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Weekend Thread: Weekend Actuals - Godzilla KOTM $47.77M | Aladdin $42.84M | Rocketman $25.72M | MA $18.09M

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54 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

I wouldn't be surprised if it was people either just ignoring them completely in favor of Aladdin or some other upcoming movie (like Pets 2, Dark Phoenix or Toy Story 4 - the latter which, on that note, I saw a giant ad for in a Primark in Spain..... made me wanna puke).

It is not just in Spain. Primark of Almada Forum is full of giant marketing for it even outside in the windows :hahaha:

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24 minutes ago, Justin4125 said:

Of course there is denial, this whole thing is actually kind of emotional for some people. As longtime fans, the film's rejection somehow feels personal. I know its ridiculous to root for a studio film and hope it makes money, but if you can get over that maybe you can empathize. Give us a little time to get some distance, then we can start doing a more objective analysis

Exactly right.

 

Yes, this IS a box office forum first and foremost, so naturally folks are going to fixate on the box office aspect.

 

Like.

 

Duh.

 

Obviously.

 

But, also ldo, we're all here because we love film to some degree or another.  Some of us might have some favs more than others (:ph34r: :ph34r: :ph34r:) but we're still here because we like things.

 

And guess what?  When something you REALLY like flames out in a REALLY bad fashion... That's gonna hurt.

 

Speaking from personal experience (*cough*) the objective analysis doesn't hurt as much.  Won't try to lie and say it doesn't prick a little.  But it's folks coming in on the dogpile which irks more than anything else.

 

I'm not perfect on this regard, I fully admit it.  But I do try to keep my snark off the main threads devoted to a movie and try not to make it too mean spirited when I do engage with my snarky side.  Don't always succeed, but I try to keep it in mind.

 

tl;dr: 

 

Basically it comes down to this:

 

Quote

but if you can get over that maybe you can empathize. Give us a little time to get some distance,

Having some empathy for folks and maaaaaaaaaybe give them a little bit of space to work things out is a small thing to ask, I feel.

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1 hour ago, Firepower said:

That's not true, JW3 budget is 55 mln, not even close to "twice as big budget". It'll be even more profitable than JW2.

john wick 2 budget 40m, john wick 3 budget 75m.

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Aladdin beats Us to take #3 on yearly dom chart and make it a Disney trifecta...

1 Avengers: Endgame BV $815,501,784 4,662 $357,115,007 4,662 4/26 -
2 Captain Marvel BV $426,181,433 4,310 $153,433,423 4,310 3/8 -
3 Aladdin (2019) BV $185,032,174 4,476 $91,500,929 4,476 5/24 -

 

TS4 and TLK should make it top 5 for Disney by summer end. 

Spiderman (Sony) will beat Aladdin and in the high-end challenge CM, TS4 imo.

SLOP2 and HobbsShaw should make it past Us but behind all Disney films and Spiderman.

 

Fall:

IT2 can challenge lower-rung Disney which could be Aladdin at 300+.

Don't know what to think about Joker.

 

Holidays:

SW and Frozen still to come and will again be near the top of the charts. Wow.

Jumanji3 a wild card and could beat a few Disney films.

Edited by a2k
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1 hour ago, a2k said:

Aladdin beats Us to take #3 on yearly dom chart and make it a Disney trifecta...

1 Avengers: Endgame BV $815,501,784 4,662 $357,115,007 4,662 4/26 -
2 Captain Marvel BV $426,181,433 4,310 $153,433,423 4,310 3/8 -
3 Aladdin (2019) BV $185,032,174 4,476 $91,500,929 4,476 5/24 -

 

TS4 and TLK should make it top 5 for Disney by summer end. 

Spiderman (Sony) will beat Aladdin and in the high-end challenge CM, TS4 imo.

SLOP2 and HobbsShaw should make it past Us but behind all Disney films and Spiderman.

 

Fall:

IT2 can challenge lower-rung Disney which could be Aladdin at 300+.

Don't know what to think about Joker.

 

Holidays:

SW and Frozen still to come and will again be near the top of the charts. Wow.

Jumanji3 a wild card and could beat a few Disney films.

Top 10 Domestic Movies
by distributor
 
Rank ►
Year ▼
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Disney
Total
Disney
Total $
Disney
Total %
2009 F P W     W P W F W 1 $293M 9.0%
2010     P   W W U P P   3 $950M 33.2%
2011 W P   W   U P   W P 2 $433M 17.4%
2012   W   S W   S   U P 2 $861M 26.0%
2013       U W W   W U   4 $1313M 41.4%
2014 W       W W P   F   4 $1057M 38.6%
2015   U     U U   F   S 4 $1953M 48.8%
2016       U   F   W W U 5 $2132M 56.3%
2017     W S   S W   U W 4 $1829M 48.1%
2018       U W F U P   F 4 $2204M 55.3%
2019*       U U W W     U 4 $1540M 64.7%
     
  Key Total    
    Disney (Marvel Studios) 13    
    Disney (other) 10    
    Disney (Pixar) 7    
    Disney (Animation Studios) 4    
    Disney (Lucasfilm) 3    
    all Disney total 37    
  W Warner Bros. 25    
  U Universal 16    
  P Paramount 11    
  F FOX 7    
  S Sony 5    
    non-W/U/P/F/S studios 9    
    all non-Disney total 73    
     
Note: Does not retroactively consider FOX
releases as Disney releases
* 2019 results not final
   

 

Not a great year at the top for anyone not named Disney. They catch a breather next year at least in theory.

 

Too early to draw a big conclusion from this with almost 7 months of releases to go but I wonder what the middle number will be for this year.

 

Domestic Top 100 Median
(Unadjusted)
%
Change
(YOY)
Annual Average
Ticket Price
%
Change
(YOY)
2010 $63.1M   $7.89  
2011 $72.7M 15.1% $7.93 0.5%
2012 $64.1M -11.8% $7.96 0.4%
2013 $69.5M 8.6% $8.13 2.1%
2014 $64.6M -7.1% $8.17 0.5%
2015 $58.0M -10.3% $8.43 3.2%
2016 $62.9M 8.5% $8.65 2.6%
2017 $56.1M -10.9% $8.97 3.7%
2018 $56.4M 0.7% $9.11 1.6%
2019* $9.0M -84.0% TBD TBD
Edited by MagnarTheGreat
average column word typo
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24 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

Gonna need more than that lol

If it can cross Avatar's original run Ill be ecstatic, but yes, its too bad it doesnt have months of zero material competition like Avatar :P one or two event movies per week, disappointing or otherwise, makes it pretty difficult to keep gas in the tank

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5 minutes ago, Justin4125 said:

If it can cross Avatar's original run Ill be ecstatic, but yes, its too bad it doesnt have months of zero material competition like Avatar :P one or two event movies per week, disappointing or otherwise, makes it pretty difficult to keep gas in the tank

Yeah that's too bad

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1 hour ago, cdsacken said:

Hard to say then

No, not hard to say.

Scott said in a twitter reply to someone that he heard it is 55M budget, Then when he actually wrote in Forbes he stated its 75M.

 

So 75M.

 

Also New York Times says 75M.

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Just posted this in the CC thread, but also posting here for signal boost:

 

 

I know for a fact that there are aspiring filmmakers on this board, and I reckon some are from underrepresented backgrounds.  Might be of interest to some Americans on this board (and, yes, only Americans at the moment, I'm afraid).

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