is looking at a PTA near $30K and Ben is Back is looking at $19K, ouch).

Beautiful Boy with weaker reviews had the better average and likely the better ending total. Chalabae. A true draw power superstar. Little Women gonna be bigger than IX at this rate.

 

[filmlover]

Just now, CoolEric258 said:

Beautiful Boy with weaker reviews had the better average and likely the better ending total. Chalabae. A true draw power superstar. Little Women gonna be bigger than IX at this rate.

 

I’m not sure why they didn’t just release Ben is Back wide this weekend (especially when the only other release was a re-release of a highly depressing movie). A Julia Roberts/Lucas Hedges drama could’ve made some coins before being pushed out by the Christmas weekend onslaught instead of being released in 4 theaters like it was an awards player with growing buzz (which it isn’t). Roadside is just a weak studio I suppose - they’ve only had 10 $10M+ grossers in their entire history (only two of which made double or more the $21M gross of their third highest grosser).

[KP1025]

I'm wondering why Deadline revised Ralph 2's Friday downwards when the most recent Friday estimate this morning was $3.524 million (also the number used by Box Office Pro for their forecast, where they have it at $16.5 million for the weekend). 

[Krissykins]

Vox Lux and Mary Queen Of Scots are DOA at awards season with those middling RT scores. 

[SLAM!]

1 hour ago, filmlover said:

I’m not sure why they didn’t just release Ben is Back wide this weekend (especially when the only other release was a re-release of a highly depressing movie). A Julia Roberts/Lucas Hedges drama could’ve made some coins before being pushed out by the Christmas weekend onslaught instead of being released in 4 theaters like it was an awards player with growing buzz (which it isn’t). Roadside is just a weak studio I suppose - they’ve only had 10 $10M+ grossers in their entire history (only two of which made double or more the $21M gross of their third highest grosser).

 

It's a shame, too, because we just saw an example of what Roadside can do with a wide release. Just last March, they released the excellent I Can Only Imagine in wide release, and that opened to $17 million--surpassing the equally impressive Love, Simon by $6 million. And from then on, the film was able to leg its way to an $82 million total!

 

So I'm sure that, with a similar semi-wide release, they could've had a nice little success in Ben is Back. People were talking about the film with talk show hosts like Stephen Colbert and everything! I guess they have some experience to gain and some young, knowledgeable consultants to hire.

[MrGlass2]

It looks like Bumblebee will get good reviews. I think it is going to explode at the box office - just like MPR, Aquaman, Spider-Verse, Holmes and Vice.

 

American families will have to spend the entire holidays at the movie theater to make my predictions come true.

[TalismanRing]

38 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Vox Lux and Mary Queen Of Scots are DOA at awards season with those middling RT scores. 

And yet BR got Golden Globe noms  - which shows B.O. can make the difference

[WrathOfHan]

2 hours ago, CJohn said:

It is dead since November 1st.

My prediction was still way closer than most!  

2 hours ago, filmlover said:

I’m not sure why they didn’t just release Ben is Back wide this weekend (especially when the only other release was a re-release of a highly depressing movie). A Julia Roberts/Lucas Hedges drama could’ve made some coins before being pushed out by the Christmas weekend onslaught instead of being released in 4 theaters like it was an awards player with growing buzz (which it isn’t). Roadside is just a weak studio I suppose - they’ve only had 10 $10M+ grossers in their entire history (only two of which made double or more the $21M gross of their third highest grosser).

The weird thing is it's not even going wide until January 11. Roadside's release strategy is very strange, but then again, they're part of LIONSGATE.

[GraceRandolph]

Omg Wreck It Ralphney is FLOPPING. They shoved in every Disney princess and character in it - and it's still getting destroyed by the Grinch. 

[SLAM!]

17 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

The weird thing is it's not even going wide until January 11. Roadside's release strategy is very strange, but then again, they're part of LIONSGATE.

 

Well, let's see.

 

The films going straight to wide release on that date are:

• A Dog's Way Home (Sony / Columbia)
• Replicas (Entertainment Studios)
• The Upside (STX Entertainment)

None of which look nearly as good as Ben is Back.

 

So while Ben is Back could have benefited from going straight to wide, I could see the film finding success as a January film, especially when comparing it to the immediate competition. Will all the December holdovers and Oscar competitors make for a tough competition in their own right? Almost surely. No one should deny that. But I think it's safe to suggest that Ben is Back can overtake, or at least rival, some of the other film that are going straight to wide release in January, especially the three cannon-fodder films that I've already listed.

 

We'll see. Ben is Back sounds like something I might want to see in January, from a personal standpoint, and I'm sure I'm not alone in that regard. But it's not like it'll magically outgross If Beale Street Could Talk, which goes wide on Christmas. Overall, I think Roadside Attractions dropped the ball in terms of maximizing success, because it'll be tough to maintain buzz for the film from here on out.

Edited December 8, 2018 by Slambros

[WrathOfHan]

18 minutes ago, Slambros said:

 

Well, let's see.

 

The films going straight to wide release on that date are:

• A Dog's Way Home (Sony / Columbia)
• Replicas (Entertainment Studios)
• The Upside (STX Entertainment)

None of which look nearly as good as Ben is Back.

 

So while Ben is Back could have benefited from going straight to wide, I could see the film finding success as a January film, especially when comparing it to the immediate competition. Will all the December holdovers and Oscar competitors make for a tough competition in their own right? Almost surely. No one should deny that. But I think it's safe to suggest that Ben is Back can overtake, or at least rival, some of the other film that are going straight to wide release in January, especially the three cannon-fodder films that I've already listed.

 

We'll see. Ben is Back sounds like something I might want to see in January, from a personal standpoint, and I'm sure I'm not alone in that regard. But it's not like it'll magically outgross If Beale Street Could Talk, which goes wide on Christmas. Overall, I think Roadside Attractions dropped the ball in terms of maximizing success, because it'll be tough to maintain buzz for the film from here on out.

On the Basis of Sex is also going wide that weekend, so it faces specialty competition.

[That One Girl]

In the theater for the hotly anticipated, long awaited movie of the season: The Possession of Hannah Grace

[ScoobyDoo21]

So if Grinch wins this weekend it'll just be because everyone forgives him since Joker and Piranha Plant is alot cooler thann Shadow or Geno will ever be. 😛

Edited December 8, 2018 by ScoobyDoo21

[Dingdong]

Lol The Geinch winning wouldnt be here. Can you see its theater counts?! How the hell does it manage to remain all those theatres that long?? It has higher theater counts than Ralph at this point!

[Noctis]

Ben is Back is a great film. I love Julia Roberts...she's sensational and deserves to be nominated for an Oscar.

[La Binoche]

1 hour ago, Noctis said:

Ben is Back is a great film. I love Julia Roberts...she's sensational and deserves to be nominated for an Oscar.

Is the 100% audience score on RT to be believed?