Weekend Thread 7/28-7/30 - Barbenheimer Week 2; Barbie 93M/Oppy 46.2M - Haunted Mansion & Talk to Me OW; Mansion 24.2M, Talk 10M

[Day and Date The Best]

Sub 20% would be nice. WB needs cash to probably weather the rest of the year minefield of bombs. Starting possibly with Blue Beetle. 

Edited July 28, 2023 by Day and Date The Best

[Borobudur]

Just now, nguyenkhoi282 said:

sub 40% would be nice

People are expecting too much. Even leggy run like Elemental had 38% 2nd weekend drop and that movie started at much much lower base as compared to Barbieheimer. 

[grim22]

Haunted Mansion would likely make a good mid-budget family horror movie like Goosebumps but both times it has been developed, Disney has gone crazy with the budgets. 100M for the 2003 one and 150M for this one.

 

They keep chasing Pirates of the Caribbean and the closest they have got is likely Jungle Cruise but not sure how much of that was up to it being the only family movie out during the pandemic at that time.

[MrPink]

6 minutes ago, Day and Date The Best said:

Is bad for what the expectations were after those strong weekdays numbers. 

 

Theory only took us so far, it's over.

[reddevil19]

3 minutes ago, grim22 said:

They keep chasing Pirates of the Caribbean and the closest they have got is likely Jungle Cruise but not sure how much of that was up to it being the only family movie out during the pandemic at that time.

And that was close only relative to every John Carter, Lone Ranger and Haunted Mansion flops...

[Day and Date The Best]

2 minutes ago, MrPink said:

 

Theory only took us so far, it's over.

It better not be, so Barbie gets an IMAX release on the second week of the supposed Blue Beetle IMAX run. 

[Darth Lehnsherr]

Not enough Kenergy in those estimates

[Krissykins]

Barbie and Oppenheimer both dropping under 50% potentially considering how gigantic their openings were, is not disappointing lol. 
 

Hoping Talk To Me can get to $10m+ from there, but it’s summer so we’ll see. 

[M37]

7 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

 

So, when's the last time we saw Disney have a "terrible, horrible, no good, very bad" year at theatres?  Outside of GOTG 3, for their 2023 releases, nothing's worked for the budgets they set out...they are making a miniscule profit, breaking even or close, or outright bombing...and with this preview, Haunted Mansion is definitely gonna continue the trend of the last 2 categories...

 

Even WB finally found a massive hit to offset all their issues...does Disney have one left this year?

Would have been 2013, but Frozen turned into a monster hit. Before, 2012 had Avengers, but not much else, including mega bomb John Carter. And 2011 was just weak, except for Pirates (GOTG3) and Cars 2 (Elemental)

 

 

 

 

 

[redfirebird2008]

16 minutes ago, BoxOfficeZ said:

27m would give Barbie a 27% increase from 21.2m while Oppenheimer 30% with 13m. Maybe walk ups will be stronger?

 

Oppenheimer might get softer increase because of the PLF and IMAX screens. 

 

Oppie needs those Saturday and Sunday afternoon shows. 3 hour runtime is still problematic on Friday when people are working. 

[Day and Date The Best]

Well Warner Bros. At least have a major Video Game publisher studio, so they have Mortal Kombat 1 on September, plus Hogwarts Legacy Switch on November. 

Edited July 28, 2023 by Day and Date The Best

[charlie Jatinder]

not really surprising for soft fri increases when weekdays were insane levels. 

[swishy]

1 minute ago, across the Jat verse said:

not really surprising for soft fri increases when weekdays were insane levels. 

Yeah, Saturday and Sunday is where we will see big growth IMO. And still expecting great numbers.

[wildphantom]

Almost done with McQuarrie’s first podcast with Empire for Dead Reckoning. Three and a half hours and it is mind blowing. The insight you get is just gold dust. 
 

Huge recommendation 

[MrPink]

3 minutes ago, across the Jat verse said:

not really surprising for soft fri increases when weekdays were insane levels. 

 

it should have been insane levels in perpetuity

[ringedmortality]

6 minutes ago, M37 said:

Would have been 2013, but Frozen turned into a monster hit.

Did Lone Ranger erase all the profits of Iron Man 3

[redfirebird2008]

16 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

 

But, to be fair, their weekdays have both been selling out their evening showings, so there's not much more room to grow for adults-skewing hits on a workday.

 

Especially when new openers are taking screens and showings...

Valid points! Saturday afternoon and Sunday afternoon shows will help a lot compared to Friday. 

[AdrianL]

20m+ weekdays all week and a sizable Friday increase did seem like too much. Anything above 81m 2nd weekend for Barbie I'll be happy with. 

[AMC Theaters Enjoyer]

I agree that Sat and Sun will be greater indications on where Barbenheimer goes this weekend. Still feeling good about soft weekend drops for them.

 

as for Haunted Mansion…guess we’ll see if the next attempt in 20 years will work. 

[Jonwo]

23 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

 

So, when's the last time we saw Disney have a "terrible, horrible, no good, very bad" year at theatres?  Outside of GOTG 3, for their 2023 releases, nothing's worked for the budgets they set out...they are making a miniscule profit, breaking even or close, or outright bombing...and with this preview, Haunted Mansion is definitely gonna continue the trend of the last 2 categories...

 

Even WB finally found a massive hit to offset all their issues...does Disney have one left this year?

I doubt Disney are doomed in the long run. I know some want Disney to collapse but every studio goes through a down period.