The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[keysersoze123]

I dont think MCU movies would be a good comp. But only time will tell. I have a feeling real action for this will happen only in its release week. 

[Legion Again]

BW is an awful comp. SC and TSS are pretty bad, but ya work with what you’ve got. F9 seems pretty decent, I wouldn’t be surprised if V2 had a bigger % growth on the final 4 days… but also wouldn’t be too surprised if it had lower.

[charlie Jatinder]

2 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

I have a feeling real action for this will happen only in its release week. 

Pretty much this however F9 comps are around $6M iirc, that's not good.

[Eric Duncan]

23 hours ago, Eric and the Ten Rings said:

Copshop Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	20	6	2997	0.20%

 

Uhhh...yeah, it's not even worth comping. I don't even think we're gonna get preview #s for this, but it is in like 2,500 theaters or something, so...nyehhhhhh.

Copshop Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	32	14	4436	0.32%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 12

Total Seats Added Today: 1,439

Total Seats Sold Today: 8

[Eric Duncan]

23 hours ago, Eric and the Ten Rings said:

Cry Macho Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	33	8	4593	0.17%

 

Too tired and it's not worth comping. But uh...yeah it's not great Bob!

Cry Macho Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	58	12	8120	0.17%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 25

Total Seats Added Today: 3,527

Total Seats Sold Today: 4

[filmlover]

6 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

Dear Evan Hansen also isn't confirmed for Dolby yet here. Shang-Chi will probably end up keeping Dolby at some locations next week if tracking stays low for DEH

Yeah, it's been removed from pretty much all of the PLF auditoriums it was initially set for around where I am as well and will just play in regular auditoriums.

[Eric Duncan]

23 hours ago, Eric and the Ten Rings said:

Venom: Let There Be Carnage Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-17 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	89	439	19404	2.26%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 1

Total Seats Added Today: 103

Total Seats Sold Today: 37

 

Comp

0.699x of F9 T-17 (4.96M)

0.270x of Black Widow T-17 (3.56M)

1.977x of The Suicide Squad T-17 (8.11M)

0.861x of Shang-Chi T-17 (7.57M)

Venom: Let There Be Carnage Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-16 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	89	487	19404	2.51%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 48

 

Comp

0.733x of F9 T-16 (5.21M)

0.283x of Black Widow T-16 (3.74M)

2.072x of The Suicide Squad T-16 (8.5M)

0.690x of Shang-Chi T-16 (6.07M)

 

Those fan screenings in the UK paid off I suppose

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Venom: Let There Be Carnage Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-17 Days and Counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	150	24566	25241	675	2.67%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

52

 

T-17 Comp           VERY LOL-TASTIC FOR SOME - USE AT OWN RISK

	%		Sold T-17	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
F9	86.76		91	778		0/93	13323/14101	5.52%		6.45m
TSS	241.07		12	280		0/81	13672/13952	2.01%		10.13m
SC	121.84		554	554		0/92	15096/15650	3.54%		10.72m

PRE-SALE NOTE:  Venom 2's tickets have been on sale for five days more than Shang-Chi while F9 was on sale for one more day than Venom 2. 

COMP NOTE: The F9 Comp has been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955). Neither the TSS nor the SC Comp have been adjusted.

 

T-17 Adjusted Comp            FAIRLY LOL-TASTIC - USE AT OWN RISK

	%		Sold T-17	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
BW	29.97		94	2189		0/117	16941/19130	10.95%		4.14m
V2 (adj)	---		46	656		0/136	22425/23081	2.84%		---

PRE-SALE NOTE:  Black Widow's tickets have been on sale for five days more than Venom 2.

COMP NOTE: The BW Comp has been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: V2 (adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters that had unreliable data polluting their seat maps at that point in BW's track.

 

Regal: 157/6823 [2.30% sold] [+11 tickets]

 

Venom: Let There Be Carnage Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-16 Days and Counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	153	25059	25793	734	2.85%

 

Total Showings Added Today	3
Total Seats Added Today	552
Total Seats Sold Today	59

 

T-16 Comp           VERY LOL-TASTIC FOR SOME - USE AT OWN RISK

	%		Sold T-17	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
F9	88.75		49	827		0/91	13323/14150	5.84%		6.60m
TSS	240.66		25	305		0/81	13647/13952	2.19%		10.11m
SC	101.10		172	726		0/99	15764/16490	4.40%		8.90m

PRE-SALE NOTE:  Venom 2's tickets have been on sale for five days more than Shang-Chi while F9 was on sale for one more day than Venom 2. 

COMP NOTE: The F9 Comp has been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955). Neither the TSS nor the SC Comp have been adjusted.

 

T-16 Adjusted Comp            FAIRLY LOL-TASTIC - USE AT OWN RISK

	%		Sold T-17	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
BW	31.46		84	2273		0/117	16861/19134	11.88%		4.35m
V2 (adj)	---		59	715		0/139	22918/23633	3.03%		---

PRE-SALE NOTE:  Black Widow's tickets have been on sale for five days more than Venom 2.

COMP NOTE: The BW Comp has been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: V2 (adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters that had unreliable data polluting their seat maps at that point in BW's track.

 

Regal: 170/7375 [2.31% sold] [+13 tickets]

[katnisscinnaplex]

7 hours ago, filmlover said:

Yeah, it's been removed from pretty much all of the PLF auditoriums it was initially set for around where I am as well and will just play in regular auditoriums.

 

I'm only seeing 44 theaters showing DEH in IMAX next Thursday, and almost all of them are Regals.

[WrathOfHan]

9 hours ago, filmlover said:

Yeah, it's been removed from pretty much all of the PLF auditoriums it was initially set for around where I am as well and will just play in regular auditoriums.

Oh shit, the XD and Dolby showtimes elsewhere in Orlando were taken down  It currently has one IMAX next week. That's it  

[filmlover]

36 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Oh shit, the XD and Dolby showtimes elsewhere in Orlando were taken down  It currently has one IMAX next week. That's it  

Feel like we'll all need to owe In the Heights an apology if this somehow does even worse than that did despite being a theatrical exclusive.

[charlie Jatinder]

Somehow feels like that everything till Eternals will end up cancelling the positivity that Free Guy and Shang Chi bring.

[TwoMisfits]

17 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Somehow feels like that everything till Eternals will end up cancelling the positivity that Free Guy and Shang Chi bring.

 

Or that Shang Chi's demo was exactly who is going, and the other movies are hitting all the demos that aren't...

 

I will say, Venom will do well for the same reason, although I haven't seen some folks guesses, but BoxOfficePro's tracking would be a "good result" and one I think is eminently doable...

[filmlover]

21 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Somehow feels like that everything till Eternals will end up cancelling the positivity that Free Guy and Shang Chi bring.

Venom and Bond will be fine (even if the latter may or may not live up to its full potential given the uncertainty over its main demographic returning to theaters). Dune and Halloween should do decent enough numbers despite their availability to watch at home the same day since there are audiences eager to see them on the big screen. DEH flopping wouldn't cause anyone to lose any sleep since Broadway adaptations tend to miss more than they hit + it's a movie about teen suicide with lousy reviews (if it weren't based on a famous IP we'd be talking about an easy sub-$10M total there).

[Madhuvan]

Venom 2 is gonna do great. Buzz is very strong. Presales is just one factor 

[ThomasNicole]

Anything over 50M would be great for both Venom and NTTD honestly.

 

Venom is coming from a very bad movie and 007 wasn't really that strong on US even in normal times (also the many delays probably hurt this one in some degree).

[poweranimals]

21 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

Venom is coming from a very bad movie

This is lies! 🤪

Edited September 15, 2021 by poweranimals

[DAJK]

Venom I still think will do 50/135 numbers, but that’s honestly not far off where I had it pre-pandemic.

 

I have NTTD at Spectre numbers. Pre-pandemic I would have had it a little higher (maybe 90/250) but it’s not a bad drop.

 

Dune is doing BR2049 numbers, but it was always going to.

 

Halloween is going to flop (25/60), streaming is going to kill it.

[Pinacolada]

I also think Venom's budget isn't very high. The first one was $100m. I don't think this one looks much higher. Probably like $120m

[Pinacolada]

1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Somehow feels like that everything till Eternals will end up cancelling the positivity that Free Guy and Shang Chi bring.

Why do you say that? 

 

No time to die tickets haven't even gone on sale yet in the US, and it seems to be selling well thus far in the UK.

 

And again, I do believe Venom 2 will pick up in the last week, but I digress about that. It seems like that fan screening is really out drum up buzz

Edited September 15, 2021 by Pinacolada