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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

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Posted by Shawn Robbins,

PSA:   As a heads up to everyone, we'll be starting a new thread here very soon. For those who are newer to the forum, we typically have to split threads once they reach 1,000+ pages and are still highly active. In the past, such topics have created database slowdown issues that affect the entire forum.   Rest assured, this thread will be archived when it is locked and a link to the new one will be posted to help you find it easily (it will also be pinned to the top of the box o
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Posted by XXRDJisDoctorDoom,

Yea we're gonna drop all this non tracking stuff. That expressly means you, @excel1. Next post from you that isn't tracking related is a thread ban.    Anyone else continues, it's points. 

We're all tired of the non-tracking related thread derailments. This is your fair warning.

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LegendaryBen Sleeper Hit

LegendaryBen

Posted
Posted
13 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Harkins Saturday ~16.7K for Minions 2 vs 23K FRI. FRI finaled at 75K+, SAT could be 65K range. That's looks like a big drop. 

 

Santikos seems like same thing.

 

But let's see how day pan out as this is first time I am checking days other than previews.

Probably around a $32-33M Saturday. If it drops that big, it will still be above $100M+ OW. I don't want anyone being negative on them when LY was a much much bigger flop and presales were not this high last week either.

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XXRDJisDoctorDoom Global Phenomenon

XXRDJisDoctorDoom

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, LegendaryBen said:

Because based on @charlie Jatinder's data, it's headed for a 30% drop today unless walk-ups surge.

 

A Sat drop from true Friday was expected and it's only 13% from that, which is a little heavy but basically in line with expectations. It'll be something like 48-33-29 for 110 (if the data holds). 

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Eric Prime Global Phenomenon

Eric Prime

Posted
Posted
On 7/1/2022 at 12:46 AM, Eric the Minion said:

Thor: Love and Thunder Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-7 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 185 6729 34527 19.49%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 265

 

Comp

0.366x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-7 (18.32M)

1.126x of The Batman T-7 (24.32M)

0.567x of Doctor Strange 2 T-7 (20.47M)

Thor: Love and Thunder Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-6 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 185 7082 34527 20.51%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 353

 

Comp

0.372x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-6 (18.63M)

1.143x of The Batman T-6 (24.7M)

0.572x of Doctor Strange 2 T-6 (20.61M)

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Eric Prime Global Phenomenon

Eric Prime

Posted
Posted
On 7/1/2022 at 12:49 AM, Eric the Minion said:

Nope Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-21 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 65 243 13040 1.86%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 15

 

Comp

0.494x of F9 T-21 (3.51M)

Nope Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-20 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 65 249 13040 1.91%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 6

 

Comp

0.467x of F9 T-20 (3.32M)

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ZackM Box Office Gold

ZackM

Posted
Posted

Thor4 update from last night.  Just a heads up, my normal run errored out so I had to restart it about 2 hours later than normal, so these numbers will be slightly inflated.

 

 

Thor: Love and Thunder
Alpha Chain
Premiere Night Seat Report: T-6 days
           
  Last Day 2 Days Ago 3 Days Ago 4 Days Ago 5 Days Ago
Showings Added 30 18 35 53 0
Seats Added 2,465 1,738 4,217 6,501 0
Seats Sold 10,115 9,050 7,408 6,017 6,776
           
7/1/2022 Theaters Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Pct. Sold
Total 440 6,510 258,022 1,118,403 23.07%
           
% of Seats Sold Sellouts 90%+ 80%+ 70%+ 60%+
# of Showings 2 20 129 417 849
           
ATP          
$16.85          

 

 

 

Thor: Love and Thunder
  Dr. Strange MoM Spider-Man: No Way Home
Total Net
Thursday Only Net
  Unweighted Weighted Unweighted Weighted
D0            
T-0            
T-1            
T-2            
T-3            
T-4            
T-5            
T-6 $25.4 $25.9 $21.3 $24.4 $27.5 $29.2
T-7 $25.3 $25.8 $21.0 $24.0 $27.4 $29.1
T-8 $25.2 $25.8 $20.6 $23.6 $27.2 $28.9

 

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keysersoze123 Global Phenomenon

keysersoze123

Posted
Posted

So not much of a boost yesterday at Alpha. Let us see how the weekend goes before real action starting from tuesday. 

 

Thor MTC2 previews - 127404/566914 1789063.60 3698 shows

 

Roughly 19K over 4 days. Not bad no sign of accelerated pace at this point. 

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Tinalera Box Office Gold

Tinalera

Posted
Posted

So am I reading right that Minions  almost made Lightyears weekend on friday? Im seeing 48 million for Friday, and Lightyear was...what 50-55 for weekend?  And by the looks of it 100 million isn't out of the question for 3 day weekend? If so, Universal would be happy with that I would think.

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charlie Jatinder Global Phenomenon

charlie Jatinder

Posted
Posted
11 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Harkins Saturday ~16.7K for Minions 2 vs 23K FRI. FRI finaled at 75K+, SAT could be 65K range. That's looks like a big drop. 

 

Santikos seems like same thing.

 

But let's see how day pan out as this is first time I am checking days other than previews.

Hmm seems like this works, though need to see it's a coincidence or it a actually worked

 

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ZackM Box Office Gold

ZackM

Posted
Posted

 

11 hours ago, ZackM said:

 

Thor4 update from last night.  Just a heads up, my normal run errored out so I had to restart it about 2 hours later than normal, so these numbers will be slightly inflated.

 

 

 

Thor: Love and Thunder
Alpha Chain
Premiere Night Seat Report: T-6 days
           
  Last Day 2 Days Ago 3 Days Ago 4 Days Ago 5 Days Ago
Showings Added 30 18 35 53 0
Seats Added 2,465 1,738 4,217 6,501 0
Seats Sold 10,115 9,050 7,408 6,017 6,776
           
7/1/2022 Theaters Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Pct. Sold
Total 440 6,510 258,022 1,118,403 23.07%
           
% of Seats Sold Sellouts 90%+ 80%+ 70%+ 60%+
# of Showings 2 20 129 417 849
           
ATP          
$16.85          

 

 

 

Thor: Love and Thunder
  Dr. Strange MoM Spider-Man: No Way Home
Total Net
Thursday Only Net
  Unweighted Weighted Unweighted Weighted
D0            
T-0            
T-1            
T-2            
T-3            
T-4            
T-5            
T-6 $25.4 $25.9 $21.3 $24.4 $27.5 $29.2
T-7 $25.3 $25.8 $21.0 $24.0 $27.4 $29.1
T-8 $25.2 $25.8 $20.6 $23.6 $27.2 $28.9

 

 

 

Today's Thor4 update (reminder, yesterday's run was late, so today's numbers are slightly deflated):

 

Thor: Love and Thunder
Alpha Chain
Premiere Night Seat Report: T-5 days
           
  Last Day 2 Days Ago 3 Days Ago 4 Days Ago 5 Days Ago
Showings Added 18 30 18 35 53
Seats Added 2,790 2,465 1,738 4,217 6,501
Seats Sold 8,949 10,115 9,050 7,408 6,017
           
7/2/2022 Theaters Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Pct. Sold
Total 440 6,528 266,971 1,121,193 23.81%
           
% of Seats Sold Sellouts 90%+ 80%+ 70%+ 60%+
# of Showings 1 23 146 462 901
           
ATP          
$16.81          

 

 

 

Thor: Love and Thunder
  Dr. Strange MoM Spider-Man: No Way Home
Total Net
Thursday Only Net
  Unweighted Weighted Unweighted Weighted
D0            
T-0            
T-1            
T-2            
T-3            
T-4            
T-5 $25.5 $26.0 $21.5 $24.7 $27.5 $29.2
T-6 $25.4 $25.9 $21.3 $24.4 $27.5 $29.2
T-7 $25.3 $25.8 $21.0 $24.0 $27.4 $29.1
T-8 $25.2 $25.8 $20.6 $23.6 $27.2 $28.9

 

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ZackM Box Office Gold

ZackM

Posted
Posted (edited)
6 minutes ago, John Marston said:

So Thor is going to make 20-25m previews? Can’t see 150m from that 

NWH and Net basically converge by D0, so I think the comps will end up 27m+

Edited by ZackM
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Eric Prime Global Phenomenon

Eric Prime

Posted
Posted
13 hours ago, Eric the Minion said:

Thor: Love and Thunder Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-6 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 185 7082 34527 20.51%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 353

 

Comp

0.372x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-6 (18.63M)

1.143x of The Batman T-6 (24.7M)

0.572x of Doctor Strange 2 T-6 (20.61M)

Thor: Love and Thunder Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-5 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 185 7312 34527 21.18%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 230

 

Comp

0.372x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-5 (18.6M)

1.122x of The Batman T-5 (24.25M)

0.577x of Doctor Strange 2 T-5 (20.78M)

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ThomasNicole Summer Tentpole

ThomasNicole

Posted
Posted
20 minutes ago, Legion and Thunder said:

Looking like about 27-29 for now. July 4 and tues review drop will make reading stuff a bit tricky

27M should be enough to 150M, since i don't think multiplier will be worse than 5.5x. 

 

But 29M would be safer.

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Eric Prime Global Phenomenon

Eric Prime

Posted
Posted
13 hours ago, Eric the Minion said:

Nope Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-20 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 65 249 13040 1.91%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 6

 

Comp

0.467x of F9 T-20 (3.32M)

Nope Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-19 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 65 255 13040 1.96%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 6

 

Comp

0.447x of F9 T-19 (3.18M)

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