The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[cubsfan]

How is The Abyss presales doing?

[Eric Prime]

Quorum Updates

The Boy and the Heron T-11: 19.09%

Anyone But You T-25: 23.26%

The Iron Claw T-25: 24.24%

The Book of Clarence T-46: 16.59%

Bob Marley: One Love T-79: 26.84%

Madame Web T-79: 25.03%

 

Godzilla Minus One T-4: 22.8% Awareness

Final Awareness: 15% chance of 10M

Low Awareness: 11% chance of 10M

 

Renaissance: A Film by Beyonce T-4: 28.03% Awareness

Final Awareness: 15% chance of 10M

Low Awareness: 11% chance of 10M

 

Silent Night T-4: 35.91% Awareness

Final Awareness: 36% chance of 10M

Low Awareness: 21% chance of 10M

 

Night Swim T-39: 26.14% Awareness

T-30 Awareness: 54% chance of 10M, 19% chance of 20M

Horror Awareness: 69% chance of 10M, 31% chance of 20M

[keysersoze123]

Godzilla Minus One

MTC1

Wednesday(Early Shows) - 21976/115722 423561.58 458 shows

Previews - 7318/67397 108068.42 627 shows

Friday - 8447/117534 117188.21 1041 shows

 

MTC2

Wednesday - 5640/22850 88810.38 143 shows

Previews - 3463/44719 44876.90 516 shows

 

Wednesday numbers look good to me but it has limited release for the weekend. Dont see it hit double digits with this kind of release. 

[Jake4]

9 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Godzilla Minus One

MTC1

Wednesday(Early Shows) - 21976/115722 423561.58 458 shows

Previews - 7318/67397 108068.42 627 shows

Friday - 8447/117534 117188.21 1041 shows

 

MTC2

Wednesday - 5640/22850 88810.38 143 shows

Previews - 3463/44719 44876.90 516 shows

 

Wednesday numbers look good to me but it has limited release for the weekend. Dont see it hit double digits with this kind of release. 

i sent you a PM...lol

[VanillaSkies]

22 hours ago, Relevation said:

Does any tracker have numbers for The Shift? Angel Studios sci-fi film, opens next week and appears to be over $1M in sales based off their website tracker

Navigating their website is a little difficult, but it seems that they are doing the “pay it forward” thing for The Shift, and when you click the link to pay it forward for this film, that’s when it takes you to the tracker that shows 120 000 tickets so far. So I think that is like SOF, where those can be redeemed by others. But also people might buy tickets directly themselves. I’m seeing quite a few sold out showings in some places for Friday - though definitely at the smaller screens that theatres have. 
 

RT describes this as a modern retelling of the story of “Job” from the Bible. 

Interested to see where this one goes. 
im sure theatres will appreciate any extra patrons. This weekend will have an eclectic mix of causal moviegoers, Beyoncé fans, Godzilla fans. The Shift pulling in some of that SOF crowd and and Boy and the Heron pulling in some more niche viewers. 
 

And with Silent Night getting good reviews so far, this is going to be an unusually strong post Thanksgiving weekend. 

Edited November 27, 2023 by VanillaSkies

[TwoMisfits]

2 minutes ago, VanillaSkies said:

Navigating their website is a little difficult, but it seems that they are doing the “pay it forward” thing for The Shift, and when you click the link to pay it forward for this film, that’s when it takes you to the tracker that shows 120 000 tickets so far. So I think that is like SOF, where those can be redeemed by others. But also people might buy tickets directly themselves. I’m seeing quite a few sold out showings in some places for Friday - though definitely at the smaller screens that theatres have. 
 

RT describes this as a modern retelling of the story of “Job” from the Bible. 

Interested to see where this one goes. 
im sure theatres will appreciate any extra patrons. This weekend will have an eclectic mix of causal moviegoers, Beyoncé fans, Godzilla fans. The Shift pulling in some of that SOF crowd and and Boy and the Heron pulling in some more niche viewers. 
 

And with Silent Night getting good reviews so far, this is going to be an unusually strong post Thanksgiving weekend. 

 

I think the 120,000 is all the tickets sold, not just pay it forward ones...although I don't know if it counts any tickets outside of its own site and/or Atom (where its site directs you if you try to buy).  Being a film that probably sells very well in smaller, middle America chains, this might matter more for trying to project the weekend.

[VanillaSkies]

2 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

 

I think the 120,000 is all the tickets sold, not just pay it forward ones...although I don't know if it counts any tickets outside of its own site and/or Atom (where its site directs you if you try to buy).  Being a film that probably sells very well in smaller, middle America chains, this might matter more for trying to project the weekend.

hmm, you could definitely be right. 
it might account for the Atom linked ones. Very hard to predict. 

[Flip]

It's only getting a limited release on the 8th, but sales for then look good for Poor Things. If the stellar critic reviews can translate into likewise audience reception that could be the holiday breakout we've been looking for. The only worry is that the subject matter might be too unappealing to GA, but it has the cast (Emma Stone, Mark Ruffalo, Willem Dafoe) to be a real force.

[Porthos]

4 hours ago, YachtyLogs said:

Migration still continues its 0 sale streak on T-24. Very excited for the first sale to eventually occur. Ngl I'm losing just a little bit of the motivation because of how slow sales are for all three movies I'm tracking along with how long it takes to check the three movies. 

 

FWIW, some theaters just don't have many pre-sales at all and don't ramp up until very close to release.  @Cap saw this first hand with many of her theaters locally (which is one of the reasons why she fell out of the habit of tracking a few years back).

 

Could just be that barring mega-events, these theaters are just late arrivals.  I have a few like that in my neck of the woods as well (which makes it all the more notable when there are strong initial sales).

[abracadabra1998]

21 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Godzilla Minus One (T-4):

Day: T-4, T-3	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 14 theaters	30	43	264	3866	6.83
Wednesday Nov 29 EA: 12 theaters	22	118	687	4962	13.85
TOTALS:	52	161	951	8828	10.77

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		720	121	75.71
MTC1:		504	75	53
Marcus:		137	12	14.41
Alamo:		139	45	14.62
Other chains:		171	29	17.98

 

Comps (Thursday only) :

0.39x KOFM: $1.02 Million

1.1x The Creator: $1.48 Million

0.1x Oppenheimer: $1.03 Million

0.65x Napoleon: $1.95 Million

 

Average: $1.37 Million

 

Early Access Comps:

0.61x Barbie EA: ~$670k

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Godzilla Minus One (T-3):

Day: T-3, T-2	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 16 theaters	34	16	280	4608	6.08
Wednesday Nov 29 EA: 12 theaters	22	34	721	4962	14.53
TOTALS:	56	50	1001	9570	10.46

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		754	34	75.32
MTC1:		527	23	52.65
Marcus:		144	7	14.39
Alamo:		148	9	14.79
Other chains:		182	11	18.18

 

Comps (Thursday only) :

0.36x KOFM: $950k

0.96x The Creator: $1.3 Million

0.085x Oppenheimer: $895k

0.55x Napoleon: $1.66 Million

 

Average: $1.2 Million

 

Early Access Comp:

0.62x Barbie EA: ~$680k

 

Not looking like a great final week, but let's see. With Napoleon's big jumps the average might dip out under a million tomorrow.

 

[abracadabra1998]

21 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Renaissance by Beyonce (T-4):

Day: T-4	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 19 theaters	41	48	1169	7087	16.49

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		972	32	83.15
MTC1:		974	31	83.32
Marcus:		62	4	5.3
Alamo:		12	0	1.03
Other chains:		121	13	10.35

 

Comp:

0.0854x Taylor Swift Eras Tour (Friday): $2.96 Million

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Renaissance by Beyonce (T-3):

Day: T-3	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 19 theaters	41	27	1196	6882	17.38

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		990	18	82.78
MTC1:		994	20	83.11
Marcus:		61	-1	5.1
Alamo:		13	1	1.09
Other chains:		128	7	10.7

 

Unadjusted Comp:

0.0862x Taylor Swift Eras Tour (Friday): $2.99 Million

 

Adjusted* Comp: $3.59 Million

*Adjusted 20% up from other trackers, I do not track ATP so this is not specific to my area

 

[abracadabra1998]

21 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:

Minneapolis-St.Paul Area Previews:

 

The Shift (T-4):

Day: T-4, T-3	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 14 theaters	27	121	121	2001	6.05
Wednesday EA: 7 theaters	7	8	8	615	1.3
TOTALS:	34	129	129	2616	4.93

 

Comps:

3.39x Journey to Bethlehem: $850k

0.76x After Death: $300k

 

Average: $575k

 

Had never heard of this but surprisingly strong, we'll see if the final week is more like Bethlehem or like After Death. (@Relevation)

 

Minneapolis-St.Paul Area Previews:

 

The Shift (T-3):

Day: T-3, T-2	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 16 theaters	33	4	125	2668	4.69
Wednesday EA: 7 theaters	7	2	10	615	1.63
TOTALS:	40	6	135	3283	4.11

 

Comps:

2.87x Journey to Bethlehem: $715k

0.71x After Death: $285k

 

Average: $500k

 

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

GODZILLA MINUS ONE

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-4

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
148	335	30792	1.1%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

9

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-4

 

(0.426x) of Exorcist $1.21M Previews

(0.641x) of The Creator $865k Previews

Comps AVG: $1.04M

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

GODZILLA MINUS ONE

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-3

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
148	353	30792	1.1%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

18

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-3

 

(0.410x) of Exorcist $1.17M Previews

(0.603x) of The Creator $817k Previews

Comps AVG: $994k

 

Slipped under $1M

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

WONKA

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-18

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
195	785	36197	2.2%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

23

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-18

 

(0.429x) of Indy 5 $3.09M Previews

(0.383x) of TLM $3.94M Previews

Comps AVG: $3.52M

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

WONKA

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-17

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
195	789	36197	2.2%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

4

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-17

 

(0.427x) of Indy 5 $3.08M Previews

(0.379x) of TLM $3.91M Previews

Comps AVG: $3.50M

[TheFlatLannister]

On 11/26/2023 at 7:14 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

MIGRATION 

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-25

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
173	195	32850	0.59%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

3

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-25

 

(0.848x) of Trolls 3 $1.10M Previews

(0.526x) of Elemental $1.26M Previews

Comps AVG: $1.18M

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

MIGRATION 

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-24

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
176	193	33106	0.58%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

-2

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

3

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-24

 

(0.694x) of Trolls 3 $903k Previews

(0.500x) of Elemental $1.20M Previews

Comps AVG: $1.05M

 

2 returns, no sales 

[abracadabra1998]

On 11/23/2023 at 5:53 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

The Color Purple (T-32):

Day: T-32	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 15 theaters	54	26	234	5502	4.25

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		0	0	0
MTC1:		113	16	48.29
Marcus:		58	3	24.79
Alamo:		14	5	5.98
Other chains:		49	2	20.94

 

Comps:

0.27x Oppy: $2.87 Million

 

Last update I have (Migration sold 0 tickets since Monday). Happy Thanksgiving to everyone on here ❤️ enjoy your holidays and (I hope!) some good time with your loved ones!

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

The Color Purple (T-28):

Day: T-28	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 15 theaters	54	69	303	5502	5.51

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		0	0	0
MTC1:		141	28	46.53
Marcus:		64	6	21.12
Alamo:		18	4	5.94
Other chains:		80	31	26.4

 

Comps:

0.34x Oppy: $3.54 Million

0.59x The Marvels: $3.92 Million

 

Unironically this is selling like crazy lol what the heck, still can't quite comprehend it (yeah yeah, Fandango deal plus Christmas Day, I do kind of get it, but still, was not anticipating this kind of demand)

[TheFlatLannister]

On 11/26/2023 at 7:51 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

AQUAMAN AND THE LOST KINGDOM

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-25

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
191	722	38536	1.9%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

24

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-25

 

(0.360x) of The Marvels $2.38M Previews

(0.444x) of Indy 5 $3.20M Previews

(0.171x) of GOTG 3 $3.00M Previews

Comps AVG: $2.86M

 

*No Blue Beetle comp or Flash comp until T-22. Using Indy 5 and Guardians temporarily  

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

AQUAMAN AND THE LOST KINGDOM

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-24

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
191	737	38536	1.9%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

15

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-24

 

(0.360x) of The Marvels $2.38M Previews

(0.441x) of Indy 5 $3.18M Previews

(0.164x) of GOTG 3 $2.86M Previews

Comps AVG: $2.81M

 

*No Blue Beetle comp or Flash comp until T-22. Using Indy 5 and Guardians temporarily  

[HummingLemon496]

$2.77M → $2.39M → $2.72M → $2.86M → $2.89M → $2.80M → $2.86M → $2.81M

 

Still hovering around $2.7-2.9M except for day 2. $13.5-17.5M (ish) opening if the final preview number lands in this range (which it probably won't)

Edited November 28, 2023 by HummingLemon496

[PrinceRico]

41 minutes ago, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

The Color Purple (T-28):

Day: T-28	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 15 theaters	54	69	303	5502	5.51

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		0	0	0
MTC1:		141	28	46.53
Marcus:		64	6	21.12
Alamo:		18	4	5.94
Other chains:		80	31	26.4

 

Comps:

0.34x Oppy: $3.54 Million

0.59x The Marvels: $3.92 Million

 

Unironically this is selling like crazy lol what the heck, still can't quite comprehend it (yeah yeah, Fandango deal plus Christmas Day, I do kind of get it, but still, was not anticipating this kind of demand)

People underestimated just how popular the book, movie and Broadway play was. Sells will just get bigger when the cast start doing promo.

Edited November 28, 2023 by PrinceRico

[charlie Jatinder]

9 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Renaissance MTC1

Previews(T-4) - 98615/321231 2483994.00 1626 shows

Pace

Friday - 82681/718167 2101422.00 3478 shows

 

 

 Pace is starting to amp up. I think MTC1 alone could hit 3.5m with good final week pace. Overall I am hopeful for 5m previews. 

Pace seems worse than Taylor. Doubt it reaches 3.5M.