CAPTAIN MARVEL WEEKEND THREAD l $153M DOM (3rd-biggest March opening), $455M WW (6th biggest WW opening) l Other weekend #s: Dragon 14.7, Madea 12, Lego 3.8, Alita 3.2

[Porthos]

9 minutes ago, Barnack said:

http://www.boxofficereport.com/previewgrosses.html

 

With a 7pm start instead of 6pm for CM BP did 25.2M for a $202.005M OW, Civil War did $25M (also 7PM) for a 179M start.

 

A $24M would be giant, because it could easily be less frontloaded than Civil War.

CM had the same start time as BP (7pm).  They also both had very limited "fan events" at 6pm, which might be what you were thinking of when it comes to CM.

[Darth Lehnsherr]

These presale numbers and theater showings are great but where are the parking reports??

[Cooper Legion]

4 minutes ago, Porthos said:

CM had the same start time as BP (7pm).  They also both had very limited "fan events" at 6pm, which might be what you were thinking of when it comes to CM.

I believe Deadline’s preview estimate contained the (Mis)information about 6 vs 7 start times.

Edited March 8, 2019 by Thanos Legion

[Barnack]

5 minutes ago, Porthos said:

CM had the same start time as BP (7pm).  They also both had very limited "fan events" at 6pm, which might be what you were thinking of when it comes to CM.

Yeah looking at my theater time, it started at 19:00 here (not sure why I had 6PM in mind probably read it in the deadline text like stated above).

 

Everything Thursday were some big fan events not so long ago, they are really stretching it.

Edited March 8, 2019 by Barnack

[cookie]

19 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

Good

I think the row in front of me lost their shit during the DP trailer too. And that's not mentioning the kid at my Lego 2 screening who told his mom over and over "We MUST see that movie!"

 

Lion King was something else tho. Rarely do I see such a loud crowd go so quiet when a trailer pops up.

Edited March 8, 2019 by cookie

[Porthos]

2 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

I believe Deadline’s preview estimate contained the (Mis)information about 6 vs 7 start times.

Ah, Deadline.  Even when they do something good (preview number looks about right), they still Deadline all over themselves.

 

====

 

FTR, there were EXACTLY five "Opening Night Fan Events" showings in Sacramento.  Out of seventeen theaters screening CM.  And over 200 showings tonight.

 

So, yeah.  Misinformation right there. 👍

 

(Also for the record, there were three ONFEs for BP last year)

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

5 minutes ago, cookie said:

I think the row in front of me lost their shit during the DP trailer too. And that's not mentioning the kid at my Lego 2 screening who told his mom over and over "We MUST see that movie!"

 

Lion King was something else tho. Rarely do I see such a loud crowd go so quiet when a trailer pops up.

TLK is going to be the nostalgia king for all of us 80's/90's kids. I expect it to drop truly massive numbers in July. 

[cookie]

I'm here for that CM over Hunger Games btw

[charlie Jatinder]

4 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

So what we have till now is

Wednesday: $15mn Approx

 

Thursday:

 

South Korea: $2.4mn

China: $2.3mn (Previews)

Indonesia: $2.25mn

Russia: $2.1mn

Australia: $1.48mn

Hong Kong: $0.8mn

 

Total: $11.35mn (6 markets).

 

 

Any markets you know, mention me and post.

Overseas (know markets) ~25mn+

[Aurora]

I'm betting on around 22-24M.

 

I wonder if Thursday/Friday might be a little inflated because of Women's day? I guess we'll see how word of mouth plays over the weekend. Seems pretty positive. This thing could make about 180M and take the title from Beauty.

Edited March 8, 2019 by Aurora

[DeeCee]

If CM follows BP’s Thu:OW ratio it hits AUD12m in Australia plus AUD1.5m previews for a cume of AUD13.5m by Sunday night. 

 

AUD:USD x 10 gives USD135m

AUD:USD x 11 gives USD148.5m

[terrestrial]

5 minutes ago, DeeCee said:

AUD:USD x    10-11

that's usually pretty impressive near.

Beside BP or other very dom or very AUS impacting movies. Example for AUS was I think e.g. 'Australia'?

[FlashMaster659]

From the Germany thread

 

1 minute ago, Rthanos said:

CM Thursday at least  is way above any of those , it should end up being over 70% higher than BP OD adm

 

[SpiderByte]

Wait wait wait

 

Is 200 million in play?

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

5 minutes ago, SpiderByte said:

Wait wait wait

 

Is 200 million in play?

I mean, technically yes. It’s in play the same way $300m for Endgame is in play. 

[DAJK]

10 minutes ago, SpiderByte said:

Wait wait wait

 

Is 200 million in play?

Sure, but I'm firmly in the camp at this point that it's going to be closer to 150 than 200. That is, until I see some actual numbers. 

[The Futurist]

Incels will push it to 200m.

They secretly love Brie.

[charlie Jatinder]

And India: Excellent opening in India for #CaptainMarvel. Set for ₹15.5-16cr ($2.2-2.3mn) opening day, all time highest for a solo Superhero film. Overall only behind #InfinityWar.

Spoiler

On 3/4/2019 at 12:46 PM, Charlie Jatinder said:

Before Captain Marvel claims anything from number 3 to number 5, here are top 15 superhero openers in India. Only Hollywood ones, if I include local superhero films, 2.0, Krrish 3, Enthiran, RA.ONE and Krrish will be there. I am not sure about Spider-man 3 numbers.

 

Avengers: Endgame will easily top the chart, I am expecting around ₹47-50cr i.e. $6.9-7.7 million. Spider-man: Far From Home shall open to non-Avengers highest numbers.

 

Rank	Title	Year	Total Gross (in crores)	Total Net (in crores)	Total Gross (in million)
1	Avengers: Infinity War	2018	₹40.49	₹31.33	$6.08
2	Avengers: Age Of Ultron	2015	₹14.82	₹10.98	$2.33
3	Deadpool 2	2018	₹12.49	₹9.68	$1.84
4	Captain America: Civil War	2016	₹11.64	₹8.53	$1.76
5	Batman vs Superman	2016	₹10.94	₹8.01	$1.63
6	The Amazing Spiderman 2	2014	₹10.12	₹7.58	$1.69
7	Thor: Ragnarok	2017	₹9.98	₹7.78	$1.55
8	Iron Man 3	2013	₹9.42	₹7.12	$1.74
9	The Amazing Spiderman	2012	₹8.98	₹6.77	$1.60
10	Spiderman: Homecoming	2017	₹8.74	₹6.82	$1.35
11	Justice League	2017	₹7.49	₹5.84	$1.15
12	Aquaman	2018	₹7.09	₹5.48	$0.99
13	Ant-Man and The Wasp	2018	₹6.93	₹5.37	$1.01
14	Black Panther	2018	₹6.78	₹5.27	$1.06
15	X-Men: Apocalypse	2016	₹6.16	₹4.51	$0.91

 

 

 

[ZeeSoh]

46 minutes ago, Rthanos said:

CM Thursday at least  is way above any of those , it should end up being over 70% higher than BP OD adm

 

This is from Germany. 

9 minutes ago, Rthanos said:

CM OD admits way above BP,SMH,TR about 75% of CW(Admits & $lc), see how weekend goes.

 

This is from Chile

 

 

Xposting from Intl threads. Rth dropped some numbers.

 

No clue how the legs will be but it is definitely gonna have a huge OD/OW worldwide (especially in Asian and Latin countries)

Edited March 8, 2019 by ZeeSoh

[Silver Surfer]

Good numbers so far, hope it gets the March record.