kswiston Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, Heat Vision said: Terrible drop. I wonder if Game 3 affected it. Maybe slightly, but bigger Tuesday bumps typically mean bigger Wednesday drops. GotG2 was down 37.8% on Wednesday after a 22.7% bump on Tuesday. This isn't terrible. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Captain Craig Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 A drop of 53-55% is highly respectable for a summer film, even more so a comic book summer film. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeepItU25071906 Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 (edited) 2 hours ago, Heat Vision said: Terrible drop. I wonder if Game 3 affected it. It's an expecting drop for new release in Wednesday. Nothing "terrible" Edited June 8, 2017 by KeepItU25071906 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grey ghost Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 57 minutes ago, Nova said: This drop is expected and falls right in line with the norm. The overreactions won't be necessary and the only folks who will be surprised are the ones who have created these super expectations for the film. Should do around $48-49M second weekend and will be on its way to a $290M+ domestic finish. Flopper Woman 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrGamer Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 7 minutes ago, Heat Vision said: Terrible drop. I wonder if Game 3 affected it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arlborn Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 (edited) 31 minutes ago, Heat Vision said: Terrible drop. I wonder if Game 3 affected it. See, it's not terrible, it's just normal. That's why it's disappointing since we were expecting a bit more. But terrible? Only if you consider what's normal to be terrible. Edited June 8, 2017 by Arlborn 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 (edited) If WONDR is on 195+ with a 48 2nd weekend, tough to see it miss 300. Even conservatively, It will add 60+ from all remaining weekends alone: 25 + 14 + 8 + 5 + 3 + 2 + 1 + 2 = 60 As to weekdays, current Mon-Thu will be around 40. So remaining could be 20.5 + 12 + 7 + 4 + 2.5 + 1.5 + 1 + 1.5 = 50 For 195 + 60 + 50 = 305 cume I see it going higher than that. It should challenge SS/BVS/GOTG1. Edited June 8, 2017 by a2knet 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KJsooner Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 35% drop? Crap!! https://youtu.be/dsx2vdn7gp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnnyGossamer Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 You guys are goofy. The drop is fine and actually better than Guardians Vol 2's opening week Tuesday to Wednesday drop. A second weekend in the $45M to $50M range DOM is very, very likely. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plain Old Tele Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 9m would've been bad. 10m would've been great. Falling in the middle means it's basically expected. 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daxtreme Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Every movie's 1st wednesday it's the same tune -- "WHAT THE DROP??!! #CRUMBLING #CANCELALLPROJECTS" After a slew of over-predictions on Tuesday Every time. These forums are hilarious 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nova Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 (edited) 4 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said: You guys are goofy. The drop is fine and actually better than Guardians Vol 2's opening week Tuesday to Wednesday drop. A second weekend in the $45M to $50M range DOM is very, very likely. Not trying to be an ass because I think the drop is fine (the overreactions are always over the top) and I also expect a second weekend between $45-50M but comparing its weekdays to GOTG2 isn't a good comparison because all schools were still in session whereas now there are schools that are out so weekdays are stronger than they are when GOTG2 opened. Edited June 8, 2017 by Nova 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kswiston Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 (edited) 12 minutes ago, a2knet said: If WONDR is on 195+ with a 48 2nd weekend, tough to see it miss 300. Even conservatively, It will add 60+ from all remaining weekends alone: 25 + 14 + 8 + 5 + 3 + 2 + 1 + 2 = 60 As to weekdays, current Mon-Thu will be around 40. So remaining could be 20.5 + 12 + 7 + 4 + 2.5 + 1.5 + 1 + 1.5 = 50 For 195 + 60 + 50 = 305 cume I see it going higher than that. It should challenge SS/BVS/GOTG1. As you say, Wonder Woman will be somewhere between $147-148M after today, which is just over $195M with your $48M weekend. Man of Steel made $41.3M in its second weekend and went on to make a $81M after day 10. So basically, a further 1.96x that second weekend take. The same numbers for Wonder Woman off a $48M weekend would give you $195 + 94M = $289M. Now adjust for the fact that Man of Steel had terrible late holds, and I would agree that $300M is in good shape. I'm not sure about $325M+ though. It will have to not collapse when DM3 and Spider-Man Homecoming release in over 4k venues/10k screens a piece. Edited June 8, 2017 by kswiston 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted June 8, 2017 Author Share Posted June 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said: You guys are goofy. The drop is fine and actually better than Guardians Vol 2's opening week Tuesday to Wednesday drop. A second weekend in the $45M to $50M range DOM is very, very likely. Yes but a lot of people here are expecting 3x to 3.3x legs as opposed to Guardians 2.6x. That wont happen if its holds are only slightly better than Guardians. WW also has schools and colleges out, an advantage that guardians did not have. So if it has to achieve significantly higher legs than gotg2 then it needs to hold a a lot better too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Sorry guys I don't mean to be a dick here but anyone here who saying that it's a horrible drop our way out to lunch. I don't think it has performed anywhere out of the ordinary at all so far this week. With a massive Tuesday bump that we see these days Wednesday drops are just as dramatic. I said it would do 45 million last weekend and I think it might do more than that but who knows. Sticking with a weekend of 47-49. This stuff right now is kind of box office 101. Don't get so dramatic with the daily increases and decreases. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Seem like a good drop to me (if 9.4m hold), it would be an second day in a row over man of steel: 2013/06/14 1 $44,013,367 +265% 4,207 $10,462 $56,075,491 1 2013/06/15 1 $36,315,318 -17% 4,207 $8,632 $92,390,809 2 2013/06/16 1 $36,290,677 n/c 4,207 $8,626 $128,681,486 3 2013/06/17 1 $12,585,005 -65% 4,207 $2,991 $141,266,491 4 2013/06/18 1 $11,511,127 -9% 4,207 $2,736 $152,777,618 5 2013/06/19 1 $9,002,279 -22% 4,207 $2,140 $161,779,897 That would point to a second weekend above Man of steel (above 41.2 m), if the NBA game was a factor we could see an over 46/47m second weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 If it follows Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles from last year then it's in store for a 56 mill weekend. That might be the movie that deadline was using as a comparable. Now I don't think it's going to do 56 this weekend but the precedent is there so it definitely could. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheMovieman Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 32 minutes ago, Heat Vision said: Terrible drop. I wonder if Game 3 affected it. $65M OW conf.... oh nm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kswiston Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 (edited) 13 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: Yes but a lot of people here are expecting 3x to 3.3x legs as opposed to Guardians 2.6x. That wont happen if its holds are only slightly better than Guardians. WW also has schools and colleges out, an advantage that guardians did not have. So if it has to achieve significantly higher legs than gotg2 then it needs to hold a a lot better too. Wonder Woman is still in good shape for a 3x OW multi. It does have the benefit of summer weekdays, so even if the weekend drops are similar to something like GOTG2, those lower Sun and Mon drops are going to add up when it comes to legs. EDIT: For instance, GotG2 was sitting at a 1.25x OW multiplier after Day 7. Wonder Woman will have at least a 1.42x multi after today. The only major difference between the two were the Sun and Mon drops. That said, 3.3x was always pie in the sky. Spider-Man 1, Guardians 1, and The Dark Knight are the only comic films to hit that multi without opening in the middle of the week. Spider-man might as well be in another era by this point in time, and the other two had way less competition in later weeks. Edited June 8, 2017 by kswiston 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 People should start listening to me I predicted +20% Tue, -35% Wed and -10% Thursday. Don't know why people are saying "Woof". If you took time to look at comparisons, this wouldn't be such a surprise. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...