May 13-15 Weekend Thread | 67.4% drop for Doctor Strange 2

[JohnnyGossamer]

23 minutes ago, honeycookiez said:

 

 

At this point, pretty sure the overhyped, uncertain rumors about a truckload of cameos really hurt this film. The fact that the "Superior iron man who would be played by Tom Cruise" rumor got trending on Twitter for a while when the trailer got released was just ridiculous and out of nowhere. Nevertheless, I still think DS2 has a  great jump if you compare it to DS1, thanks to how Marvel has kept shoehorning Strange in almost every MCU film since 2016, which makes him become familiar to the general audience. I have already mentioned this in the DS2 thread but Doctor Strange himself is a lackluster character, before DS2, in the eyes of a lot of young MCU fans he's just a grumpy, unfriendly uncle. 
Here on Reddit people are even discussing why Wong becomes so popular lately 
https://www.reddit.com/r/marvelstudios/comments/uoat00/why_is_wong_so_popular/
(In short, the conclusion, is Wong had a down-to-earth personality that made young people feel comfortable with, while Strange had a gigantic ego.)

On Twitter, people are more engaging with Theron's declaration post that she just joined MCU through a small cameo in DS2 
(the post gained nearly 420k likes, which is very impressive). It's a sad but undeniable fact that they are more interested to see other side characters in Strange's film but not Strange himself. Perhaps this might change in the future with how Strange's character arc and character traits have panned out in this film.

I think he works best in a supporting role too. He's a good character but maybe should be used more like Ruffalo's Hulk.

[WrathOfHan]

Lost City should easily make it past 100M without a fudge. If it doesn't get there next weekend, Top Gun doubles will (unless Paramount wants more money for Sonic in an attempt at 200M). Pretty great late legs considering the iffy first couple drops and being on Paramount+ now.

 

Goalposts for EEAAO should now be 60M. Howard Ratner is toast in a few days  

[Jake Gittes]

-

(-)

Uncharted

Sony Pictures

$160,000

+2,553%

+454%

1,253

$128

$146,802,769

85

 

Sony thinking they could get Uncharted to 150m

 

[SliverS]

47 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

It is still an easy billion even if it don't reach billie due to external factors.

 

Even with $380M in USA & how much it do in current markets i.e. $570-590M. It is missing $20M in Middle East, $30M in Russia & $5M in Ukraine. 

 

Also due to Russia war, exchange rates are worst in long time, making it lose another $40M or so.

 

Even without involving China the real value is $1050-1075M.

 

China would likely be around $300M if it was released.

 

Hence easy billion.

 

Eh only EndGame and infinity war cross more than $300m in China.Half of cinema have been closed due to covid.even if ds2 get an  release in China，$50m-60m is more realistic.

[WrathOfHan]

Strange:

 

May 13: 58.7M (22.5M weekdays, 312.1M Total)

May 20: 29.8M (12.2M weekdays, 354.1M Total)

May 27: 17M (8.9M weekdays, 380M Total)

June 3: 8.9M (5.3M weekdays, 394.2M Total)

June 10: 3.5M (2.2M weekdays, 399.9M Total)

June 17: 2.5M (1.5M weekdays, 403.9M Total)

June 24: 1.6M (900k weekdays, 406.4M Total)

Total: 410M (2.19x)

 

Losing Dolby and other PLFs to Downton could hurt it much more than 50% next weekend given changing audience habits post-pandemic. June 3 will probably make or break 400M since Watcher is the only wide release and Top Gun will be the JW sellout alternative by that point. I think it'll reach that mark barring ugly drops the next two weeks.

[MrPink]

3 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said:

-

(-)

Uncharted

Sony Pictures

$160,000

+2,553%

+454%

1,253

$128

$146,802,769

85

 

Sony thinking they could get Uncharted to 150m

 

I think the main goal is to get it to 400m WW

[belblazer]

Less than The Batman? Yikes.

[charlie Jatinder]

25 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Strange:

 

May 13: 58.7M (22.5M weekdays, 312.1M Total)

May 20: 29.8M (12.2M weekdays, 354.1M Total)

May 27: 17M (8.9M weekdays, 380M Total)

June 3: 8.9M (5.3M weekdays, 394.2M Total)

June 10: 3.5M (2.2M weekdays, 399.9M Total)

June 17: 2.5M (1.5M weekdays, 403.9M Total)

June 24: 1.6M (900k weekdays, 406.4M Total)

Total: 410M (2.19x)

 

Losing Dolby and other PLFs to Downton could hurt it much more than 50% next weekend given changing audience habits post-pandemic. June 3 will probably make or break 400M since Watcher is the only wide release and Top Gun will be the JW sellout alternative by that point. I think it'll reach that mark barring ugly drops the next two weeks.

 

Spoiler

Thu	Previews	36.00			36.00
Fri	6 May	54.72			90.72
Sat	7 May	57.81	5.65%		148.53
Sun	8 May	38.89	-32.73%		187.42	187.42
Mon	9 May	13.60	-65.03%		201.02
Tue	10 May	12.60	-7.35%		213.62
Wed	11 May	9.10	-27.78%		222.72
Thu	12 May	8.10	-10.99%		230.82		230.82
Fri	13 May	17.10	111.11%	-68.75%	247.92
Sat	14 May	25.65	50.00%	-55.63%	273.57
Sun	15 May	17.19	-33.00%	-55.81%	290.76	59.94		-68.02%
Mon	16 May	4.30	-75.00%	-68.41%	295.05
Tue	17 May	4.73	10.00%	-62.49%	299.78
Wed	18 May	3.22	-31.82%	-64.59%	303.00
Thu	19 May	3.06	-5.00%	-62.21%	306.06		75.24		-67.40%
Fri	20 May	7.04	130.00%	-58.83%	313.10
Sat	21 May	11.27	60.00%	-56.08%	324.37
Sun	22 May	7.66	-32.00%	-55.43%	332.03	25.97		-56.68%
Mon	23 May	2.30	-70.00%	-46.51%	334.33
Tue	24 May	2.30	0.00%	-51.37%	336.62
Wed	25 May	1.84	-20.00%	-42.95%	338.46
Thu	26 May	1.65	-10.00%	-45.95%	340.12		34.06		-54.74%
Fri	27 May	3.31	100.00%	-53.00%	343.43
Sat	28 May	4.63	40.00%	-58.87%	348.06
Sun	29 May	4.40	-5.00%	-42.54%	352.46	12.34		-52.46%
Mon	30 May	3.52	-20.00%	53.22%	355.98
Tue	31 May	1.06	-70.00%	-54.04%	357.04
Wed	1 Jun	0.79	-25.00%	-56.91%	357.83
Thu	2 Jun	0.73	-8.00%	-55.95%	358.56		18.44		-45.85%
Fri	3 Jun	1.38	90.00%	-58.15%	359.94
Sat	4 Jun	2.08	50.00%	-55.16%	362.02
Sun	5 Jun	1.52	-27.00%	-65.55%	363.54	4.98		-59.67%
Mon	6 Jun	0.53	-65.00%	-84.93%	364.07
Tue	7 Jun	0.64	20.00%	-39.71%	364.70
Wed	8 Jun	0.45	-30.00%	-43.73%	365.15
Thu	9 Jun	0.40	-10.00%	-44.95%	365.55		6.99		-62.08%
Fri	10 Jun	0.72	80.00%	-47.85%	366.27
Sat	11 Jun	1.01	40.00%	-51.32%	367.28
Sun	12 Jun	0.81	-20.00%	-46.66%	368.09	2.54		-48.94%
Mon	13 Jun	0.28	-65.00%	-46.66%	368.38
Tue	14 Jun	0.34	20.00%	-46.66%	368.72
Wed	15 Jun	0.24	-30.00%	-46.66%	368.95
Thu	16 Jun	0.24	0.00%	-40.73%	369.19		3.64		-47.94%

 

[exomassey]

One thing I’m tired of is the The Batman comparisons.

 

Batman was a better received film overall of course it was going to have better legs. Doctor Strange is a disappointment, what were we expecting here?

[Krissykins]

2 hours ago, Blaze Heatnix said:

Dr Strange 2 might not be a horror movie, but its legs are sure playing like a horror one.

 

To be fair, only two horror films in the last full year have had bigger drops than Doctor Strange 2 is about to have: Halloween Kills and Studio 666. 

[Bigscrubnus]

21 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

 

  Hide contents

Thu	Previews	36.00			36.00
Fri	6 May	54.72			90.72
Sat	7 May	57.81	5.65%		148.53
Sun	8 May	38.89	-32.73%		187.42	187.42
Mon	9 May	13.60	-65.03%		201.02
Tue	10 May	12.60	-7.35%		213.62
Wed	11 May	9.10	-27.78%		222.72
Thu	12 May	8.10	-10.99%		230.82		230.82
Fri	13 May	17.10	111.11%	-68.75%	247.92
Sat	14 May	25.65	50.00%	-55.63%	273.57
Sun	15 May	17.19	-33.00%	-55.81%	290.76	59.94		-68.02%
Mon	16 May	4.30	-75.00%	-68.41%	295.05
Tue	17 May	4.73	10.00%	-62.49%	299.78
Wed	18 May	3.22	-31.82%	-64.59%	303.00
Thu	19 May	3.06	-5.00%	-62.21%	306.06		75.24		-67.40%
Fri	20 May	7.04	130.00%	-58.83%	313.10
Sat	21 May	11.27	60.00%	-56.08%	324.37
Sun	22 May	7.66	-32.00%	-55.43%	332.03	25.97		-56.68%
Mon	23 May	2.30	-70.00%	-46.51%	334.33
Tue	24 May	2.30	0.00%	-51.37%	336.62
Wed	25 May	1.84	-20.00%	-42.95%	338.46
Thu	26 May	1.65	-10.00%	-45.95%	340.12		34.06		-54.74%
Fri	27 May	3.31	100.00%	-53.00%	343.43
Sat	28 May	4.63	40.00%	-58.87%	348.06
Sun	29 May	4.40	-5.00%	-42.54%	352.46	12.34		-52.46%
Mon	30 May	3.52	-20.00%	53.22%	355.98
Tue	31 May	1.06	-70.00%	-54.04%	357.04
Wed	1 Jun	0.79	-25.00%	-56.91%	357.83
Thu	2 Jun	0.73	-8.00%	-55.95%	358.56		18.44		-45.85%
Fri	3 Jun	1.38	90.00%	-58.15%	359.94
Sat	4 Jun	2.08	50.00%	-55.16%	362.02
Sun	5 Jun	1.52	-27.00%	-65.55%	363.54	4.98		-59.67%
Mon	6 Jun	0.53	-65.00%	-84.93%	364.07
Tue	7 Jun	0.64	20.00%	-39.71%	364.70
Wed	8 Jun	0.45	-30.00%	-43.73%	365.15
Thu	9 Jun	0.40	-10.00%	-44.95%	365.55		6.99		-62.08%
Fri	10 Jun	0.72	80.00%	-47.85%	366.27
Sat	11 Jun	1.01	40.00%	-51.32%	367.28
Sun	12 Jun	0.81	-20.00%	-46.66%	368.09	2.54		-48.94%
Mon	13 Jun	0.28	-65.00%	-46.66%	368.38
Tue	14 Jun	0.34	20.00%	-46.66%	368.72
Wed	15 Jun	0.24	-30.00%	-46.66%	368.95
Thu	16 Jun	0.24	0.00%	-40.73%	369.19		3.64		-47.94%

 

That chart has been prophetic so far

 

sub 400 here we go!

[interiorgatordecorator]

32 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

 

  Hide contents

Thu	Previews	36.00			36.00
Fri	6 May	54.72			90.72
Sat	7 May	57.81	5.65%		148.53
Sun	8 May	38.89	-32.73%		187.42	187.42
Mon	9 May	13.60	-65.03%		201.02
Tue	10 May	12.60	-7.35%		213.62
Wed	11 May	9.10	-27.78%		222.72
Thu	12 May	8.10	-10.99%		230.82		230.82
Fri	13 May	17.10	111.11%	-68.75%	247.92
Sat	14 May	25.65	50.00%	-55.63%	273.57
Sun	15 May	17.19	-33.00%	-55.81%	290.76	59.94		-68.02%
Mon	16 May	4.30	-75.00%	-68.41%	295.05
Tue	17 May	4.73	10.00%	-62.49%	299.78
Wed	18 May	3.22	-31.82%	-64.59%	303.00
Thu	19 May	3.06	-5.00%	-62.21%	306.06		75.24		-67.40%
Fri	20 May	7.04	130.00%	-58.83%	313.10
Sat	21 May	11.27	60.00%	-56.08%	324.37
Sun	22 May	7.66	-32.00%	-55.43%	332.03	25.97		-56.68%
Mon	23 May	2.30	-70.00%	-46.51%	334.33
Tue	24 May	2.30	0.00%	-51.37%	336.62
Wed	25 May	1.84	-20.00%	-42.95%	338.46
Thu	26 May	1.65	-10.00%	-45.95%	340.12		34.06		-54.74%
Fri	27 May	3.31	100.00%	-53.00%	343.43
Sat	28 May	4.63	40.00%	-58.87%	348.06
Sun	29 May	4.40	-5.00%	-42.54%	352.46	12.34		-52.46%
Mon	30 May	3.52	-20.00%	53.22%	355.98
Tue	31 May	1.06	-70.00%	-54.04%	357.04
Wed	1 Jun	0.79	-25.00%	-56.91%	357.83
Thu	2 Jun	0.73	-8.00%	-55.95%	358.56		18.44		-45.85%
Fri	3 Jun	1.38	90.00%	-58.15%	359.94
Sat	4 Jun	2.08	50.00%	-55.16%	362.02
Sun	5 Jun	1.52	-27.00%	-65.55%	363.54	4.98		-59.67%
Mon	6 Jun	0.53	-65.00%	-84.93%	364.07
Tue	7 Jun	0.64	20.00%	-39.71%	364.70
Wed	8 Jun	0.45	-30.00%	-43.73%	365.15
Thu	9 Jun	0.40	-10.00%	-44.95%	365.55		6.99		-62.08%
Fri	10 Jun	0.72	80.00%	-47.85%	366.27
Sat	11 Jun	1.01	40.00%	-51.32%	367.28
Sun	12 Jun	0.81	-20.00%	-46.66%	368.09	2.54		-48.94%
Mon	13 Jun	0.28	-65.00%	-46.66%	368.38
Tue	14 Jun	0.34	20.00%	-46.66%	368.72
Wed	15 Jun	0.24	-30.00%	-46.66%	368.95
Thu	16 Jun	0.24	0.00%	-40.73%	369.19		3.64		-47.94%

 

 

nice chart

you gonna be updating it daily or once per week?

[Grebacio]

1 hour ago, Eric Strange said:

IMO, Disney+ is the biggest drawback for Lightyear above all else. Even if the pandemic never happened and every Pixar movie came out in theaters, I feel that a lot of families now treat Disney's animated movies as something to wait on. Why pay money for it now when it'll be on Disney+ for free in a month and a half? Maybe even less than that. It's not like the MCU where you have to see it before you're spoiled. Encanto barely made a dent in theaters, yet exploded on streaming a month later. That's a sign. Still, Lightyear should still do like 250M, which at least will put it ahead of most of the future Disney animated projects.

The thing with Lightyear is that I think it will attrack an older audience more than a regular Disney animation thanks to nostalgia.

[Maggie]

51 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

 

  Hide contents

Thu	Previews	36.00			36.00
Fri	6 May	54.72			90.72
Sat	7 May	57.81	5.65%		148.53
Sun	8 May	38.89	-32.73%		187.42	187.42
Mon	9 May	13.60	-65.03%		201.02
Tue	10 May	12.60	-7.35%		213.62
Wed	11 May	9.10	-27.78%		222.72
Thu	12 May	8.10	-10.99%		230.82		230.82
Fri	13 May	17.10	111.11%	-68.75%	247.92
Sat	14 May	25.65	50.00%	-55.63%	273.57
Sun	15 May	17.19	-33.00%	-55.81%	290.76	59.94		-68.02%
Mon	16 May	4.30	-75.00%	-68.41%	295.05
Tue	17 May	4.73	10.00%	-62.49%	299.78
Wed	18 May	3.22	-31.82%	-64.59%	303.00
Thu	19 May	3.06	-5.00%	-62.21%	306.06		75.24		-67.40%
Fri	20 May	7.04	130.00%	-58.83%	313.10
Sat	21 May	11.27	60.00%	-56.08%	324.37
Sun	22 May	7.66	-32.00%	-55.43%	332.03	25.97		-56.68%
Mon	23 May	2.30	-70.00%	-46.51%	334.33
Tue	24 May	2.30	0.00%	-51.37%	336.62
Wed	25 May	1.84	-20.00%	-42.95%	338.46
Thu	26 May	1.65	-10.00%	-45.95%	340.12		34.06		-54.74%
Fri	27 May	3.31	100.00%	-53.00%	343.43
Sat	28 May	4.63	40.00%	-58.87%	348.06
Sun	29 May	4.40	-5.00%	-42.54%	352.46	12.34		-52.46%
Mon	30 May	3.52	-20.00%	53.22%	355.98
Tue	31 May	1.06	-70.00%	-54.04%	357.04
Wed	1 Jun	0.79	-25.00%	-56.91%	357.83
Thu	2 Jun	0.73	-8.00%	-55.95%	358.56		18.44		-45.85%
Fri	3 Jun	1.38	90.00%	-58.15%	359.94
Sat	4 Jun	2.08	50.00%	-55.16%	362.02
Sun	5 Jun	1.52	-27.00%	-65.55%	363.54	4.98		-59.67%
Mon	6 Jun	0.53	-65.00%	-84.93%	364.07
Tue	7 Jun	0.64	20.00%	-39.71%	364.70
Wed	8 Jun	0.45	-30.00%	-43.73%	365.15
Thu	9 Jun	0.40	-10.00%	-44.95%	365.55		6.99		-62.08%
Fri	10 Jun	0.72	80.00%	-47.85%	366.27
Sat	11 Jun	1.01	40.00%	-51.32%	367.28
Sun	12 Jun	0.81	-20.00%	-46.66%	368.09	2.54		-48.94%
Mon	13 Jun	0.28	-65.00%	-46.66%	368.38
Tue	14 Jun	0.34	20.00%	-46.66%	368.72
Wed	15 Jun	0.24	-30.00%	-46.66%	368.95
Thu	16 Jun	0.24	0.00%	-40.73%	369.19		3.64		-47.94%

 

So, you think it will follow the Batman v Superman drops. Interesting...could happen, i guess

[TwoMisfits]

FYI - On Rotten Tomatoes, Top Critics have now gone rotten today, so there will never be a certified fresh label returning for Dr. Strange...it had 1 hour total to enjoy the label last week, I think...

[Eric Lasagna]

7 minutes ago, Grebacio said:

The thing with Lightyear is that I think it will attrack an older audience more than a regular Disney animation thanks to nostalgia.

Agreed. Which is why I’m saying it will do 250M

[ringedmortality]

2 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

FYI - On Rotten Tomatoes, Top Critics have now gone rotten today, so there will never be a certified fresh label returning for Dr. Strange...it had 1 hour total to enjoy the label last week, I think...

 

Don't think it matters what Top Critics say for "certified fresh" I think the problem was that the % on there is rounded and when it was 75 it was actually 74 point something. So it wasn't actually 75 which is why they took it away.

[Legion Again]

3 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

FYI - On Rotten Tomatoes, Top Critics have now gone rotten today, so there will never be a certified fresh label returning for Dr. Strange...it had 1 hour total to enjoy the label last week, I think...

Huh? Does top critic score have anything to do with certification?

[Maggie]

I don't think it will reach 400M. And 1B is in danger, let's see how it performed OS this week

Edited May 14, 2022 by Maggie

[Brainbug]

1 Billion is still more likely than not imo, but its a little bit more uncertain for Doctor Strange 2 now. It might become the first ever CBM in the 900 Millions if its later legs arent that good.

Edited May 14, 2022 by Brainbug the Dinosaur