Eternals Weekend Thread: 71M OW DOM, 90M OS | Dune 7.6M (-50%), NTTD 6.2M, Venom 4.5M, Spencer 2.1M

[Valonqar]

16 minutes ago, James said:

According to IMDB, it opened everywhere, except for Latvia. 220-230m OS run imo. In many big markets it was a 5 day OW.

 

Thank you! 

5 minutes ago, James said:

I am beginning to wonder is a 400m total might be possible for DUNE. Maybe another 25M DOM and 45m OS? Might be wishful thinking. Likely closer to 385-390m. Still, great result.

 

next 2 weeks will be pretty dead and it fend off Eternals well. Also, it still has Oz and NZ to open in in December. 

[john2000]

 

[Valonqar]

Just now, VenomXXR said:

 

Not really that crazy, given how Korea feels about China and Chinese heavy iconography. 

 

H ah should have remembered the poor Joseon Exorcist (K drama that got cancelled after 2 aired episodes due to Chinese props). 

[von Kenni]

More Sat actuals

 

		Movie	Distr	Gross	%YD	%LW	Thr	Per Thr	Total Gross	D
-	(1)	Eternals	Walt Disney	$24,100,000	-21%		4,090	$5,892	$54,800,000	2
-	(2)	Dune	Warner Bros.	$3,360,000	+49%	-48%	3,546	$948	$81,946,162	16
-	(-)	No Time to Die	United Artists	$2,643,577	+45%	-22%	3,007	$879	$141,433,982	30
-	(-)	Venom: Let There be Carnage	Sony Pictures	$2,010,000	+70%	-22%	2,640	$761	$195,737,635	37
-	(-)	Ron’s Gone Wrong	20th Century…	$1,661,000	+100%	-10%	2,650	$627	$16,468,325	16
-	(-)	The French Dispatch	Searchlight …	$1,048,000	+28%	+13%	1,205	$870	$7,737,072	16
-	(-)	Halloween Kills	Universal	$1,030,000	+47%	-70%	3,098	$332	$89,095,075	23
-	(-)	Antlers	Searchlight …	$825,000	+36%	-44%	2,800	$295	$7,038,908	9
-	(-)	Last Night in Soho	Focus Features	$740,000	+28%	-44%	3,016	$245	$7,158,635	9
-	(-)	My Hero Academia: World H…	FUNimation	$709,289	+66%	-67%	1,445	$491	$9,318,756	9
-	(-)	The Addams Family 2	United Artists	$679,320	+112%	-54%	1,807	$376	$54,501,543	37
-	(-)	Shang-Chi and the Legend …	Walt Disney	$223,000	+73%	-54%	440	$507	$223,584,907	65
-	(-)	The Last Duel	20th Century…	$50,000	+6%	-79%	220	$227	$10,474,876	23
-	(-)	Free Guy	20th Century…	$33,000	+43%	+5%	5	$6,600	$121,480,769	86
-	(-)	The Souvenir Part II	A24	$17,350	+81%	+89%	15	$1,157	$26,914	9
-	(-)	Jungle Cruise	Walt Disney	$14,000	+27%	-3%	75	$187	$116,936,973	100
-	(-)	Dear Evan Hansen	Universal	$13,000	+30%	n/c	220	$59	$14,941,020	44
-	(-)	Candyman	Universal	$9,000	+50%	-71%	123	$73	$61,173,310	72
-	(-)	Hive	Zeitgeist	$5,457	+30%		1	$5,457	$9,655	2
		19		$39,170,993

[charlie Jatinder]

4 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

 

This is crazy. Unless BOM stopped updating SC OS numbers, Eternals matched SC's lifetime gross in Korea in 3 days or so. Perhaps the presence of a Korean actor gave Eternals a leg up? But anyway, not surprised that OS looks more interested in this than SC even with worse reviews. 

Presence of Chinese actors stopped Shang Chi in Korea and most other markets. Internationally, white lead movies sell better.

[grim22]

@Eternal Legiontold you there was very little chance Eternals would increase 30% on Saturday with the reviews and word of mouth compared to Dr Strange and Thor.

[Valonqar]

1 minute ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Presence of Chinese actors stopped Shang Chi in Korea and most other markets. Internationally, white lead movies sell better.

 

Holy cow what would happen in Korea if there were Japanese actors? A ban? 

[charlie Jatinder]

1 minute ago, Valonqar said:

 

Holy cow what would happen in Korea if there were Japanese actors? A ban? 

Well Eternals has something Japan in it which nearly killed it in Korea.

 

 

[lab276]

18 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

The winner on Saturday...https://deadline.com/2021/11/eternals-opening-weekend-box-office-1234868870/

 

"What of Netflix’s Red Notice? While rival distributors can’t see ticket sales for the film in ComScore, the other ways and other means of figuring out what this Dwayne Johnson-Gal Gadot-Ryan Reynolds $200M action film made at 750 locations. We’re hearing the movie had a great Saturday night (for a Netflix movie) and is approaching $1.25M in monitored theaters. Other sources have floated a $1.5M three-day to me, which is possible, but the lower number is more reasonable."

 

This is bullshit imo, if Netflix movies are released theatrically then they should have their gross reported like all other films. I guess this is why The Harder They Fall didn’t have any box office recorded in Australia. 

 

It’s like how Tesla doesn’t report its car sales like all other manufacturers. These new tech sort of companies think that they’re above transparency and I totally disagree with that. The old guard companies would love to be as opaque, and they shouldn’t be given any ideas!

[Danhjpn]

5 minutes ago, john2000 said:

 

@charlie Jatinder it seems the numbers of Japan, Taiwan and Hongkong lack ~$300k ? 

[charlie Jatinder]

10M more I expected in OS. 10M less in DOM.

 

balance something. all things something.

[von Kenni]

8 minutes ago, James said:

I am beginning to wonder is a 400m total might be possible for DUNE. Maybe another 25M DOM and 45m OS? Might be wishful thinking. Likely closer to 385-390m. Still, great result.

I was thinking exactly the same thing. Probabilities for $400m WW went up during the week with stronger legs than expected in some OS markets and now seeing the weekday and weekend in the US. That $25m more DOM (close to $110m) looks where it's headed and if the OS legs hold firmly and Australia + NZ do $20m+ together (big IF) then it just might happen. That 385-390 looks very plausible right now.

[charlie Jatinder]

1 minute ago, lab276 said:

 

This is bullshit imo, if Netflix movies are released theatrically then they should have their gross reported like all other films. I guess this is why The Harder They Fall didn’t have any box office recorded in Australia. 

 

It’s like how Tesla doesn’t report its car sales like all other manufacturers. These new tech sort of companies think that they’re above transparency and I totally disagree with that. The old guard companies would love to be as opaque, and they shouldn’t be given any ideas!

Don't worry. Next time Netflix release a movie, we will track it. @Menor @keysersoze123

[Krissykins]

Eternals and Shang-Chi’s openings make Black Widow’s look even more impressive IMO. 
 

I wonder what Eternals’ performance would’ve meant for ScarJo’s case if Disney hadn’t paid out?

[john2000]

eternals overseas ow is very very good.

[titanic2187]

Just now, Krissykins said:

Eternals and Shang-Chi’s openings make Black Widow’s look even more impressive IMO. 
 

I wonder what Eternals’ performance would’ve meant for ScarJo’s case if Disney hadn’t paid out?

Eternal problem was due to mixed reception and poor RT which MCU film hardly experience before this. DIsney is aware of the situation and this doesn't PA won't hurt box office.   

[ThomasNicole]

I see 0 reasons to expect less than 250M OS for this, reception overseas are way better than US.

 

US debut is good in numbers, like i said disappointing because we all know it have room for more, but it is what it is. At least Marvel shows they really can sell anything, including bad received movies. Now let's see the legs, lack of competition, thanksgiving and NWH Double Features should help to balance the reception, hoping for 2.5x.

[lab276]

10 minutes ago, john2000 said:

 

 

Means about 6.7m AUD. Black Widow opened to 6.1m, but that was with Sydney under lockdown. WW84 opened to 5.2m. 

[TwoMisfits]

17 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

Disney never lose.

 

 

 

 

We'll see if 4th highest DOM OW holds (at least, now we know they were looking for all the pennies Thurs/Fri/Sat to see if they could justify a Sunday estimate above F9's actuals of $70.043M:)...

[Starphanluke]

9 minutes ago, von Kenni said:

I was thinking exactly the same thing. Probabilities for $400m WW went up during the week with stronger legs than expected in some OS markets and now seeing the weekday and weekend in the US. That $25m more DOM (close to $110m) looks where it's headed and if the OS legs hold firmly and Australia + NZ do $20m+ together (big IF) then it just might happen. That 385-390 looks very plausible right now.

I don't think it's got $25m domestic left. And that $20m from Aus/NZ is way, way more than is likely. 

 

As for Eternals: good OS numbers, especially in Korea. Wow. Should have a solid BO run overseas. Super curious how domestic legs hold up.

Edited November 7, 2021 by Starphanluke