The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Menor the Destroyer]

1 minute ago, Porthos said:

Akvalley's tracker resets every week.  I have no idea when Fandango looks under the hood and performs maintenance on its apps.

Oh, so it was indeed the tracker that resets. Damn, could be a while then.

[TMP]

2 minutes ago, cax16 said:

shazam 45-50

 

Hoping walk-ups bring it closer to 55-60...

[TalismanRing]

1 minute ago, Porthos said:

I took a looksee at Century Arden for Shazam! and it's kinda interesting.  The 4pm to 5pm shows, including the PLF screen, aren't doing so hot.   Really picks up at 7pm though, before crashing again for the 10pm and later shows:

 

Arden            
8:00 (3D)    94    110    14.55%
11:05 (3D)  109    110    0.91%
4:00 (2D)   247    260    5.00%
7:00 (2D)   152    260    41.54%
10:05 (2D)  227    260    12.69%
4:30 (2D)   136    160    15.00%
5:00 (2D)    98    110    10.91%
7:30 (2D)    89    160    44.38%
10:35 (2D)  141    160    11.88%

	    1293   1590	  18.68% 
	    297 tickets sold

 

Venom and AM&TW were the lowest tracked movies I did region wide.  It's already been discussed why AM2 is a bad comp,  but I can separate out my info for just Century Arden on the Wed night of release for Venom:

 

Arden                                       			
6:30 (3D) 	67	110	39.09%
9:15 (3D) 	67	110	39.09%
5:00 (2D) 	106	161	34.16%
7:45 (2D) 	37	161	77.02%
10:00 (2D)	105	110	4.55%
10:30 (2D)	88	110	20.00%
11:00 (2D)	106	110	3.64%
5:30 (2D) 	168	260	35.38%
8:30 (2D)	116	260	55.38%
11:15 (2D)	255	260	1.92%
			
	       1115	1652	32.51% 
               537 tickets sold

Now this would still be missing about six to seven hours of sales, so even more of an imperfect comp.  But 297/537 = 55.31% = 5.5m Thr, which is more or less what some of the comps were pointing to before Pulse crashed.

 

 

Yeah, just scanning through NYC showtimes the 4pm shows are kind of dead, some not even selling a ticket yet.  I expect after school walk ups  to pick those up.

 

The 7 & 8pm shows for now are easily doing the best.

 

Venom started at 5pm so the % should be a bit lower even if the 4pms aren't selling too hot right now.

 

 

[Legion Again]

12 minutes ago, Menor said:

Am I tripping or did Endgame just move UP on mt.com? It was at 56.1% some point before at now its 56.3%

Now up to 57.4. A big factor imo is that each Wednesday hour update the currently playing movies lose an hour of Discount Tuesday sales. Honestl would not be surprised if AEG climbs the rest of the day and then start properly falling over the course of  Thurs.     

 

Shazam now up to 4.8 vs CM’s 6.1. That’s 11.3% of non AEG sales though.

[mulderfox]

5 minutes ago, TMP said:

Hoping walk-ups bring it closer to 55-60...

I am pretty positive it will because its a walk-up friendly movie. its not a hotly anticipated sequel. Its an exceptional good reviewed superhero movie practically very few has heard about.

[Barnack]

16 minutes ago, Menor said:

Pulse resets every week right? So it should be back up by next Monday. If akvalley's scraper is just pulling from the website then that implies Pulse itself is what resets every Monday, not the tracker (which was what I had thought before)

Pulse is a pulse of only the 1,000 latest sales, it reset about every 5 to 30 minutes depending on the traffic.

 

 

[Krissykins]

14 minutes ago, cax16 said:

https://variety.com/2019/film/box-office/shazam-box-office-opening-weekend-pet-sematary-1203177258/amp/?__twitter_impression=true

 

shazam 45-50

Pet Sematary north of 25

$80m budget for Shazam is good news. 

 

No mention of the Pet Sematary budget yet. 

[TalismanRing]

11 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

$80m budget for Shazam is good news. 

 

No mention of the Pet Sematary budget yet. 

Everyone is quoting a different budget for Shazam! though from $80-90-100.  There seems to be confusion on the re-shoots, if they are included in the $80m or in addition to it and how much they were

 

 

[Barnack]

3 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

Everyone is quoting a different budget for Shazam! though from $80-90-100.  There seems to be confusion on the re-shoots, if they are included in the $80m or in addition to it and how much they were

 

 

Canadian production also, those do not tend to have the clearest reporting (which exchange rate used, take a while to have your tax credits, etc...)

[Ms Lady Hawk]

20 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

$80m budget for Shazam is good news. 

 

No mention of the Pet Sematary budget yet. 

Variety is a good source. I think I read from one of Scott Mendelson’s articles that studios take in ~55% of the domestic gross. If that is the case, then Shazam needs about 150 million to break even. The OS and digital sales would be icing on the cake at that point. If the movie can pull that off 150M, then it would be a great investment by WB.

[TalismanRing]

8 minutes ago, Ms Lady Hawk said:

Variety is a good source. I think I read from one of Scott Mendelson’s articles that studios take in ~55% of the domestic gross. If that is the case, then Shazam needs about 150 million to break even. The OS and digital sales would be icing on the cake at that point. If the movie can pull that off 150M, then it would be a great investment by WB.

Er - O/S and digital would then start off paying for $100m+ in P&A.

 

Still, even $300m WW should be quite profitable for Shazam! (unless $200m came from China) even if the budget was $100m

 

 

[Ms Lady Hawk]

5 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

Er - O/S and digital would then start off paying for $100m+ in P&A.

 

Still, even $300m WW should be quite profitable for Shazam! (unless $200m came from China) even if the budget was $100m

 

 

Thank you. I am still learning how this box office thing works. Unless the movie completely bombs, it looks like it was a reasonable risk/reward for WB.

[fabiopazzo2]

2019-04-03 23:00:23.036490 UTC
1	57.4%	Avengers: Endgame
2	9.9%	Us
3	7.8%	Dumbo
4	6.1%	Captain Marvel
5	4.8%	Shazam!

 

[Geveeso]

At what point will Endgame fall off from #1, or will it run the weekend?

[XXR vs XXR]

1 minute ago, Geveeso said:

At what point will Endgame fall off from #1, or will it run the weekend?

Definitely won't stay on top for the weekend. Should fall off of the top spot in the next 24-30 hours. 

[RealLyre]

Shazam has finally passed CM on MT

Spoiler

Endgame is still going surprisingly strong  

 

Edited April 3, 2019 by RealLyre
.

[Deep Wang]

1 minute ago, Geveeso said:

At what point will Endgame fall off from #1, or will it run the weekend?

If it manages to stay in the top5  this weekend, I doubt it will ever drop off.

[Rebeccas]

1 minute ago, RealLyre said:

Shazam has finally passed CM on MT

  Reveal hidden contents

Endgame is still going surprisingly strong  

 

They really need to make the poster size proportional to the % 

[Brainbug]

The lack of Pet Sematary on MT concerns me a tiny bit ... otoh, Endgame likely just skews the picture for the holdovers and newcomers this weekend.

[excel1]

Does the tweets-per-day chart on Box office.com still exists? Wondering what heights JOKER trailer has reached.