The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Halloween Kills Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

61

311

19.61%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

19

159

11.95%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
185	33	4478	4.13%	15	28

 

AMCs sold	132
Cinemarks sold	23
Regals sold	18
Harkins sold	12

 

Showings added: 2

Seats added: 192

 

A Quiet Place 2 comp: 3.02M

Fast 9 day 3 comp: 5.69M

Suicide Squad day 3 comp: 4.03M

Halloween Kills Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

61

311

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

23

159

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
211	26	4478	4.71%	15	28

 

AMCs sold	147
Cinemarks sold	31
Regals sold	18
Harkins sold	15

 

A Quiet Place 2 comp: 3.24M

Fast 9 comp: 2.48M

Suicide Squad comp: 2.74M

 

Switched to normal comps since we're already pretty close to release. So the Fast 9 comp will be the worst victim of it, but it's the worst comp on here anyway

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Halloween Kills Megaplex

 

T-11 days Thursday: 62(+21)/3388 in 10 theaters

 

T-12 days Friday: 84(+36)/8656(+1600) in 12 theaters

Halloween Kills Megaplex

 

T-10 days Thursday: 75(+13)/3949(+561) in 12 theaters

 

T-11 days Friday: 114(+30)/9066(+410) in 13 theaters

[TalismanRing]

No Time To Die - NY Local - 72/1154 (6:30pm Local)

 

COMPS

Venom: $6.375m
HvS: $6.96m
TSS: $5.815m
It P2: $5.14m
BW: $3.98m

 

Two new comps since none of the comps are that great. Will add OUATIH tomorrow

 

Ford v Ferrari: $3.024m (movie had very little growth from M-Thur. Maybe better comp on Thur)
Bad Boys 3: $9.95m (unlike FvF - huge growth from M-Thur)

 

Edit:  Dune -  6/1242 (7:10pm)  (4 screens. 2 are RPX - where so far all tix are for)

 

Edited October 4, 2021 by TalismanRing

[Inceptionzq]

Dune Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

146

653

22.36%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

91

805

11.30%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 8 HOURS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
434	434	9413	4.61%	14	48

 

AMCs sold	372
Cinemarks sold	16
Regals sold	46
Harkins sold	0

 

Shang-Chi day 1 comp(17 hours): 9.52M

Black Widow day 1 comp(7 hours): 9.66M

 

Solid start. Crazy AMC skew, but it's actually the exact same percent of total sold as Shang-Chi's day 1. The AMC+Regal skew is where the difference comes from. 96.3% of Dune vs 91.5% of Shang-Chi. Interested to see if the GA gets in on this after the fan rush, and whether presales drop a relatively high percent over the next couple days.

[tonytr87]

1 minute ago, Inceptionzq said:

Dune Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

146

653

22.36%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

91

805

11.30%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 8 HOURS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
434	434	9413	4.61%	14	48

 

AMCs sold	372
Cinemarks sold	16
Regals sold	46
Harkins sold	0

 

Shang-Chi day 1 comp(17 hours): 9.52M

Black Widow day 1 comp(7 hours): 9.66M

 

Solid start. Crazy AMC skew, but it's actually the exact same percent of total sold as Shang-Chi's day 1. The AMC+Regal skew is where the difference comes from. 96.3% of Dune vs 91.5% of Shang-Chi. Interested to see if the GA gets in on this after the fan rush, and whether presales drop a relatively high percent over the next couple days.

 

 

Maybe it's just me, but I've always had the impression that Cinemarks are more geared towards GA and AMCs bring in more fans and movie lovers. 

[Inceptionzq]

Dune Megaplex

 

T-17 days Thursday: 682/10851 in 11 theaters

 

Shang-Chi comp: 15.67M

Black Widow comp: 4.92M

 

T-18 days Friday: 648/26747 in 13 theaters

 

Shang-Chi comp: 62.10M

Black Widow comp: 15.84M

 

Destroying Shang-Chi here, but it obviously won't be that high. Also, I went straight to the normal comp for Black Widow because I didn't start tracking it until almost a week into presales. So, those BW comps are with 10 days of presales.

 

I've been really curious about how Dune would perform here considering that the chain has had many top performing theaters for Star Wars opening weekends. So far, that Star Wars/space opera/sci-fi interest seems to have crossed to Dune.

[keysersoze123]

2 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

Dune Megaplex

 

T-17 days Thursday: 682/10851 in 11 theaters

 

Shang-Chi comp: 15.67M

Black Widow comp: 4.92M

 

T-18 days Friday: 648/26747 in 13 theaters

 

Shang-Chi comp: 62.10M

Black Widow comp: 15.84M

 

Destroying Shang-Chi here, but it obviously won't be that high. Also, I went straight to the normal comp for Black Widow because I didn't start tracking it until almost a week into presales. So, those BW comps are with 10 days of presales.

 

I've been really curious about how Dune would perform here considering that the chain has had many top performing theaters for Star Wars opening weekends. So far, that Star Wars/space opera/sci-fi interest seems to have crossed to Dune.

Time for someone to create Dune > 200m OW thread /s

[Cmasterclay]

Dune has nearly sold out IMAX and PLF showings near me but has lots of Thursday showings in big regular auditoriums that have sold a literal 0. Going to be one of the biggest splits ever. Don't love that for the weekend at large tbh but preview number will be swell for sure.

[TwoMisfits]

29 minutes ago, tonytr87 said:

 

 

Maybe it's just me, but I've always had the impression that Cinemarks are more geared towards GA and AMCs bring in more fans and movie lovers. 

 

Their subscriber plans are also designed just this way...

 

If you're the occasional goer, you get a Cinemark subscription.

If you're every week or more, you get AMC/Regal subscriptions.

 

 

[Menor the Destroyer]

35 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

Dune Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

146

653

22.36%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

91

805

11.30%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 8 HOURS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
434	434	9413	4.61%	14	48

 

AMCs sold	372
Cinemarks sold	16
Regals sold	46
Harkins sold	0

 

Shang-Chi day 1 comp(17 hours): 9.52M

Black Widow day 1 comp(7 hours): 9.66M

 

Solid start. Crazy AMC skew, but it's actually the exact same percent of total sold as Shang-Chi's day 1. The AMC+Regal skew is where the difference comes from. 96.3% of Dune vs 91.5% of Shang-Chi. Interested to see if the GA gets in on this after the fan rush, and whether presales drop a relatively high percent over the next couple days.

Regal seems to be matching AMC then. That makes things very interesting if it's just Cinemark that's underperforming.

[Inceptionzq]

12 minutes ago, Menor said:

Regal seems to be matching AMC then. That makes things very interesting if it's just Cinemark that's underperforming.

IMAX is making all the difference. 29 sold at a Regal that does almost nothing until the last couple days. SC didn’t sell 28 there until T-5 days

[SpiderByte]

Is it me or are there a lot less screenings for Dune than for other releases? Could just be local/more competition with more releases

 

Edited October 5, 2021 by SpiderByte

[WrathOfHan]

No Time to Die:

Weds Early Access IMAX: 43/372 (+8)

4:00 IMAX: 8/372 (+4)

5:00 Dolby: 30/236 (+8)

7:00: 6/107 (+1)

8:00 IMAX: 17/372 (-)

9:00 Dolby: 44/236 (+13)

Total: 148/1,695 (+34) (105/1,323 without Early Access)

 

Comps:

 

43% of Black Widow the day before (5.7M)

65% of Shang-Chi three days out (5.7M)

115% of F9 three days out (8.1M)

157% of Venom 2 four days out (17.7M)

183% of The Suicide Squad two days out (7.5M)

203% of AQP2 two days out (9.7M)

617% of Old two days out (9.3M)

617% of Snake Eyes two days out (8.6M)

 

It's now outpacing F9 by a healthy margin, and the standard showing hasn't even picked up the pace yet compared to F9's standard shows. Willing to bump the floor up to 7.5M, and given some of the other comps, I'm not ruling out 11-12M yet.

 

Dune:

6:00 IMAX: 5/372

7:00 Dolby: 46/236

7:45: 0/107

8:45 3D: 0/67

9:30 IMAX: 3/372

Total: 54/1,154

 

Already outpacing NTTD's second (or third?) day sales on its first day  

[charlie Jatinder]

6 hours ago, Derpity said:

CNBC: ‘No Time to Die’ eyes $100 million domestic box office opening 

 

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/10/04/no-time-to-die-eyes-100-million-domestic-box-office-opening.html

Tracking - It is either too high or too low.

[charlie Jatinder]

I will be looking at NTTD data today. Can we have full weekend update today @keysersoze123

Preferably WED separate.

Edited October 5, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[EmpireCity]

I'll eat a bag of shit if NTTD hits $100m weekend domestic.  

 

It ain't going to happen.  That is straight up comedy.  

[Menor the Destroyer]

23 hours ago, Menor said:

It was like a 5-minute fix on my end

 

No Time to Die MTC2

 

Wed+Thurs:

Showtimes: 2035

Seats Sold: 24140/530585

Total $ sales: at least 348787*

 

TSS comp: 9.43 million

F9 comp: 5.33 million

 

Friday:

Showtimes: 3166

Seats Sold: 25853/511789 

Total $ sales: at least 333155*

 

F9 comp: 17 million

No Time to Die MTC2

 

Wed+Thurs:

Showtimes: 2074 (+39)

Seats Sold: 27139/334844 (+2999)

Total $ sales: 391690 (+42903)*

 

TSS comp: 9.10 million

F9 comp: 5.31 million

 

Around 23-23.5 hours of data compared to 21.5 for F9, but the comp still dropped. I think at this point this just won't do that well at MTC2. Will need other chains and regions to carry it. 

 

Friday:

Showtimes: 3177 (+11)

Seats Sold: 30800/510141 (+4947)

Total $ sales: 394474 (+61319)*

 

F9 comp: 17.30 million

 

It managed to increase the comp here but that had a lot to do with the missing time amount for F9. Pace ratio was probably stable at around 75% of F9 pace. 

 

*same caveat on $ sales as yesterday, I didn't have time to fix

[Eric Duncan]

On 10/3/2021 at 11:30 PM, Eric Soprano said:

No Time to Die Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	75	1321	14653	9.02%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 105

 

Comp

0.943x of F9 T-4 (6.69M)

0.393x of Black Widow T-4 (5.19M)

2.180x of The Suicide Squad T-4 (8.94M)

0.666x of Shang-Chi T-4 (5.86M)

0.926x of Venom 2 T-4 (10.74M)

 

I know some are saying this will be backloaded and that it's set for crazy walk-ups...but I would expect a backloaded run to see at least some sort of rev-up in the last few days, not the film finally losing a lot of momentum. It's a little bit concerning to me guys.

No Time to Die Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	80	1559	15233	10.23%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 5

Total Seats Added Today: 580

Total Seats Sold Today: 238

 

Comp

0.963x of F9 T-3 (6.84M)

0.426x of Black Widow T-3 (5.63M)

2.104x of The Suicide Squad T-3 (8.63M)

0.677x of Shang-Chi T-3 (5.96M)

0.886x of Venom 2 T-3 (10.28M)

 

This is what I was looking for. The goal is to match F9 by the end of its run, which isn't super likely, but still possible.

[Eric Duncan]

On 10/3/2021 at 11:40 PM, Eric Soprano said:

Halloween Kills Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-11 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	22	376	4052	9.28%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 52

 

Comp

0.726x of A Quiet Place Part II Thu+Fri T-11 (14.06M)

2.725x of The Conjuring 3 T-11 (26.71M)

0.435x of F9 T-11 (3.09M)

1.257x of The Suicide Squad T-11 (5.16M)

0.484x of Venom 2 T-11 (5.62M)

Halloween Kills Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-10 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	23	448	4148	10.80%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 1

Total Seats Added Today: 96

Total Seats Sold Today: 72

 

Comp

0.781x of A Quiet Place Part II Thu+Fri T-10 (15.14M)

2.046x of The Conjuring 3 T-10 (20.06M)

0.503x of F9 T-10 (3.57M)

1.337x of The Suicide Squad T-10 (5.48M)

0.528x of Venom 2 T-10 (6.12M)

 

Part of it is because of the truncated sales window, but this is trucking along splendidly, Peacock be damned.

[Eric Duncan]

Dune Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-17 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	33	441	6716	6.57%

 

Comp

0.702x of F9 T-17 (4.99M)

0.271x of Black Widow T-17 (3.58M)

1.986x of The Suicide Squad T-17 (8.14M)

0.865x of Shang-Chi T-17 (7.61M)

1.004x of Venom 2 T-17 (11.65M)

 

Timothee always wins.

 

In all seriousness, I don't think this is as impressive as some other trackers, but it's still a really, really good first day, and I can only hope things continue to do well from here.