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Deadline doing guesstimate previews and people here overreacting. Chapter 1000

 

Let's wait until true preview numbers come! Dealine almost always is low with early preview guesses.

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Another weekend thread, another stupidly early Deadline guess and people are panicking like its a Wednesday thread.

 

I mean, yeah, Shazam doesnt have the best of chances to receive a big jump in this number, but its way too early to determine anything about its gross this weekend. Mary Poppins (negative example) and Us (positive example) should show, that DHD's guesses are not better than mine or yours at this point.

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2 hours ago, Johnny Tran said:

I've always said on here that most people,  casual moviegoers don't want to see "good movies" in the theater.   They want a spectacle.

That's not true, it all depends on hype. Deadpool had hype and Shazam doesn't, so that's why it's doing so bad.

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How about to define it as doing good, bad, whatever, after the real numbers are in?

 

Yes in Asia some reactions do not look promising, but there are partly questions about why a certain rating got/was given by whom. Again, too early to be sure.

Also: expectations...

in dom people were prepared the movie is being about a 14y old character.

Maybe in Asia people were less prepared and expected a more adult SH? People seem to react often over the top, if expectations are not fulfilled, even if a movie is great.

How often did we hear about people disliking a certain movie per the first viewing, but even loving it during their 2nd viewing? Some of the audience seem to need time to adjust.

 

Wait and see, as always

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Theater Counts > 2019 > Week 14

space.gif
 

April 5
Updated Thursday afternoons
 

<< Prev. Week < Last Year View Index Next Year > Next Week >>
Rank LW Title Distributor Theater
Count
Change % Change Est.
Screens
Change Est.
Shows
Change Week #
> NEW RELEASES
1 - Shazam! Warner Bros. (New Line) 4,260 - - - - - - 1
3 - Pet Sematary (2019) Paramount 3,585 - - - - - - 1
9 - The Best of Enemies STX Entertainment 1,705 - - - - - - 1
26 - The Wind IFC 35 - - - - - - 1
34 - Amazing Grace (2019) Neon 8 - - - - - - 1
37 - Peterloo Amazon Studios 3 - - - - - - 1
38 - Christ Stopped at Eboli (re-release) Rialto 1 - - - - - - 1
> EXPANDING
10 10 Unplanned Pure Flix 1,516 +457 +43.2% - - - - 2
13 11 Hotel Mumbai Bleecker Street 930 +6 +0.6% - - - - 3
14 26 The Mustang Focus Features 349 +168 +92.8% - - - - 4
15 28 The Aftermath Fox Searchlight 344 +183 +113.7% - - - - 4
31 69 Sunset (2019) Sony Classics 18 +8 +80.0% - - - - 3
> NO CHANGE
2 1 Dumbo (2019) Buena Vista 4,259 - - - - - - 2
27 55 Never Look Away Sony Classics 26 - - - - - - 19
> DECLINING
4 2 Captain Marvel Buena Vista 3,573 -412 -10.3% - - - - 5
5 3 Us Universal 3,512 -231 -6.2% - - - - 3
6 5 Five Feet Apart Lionsgate 2,484 -361 -12.7% - - - - 4
7 4 Wonder Park Paramount 2,281 -1,023 -31.0% - - - - 4
8 6 How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World Universal 1,922 -863 -31.0% - - - - 7
11 7 Tyler Perry's A Madea Family Funeral Lionsgate 1,101 -822 -42.7% - - - - 6
12 9 The Beach Bum Neon 1,055 -45 -4.1% - - - - 2
16 13 Alita: Battle Angel Fox 311 -365 -54.0% - - - - 8
17 18 No Manches Frida 2 Pantelion 275 -148 -35.0% - - - - 4
18 16 The Upside STX Entertainment 274 -182 -39.9% - - - - 13
19 14 Fighting with My Family MGM 207 -296 -58.8% - - - - 8
20 17 Green Book Universal 204 -243 -54.4% - - - - 21
21 20 Apollo 11 Neon 187 -167 -47.2% - - - - 6
22 21 What Men Want Paramount 123 -186 -60.2% - - - - 9
23 23 Cold Pursuit Lionsgate/Summit 118 -106 -47.3% - - - - 9
24 33 Ralph Breaks the Internet Buena Vista 62 -30 -32.6% - - - - 20
25 34 Mary Poppins Returns Buena Vista 52 -32 -38.1% - - - - 16
28 36 The Kid (2019) Lionsgate 22 -55 -71.4% - - - - 5
29 46 Stan & Ollie Sony Classics 21 -25 -54.3% - - - - 15
30 44 Arctic Bleecker Street 20 -29 -59.2% - - - - 10
32 62 Capernaum Sony Classics 14 -1 -6.7% - - - - 17
33 59 If Beale Street Could Talk Annapurna Pictures 9 -9 -50.0% - - - - 17
35 57 The Prodigy Orion Pictures 8 -17 -68.0% - - - - 9
36 61 Vice Annapurna Pictures 6 -11 -64.7% - - - - 15
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$4-5M is about where I expected the previews for Shazam to be given 1) $3M was already eaten up and 2) How it was doing on Fandango plus at my theater. The friday number will tell us how it’s doing as there aren’t really any comps for a movie that had 4PM previews and a fan event that ate up so much of demand for it. 

 

Anyways the movie is great and I hope it makes as much money as it can. Even if it doesn’t find an audience at the box office, I’m sure it’s gonna be a classic. 

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1 minute ago, Nova said:

$4-5M is about where I expected the previews for Shazam to be given 1) $3M was already eaten up and 2) How it was doing on Fandango plus at my theater. The friday number will tell us how it’s doing as there aren’t really any comps for a movie that had 4PM previews and a fan event that ate up so much of demand for it. 

 

Anyways the movie is great and I hope it makes as much money as it can. Even if it doesn’t find an audience at the box office, I’m sure it’s gonna be a classic. 

is Shazam still slow walking up at your theater? we need the previews to rise up to 6M :ph34r:

 

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2 minutes ago, RealLyre said:

is Shazam still slow walking up at your theater? we need the previews to rise up to 6M :ph34r:

 

I didn’t get a chance to check the other showtimes cause I ended up watching it last night but its walk ups weren’t substantial or anything :lol: But like @TalismanRing said I need to be more considerate to people who walk slowly. Gonna be a terrible doctor if I don’t. 

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