The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[DAJK]

I'm going to do a quick post here because I'm currently watching Skyfall and don't want to wait an hour-plus before giving out my numbers, but I don't want to miss much of the movie. 

 

Venom absolutely exploded tonight in my area. I will reiterate that today is a national holiday however, so that probably inflated the numbers slightly. But still... nothing to scoff at. 

 

I'm only going to post 2 of my comps (the ones I deemed the most relevant) due to time constraints. But quick mental math has everything else pretty much in the same range... it's all very consistent which is almost surprising. 

 

102% Joker - 13.5M

240% Suicide Squad - 9.84M

 

I know for a fact that TSS overindexed here based on how it performed at my theater. Plus that was a summer opener, when everyone was out of school and Thursday business was stronger in general. The Joker comp I only think is slightly too high because I think the holiday boosted Venom slightly. That being said, I'm still more or less on board with 12M, so I'll just flat out say 12M previews (give or take a couple decimal points).

 

This is nuts. Did not expect this type of business. 

[Porthos]

On 9/29/2021 at 11:42 PM, Porthos said:

 

No Time To Die Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-8 Days and Counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	144	21181	22353	1172	5.24%

 

Total Showings Added Today	2
Total Seats Added Today	238
Total Seats Sold Today	134

 

T-8 Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-8	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
AQP II	141.76		69	819		2/86	2754/3573	22.92%		7.13m
F9	84.73		100	1323		0/84	11791/13114	10.09%		6.30m
NTTD (AQP adj)	---		131	1161		0/144	21042/22203	5.23%		---
NTTD (F9 adj)	---		121	1121		0/123	18182/19303	5.81%		---

COMP NOTE: Both the AQP II comp and the F9 comp have been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: NTTD (AQP adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include DBOX showings which were not tracked at that time while NTTD (F9 adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include theaters which had unreliable data polluting their seat maps.

SELLOUT NOTE:  Locally, AQP II was still under a capacity cap, which greatly inflated the number of sellouts as well as depressing the amount of seats available.

 

Matinee: 48/1644 [2.88% sold] | 4.10% of all tickets sold

Regal:   244/7504 [3.25% sold] [+30 tickets]

 

===

 

All in all, a nice review boost. 👍

 

No Time To Die Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-7 Days and Counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	144	21051	22353	1302	5.82%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

130

 

T-7 Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-7	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
AQP II	140.02		103	922		2/85	2631/3553	25.95%		7.04m
F9	87.91		91	1414		0/86	11869/13283	10.09%		6.54m
NTTD (AQP adj)	---		130	1291		0/144	20912/22203	5.81%		---
NTTD (F9 adj)	---		122	1243		0/123	18060/19303	6.44%		---

COMP NOTE: Both the AQP II comp and the F9 comp have been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: NTTD (AQP adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include DBOX showings which were not tracked at that time while NTTD (F9 adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include theaters which had unreliable data polluting their seat maps.

SELLOUT NOTE:  Locally, AQP II was still under a capacity cap, which greatly inflated the number of sellouts as well as depressing the amount of seats available.

 

Matinee: 58/1644 [3.49% sold] | 4.45% of all tickets sold

Regal:   287/7504 [3.82% sold] [+43 tickets]

Edited October 13, 2021 by Porthos

[keysersoze123]

Morning just before shows are starting at east coast. 

MTC1 - 159840/1099127 2508476.38 5938 shows

MTC2 - 134182/1054912 1636865.44 7518 shows

 

Good bump from last night. Let us see how the day goes. 

[charlie Jatinder]

11.6M THU.

May be should have stick with myself. I was finally getting THU right 😬. Damn you @Menor & @keysersoze123 convincing me it 12.

[charlie Jatinder]

Also @Inceptionzq, turns out using Megaplex was downing the ratio of US-Others. Well that's what was happening. MTC2 and Harkins were overperforming.

 

So you did solid.

Edited October 1, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[keysersoze123]

4 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

11.6M THU.

May be should have stick with myself. I was finally getting THU right 😬. Damn you @Menor & @keysersoze123 convincing me it 12.

Only thing I can think off is my comp was off as I was late with the numbers. But it was not that late and so some chains did underperform relative to MTC numbers. It happens but there is no doubt it was huge breakout compared to expectations yesterday morning. 

[charlie Jatinder]

1 minute ago, keysersoze123 said:

Only thing I can think off is my comp was off as I was late with the numbers. But it was not that late and so some chains did underperform relative to MTC numbers. It happens but there is no doubt it was huge breakout compared to expectations yesterday morning. 

Mostly MTC2 overindexed. As we were discussing.

 

Anyhow I was just joking. $300k, 500k, 600k etc are sort of immaterial. A bit happy though that my system is now working well.

Edited October 1, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[Rorschach]

On 9/30/2021 at 12:25 AM, Rorschach said:

Comps:

Black Widow: $8.53 mil

The Suicide Squad: $14.92 mil

Shang-Chi: $10.99 mil

Average: $11.48 mil

Woah, the preview numbers ended up surprisingly close to my Cinemark’s projections. Only about $100k difference from the reported total.

[Menor the Destroyer]

19 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Only thing I can think off is my comp was off as I was late with the numbers. But it was not that late and so some chains did underperform relative to MTC numbers. It happens but there is no doubt it was huge breakout compared to expectations yesterday morning. 

I think we had better not use BW for comps anymore. BW comp for SC gave 9.8 million, for this it was giving around 13 million (probably 12.5ish adjusting for the missing hour). I think the coverage must have increased a lot since then. 

[charlie Jatinder]

15 hours ago, Porthos said:

11m +/- .4m in previews

what an embarrassment Porthos.

[keysersoze123]

44 minutes ago, Menor said:

I think we had better not use BW for comps anymore. BW comp for SC gave 9.8 million, for this it was giving around 13 million (probably 12.5ish adjusting for the missing hour). I think the coverage must have increased a lot since then. 

That makes better sense. May be I added few more theaters especially at MTC2. I am going to only use SC as comp for final number. 

 

Let us still not forget the key thing is its an uber breakout. Well above our expectations even as of yesterday morning. 

 

 

[Legion Again]

16 hours ago, Porthos said:

have to knock something off the 11.7m comp the CBMs are suggesting

Well, technically correct 👀

[titanic2187]

Not disappointed even if missing 12m, the tracking for preview has been overshooting consistently since the reopening for some reason, so I have mentally wipe out few 000k from the projection.   

[Porthos]

1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:

what an embarrassment Porthos.

 

Shouldn't have adjusted for matinees. 

 

I blame @Legion of the Ten Crores, personally. 

[Porthos]

35 minutes ago, Legion of the Ten Crores said:

Well, technically correct 👀

 

 

I'll take it. 👍

[Eric Duncan]

Got the Fandango notification that Halloween Kills ticket sales are up. Before folks ask, yes I'll be tracking the long-term.

[EmpireCity]

Warner Bros. changed their mind and are allowing shows on Thursday at 6 PM

[EmpireCity]

For Dune

[Tinalera]

No Time to Die

Toronto Ontario.

Taken Oct 1st for Wed Oct 6

 

Scotia Theatre   IMAX

sold                available

171                  111

 

Eglinton Town IMAX

 

52                    258

 

Queensway AVX

 

169                113

 

Total 392 sold  482 Available

 

Totally missed Venom, sorry its been crazy. Working on No Time to Die now Instead. As I said before Im only going to do Previews (Wed and Thurs) till Wed of next week because of getting swamped with "new seats" that Cineplex likes to do. 

 

Will be putting in Thursday preview shortly. As you see, VERY few Wed showings right now, I expect that to change.

 

 

[Tinalera]

No Time To Die

Toronto Ontario

Taken Oct 1 for Thursday Oct 7

 

yonge dundas	22		38	Vip
	36		20
	36		20
	19		46
	48		245	Imax
	8		309
	30		32	4dx
Scotia	6		63	Imax
	207		74
	251		90
	46		125	screenx
	15		201
	1		387	3d
	3		385
	1		1	reg
	10		537
	19		519
Varsity	17		8	vip
	20		8
	12		13
	12		21
	0		465	3d
	93		311	reg
Yonge Eglinton	85		193	avx
	7		308
	32		35	vip
	55 Approx		0	sellout
	7		218	reg
	0		228
Yorkdale	15		321	avx
	40		275
	11		205	screen x
	5		215
	0		451	reg
	0		451
Egtown	44		256	imax
	8		329
	18		228	reg
	0		260
	3		205
	1		209
Queensway	58		133	avx3d
	4		4
	28		28
	4		4
	84		84	avx
	106		106
	122		122
	18		18
	18		107	vip
	120 approx		0	sellout
	120 approx		0	sellout
	120 apprx		0	sellout
	15		217	screenx
	2		243
	0		303	reg
	0		303
Empress	59		265	Imax
	7		357
	0		371	3d
	8		354	reg
	1		241
	1		241
	1723		11806
	Total seats sold	`	available