The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Jungle Cruise Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

62

687

9.02%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

64

1015

6.31%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 25 HOURS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
263	46	11053	2.38%	15	51

 

Cruella comp: 1.64M

Jungle Cruise Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

80

687

11.64%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

93

1015

9.16%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
346	83	11053	3.13%	15	51

 

Cruella comp: 1.98M

 

Gonna skip Suicide Squad today. Barely had time for this one. But really good day

[lorddemaxus]

49 minutes ago, RRA said:

If your forecast comes true, people playing down the impact of delta variant in the news are even more foolish than usual.

 

I'm not sure how Jungle Cruise overperforming while The Suicide Squad underperforming could be explained by delta (espescially when the former film targets an unvaccinated population).

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Yeah when/if Suicide Squad flops, the primary reason is not Delta. If anything Jungle Cruise over performing would actually be impressive and somewhat indicate delta cannot always and strictly prevent families from theaters 

[TwoMisfits]

Both of my Cinemark 12's are quad-screening Jungle Cruise with 16 showings...the Green Knight and Stillwater both only get 1 screen each (and they don't get the biggest ones)...

 

So, anyone hoping for a weekend upset, I'm not sure The Green Knight will have the seat counts to beat Jungle Cruise no matter how much it presells...but 4 screens out of 12 seems like overkill for Jungle Cruise based on presales so far, but I guess that's why we have late buying folks:)...

 

There will be no "capacity" excuses for Jungle Cruise's numbers, wherever they end up...

[katnisscinnaplex]

40 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

Both of my Cinemark 12's are quad-screening Jungle Cruise with 16 showings...the Green Knight and Stillwater both only get 1 screen each (and they don't get the biggest ones)...

 

So, anyone hoping for a weekend upset, I'm not sure The Green Knight will have the seat counts to beat Jungle Cruise no matter how much it presells...but 4 screens out of 12 seems like overkill for Jungle Cruise based on presales so far, but I guess that's why we have late buying folks:)...

 

There will be no "capacity" excuses for Jungle Cruise's numbers, wherever they end up...

I don't think GK would even be in range of maxing out capacity anywhere.  Theaters are definitely hoping and planning for JC to open much higher than it's looking.  I'm also not expecting it to be close at all between the two for the weekend; just the preview numbers.

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Green Knight is selling out my Thursday AMC—albeit, it’s 1 showing in smallest auditorium but there’s only a few seats left 

[charlie Jatinder]

6 hours ago, Menor said:

My guess is something 2-8-9-7 for a $26 million OW. 

I was thinking 9 ish from 2 THU Previews but hopefully its 2.5 ish.

 

I meant 2 will probably mean 9-10 opening day i.e. 7-8 True FRI. So agree with you optimistically. 

Edited July 28, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[charlie Jatinder]

Jungle Cruise Harkins California T-2 Days

 

Format	Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
Normal	19	5,201	119	2.28%	$1,492	$12.53
Cine 1	4	1,708	122	7.14%	$1,952	$16.00
Total	23	6,909	241	3.49%	$3,444	$14.29

 

 

California Harkins were 0.55% of Black Widow previews. For Jungle Cruise probably around 0.65-0.70%. 

In absolute terms, T-3 Days Black Widow was $26.6K and finaled at $73.1K. So about 12.9% i.e. $1.7M but this is one day late though will have much better final days increase than Black Widow did. So am holding my hopes for $2.5M still.

Edited July 28, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[Eric Loves Rey]

On 7/26/2021 at 10:47 PM, Snake Eric said:

Jungle Cruise Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting (Thu)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	41	179	7959	2.25%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 4

Total Seats Added Today: 388

Total Seats Sold Today: 30

 

Comp

0.106x of A Quiet Place Part II's Thu+Fri T-3 (2.05M)

0.354x of Cruella's Thu+Fri (2.73M)

1.193x of Snake Eyes T-3 (1.67M)

 

Well the pattern the last few days has been "good day, bad day, good day, bad day", so I guess tomorrow will be a good day? Things seem a bit rosier with other people's comps and Friday is reportedly much stronger, so let's just hope for the best.

Jungle Cruise Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting (Thu)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	54	238	9843	2.42%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 13

Total Seats Added Today: 1,884

Total Seats Sold Today: 59

 

Comp

0.093x of A Quiet Place Part II's Thu+Fri T-2 (1.80M)

0.439x of Cruella's Thu+Fri T-2 (3.38M)

1.172x of Snake Eyes T-2 (1.64M)

[Eric Loves Rey]

On 7/26/2021 at 10:51 PM, Snake Eric said:

The Suicide Squad Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-10 and Counting (Thu)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	35	313	8111	3.86%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 14

 

Comp

0.351x of F9 T-10 (2.49M)

0.141x of Black Widow T-10 (1.87M)

The Suicide Squad Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-9 and Counting (Thu)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	35	335	8111	4.13%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 22

 

Comp

0.358x of F9 T-9 (2.54M)

0.141x of Black Widow T-9 (1.86M)

[ThomasNicole]

16 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Jungle Cruise Harkins California T-2 Days

 

Format	Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
Normal	19	5,201	119	2.28%	$1,492	$12.53
Cine 1	4	1,708	122	7.14%	$1,952	$16.00
Total	23	6,909	241	3.49%	$3,444	$14.29

 

 

California Harkins were 0.55% of Black Widow previews. For Jungle Cruise probably around 0.65-0.70%. 

In absolute terms, T-3 Days Black Widow was $26.6K and finaled at $73.1K. So about 12.9% i.e. $1.7M but this is one day late though will have much better final days increase than Black Widow did. So am holding my hopes for $2.5M still.

If it manage to do 2.5M previews, it can have a shot at +30M OW.

 

Fingers crossed, we have enough bad news last weekend

 

 

[RRA]

10 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

If it manage to do 2.5M previews, it can have a shot at +30M OW.

 

Fingers crossed, we have enough bad news last weekend

 

 

how sharp will its 2nd weekend drop be? Over or under SJ2's drop?

Edited July 28, 2021 by RRA

[Eric Loves Rey]

2 minutes ago, RRA said:

how sharp will its 2nd weekend be? Over or under SJ2's drop?

Oh way under. Widow aside, PVOD films have had better legs and holds compared to SVOD films

[ThomasNicole]

8 minutes ago, RRA said:

how sharp will its 2nd weekend drop be? Over or under SJ2's drop?

Well under, unlike SJ2 this won't be available for free on streaming

 

And SJ2 reception aren't very good too, that make things even worse.

[charlie Jatinder]

OMG TSS is turning out to be such a Disaster and here I was thinking it could have possibly hit $100M OW.

[Ezen Baklattan]

Stillwater
Tracking Date	Showtime Date	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
7/27/2021	7/29/2021	0	4	2	271	0.74%
7/27/2021	7/30/2021	0	4	22	460	4.78%

 

Stillwater had its first Thursday sales while Friday sales increased by 340% compared to yesterday.

 

The Green Knight
Tracking Date	Showtime Date	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
7/27/2021	7/29/2021	0	4	52	260	20.00%
7/27/2021	7/30/2021	0	8	62	624	9.94%

 

The Green Knight saw Thursday increases of 93% on Thursday and 121% on Friday compared to yesterday.

 

Jungle Cruise
Tracking Date	Showtime Date	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
7/27/2021	7/29/2021	0	13	122	1517	8.04%
7/27/2021	7/30/2021	0	19	196	2763	7.09%

 

Jungle Cruise sales increased 20% for Thursday and 44% for Friday. The total number so far is 30% higher than In The Heights and 108% higher than Peter Rabbit. Both films gained on JC this day. 

 

The Suicide Squad
Tracking Date	Showtime Date	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
7/27/2021	8/5/2021	0	9	84	1234	6.81%
7/27/2021	8/6/2021	0	19	54	2568	2.10%

 

Thursday previews are 18% higher, Friday is 13% higher.

[RRA]

12 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

OMG TSS is turning out to be such a Disaster and here I was thinking it could have possibly hit $100M OW.

 

A truly poetic film title if there ever was one. 

[DAJK]

I am honestly so perplexed at Green Knight’s sales. It’s nearly tripling Old’s sales for Thursday night at my theater, but there is obviously no way this is opening to 40+ million. 

 

Even at other theaters across Canada, it’s outselling jungle cruise pretty much everywhere for thursday and even Friday in most locations as well. I don’t know if this is just a one-day-wonder, or if it’s just going to be massively pre-sale heavy. But it’s going to be very interesting to watch this weekend.

[filmlover]

12 minutes ago, DAJK said:

I am honestly so perplexed at Green Knight’s sales. It’s nearly tripling Old’s sales for Thursday night at my theater, but there is obviously no way this is opening to 40+ million. 

 

Even at other theaters across Canada, it’s outselling jungle cruise pretty much everywhere for thursday and even Friday in most locations as well. I don’t know if this is just a one-day-wonder, or if it’s just going to be massively pre-sale heavy. But it’s going to be very interesting to watch this weekend.

FWIW most of the theaters around me are putting in smaller auditoriums. Guessing people are just buying up good seats as quickly as they can.

[Menor the Destroyer]

Jungle Cruise MTC2

 

Thursday

Showtimes: 1791 (+241)

Seats Sold: 9037/269271 (+1960)

 

Friday

Showtimes: 4012 (+853)

Seats Sold: 18943/633144 (+6088)

 

Thursday is still meh. Not seeing any higher than 2 million. Friday seems really strong though. Almost suspiciously so, though I don't see any obvious error in my numbers. If it continues at this pace then 9-10 million Friday or higher seems quite possible. 

 

I'll try to get Green Knight as well tomorrow. It may come close on Thursday but I don't think it's getting anywhere near JC on FSS. Still we will see.

Edited July 28, 2021 by Menor