11-14 Weekday Thread | Featuring Future BOFFY Award Winning Meltdown of Our Fallen False God

[CaptNathanBrittles]

TOP GUN: MAVERICK HIGHWAY TO $700M DAY 48

 

BLACK PANTHER: $51.6m ahead

TOP GUN 2 GAIN: +$0.7m

 

CURRENT SEA LEVEL: $648.4m

LOCK ON BOGEY: $667.4m

AVERAGE (LAST 22 DAYS): $677.78m (-0.8% YD)

[cannastop]

3 hours ago, Daxtreme said:

so Marvel can't even rely on summer legs anymore? lmao

 

Disney+ really is killing their movies' legs

IDK if you can blame Disney+ for the MCU performance...

[titanic2187]

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[krla]

2 hours ago, parkerthegreat said:

I think I need to know what movie this is from.

Here's the scene;

 

35 minutes ago, Ozymandias said:

 

GOT8 is like the biggest collapse of a massive cultural IP

 

I personally know people who won't even go back and watch Seasons 1-4 and 6 because of 8.  And I thought people were mad about the ending of LOST. 

They were making billions from merchandise, and that tap was turned off overnight. It was almost like intentional sabotage. I can't imagine how any studio could ever trust D&D with their IP. 

[baumer]

JW under BP on Wednesday 🤯

[grim22]

Spider-Man: Far From Home had 9.25M on the corresponding time in its run and did a 45M weekend with no competition on its second weekend, made a further 118M from that 45M weekend. FFH had way better word of mouth, fell only 53% the weekend after against The Lion King as well. 

 

Thor 4 is 42M behind FFH right now with dailies slightly below it, matching FFH from here will get it to 348M. The hold next weekend when losing IMAX and PLF will let us know the final total incoming.

[TwoMisfits]

2 hours ago, M37 said:

It was 5% kids under 12, not kids overall, so doesn't include teens (with families or without), for a total of 14%. Those are figures Deadline gets from Disney exit polling, who for some reason count 13+ as not part of a family, even if they go with parents, hence the odd parent/kid ratio

 

How about a challenge? Without looking it up, see if you (or anyone) can match the Disney reported family turnout on OW to the title

 

GOTG2

Black Widow

Shang-Chi

Eternals

Strange MoM

 

Reported: 12%, 12%, 15%, 19%, 23%

 

I would have failed my own test here fwiw

 

 

 

 

Not look it up...okay, let me give it a go.

 

Black Widow 23%

Shang-Chi 19%

Strange MOM 15%

GOTG 2 12%

Eternals 12% (this one's hard b/c it was so low an open, it could just as likely be the top as the bottom b/c it could have drawn the same hardcore parents either way)

 

How'd I do?:)  This is tough for the recent b/c kids 5-12 didn't get vaccinated til after summer, so it could also be parents held them home til they were vaxxed, leading all the summer 2021 ones to be kid-lite...but I still gotta think Black Widow is so little girl friendly, she might have beaten that issue:)...

Edited July 14, 2022 by TwoMisfits

[wildphantom]

I still can’t believe TG2 is going to beat MoM by over a QUARTER OF A BILLION DOLLARS domestically, when MoM opened to $187 million. It’s absolutely unbelievable. 

[Krissykins]

Black Phone -14%? Sleeper hit. 

[The Dark Alfred]

Can't see TGM missing 700m. It's having the best summer legs ever and not far behind Avatar in dailies. Now Avatar obviously going to gain over the weekends, but not going to open up a 60m gap from now on, especially with the LD boost coming.

 

Biggest 7th domestic Wednesday:

 

1	Feb 3, 2010	Avatar	$2,647,797	3,074	$861	$603,789,348
2	Dec 29, 2004	The Polar Express	$2,243,365	2,618	$857	$147,165,621
3	Dec 26, 2012	Lincoln	$2,147,024	1,966	$1,092	$122,416,972
4	Jan 1, 2003	Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets	$2,129,000	2,505	$850	$245,996,000
5	Jul 4, 2001	Shrek	$2,128,586	2,704	$787	$233,298,753
6	Jul 13, 2022	Top Gun: Maverick	$2,078,744	3,513	$592	$604,000,127

[CaptNathanBrittles]

3 minutes ago, The Dark Alfred said:

Can't see TGM missing 700m. It's having the best summer legs ever and not far behind Avatar in dailies. Now Avatar obviously going to gain over the weekends, but not going to open up a 60m gap from now on, especially with the LD boost coming.

 

Biggest 7th domestic Wednesday:

 

1	Feb 3, 2010	Avatar	$2,647,797	3,074	$861	$603,789,348
2	Dec 29, 2004	The Polar Express	$2,243,365	2,618	$857	$147,165,621
3	Dec 26, 2012	Lincoln	$2,147,024	1,966	$1,092	$122,416,972
4	Jan 1, 2003	Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets	$2,129,000	2,505	$850	$245,996,000
5	Jul 4, 2001	Shrek	$2,128,586	2,704	$787	$233,298,753
6	Jul 13, 2022	Top Gun: Maverick	$2,078,744	3,513	$592	$604,000,127

 

Second best non-holiday.

[Liiviig 1998]

5 hours ago, grim22 said:

Spider-Man: Far From Home had 9.25M on the corresponding time in its run and did a 45M weekend with no competition on its second weekend, made a further 118M from that 45M weekend. FFH had way better word of mouth, fell only 53% the weekend after against The Lion King as well. 

 

Thor 4 is 42M behind FFH right now with dailies slightly below it, matching FFH from here will get it to 348M. The hold next weekend when losing IMAX and PLF will let us know the final total incoming.

Just to point out FFH had a full theatrical run. Disney + for this in 45 days which is going to cut it's legs.

 

If it drops 70% ,Doubt it's  sniffing anywhere near that 348m.

 

FFH made 1.42* after it's second weekend.

 

T4 should be at 227-232m

Playing like FFH after that gets it to 322-330m range.

 

Edited July 15, 2022 by Liiviig 1998

[Deep Wang]

6 hours ago, krla said:

Here's the scene;

 

I don’t know what it says about me, but even with that awful wig and pale as shit McIver is 😍

 

This is also the rare show where I want the long version of the intro song. It’s so good.  

[MrPink]

1 hour ago, Deep Wang said:

 

I don’t know what it says about me, but even with that awful wig and pale as shit McIver is 😍

 

This is also the rare show where I want the long version of the intro song. It’s so good.  

 

[grim22]

1 hour ago, Deep Wang said:

 

I don’t know what it says about me, but even with that awful wig and pale as shit McIver is 😍

 

This is also the rare show where I want the long version of the intro song. It’s so good.  

 

 

[NamakFiskKa]

7 hours ago, cannastop said:

IDK if you can blame Disney+ for the MCU performance...

Got my overall interest to watch MCU films on Day 1 to i'll just watch it on tv/phone later post DS2 for sure

[jimisawesome]

4 hours ago, The Dark Alfred said:

Can't see TGM missing 700m. It's having the best summer legs ever and not far behind Avatar in dailies. Now Avatar obviously going to gain over the weekends, but not going to open up a 60m gap from now on, especially with the LD boost coming.

 

Biggest 7th domestic Wednesday:

 

1	Feb 3, 2010	Avatar	$2,647,797	3,074	$861	$603,789,348
2	Dec 29, 2004	The Polar Express	$2,243,365	2,618	$857	$147,165,621
3	Dec 26, 2012	Lincoln	$2,147,024	1,966	$1,092	$122,416,972
4	Jan 1, 2003	Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets	$2,129,000	2,505	$850	$245,996,000
5	Jul 4, 2001	Shrek	$2,128,586	2,704	$787	$233,298,753
6	Jul 13, 2022	Top Gun: Maverick	$2,078,744	3,513	$592	$604,000,127

 

 

The other thing is what is there coming out anytime soon that will take theaters away?  Its going to have 2000+ theaters until at least the middle of Oct. 

[wildphantom]

I’m torn on wanting to Thor to hit $350 million. I do for the health of the box office, but actually don’t think the film is worthy of joining the 350 club. 

 

 

[cannastop]

1 minute ago, wildphantom said:

I’m torn on wanting to Thor to hit $350 million. I do for the health of the box office, but actually don’t think the film is worthy of joining the 350 club. 

 

 

well I don't think you'll have to worry about that.

[ThomasNicole]

Elvis run has been very impressive. It should get +7M this weekend (another 35% or so drop) and reach 105-106M already. 

 

The way it's going and with Baz saying the movie won't be on HBO Max at day 46, i think 4x multiplier is definitely happening. Huge success. 

 

Same can be said about The Black Phone. Let's wait to see the PVOD impact, but usually it's pretty much none. If it drop the same 35ish% of last week, it will reach around 72M by Sunday. 85-90M finish can happen, another excellent multiplier (3.6-3.8x)

 

I really hope Nope can mantain this good momentum for smaller movies. I know Nope is a bigger one but i still doubt it will be any close to a typical blockbuster budget.